{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Christian Capponi — football predictions, page 4 of 5",
 "description": "Predictions 41–60 of 71 by Christian Capponi, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 5 of the predictions by Christian Capponi recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–60 of 71 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "71",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:40.047Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "a58aac3c7df73af3ad9ce3657a1a5dc5d8f22754cdd16db44403557f80a7d6b9",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece",
  "public_name": "Christian Capponi",
  "tracker_number": 4682,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-16",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-b47b116ecc0500c5b7d59f65",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-b47b116ecc0500c5b7d59f65",
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Deportivo Alavés",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-deportivo-alaves-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 39.3,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 4 goals: over 4.0 at 1.72",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "6-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8696,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.72",
   "settled_price": "1.8696",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T04:20:12.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T04:40:45.085Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "over",
    "price": "1.8696",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 8696,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b47b116ecc0500c5b7d59f65",
    "quote_text": "Über 4,0 Tore als Asian-Handicap-Wette zu einer Quote um die 1,72.",
    "fragment_from": 3010,
    "fragment_to": 3076,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/barcelona-alaves-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-la-liga-31-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c98b223953d1c633468a51235abebafd3ade65f48ac9a312b2217daa991dec80",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T04:20:12.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T04:40:45.085Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:35.891Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d7731dc6fd99",
     "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Deportivo Alavés",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-deportivo-alaves-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "6-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 4.0",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.72",
     "our_snapshot": "1.8696",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T04:40:28.930Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8696,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T04:20:12.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T04:20:12.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-30T04:40:45.085Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4 goals",
     "choice": "over 4.0",
     "author_odds": "1.72",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.0",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 4 goals: over 4.0 at 1.72"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "6-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Barcelona 6-1 Deportivo Alavés."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0103065e5bda87cab0ee08d3198e82d55a8e42c063122d0f6503a5cdbf118653",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4 goals",
      "choice": "over 4.0",
      "decimal_odds": "1.72",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7200,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:34.470Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3f9841c1fe475e77ceda39d786b1edc2ed1da85a3076592ab3eb47b18290e609",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4 goals",
      "choice": "over 4.0",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8696",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8696,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T19:13:35.891Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/barcelona-alaves-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-la-liga-31-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 4.0 (Over/Under 4 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4dd433bdbaf3e67de28ce884",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wer das einpreisen möchte, kombiniert mit einem Sportwetten Bonus lieber Sieg Manchester City und beide Teams treffen zu 2,42.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:52:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:35.878Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-62a57d31e6b94ee106b908ae",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2.5 Tore & Beide Teams treffen\n\nBetano\n\n1.65",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:52:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:35.878Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-84b2739d1e88e795ff317eb8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Daraus folgt zu 1,60 die Auswahl Über 3.0 Tore zu als Asian-Handicap-Wette bei bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:52:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:35.878Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a792a9b626d0a9b0268cdb8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Inter Mailand Über 1.5 Tore, also mindestens zwei Treffer der Gäste, zu einer Quote von 1,78.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:50:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:38.528Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-197118c88f178f758414c808",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance X2 & Beide Mannschaften treffen\n\nLetsBet\n\n1.98",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:50:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:38.528Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f91de511081279428681d9e2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Mein Tipp: Sieg Inter Mailand",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T12:50:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:50:38.528Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-18f10812087a3cd651b359b9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Dadurch bietet sich euch die Wahl, mit einer 1:1-Ergebniswette zu Quoten von circa 6,50 aufs Ganze zu gehen",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:49:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:13:58.042Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2970b9cee662b89dbc12bc7a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Darüber hinaus würde sich alternativ aber auch Beide Teams treffen – Nein zu 2,00 anbieten.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:49:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:13:58.042Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-578e67fa0060e89a92271b59",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 2.5 Toren!\n\nDAZN Bet\n\n1.78",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:49:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:13:58.042Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-84730ee07676c49e8d26a328",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Rechenmodell sieht in der Juventus Neapel KI-Prognose auch beim Remis Potenzial. Das Unentschieden zu einer Quote von 3,30 bei DAZN-Bet bietet sich an.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:49:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:13:58.042Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0d861c941444cbc37e9dd5c6",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-0d861c941444cbc37e9dd5c6",
   "match": "FK Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Austrian Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 35.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FK Austria Vienna 1-3 Rapid Vienna",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0d861c941444cbc37e9dd5c6",
    "quote_text": "ein 1:3 aus Sicht der Gastgeber halte ich dabei für das wahrscheinlichste Szenario.",
    "fragment_from": 3742,
    "fragment_to": 3825,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "54fe21f14864962847c93e35f4ef5bf63d130620036ed9835c6c6ab382ff8eae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-fb8a57cc9d1f",
     "display_name": "FK Austria Vienna — Rapid Vienna",
     "competition_name": "Austrian Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "FK Austria Vienna 1-3 Rapid Vienna",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "FK Austria Vienna 1-3 Rapid Vienna",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: FK Austria Vienna 1-3 Rapid Vienna"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FK Austria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ccfcf9d4d60edf6f63755e9ea6f593a0093d72017c7686041e24fb0a3202f169",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Rapid Vienna",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FK Austria Vienna 1-3 Rapid Vienna"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0",
   "match": "FK Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Austrian Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 35.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.53",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds",
   "author_price": "1.53",
   "settled_price": "1.53",
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0",
    "quote_text": "Über 2.5 Tore zu 1,53 bei DAZN Bet ist damit der logische Begleiter zum Haupttipp",
    "fragment_from": 3658,
    "fragment_to": 3739,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "54fe21f14864962847c93e35f4ef5bf63d130620036ed9835c6c6ab382ff8eae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:47:45.146Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-fb8a57cc9d1f",
     "display_name": "FK Austria Vienna — Rapid Vienna",
     "competition_name": "Austrian Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.53",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.53",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.53"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FK Austria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2cdd15261fc59473b43f44be2003758b90ae7931d6b0588848bb3a8042e20a23",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.53",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:47:45.146Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "b15899df72cdbeccd400c5e70d6f585a6a2994a5d4cbcc34abbc1f87463db113",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-54050a29bb0c1766c9e0af68",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-54050a29bb0c1766c9e0af68",
   "match": "FK Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Austrian Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 35.8,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -1: Rapid Vienna -1 at 2.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-54050a29bb0c1766c9e0af68",
    "quote_text": "Meine Wahl lautet Sieg Rapid mit Handicap -1 zu einer Quote von 2,70",
    "fragment_from": 795,
    "fragment_to": 863,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "54fe21f14864962847c93e35f4ef5bf63d130620036ed9835c6c6ab382ff8eae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-fb8a57cc9d1f",
     "display_name": "FK Austria Vienna — Rapid Vienna",
     "competition_name": "Austrian Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap -1",
    "outcome_label": "Rapid Vienna -1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "Rapid Vienna -1",
     "author_odds": "2.7",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap -1: Rapid Vienna -1 at 2.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was FK Austria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8b1d16facb4498d14ac6d477e127d5d53e9c8e3f2ca16f89880256f931780b46",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Rapid Vienna -1",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ea16d7bb20b0c315f98b2db364bd880513d272d655b393752ec7f77ef0920d07",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Rapid Vienna -1",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Rapid Vienna -1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fe7418faa70cb2775afc81eb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Für alle, denen das Handicap zu heiß ist, bleibt deshalb die Tor(e) in beiden Halbzeiten zu Quoten von circa 1,52.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9",
   "match": "Everton v Coventry City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 36.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Everton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6897,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6897",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.6897",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 6897,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9",
    "quote_text": "Mein Tipp: Sieg Everton",
    "fragment_from": 3038,
    "fragment_to": 3061,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bd04cf773883db468642a12ba9178ac1f2447e0ba4d781e0874c72d549dbdec0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T07:40:51.310Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-58bcaa8396b1",
     "display_name": "Everton — Coventry City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6897",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T07:35:56.286Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6897,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Everton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Everton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Everton 3-1 Coventry City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3adbb01c38fbe9f8e98e5ee4d8db250bdd143abaa3ff33431f72ca88cb947de2",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6897",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6897,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T07:40:51.310Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d82321ed67f443e7f655a7f1",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-d82321ed67f443e7f655a7f1",
   "match": "Everton v Coventry City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 36.3,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.14",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d82321ed67f443e7f655a7f1",
    "quote_text": "In Liverpool fallen höchstens zwei Tore!\n\nLetsBet\n\n2.14",
    "fragment_from": 414,
    "fragment_to": 469,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bd04cf773883db468642a12ba9178ac1f2447e0ba4d781e0874c72d549dbdec0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-58bcaa8396b1",
     "display_name": "Everton — Coventry City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.14",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "2.14",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.14"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 3-1 Coventry City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "da9aed19822214ccacc895b6e5c4c26294ea7d20a78b6079eee9f4104e85ec3d",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "2b6cc71589f3bd08a2c2dcfce4866b1b84ca3c1d7d6381a06e35cc1c61ad51ed",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d8ee16e53f9bebcc6c52335f",
   "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-d8ee16e53f9bebcc6c52335f",
   "match": "Everton v Coventry City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 36.3,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Everton to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.65",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d8ee16e53f9bebcc6c52335f",
    "quote_text": "Kombination Sieg Everton & Unter 3.5 Tore zu einer Quote von 2,65",
    "fragment_from": 3199,
    "fragment_to": 3264,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Christian Capponi",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bd04cf773883db468642a12ba9178ac1f2447e0ba4d781e0874c72d549dbdec0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-58bcaa8396b1",
     "display_name": "Everton — Coventry City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Everton to win and under 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.65",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Everton to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.65",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Everton to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.65"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 3-1 Coventry City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "814eeecced3e521633e09067299f8ea3aa8f78a41adda15c281ddb1d23eaa89f",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Everton to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "78b794e45c7375c8be46b83b124ad47b4247a6fd2f906e08ceedb4b9cee488e3",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Everton to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Christian Capponi",
     "publisher": "Wettfreunde",
     "forecaster": "Christian Capponi",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton to win and under 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e9c7d2290a10a037afb85fc2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Rechenmodell hat in der Everton Coventry KI-Prognose auch den Heimsieg auf dem Zettel: Die Auswahl Sieg Everton ohne Gegentor zu einer Quote von 3,15 bei bet365 wird empfohlen.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-322b9c5db1957b9d83f00085",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Rechenmodell nennt in der Nottingham Manchester City KI-Prognose auch den Auswärtssieg: Sieg Manchester City zu einer Quote von 1,70 bei Interwetten ist eine ebenso solide wie logische Option.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T04:18:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:51.641Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 71,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/christian-capponi/",
   "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/2/",
   "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/3/",
   "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/",
   "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 6,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 63
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 60,
  "author_url": "/authors/christian-capponi/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 12
}
