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 "heading": "Christophe Pleynet: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 17 settled picks by Christophe Pleynet recorded before kick-off across 12 matches, 15 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by Christophe Pleynet before kick-off across 12 matches between 15 October and 6 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.2% on the total staked. Of the 109 predictions we hold for Christophe Pleynet, 29 are linked to matches: 29 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:19.163Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "entity": {
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  "public_name": "Christophe Pleynet",
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  "observation_period": {
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   "amount": "8.1741",
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   "n_bets": 17,
   "n_events": 12,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-21.4184",
   "ci_high": "43.3550",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:19.163Z",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 17 settled picks across 12 matches",
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    "at": "2026-10-15T19:17:29.250Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1050999,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1042899,
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1008949,
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   {
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    "bankroll_hundredths": 1012949,
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   {
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  ],
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   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/7/#pick-n-cc0990852cea2eb607b07498",
   "quote_text": "Montpellier bat Metz (1.90)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "observation_id": "n-d06614edcc32588fdb2605fe",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/7/#pick-n-d06614edcc32588fdb2605fe",
   "quote_text": "My Match : Toulouse bat Strasbourg et Casper Tengstedt marque (3.30)",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-13efaf85ecae2c45311a6fe8",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/7/#pick-n-13efaf85ecae2c45311a6fe8",
   "quote_text": "Buteur : Casper Tengstedt (2.50)",
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   "source_info": {
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    "display_name": "Toulouse — RC Strasbourg",
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    "starts_at": "2026-11-06T19:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/toulouse-vs-rc-strasbourg-2026-11-06/",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "condition": "finished"
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   "market_label": "Player to score",
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   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.5",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "choice": "Casper Tengstedt to score",
    "author_odds": "2.5",
    "market_key": "player_to_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
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    "subject": "player_goals",
    "in_words": "Player to score: Casper Tengstedt to score at 2.5"
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    "in_words": "Lost — Casper Tengstedt scored 0 goals; the final score was Toulouse 3-1 RC Strasbourg."
   },
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     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Casper Tengstedt to score",
     "decimal_odds": "2.5",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
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     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:15:50.024Z",
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     "choice": "Casper Tengstedt to score",
     "decimal_odds": "2.3750",
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     "status": "confirmed",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-bb4ceb12071268caf70e9366",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/6/#pick-n-bb4ceb12071268caf70e9366",
   "quote_text": "Pari sûr : plus de 2,5 buts (1.49)",
   "fragment_from": 1386,
   "fragment_to": 1420,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-les-paris-sur-lens-come-du-4-novembre-ligue-des-champions_AN-202611030939.html",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T21:09:42.447Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
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   "observation_id": "n-680f2a2134a3f635ce20629c",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/5/#pick-n-680f2a2134a3f635ce20629c",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : Lens ne perd pas (1.80)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-618684df133b5087dbca8d69",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-618684df133b5087dbca8d69",
   "quote_text": "Pariez sur Boulogne - Reims ici !",
   "fragment_from": 1097,
   "fragment_to": 1130,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-nul-du-jour-du-26-octobre-ligue-2_AN-202610250347.html",
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    "speaker": "Christophe Pleynet",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:36.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:56.054Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   },
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:36.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:56.054Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4ef1996a6656113b3553044d",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/5/#pick-n-4ef1996a6656113b3553044d",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : pas de vainqueur entre Boulogne et Reims (3.15)",
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   "fragment_to": 278,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "speaker": "Christophe Pleynet",
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   },
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:56.054Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
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   "cause_code": "not_checked",
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    "display_name": "US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale — Reims",
    "competition_name": "Ligue 2",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
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   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:36.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:56.054Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "choice": "draw or Reims",
    "author_odds": "3.15",
    "market_key": "double_chance",
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    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Reims at 3.15"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale 1-1 Reims."
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     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
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     "status": "skipped",
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   "authorship": {
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    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
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    "material_url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-nul-du-jour-du-26-octobre-ligue-2_AN-202610250347.html",
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   "quote_text": "Les autres options :\n\nle PSG bat Lyon (1.33)\n\nBenfica bat Santa Clara (1.31)\n\nGalatasaray ne perd pas contre Fenerbahce (1.31)\n\nCote totale des quatre paris sûrs : 3.08",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c55c3c085b66f9c9bac90f36",
   "quote_text": "Pariez sur Montpellier - Red Star ici :",
   "fragment_from": 1401,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-26-octobre-ligue-2_AN-202610250348.html",
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:55.408Z",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
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   "quote_text": "je vous propose donc d’assurer le coup en jouant le 1N, Montpellier qui ne perd pas, pour la cote de 1.35",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-26-octobre-ligue-2_AN-202610250348.html",
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    "speaker": "Christophe Pleynet",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:47.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:55.408Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-26T13:33:07.135Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Montpellier — Red Star FC",
    "competition_name": "Ligue 2",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-26T19:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/montpellier-vs-red-star-fc-2026-10-26/",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Double chance",
   "outcome_label": "Montpellier or draw",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "1.4000",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:31.155Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T18:55:47.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T18:59:55.408Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Double chance",
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   "quote_text": "L’Union Saint-Gilloise bat l’Hapoel Béer Sheva (1.30)",
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   "observation_id": "n-6a1949942481d7186638da9f",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-6a1949942481d7186638da9f",
   "quote_text": "Le Bayer Leverkusen gagne sur le terrain de l’OFI Crète (1.19)",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-c63bd981cd7f11cc44ced2e0",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-c63bd981cd7f11cc44ced2e0",
   "quote_text": "Buteur : Nick Woltemade (2.50)",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-21T22:10:24.354Z",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-d3f163b7d523cfe27a5eb326",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/5/#pick-n-d3f163b7d523cfe27a5eb326",
   "quote_text": "My Match : la Juventus bat Rennes, les deux équipes marquent et Nick Woltemade buteur (3.60)",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-2821911885bab18b08a992c6",
   "quote_text": "Pari du jour : la Juventus bat Rennes par au moins deux buts d’écart (2.10)",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-780af7826706c5b1c96fa22c",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-780af7826706c5b1c96fa22c",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : la Juventus bat Rennes (1.50)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-21T22:10:24.354Z",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-6728f7715cb5dd0e1d547869",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-6728f7715cb5dd0e1d547869",
   "quote_text": "Çorum bat Rizespor (1.94)",
   "fragment_from": 1474,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-les-paris-sur-le-mans-toulouse-du-16-octobre-ligue-1_AN-202610150598.html",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-15T22:10:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-15T22:19:32.823Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T22:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T22:19:32.823Z",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-60c384a578dd51ec515da9aa",
   "quote_text": "My Match : Le Mans ne perd pas et les deux équipes marquent (2.20)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-15T22:19:32.823Z",
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   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T22:19:32.823Z",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-a5f64be9a7652abc7e7c8367",
   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-a5f64be9a7652abc7e7c8367",
   "quote_text": "Buteur : Louis Mafouta (2.65)",
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   "quote_text": "Pari de folie : Le Mans gagne 2-1, 3-1 ou 4-1 (6.00)",
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   "quote_text": "Pari sûr : Le Mans ne perd pas (1.49)",
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   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : Le Mans ne perd pas contre Toulouse et plus de 1,5 but dans le match (1.84)",
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   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-8fd077163fdbc3709acc4280",
   "quote_text": "Aubameyang (La Corogne) marque contre Levante (2.40)",
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   "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/4/#pick-n-24f2512207515593585eaafd",
   "quote_text": "Younes Ebnoutalib (Francfort) marque contre Cologne (2.00)",
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 ],
 "standing": null,
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 "price_vs_market": {
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  "threshold_percent": "5",
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   {
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    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 17,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "5.9",
    "below": 2,
    "within": 14,
    "median_difference_percent": "-3.3",
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    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
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  "examples": [
   {
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    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.25",
    "market": "2.62",
    "difference_percent": "-14.1"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/christophe-pleynet/picks/5/#pick-n-7616723ab25dda7b6e7f5233",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.85",
    "market": "2.00",
    "difference_percent": "-7.5"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
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   "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-les-paris-sur-toulouse-strasbourg-du-6-novembre-ligue-1_AN-202611050558.html"
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  "observed_from": "2026-10-14",
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  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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  "settled_picks": 17,
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  "return_percent": "8.17",
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  "period_from": "2026-10-15",
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  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
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  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by Christophe Pleynet before kick-off across 12 matches between 15 October and 6 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.2% on the total staked. Of the 109 predictions we hold for Christophe Pleynet, 29 are linked to matches: 29 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "17",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "12",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
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   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+138.96 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+8.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −21.4% to +43.4%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
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  "return_over_time": [
   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15149,
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   },
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12949,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3297,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13896,
    "n": 17
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  "return_over_time_parts": {
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    },
    "high": {
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     "after_picks": 6
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
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     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12949,
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      "picks": 3
     },
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3297,
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13896,
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      "picks": 5
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
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  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 17 settled live picks by Christophe Pleynet before kick-off across 12 matches between 15 October and 6 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +8.2% on the total staked. Of the 109 predictions we hold for Christophe Pleynet, 29 are linked to matches: 29 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/christophe-pleynet/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
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   "under_review": 0,
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   "proven_predictions": 29,
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   "proven_dates": 5,
   "parts": [
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     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
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     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1
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     "same_picks": [
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       "return_main_percent": "8.17",
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       "net_main_points_hundredths": 13896,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "by_market": [
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       {
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       },
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
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     "reviewed_after": {
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    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
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     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
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     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
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     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 15 October – 6 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
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    },
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    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    ],
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     "material_url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-6-novembre-ligue-2_AN-202611050778.html",
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  },
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 "title_tag": "Christophe Pleynet Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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    "text": "+151.49 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+428.99 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+509.99 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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