{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/",
 "canonical": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Dan Childs — football predictions, page 8 of 32",
 "description": "Predictions 121–140 of 615 by Dan Childs, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 8 of 32 of the predictions by Dan Childs recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 121–140 of 615 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "615",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "1f754bd2df8ae2e022e5dde572ab90c96da6277744771df0e6b4f8b458475f0f",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-c00a8da54862db8df20f105d",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-c00a8da54862db8df20f105d",
  "public_name": "Dan Childs",
  "tracker_number": 1526,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-473d521e8ebea44a56ef241d",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-473d521e8ebea44a56ef241d",
   "match": "Fulham v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-24T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9602.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.6",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 25000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.6",
   "settled_price": "3.5000",
   "published_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-473d521e8ebea44a56ef241d",
    "quote_text": "Draw\n1pt 13-5 Coral",
    "fragment_from": 1847,
    "fragment_to": 1866,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250823174644id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-aY1Dm2U14G3Y/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "847e2b6915a05a5f15b081370fcc88d6631e1cf95ca8622e4401fdb6f2ec86a3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.298Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-24T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.6",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.5000",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 25000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-23T17:46:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-23T17:46:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.6",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.6"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fulham 1-1 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a0369e58f27ab48a223f7c7b336c275ab680ba5f96f0ac768244354a7a066d53",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 26000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.273Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fd2ebf3f681466c82891a0b496dba1e13fabfe841b236581629e61a55df9071f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 25000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.298Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "04f02affdf44a09ab540c6ce900782a60f5f36ef85b1ebbcfa55bd943b924281",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 25000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.307Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-aY1Dm2U14G3Y/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e0495a2df3e345948f304a69",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-e0495a2df3e345948f304a69",
   "match": "Fulham v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-24T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9602.3,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Bruno Fernandes to be carded at 3.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.75",
   "settled_price": "3.75",
   "published_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e0495a2df3e345948f304a69",
    "quote_text": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded\n11-4 Hills, Power",
    "fragment_from": 1882,
    "fragment_to": 1928,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250823174644id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-aY1Dm2U14G3Y/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "847e2b6915a05a5f15b081370fcc88d6631e1cf95ca8622e4401fdb6f2ec86a3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.315Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-24T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.75",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-23T17:46:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-23T16:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:37.679Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-23T17:46:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
     "author_odds": "3.75",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Bruno Fernandes to be carded at 3.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Fulham 1-1 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "58e0080bbfdade9ba83fecff16e7864e43fa84d1d80fb0b7c4572d930a322ad8",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "3.75",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.315Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-aY1Dm2U14G3Y/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1dc07866e747482fc14a770c",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-1dc07866e747482fc14a770c",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9793.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City at 21",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "21",
   "settled_price": "16.7500",
   "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1dc07866e747482fc14a770c",
    "quote_text": "2-2 correct score\n20-1 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 2131,
    "fragment_to": 2160,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250815141245id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3dbe23514c71b702b3143f064fb69bccf3605a2b90e8872df7478a1050a9b99e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.091Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "21",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "16.7500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City",
     "author_odds": "21",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City at 21"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-4 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4e2587ac721e148304cc65a782705b2bc6338430711936f1fc816a4cf8af1b91",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "21",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.080Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fdcd11313561f00c17de49b3a0931dd6673d1622af9b4f149d91d633eac0a37d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "16.7500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.091Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester City"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5587652eb60d90c0cf44b994",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-5587652eb60d90c0cf44b994",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9793.4,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers +1 at 2.15",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.15",
   "settled_price": "2.0000",
   "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5587652eb60d90c0cf44b994",
    "quote_text": "Wolves +1 on Asian handicap\n1pt 23-20 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 2018,
    "fragment_to": 2062,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250815141245id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3dbe23514c71b702b3143f064fb69bccf3605a2b90e8872df7478a1050a9b99e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.063Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Asian handicap 1",
    "outcome_label": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.15",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9524",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Asian handicap 1",
     "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1",
     "author_odds": "2.15",
     "market_key": "handicap_asian",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Asian handicap 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers +1 at 2.15"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-4 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "27bcfa7675a8fffd402a82975d971fef20986e31e6ab5f072f05248cbc09b882",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1",
      "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1",
      "decimal_odds": "2.15",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.058Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "76b1c995ffb6dc5f84b39c5099c6671642269a2d2066a74f6980e37d5ccfba21",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1",
      "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9524",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.063Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e3c7dba0ff8a7fcb751999c8434de9af5efda7972c9391357a0b15dd98d5e6c2",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1",
      "choice": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.069Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Wolverhampton Wanderers +1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aede5514e690c13cf3f068e5",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-aede5514e690c13cf3f068e5",
   "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9793.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7500",
   "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-aede5514e690c13cf3f068e5",
    "quote_text": "Over 2.5 goals",
    "fragment_from": 5741,
    "fragment_to": 5755,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250815141245id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3dbe23514c71b702b3143f064fb69bccf3605a2b90e8872df7478a1050a9b99e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.104Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-16T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7407",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7407,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-15T14:12:45.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-4 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "acbb5724786eb27980eda786b7c5ec3526d853e97a72f51d7e5b8c325f01abe4",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7407",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7407,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.104Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "949dcc69d3e278f1c2917d5d283f4472f85075f0c127afa9906bd425ca8f7162",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:51.111Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/wolves-vs-manchester-city-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-azdUf6O6aSmG/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ba7277ee04260bb60be664cf",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jhon Arias to have a shot on target",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-15T13:12:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:41.658Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0de36ec6c5500df798b262bf",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-0de36ec6c5500df798b262bf",
   "match": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9814.9,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Tyler Adams to be carded at 4.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "4.5",
   "settled_price": "4.5",
   "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0de36ec6c5500df798b262bf",
    "quote_text": "Tyler Adams to be carded\n7-2 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 1943,
    "fragment_to": 1977,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250814174829id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "260928b836ee13c1a5df589ae6c53acef222d80344717fcdd78d8e575f9ac7fa",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.636Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Tyler Adams to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "4.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Tyler Adams to be carded",
     "author_odds": "4.5",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Tyler Adams to be carded at 4.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "4-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 4-2 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5cb6d1a88dfff43e13a77ae12002b45172e548ec57ed09941d575ee29d13006c",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Tyler Adams to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "4.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.636Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Tyler Adams to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ca60112ce72775c616fccb8",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-3ca60112ce72775c616fccb8",
   "match": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9814.9,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.87",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.87",
   "settled_price": "1.9500",
   "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.804Z",
    "field": "author price",
    "reason": "The author’s fractional price 20-23 was read as 21; as a decimal price it is 1.87.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-c1a967539f7c",
    "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 20-23 was read as 21; as a decimal price it is 1.87."
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3ca60112ce72775c616fccb8",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool & under 4.5 goals\n1pt 20-23 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1875,
    "fragment_to": 1924,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250814174829id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "260928b836ee13c1a5df589ae6c53acef222d80344717fcdd78d8e575f9ac7fa",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.628Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.87",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "1.87",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.87"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "4-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 4-2 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1a6be4e280a4ec880e32267132cf1dd519f610cbc56714d2f4448e087ac6ebee",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
      "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "1.87",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.620Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "506858ae0fecfa5cfd2d56c473c4f65a7aa2730dd5500753db6094d70b25305b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 4.5 goals",
      "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.628Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.804Z",
      "field_name": "author price",
      "was": "21",
      "now": "1.87",
      "cause": "The author’s fractional price 20-23 was read as 21; as a decimal price it is 1.87."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.804Z",
     "field": "author price",
     "reason": "The author’s fractional price 20-23 was read as 21; as a decimal price it is 1.87.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-c1a967539f7c",
     "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 20-23 was read as 21; as a decimal price it is 1.87."
    },
    "choice_words": "Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9ba9868c0a14de5032eee3b7",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-9ba9868c0a14de5032eee3b7",
   "match": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9814.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth at 9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "9",
   "settled_price": "8.2450",
   "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9ba9868c0a14de5032eee3b7",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool to win 2-0\n8-1 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 1989,
    "fragment_to": 2020,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250814174829id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "260928b836ee13c1a5df589ae6c53acef222d80344717fcdd78d8e575f9ac7fa",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.653Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "9",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "8.2450",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-14T17:48:29.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth",
     "author_odds": "9",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth at 9"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "4-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Liverpool 4-2 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "56086369aefdfc0d52a38dd2edef79e83b05f63f49f08157482a3aaeb1180d78",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth",
      "decimal_odds": "9",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.644Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f057e4e9a5e5fc1596deec54c00d5200eb1a86efa82bdb4982ffced1d593d842",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth",
      "decimal_odds": "8.2450",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.653Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-aB9YS4H7mkqk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool 2-0 AFC Bournemouth"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b6db946862369cc6193dfd02",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Antoine Semenyo to commit two or more fouls",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-df18a189cf8ea4533ba89915",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Mohamed Salah to score the first goal",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-14T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:54.089Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c4de93fdc951f39ce703028b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Morgan Gibbs-White to be carded",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-30T14:16:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:07:20.841Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e4135ac7ef880fd37a3cf7fd",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Brentford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-05-01T18:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -12359.6,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4350,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4350",
   "published_at": "2025-04-30T14:16:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:07:20.841Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-86017efb7e23b20ee4f8b56c",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-86017efb7e23b20ee4f8b56c",
   "match": "Manchester City v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-02T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13055.4,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.1500",
   "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-86017efb7e23b20ee4f8b56c",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City to win & over 3.5 goals\n1pt 6-5 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1520,
    "fragment_to": 1579,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250401165047id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-predictions-football-betting-tips-and-free-bets-aqTUz5h66c1b/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "da8f9011a2242529b6b4688721a77f83a3c76688c8b082f028e42b11cbee6866",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.248Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester City v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-02T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.1500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T16:50:47.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T16:50:47.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester City 2-0 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "75ab60d01ec4d9cec85a4291f03990869da8ba132f65c3a8203948386628bbb2",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.242Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "524a8d52452d963133a2544c684bfd94ffa555d6058603bbdca5733f63718a5b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.248Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Racing Post Sport Staff",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "matches_source",
     "status_words": "Named in the source as the tipster",
     "status_note": null,
     "evidence_fragment": "Verdict by Dan Childs",
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-predictions-football-betting-tips-and-free-bets-aqTUz5h66c1b/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City to win and over 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-217149a6f24657b70aecd178",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jake O'Brien to be carded",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:35:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:10:01.297Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e5d4af507eb243c3e90a95af",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-e5d4af507eb243c3e90a95af",
   "match": "Liverpool v Everton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-02T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13055.2,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 12000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.05",
   "settled_price": "2.2000",
   "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:35:57.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:10:01.297Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.816Z",
    "field": "author price",
    "reason": "The author’s fractional price 21-20 was read as 1.05; as a decimal price it is 2.05.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-db886509de8e",
    "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 21-20 was read as 1.05; as a decimal price it is 2.05."
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e5d4af507eb243c3e90a95af",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool to win & under 3.5 goals\n1pt 21-20 BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1352,
    "fragment_to": 1426,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250401152115id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-everton-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a6ASd9C9ZBev/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "84483bda86ff18b123594cb8860e670496694835ba7e0ad192c38488c9ef2b84",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:35:57.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:10:01.297Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.677Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-02T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.05",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T15:21:15.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-01T14:35:57.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-01T14:35:57.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:10:01.297Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T15:21:15.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.05",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 1-0 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "906880879ab9a7898c0b6e24a154337e8f694bb84cf06155822c20e44aed26fa",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.671Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "0e40a7014fe72c037d66a2ae8f6f1b052f46aaab9fe05e369ea5bc862075278a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.677Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.816Z",
      "field_name": "author price",
      "was": "1.05",
      "now": "2.05",
      "cause": "The author’s fractional price 21-20 was read as 1.05; as a decimal price it is 2.05."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/liverpool-vs-everton-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a6ASd9C9ZBev/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.816Z",
     "field": "author price",
     "reason": "The author’s fractional price 21-20 was read as 1.05; as a decimal price it is 2.05.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-db886509de8e",
     "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 21-20 was read as 1.05; as a decimal price it is 2.05."
    },
    "choice_words": "Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1587d6ad4f94908988b6cb45",
   "url": "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/#pick-n-1587d6ad4f94908988b6cb45",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-03-08T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13661.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.91",
   "settled_price": "1.9200",
   "published_at": "2025-03-07T11:46:38.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:11:37.356Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1587d6ad4f94908988b6cb45",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City\n2pts 10-11 Betfair, Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1441,
    "fragment_to": 1493,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250307121754id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/nottingham-forest-manchester-city-predictions-betting-tips-odds-aaK6L9l4VESX/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Dan Childs",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "38102782f15cb250b74e2a9ae577b879d8bf212cfe278fd52ced5e1a9e306fc1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-03-07T11:46:38.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:11:37.356Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:48.947Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-03-08T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.91",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9175",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-03-07T12:17:54.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-03-07T11:46:38.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-03-07T11:46:38.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:11:37.356Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-03-07T12:17:54.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Manchester City",
     "author_odds": "1.91",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "20bd9c875e7459af7f7c081cb3c8ee9552b2ae6133dbbb272d10607f422cd7e3",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.91",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:48.941Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "66ec84651ba335479348d6b1c15b188c20ccfaa51c242421a6001cbf1606f4e5",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9175",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:48.947Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "85a13815f37743ca3b4c5ad46ff10d092c138de93c6628c4448826f9605a55df",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:48.971Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Dan Childs",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Dan Childs",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/nottingham-forest-manchester-city-predictions-betting-tips-odds-aaK6L9l4VESX/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0aa4048771ddc4812d155aea",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Johan Manzambi to score\n9-2 bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-28T16:49:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:35.266Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4168e669c58b428732cff01f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Over 2.5 goals",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-28T16:49:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:35.266Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6c034408446c9b7a28f60aa3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "John McGinn to be booked",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-28T16:49:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:35.266Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 615,
  "pages": 32,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/dan-childs/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/2/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/3/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/4/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/5/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/6/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/7/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/9/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/10/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/11/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/12/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/13/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/14/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/15/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/16/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/17/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/18/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/19/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/20/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/21/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/22/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/23/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/24/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/25/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/26/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/27/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/28/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/29/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/30/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/31/",
   "/authors/dan-childs/picks/32/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 223,
   "pending": 9,
   "excluded": 383
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 8,
  "first": 121,
  "last": 140,
  "author_url": "/authors/dan-childs/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/dan-childs/picks/8/",
 "source_revision": 79
}
