{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "canonical": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Daniel Berggren: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 11 settled picks by Daniel Berggren recorded before kick-off across 11 matches, 12 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Daniel Berggren before kick-off across 11 matches between 12 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −18.7% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Daniel Berggren, 25 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-3a0686fbcff06c0fc4eda1fc", "public_name": "Daniel Berggren", "tracker_number": 3017, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-3a0686fbcff06c0fc4eda1fc-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-18.7018", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 11, "n_events": 11, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": "-69.0191", "ci_high": "34.2991", "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:56:36.586Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 11 settled picks across 11 matches", "average_odds": "2.06", "odds_from_author": 11, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-4c23bff04582337bb45a5670", "bankroll_hundredths": 979428, "reserve_hundredths": 20000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -20572, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-12T21:08:07.428Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-5e1a427efc9288eb37cf059c" }, { "at": "2026-10-14T19:05:53.235Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1001000, "profit_hundredths": 1000, "outcome_id": "ish-6f4f7f864edf73e2bb744fb4" }, { "at": "2026-10-18T06:45:16.664Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1010500, "profit_hundredths": 10500, "outcome_id": "ish-5e630263c6f75d391177b49f" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:14.866Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1007579, "profit_hundredths": 7579, "outcome_id": "ish-69512b9ecbbbf8db9a57a52f" }, { "at": "2026-10-23T00:50:39.287Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 997579, "profit_hundredths": -2421, "outcome_id": "ish-6d1703d8184787ae2c1a06d7" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T00:52:38.670Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 987579, "profit_hundredths": -12421, "outcome_id": "ish-4c121f0c90e4c0e685bdd6f6" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:40.770Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 977579, "profit_hundredths": -22421, "outcome_id": "ish-cff942985254c7fb9dd90e33" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:49.011Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 982404, "profit_hundredths": -17596, "outcome_id": "ish-828ef4b0ff26b1dcc3d8943c" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:09.329Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 991928, "profit_hundredths": -8072, "outcome_id": "ish-492651971802e409ed647482" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T22:13:06.657Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 981928, "profit_hundredths": -18072, "outcome_id": "ish-f90de8fabadbfb004bf1f8c4" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:23.409Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 989428, "profit_hundredths": -10572, "outcome_id": "ish-f22c33ecc7ad65e5e7401b3f" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.011Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 979428, "profit_hundredths": -20572, "outcome_id": "ish-a551e5a93a782a2527dd9bae" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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Spelar du för mycket? Kontakta Stödlinjen.\n\nDela!\n\nFacebookXCopy Link\n\nFölj Speltips på Google\n\nRelaterade inlägg\n\n23 oktober, 2026, 16:30\n|\n\nHugo Stenmark\n\nSPELTIPS 25/10 inför Paris Saint-Germain – Lyon: Målfest att vänta i toppmötet\n\n23 oktober, 2026, 16:11\n|\n\nHugo Stenmark\n\nSPELTIPS 25/10 inför Freiburg – Bayern München: Målfest i sikte\n\n23 oktober, 2026, 16:00\n|\n\nDaniel Jacobsson\n\nSPELTIPS 24/10 inför Djurgården – Örgryte: Två lag med hopp!\n\n23 oktober, 2026, 16:00\n|\n\nDaniel Jacobsson\n\nSPELTIPS 24/10 inför Sirius – AIK: Åter på segerspåret!", "fragment_from": 3089, "fragment_to": 3827, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-25-10-infor-barcelona-real-madrid-malfest-att-vanta", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniel Berggren", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b84ca60c8231010bde87571bd614b1f226d06e10fefd0fdf150e74e84a89dfd1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": 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A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "speltips.se", "url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-8-11-infor-manchester-united-aston-villa-angesten-vaxer-pa-drommarnas-teater" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20572, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "-18.70", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Daniel Berggren before kick-off across 11 matches between 12 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −18.7% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Daniel Berggren, 25 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "11", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "11", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−205.72 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−18.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −69.0% to +34.3%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1000, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7579, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2421, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12421, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22421, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17596, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8072, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18072, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20572, "n": 11 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "match_dates": 10, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -20572, "low": { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22421, "after_picks": 6 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7579, "after_picks": 3 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7579, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2421, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12421, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22421, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17596, "n": 7, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8072, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18072, "n": 9, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20572, "n": 11, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Daniel Berggren before kick-off across 11 matches between 12 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −18.7% on the total staked. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Daniel Berggren, 25 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/daniel-berggren/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 36, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 11, "proven_predictions": 22, "proven_checked": 18, "proven_measured": 11, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 22, "checked": 18, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 11, "void": 0, "matches": 11, "net_points_hundredths": -20572, "staked_hundredths": 110000, "return_percent": "-18.70", "interval_low": "-69.02", "interval_high": "34.30", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 11, "return_main_percent": "-18.70", "return_other_percent": "-19.00", "settled_excluding_void": 11, "net_main_points_hundredths": -20572, "net_other_points_hundredths": -20900, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 9, "return_main_percent": "-20.08", "return_other_percent": "-24.15", "settled_excluding_void": 9, "net_main_points_hundredths": -18072, "net_other_points_hundredths": -21735, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 18, "priced": 11 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 10, "won": 4, "won_percent": "40.0", "implied_percent": "50.5", "left_out": 1, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 2, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "52.4" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "43.1" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "58.1" }, { "market": "Team goals", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "49.8" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 5, "right": 2, "wrong": 3, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 3, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-00b72afd4493d5f679762399", "n-0d11f4acd74fc72c892f619b", "n-48001a3dbe00f4f0c30a74b1", "n-7af38d18a2f3fc8f981ed5e1", "n-8965e50ac0e6e92715b83915", "n-9c6929f776d9be219fa027bd", "n-be5e82df60167327e31997bb", "n-c957158d0a1498ca35af45f5", "n-cf6b35892133cfc3b8db1ac3", "n-d6a811ea112c227aaa9e5524", "n-e4645a063ca77aed1991faef" ], "interval_low": "-69.02", "interval_high": "34.30", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 12 October – 4 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-11", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-8965e50ac0e6e92715b83915", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/picks/3/#pick-n-8965e50ac0e6e92715b83915", "match": "SK Slavia Praha v Arsenal", "match_url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 28.2, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.76", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.76", "settled_price": "1.7874", "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:20:20.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T15:49:35.453Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "no", "price": "1.7874", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-8965e50ac0e6e92715b83915", "quote_text": "Speltips: Båda lagen gör mål – NEJ | Odds: @1.76", "fragment_from": 421, "fragment_to": 469, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-4-11-infor-slavia-prag-arsenal-ett-stangt-forsvarslas", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniel Berggren", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "07fafb2b36a1308bf47e343061bfc2341912bc1d6a625da5da73353106ca0f52", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:20:20.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:49:35.453Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:51:29.225Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-74eec71471f0", "display_name": "SK Slavia Praha — Arsenal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.76", "our_snapshot": "1.7874", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T15:45:23.233Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:20:20.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:20:20.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:49:35.453Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "author_odds": "1.76", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "no", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 1.76" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SK Slavia Praha 1-2 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "05d8146a2c4e18858f3027d0da7cb850664f544d939b78abe950ae8ab8960eff", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "1.76", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:51:27.278Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c5371bdf2de5cd04e4347ab2c14c63b71d9476547949099433d8b3dac4fbff17", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "1.7874", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:51:29.225Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Daniel Berggren", "publisher": "Speltips.se", "forecaster": "Daniel Berggren", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-4-11-infor-slavia-prag-arsenal-ett-stangt-forsvarslas", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-0d11f4acd74fc72c892f619b", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/picks/3/#pick-n-0d11f4acd74fc72c892f619b", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 28.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7500, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.75", "settled_price": "1.7500", "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:21.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T15:30:02.933Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.7500", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 7500, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-0d11f4acd74fc72c892f619b", "quote_text": "Speltips: Dortmund vinner | Odds: @1.75 | Units: 2/5", "fragment_from": 485, "fragment_to": 537, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-4-11-infor-dortmund-real-betis-hemmaborgen-faller-avgorandet", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniel Berggren", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1480999ab2c7c80c2adcba31afef124de4c9a1f06a79470f470d5a6077ad9704", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:30:02.933Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:32:44.553Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f45b0ac9f3ae", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Real Betis", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.75", "our_snapshot": "1.7500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T15:26:19.894Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:30:02.933Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "author_odds": "1.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "af77ac0da7f1003465c1ad01f264b9b53a0f67bd6c94e3b9d5c43a72ac09b26d", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:32:43.974Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f6892990550e6324b1625ee1dbe17b0f9ddcf1a34e00448e398b482ddc0dfeca", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.7500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T15:32:44.553Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Daniel Berggren", "publisher": "Speltips.se", "forecaster": "Daniel Berggren", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-4-11-infor-dortmund-real-betis-hemmaborgen-faller-avgorandet", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-48001a3dbe00f4f0c30a74b1", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/picks/3/#pick-n-48001a3dbe00f4f0c30a74b1", "match": "Newcastle United v Everton", "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/", "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 28.5, "market_code": "team_total", "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Newcastle United over 1.5 at 1.98", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.98", "settled_price": "2.0100", "published_at": "2026-11-01T15:00:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T15:30:08.489Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-48001a3dbe00f4f0c30a74b1", "quote_text": "Speltips: Newcastle över 1.5 mål | Odds: @1.98", "fragment_from": 446, "fragment_to": 492, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/speltips-2-11-infor-newcastle-everton-forsvarsmurarna-testas-rejalt", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Daniel Berggren", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "35b5df903bf3b3c110197ad7d0a47fc89c8875e76064f1fa3d72fc370d05caa3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T15:00:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T15:30:08.489Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-01T18:47:04.950Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": 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Spelar du…", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T15:02:43.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T15:09:38.208Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ce9893e03d64c8301ecbb64d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Oavgjort | Odds: @3.60", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:50:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:09:42.608Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-863e5c5cad9c9830d045b683", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Båda lagen gör mål + Över 2.5 mål | Odds: @1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:35:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T13:49:49.615Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-05e4b2a48803d90e74a0a92b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Över 3.5 mål | Odds: @1.86", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-15T14:00:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T14:29:31.958Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8972556cab11f22cbb9e513a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Under 4.5 mål | Odds: @1.94", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T14:40:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T15:09:30.314Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1cc5b9b687232a58b7c013bd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Båda lagen gör mål | Odds: @1.88", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T14:30:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T14:49:31.159Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fe99e3bf887c393c336e60ba", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Speltips: Inter vinner + Över 3.5 mål | Odds: @2.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:55:40.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T06:59:35.264Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-65304ead3d4cc60454cb9f4e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Gästerna nätar igen!", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:50:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T06:59:35.749Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 24, "before_kickoff": 22, "after_kickoff": 2, "at_least_2h": 22, "share_2h_plus": 91.7, "median_hours": 27.7, "min_hours": 4.8, "max_hours": 49.3, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 9, "settled_picks_all": 11, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 1, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 90000, "author_net_hundredths": -20096, "favourite_net_hundredths": -11471, "difference_hundredths": -8625, "author_return_percent": -22.33, "favourite_return_percent": -12.75, "author_hit_rate": 44.4, "favourite_hit_rate": 44.4, "picked_favourite_share": 55.6, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "total", "picks": 4, "staked_hundredths": 40000, "author_net_hundredths": -4175, "favourite_net_hundredths": -16400, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -10.44, "favourite_return_percent": -41.0 }, { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 3, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "author_net_hundredths": -12500, "favourite_net_hundredths": 8350, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": -41.67, "favourite_return_percent": 27.83 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -3421, "favourite_net_hundredths": -3421, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": -17.11, "favourite_return_percent": -17.11 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-14T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7579, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -13421 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2421, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23421 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -12421, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14821 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -22421, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3971 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17596, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -8971 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10096, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -1471 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20096, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -11471 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 36, "pages": 3, "page_urls": [ "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "/authors/daniel-berggren/picks/2/", "/authors/daniel-berggren/picks/3/" ], "groups": { "settled": 11, "pending": 2, "excluded": 23 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Daniel Berggren Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-3a0686fbcff06c0fc4eda1fc", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Daniel Berggren", "main_entity": "e-3a0686fbcff06c0fc4eda1fc", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-3a0686fbcff06c0fc4eda1fc", "medium": "Speltips.se", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "speltips.se", "source_info": "speltips-se", "byline": "Daniel Berggren", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/", "summary": { "statements": 98, "predictions": 36, "settled_picks": 11, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -18.7, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "updated": "2026-11-05", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "composition_hash": "0023318606ae435edf76731ef21b7ff2cf4038944180bfe5c0aa2705eed41573" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-83c1db208eb206a19a6e", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "-20.08", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "200825d67d9392806fc4adae27dead554beac0d7a55a2f11307f0aeae889e7cd", "text": "−180.72 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-18.70", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0023318606ae435edf76731ef21b7ff2cf4038944180bfe5c0aa2705eed41573", "text": "−18.70% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-44533066a52157b07c60", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-10.09", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d4a83a2fe379cdbe70baa2f00efce60a8514a19a3bd1fee23856e5beea64330", "text": "−80.72 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "-20.08", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "200825d67d9392806fc4adae27dead554beac0d7a55a2f11307f0aeae889e7cd", "text": "−180.72 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b069f99d96e649fa5a67", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-25.14", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5a56422c634ccc88ecd4143a097d4d366a3171369de15e32bc94acc1581ae2c8", "text": "−175.96 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "-10.09", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3d4a83a2fe379cdbe70baa2f00efce60a8514a19a3bd1fee23856e5beea64330", "text": "−80.72 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ea4ef015b3c520e001f9", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-37.37", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d5fbbb6d8b600825a8eb99923bc758843e00807933ef0883d622d4c04c5b3bef", "text": "−224.21 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-25.14", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5a56422c634ccc88ecd4143a097d4d366a3171369de15e32bc94acc1581ae2c8", "text": "−175.96 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-9103a87e5454d73f8c0f", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "90068860185d2f1aae4519b2ca82c84120f141ec0fd051ab47b6139ab542dc31", "text": "−124.21 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-37.37", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d5fbbb6d8b600825a8eb99923bc758843e00807933ef0883d622d4c04c5b3bef", "text": "−224.21 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c81a8b3bfb88ab463971", "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-23.4", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-6.05", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9207d9b27b746f644f44cfa3b79929ff3032facf669be2757f7848bad4996cfd", "text": "−24.21 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.1", "return_percent": "-24.84", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "90068860185d2f1aae4519b2ca82c84120f141ec0fd051ab47b6139ab542dc31", "text": "−124.21 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-9bca23427bec1b51c8d9", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "25.26", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2c8bedd288d5f49778367c559965687aa2cdfbcc4be029b09c21255f0a2e032c", "text": "+75.79 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-6.05", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9207d9b27b746f644f44cfa3b79929ff3032facf669be2757f7848bad4996cfd", "text": "−24.21 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f31ba7c1e11e592b0d2d", 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method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f1904497f6e5581840cd", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-18.5", "return_percent": "35.00", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "614acbc084a21e189aeee95bf278caadc4174069eae9e4d55fa1aba9e797a64c", "text": "+105.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "5.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "73791e90a55c2c44e2848b0db27d38f850b2293836d8953e1e5f667bdbcf3fb4", "text": "+10.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-fa93129e87ed463381d3" }, { "id": "zc-39a9c4776ff2177370d6", "at": "2026-10-18T08:07:07.527Z", "data_version": "2026-10-18.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.4", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "5.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": 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"comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-8fe442ac4cbaadcbbcff", "at": "2026-10-12T21:23:00.584Z", "data_version": "2026-10-12.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-12.4", "url": "/authors/daniel-berggren/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.5", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "544dd40dd4f4f280502d6a4c65e2a97cbe3c697b8edee4287a6c8b305702d3ab", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, 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