{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "canonical": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Christian Capponi: Football Prediction Record", "description": "5 settled picks by Christian Capponi recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 19 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026: won 4 of 5 at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by Christian Capponi before kick-off across 3 matches between 19 October and 6 November 2026. Won 4 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Christian Capponi, 24 are linked to matches: 24 were recorded by us before kick-off. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece", "public_name": "Christian Capponi", "tracker_number": 4682, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-16", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "36.6860", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 5, "n_events": 3, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "60.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:40.047Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 5 settled picks across 3 matches", "average_odds": "1.96", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 2 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-5cd5bd379899c4f1dd3d6812", "bankroll_hundredths": 1018343, "reserve_hundredths": 20000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 18343, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-31T22:07:23.568Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1001000, "profit_hundredths": 1000, "outcome_id": "ish-34a56c05f6e469dfdff7ee21" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T22:07:23.596Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012750, "profit_hundredths": 12750, "outcome_id": "ish-5369ffa6036af1193350e58e" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T22:07:23.642Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1021446, "profit_hundredths": 21446, "outcome_id": "ish-88de8632a48c1978269da711" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:41.891Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1028343, "profit_hundredths": 28343, "outcome_id": "ish-f9c4c9ebc7f2fce0ee1d779b" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T03:09:19.259Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1018343, "profit_hundredths": 18343, "outcome_id": "ish-6f31707aeb9fcb1a019b0a46" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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2.5 Tore zu einer Quote von 1,57.", "fragment_from": 2973, "fragment_to": 3049, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/crystal-palace-liverpool-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-liga-premier-league-08-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fbab10778b2ad2584dd87d0e5f7c3b10e1f12edf9398375e33f2a08060c5f07d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T06:04:30.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:00:37.860Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, 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"n-655641d164f4e703f053470f", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/#pick-n-655641d164f4e703f053470f", "quote_text": "Alexander Isak trifft gegen Crystal Palace!\n\nBet-at-home\n\n1.95", "fragment_from": 430, "fragment_to": 492, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/crystal-palace-liverpool-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-liga-premier-league-08-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fbab10778b2ad2584dd87d0e5f7c3b10e1f12edf9398375e33f2a08060c5f07d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T06:04:30.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:00:37.860Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, 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null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-1bcc5d35a7b33b78e270ddef", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1bcc5d35a7b33b78e270ddef", "quote_text": "Müde Königliche, mutiger Außenseiter: Im Mestalla fallen Tore auf beiden Seiten!", "fragment_from": 476, "fragment_to": 556, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/valencia-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-la-liga-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9f435cd6c5f8d3db05f7ca66e34d1886caab0521efb3e1a9dc362631a2ccb26e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T04:14:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:54.056Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T04:14:11.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T04:14:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:54.056Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-edb52c338d8378fd9edc04c5", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/#pick-n-edb52c338d8378fd9edc04c5", "quote_text": "Über 3,0 Tore als sogenannte Asian-Handicap-Wette zu einer Quote von 1,59", "fragment_from": 2813, "fragment_to": 2886, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/valencia-real-madrid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-la-liga-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9f435cd6c5f8d3db05f7ca66e34d1886caab0521efb3e1a9dc362631a2ccb26e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T04:14:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:54.056Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-06T05:31:02.376Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c7ad745504e9", "display_name": "Valencia — Real Madrid", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.0", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.59", "our_snapshot": "1.6459", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:48.197Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", 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im Zuge siner Everton Newcastle KI-Prognose auch das Remis ins Auge gefasst. 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"settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 7, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 5, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 1, "within": 4, "median_difference_percent": "-3.0", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-b47b116ecc0500c5b7d59f65", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.72", "market": "1.87", "difference_percent": "-8.0" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "wettfreunde.net", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/crystal-palace-liverpool-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-liga-premier-league-08-11-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-16", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 18343, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "return_percent": "36.69", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-11-06", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by Christian Capponi before kick-off across 3 matches between 19 October and 6 November 2026. Won 4 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Christian Capponi, 24 are linked to matches: 24 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "5", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+183.43 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+36.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "match_dates": 3, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-11-06", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 18343, "low": { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18343, "after_picks": 5 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11446, "n": 4, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18343, "n": 5, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 5 settled live picks by Christian Capponi before kick-off across 3 matches between 19 October and 6 November 2026. Won 4 of 5 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 71 predictions we hold for Christian Capponi, 24 are linked to matches: 24 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/christian-capponi/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 71, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 47, "proven_predictions": 24, "proven_checked": 21, "proven_measured": 6, "proven_dates": 7, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 24, "checked": 21, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 5, "void": 0, "matches": 3, "net_points_hundredths": 18343, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "return_percent": "36.69", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-11-06", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "34.82", "return_other_percent": "31.67", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": 10446, "net_other_points_hundredths": 9500, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-10-31" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "55.31", "return_other_percent": "46.98", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": 16593, "net_other_points_hundredths": 14094, "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 1, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 1, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 100.0, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.", "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 forecast. No pre-match market price is available for these matches, so there is no market comparison.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 21, "priced": 5 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 5, "won": 4, "won_percent": "80.0", "implied_percent": "56.6", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "75.0" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "43.4" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "46.0" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 14, "right": 5, "wrong": 9, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-27c25bd6473f3b91ebfe2405", "n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9", "n-a8eeb56a4b8cbdfa2a0a93f1", "n-a9aefa4d699586a61f40f842", "n-b47b116ecc0500c5b7d59f65" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 19 October – 6 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-16", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9", "match": "Everton v Coventry City", "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/", "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 36.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Everton", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 6897, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.6897", "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.6897", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 6897, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3ebbae1516bd590274ce32b9", "quote_text": "Mein Tipp: Sieg Everton", "fragment_from": 3038, "fragment_to": 3061, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "bd04cf773883db468642a12ba9178ac1f2447e0ba4d781e0874c72d549dbdec0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T07:40:51.310Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-58bcaa8396b1", "display_name": "Everton — Coventry City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-coventry-city-2026-11-06/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Everton", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.6897", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T07:35:56.286Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 6897, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:16:43.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T07:39:45.077Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Everton", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Everton" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Everton 3-1 Coventry City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3adbb01c38fbe9f8e98e5ee4d8db250bdd143abaa3ff33431f72ca88cb947de2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Everton", "decimal_odds": "1.6897", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6897, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T07:40:51.310Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Christian Capponi", "publisher": "Wettfreunde", "forecaster": "Christian Capponi", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/everton-coventry-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-premier-league-06-11-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Everton to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/#pick-n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0", "match": "FK Austria Vienna v Rapid Vienna", "match_url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Austrian Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 35.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.53", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.53", "settled_price": "1.53", "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-43fd9088093ec1198bb2eec0", "quote_text": "Über 2.5 Tore zu 1,53 bei DAZN Bet ist damit der logische Begleiter zum Haupttipp", "fragment_from": 3658, "fragment_to": 3739, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/austria-wien-sk-rapid-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-bundesliga-oesterreich-01-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Christian Capponi", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "54fe21f14864962847c93e35f4ef5bf63d130620036ed9835c6c6ab382ff8eae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:47:45.146Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fb8a57cc9d1f", "display_name": "FK Austria Vienna — Rapid Vienna", "competition_name": "Austrian Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fk-austria-vienna-vs-rapid-vienna-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.53", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T03:42:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T04:14:02.365Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.53", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.53" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FK Austria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2cdd15261fc59473b43f44be2003758b90ae7931d6b0588848bb3a8042e20a23", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.53", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T15:47:45.146Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-03dbccce195daa12c3a25bdf", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Unentschieden zu einer Quote von 3,40 bei zahlreichen Wettanbietern, die mir echten Value verspricht.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:10:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:28.673Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2513b0d62ea8fe39c57c7c5a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Über 2.5 Tore im Spiel\n\nInterwetten\n\n1.70", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T02:10:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:28.673Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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HZ: Unter 1,5 / 2. HZ: Unter 2,5 Tore in eurem Fall jedoch zulässig, dann trifft ihr eine hervorragende Wahl.\n\nDie Quote dieser Auswahl von circa 1,60", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T05:19:57.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T06:01:39.935Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cef19f7f5971172070563275", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Asian-Handicap-Wette Unter 3,0 Tore etwas für euch sein.\n\nFallen weniger als zwei Tore, könnt ihr bei bet365 die Quote von circa 1,86", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T05:18:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T06:01:43.028Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-629259f31ebff4843912ea19", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "die Wette Unter 3,5 Tore zu Quoten von 1,57", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T05:18:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T06:01:43.028Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f321c7cacee3dc7b88692a11", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Mein Tipp\n\nSieg Tottenham & Unter 4‚5 Tore\n\nBetano\n\n1.93", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T05:18:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T06:01:43.028Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f609ce4c5c647b1a3646eb1e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Asian Handicap -1,0 für Arsenal zu Quoten von rund 2,05", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-17T04:19:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T04:31:26.385Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-654b83cc816f829853a8337d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Arsenal zu Quoten von etwa 1,60", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-17T04:19:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T04:31:26.385Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a3d3c094e5fc4499f5b552d4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Sieg Arsenal & Über 1.5 Tore\n\nWinamax\n\n1.98", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-17T04:19:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T04:31:26.385Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3eac071ac1c8ec246a68e964", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wer auf der Suche nach einer risikoärmeren Absicherung ist, wählt den Markt 2 bis 4 Tore im Spiel zu Quoten von 1,50 bei bet365.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-17T04:14:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T04:31:29.606Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cc17fc535c72d52fac5552f2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Mein Tipp: Sieg Inter Mailand\n\nKommerzieller Inhalt | 18+ | Wettanbieter AGB gelten\n\nWer sich für ein 1X2-Szenario ebenso interessiert wie für einen Sportwetten Bonus, der findet in Sieg Inter…", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T15:15:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:09:53.067Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-286399b08f584a9dbe52bc6a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Inter Mailand Über 1,5 Tore sticht bei Wettquoten von 1,57 via Tipico ins Auge.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T15:15:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:09:53.067Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3bee90b76ea1985c76853297", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcus Thuram trifft!\n\nWinamax\n\n2.30", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T15:15:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:09:53.067Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4c0e31a39065bb870cba84b9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Am meisten gefällt mir aber 2. Halbzeit: Sieg Atlético Madrid. Zumal die Sportwetten Anbieter hierfür eine nette Quote von circa 2,02 veranschlagt haben.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:30:08.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:10:05.052Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-96ddf12eb8ddcc3c002f1f2c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "1. Tor & Sieg - Atletico Madrid\n\nTipico\n\n1.78", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:30:08.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:10:05.052Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 24, "before_kickoff": 24, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 24, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 36.3, "min_hours": 10.5, "max_hours": 39.7, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 3, "settled_picks_all": 5, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 1, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "author_net_hundredths": 16593, "favourite_net_hundredths": 16593, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": 55.31, "favourite_return_percent": 55.31, "author_hit_rate": 100.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 100.0, "picked_favourite_share": 100.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": 7897, "favourite_net_hundredths": 7897, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": 39.48, "favourite_return_percent": 39.48 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": 8696, "favourite_net_hundredths": 8696, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": 86.96, "favourite_return_percent": 86.96 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9696, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9696 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 16593, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 16593 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 71, "pages": 5, "page_urls": [ "/authors/christian-capponi/", "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/2/", "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/3/", "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/4/", "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/" ], "groups": { "settled": 6, "pending": 2, "excluded": 63 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Christian Capponi Predictions: Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Christian Capponi", "main_entity": "e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-953b5a86d05a4b01177a1ece", "medium": "Wettfreunde", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "wettfreunde.net", "source_info": null, "byline": "Christian Capponi", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 116, "predictions": 71, "settled_picks": 5, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 36.69, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-16", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-11-06", "composition_hash": "37dbdc34e92cd857f81d2f81f71e32b622fd34805cad77ad2b10fc4aa7f3eb76" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-00e432115685d3d9ac20", "at": "2026-11-07T07:42:45.749Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "70.86", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9628be403a59f30aa080c9250594aa9e152ffb472fa66630e178798393acad9b", "text": "+283.43 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "return_percent": "36.69", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "37dbdc34e92cd857f81d2f81f71e32b622fd34805cad77ad2b10fc4aa7f3eb76", "text": "+183.43 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c6b75ac86f2e4359d21f", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "return_percent": "71.49", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c327c1b8b1479185f2666d75d986877c3a09010de9ec4edb398060ea6d293657", "text": "+214.46 points on 3 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "70.86", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9628be403a59f30aa080c9250594aa9e152ffb472fa66630e178798393acad9b", "text": "+283.43 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4bae2542a12155f97e8b", "at": "2026-11-01T06:32:40.816Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "return_percent": "71.49", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c327c1b8b1479185f2666d75d986877c3a09010de9ec4edb398060ea6d293657", "text": "+214.46 points on 3 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 2, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-edb52c338d8378fd9edc04c5", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/#pick-n-edb52c338d8378fd9edc04c5", "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Over/Under 3 goals: over 3.0 at 1.59", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:54.056Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-2e28b5ad6c1bbf479e7570c5", "url": "/authors/christian-capponi/picks/5/#pick-n-2e28b5ad6c1bbf479e7570c5", "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 2.4", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T05:29:54.056Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 5, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 7897, "return_percent": "39.5", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": 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