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 "heading": "Charlie Temming: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Charlie Temming archived before kick-off across 2 matches, 1 Nov 2025 – 17 Apr 2026: won 2 of 2, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Charlie Temming from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 1 November 2025 and 17 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 54 predictions we hold for Charlie Temming, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 48 from the source’s own history and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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   "quote_text": "Pflichtaufgabe für die ‚Schlümpfe‘!",
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   "quote_text": "Melde dich jetzt bei unserem Tippspiel an & sichere dir wöchentlich Cash-Preise",
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   "quote_text": "Spannung tritt auch an Spielautomaten auf. Wer dabei auf der sicheren Seite sein möchte",
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   "quote_text": "Sichere dir bei NEO.bet 25€ in Freiwetten ohne Einzahlung + bis zu 100€ Bonus",
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   "quote_text": "Midtjylland über 1,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n1.78 bei Bwin",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "period": "match",
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    "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: FC Midtjylland over 1.5 at 1.78"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Midtjylland 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb."
   },
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c71b1818f0fa41e71af88ddb",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c71b1818f0fa41e71af88ddb",
   "quote_text": "Liverpool war heimstärkstes Team der Liga in der letzten Saison",
   "fragment_from": 681,
   "fragment_to": 744,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-15-08-2025",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Charlie Temming",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "40ef7b14c6d128417df5118e5a00f9dc4a1ae1fe2137a24e6cdf4801eb3f29e7",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-01ca4b24d738dc3c04a3dcff",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-01ca4b24d738dc3c04a3dcff",
   "quote_text": "Einsatz\n\n4/10",
   "fragment_from": 484,
   "fragment_to": 497,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-15-08-2025",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Charlie Temming",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "40ef7b14c6d128417df5118e5a00f9dc4a1ae1fe2137a24e6cdf4801eb3f29e7",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6aa9961f2bd9837db5835a99",
   "url": "/authors/charlie-temming/picks/2/#pick-n-6aa9961f2bd9837db5835a99",
   "quote_text": "Unser Tipp\n\nBeide Teams treffen - Nein\n\nbet365\n\n2.05\nQuote",
   "fragment_from": 499,
   "fragment_to": 557,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/liverpool-vs-bournemouth-tipp-prognose-quoten-15-08-2025",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Charlie Temming",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "40ef7b14c6d128417df5118e5a00f9dc4a1ae1fe2137a24e6cdf4801eb3f29e7",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "too_late",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2025-08-16T07:36:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:28:11.801Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 45,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 2,
  "found_post_match": 3,
  "of_them_source_reported": 40,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 35,
  "span_from": "2025-08-08",
  "span_to": "2026-05-23",
  "line_text": "restored history: 45, of which pre-match archive 2",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, Bundesliga, LaLiga, Ligue 1, Serie A and Süper Lig matches between 8 August 2025 and 23 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 45. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 2. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 40. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 3. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 45,
   "share": "0.5333"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 45,
    "roi": "7.8889",
    "ci_low": "-20.9286",
    "ci_high": "39.3556",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 41,
    "roi": "13.0488",
    "ci_low": "-17.8415",
    "ci_high": "45.2805",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "Bundesliga",
   "LaLiga",
   "Ligue 1",
   "Serie A",
   "Süper Lig"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 45 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "wettbasis.com",
   "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/midtjylland-vs-dinamo-zagreb-tipp-prognose-quoten-29-01-2026-europa-league"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-16",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 22650,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "113.25",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2025-11-01",
  "period_to": "2026-04-17",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Charlie Temming from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 1 November 2025 and 17 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 54 predictions we hold for Charlie Temming, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 48 from the source’s own history and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+226.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+113.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 48 predictions dated by the source. 36 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2025-11-01",
    "period_to": "2026-04-17",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 22650,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-11-01",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15250,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-04-17",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22650,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15250,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22650,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Charlie Temming from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 1 November 2025 and 17 April 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 2 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 54 predictions we hold for Charlie Temming, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 48 from the source’s own history and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/charlie-temming/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 54,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 2,
   "proven_checked": 2,
   "proven_measured": 2,
   "proven_dates": 2,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 2,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": 22650,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "113.25",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-11-01",
      "period_to": "2026-04-17",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "113.25",
       "return_other_percent": "114.50",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 22650,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 22900,
       "period_from": "2025-11-01",
       "period_to": "2026-04-17"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 2,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "48.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "39.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "57.5"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6450,
      "staked_hundredths": 30000,
      "return_percent": "21.50",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-01-29",
      "period_to": "2026-01-29",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 3,
       "return_main_percent": "21.50",
       "return_other_percent": "20.33",
       "settled_excluding_void": 3,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 6450,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 6100,
       "period_from": "2026-01-29",
       "period_to": "2026-01-29"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 3,
      "priced": 3
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 3,
      "won": 2,
      "won_percent": "66.7",
      "implied_percent": "48.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "54.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "35.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "55.4"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 48,
     "checked": 40,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 36,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 36,
      "net_points_hundredths": 24400,
      "staked_hundredths": 360000,
      "return_percent": "6.78",
      "interval_low": "-28.85",
      "interval_high": "39.47",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-08-08",
      "period_to": "2026-05-23",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 36,
       "return_main_percent": "6.78",
       "return_other_percent": "8.08",
       "settled_excluding_void": 36,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 24400,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 29100,
       "period_from": "2025-08-08",
       "period_to": "2026-05-23"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 40,
      "priced": 36
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 36,
      "won": 19,
      "won_percent": "52.8",
      "implied_percent": "50.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 12,
        "picks": 22,
        "implied_percent": "50.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "48.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "45.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "56.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "54.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "52.1"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-2fde8ab4651b049e53cf396e",
   "n-c493d1f8e4663c0c406754d8"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 1 November 2025 – 17 April 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-08-08",
  "record_to": "2026-05-23"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-0e6df1611d50963655f46991",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Mallorca v Real Oviedo",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-23T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -3409.3,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Mallorca over 1.5 at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6200,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "1.6200",
   "published_at": "2026-05-22T22:37:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:17:57.560Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c361596f6d0af62876dcdbbf",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Lecce v Juventus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-09T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -3745.6,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Juventus win, both teams to score: no at 2.37",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 11000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.37",
   "settled_price": "2.1000",
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T22:42:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:20:27.640Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6e9048ea1aab43e9172f48a0",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Galatasaray v Antalyaspor",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-09T17:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": -3747.3,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.75",
   "settled_price": "1.7200",
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T22:28:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:20:28.821Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0dd31f12f654f8def8562e77",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Fenerbahçe v İstanbul Başakşehir",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T17:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": -3915.4,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Fenerbahçe to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 13050,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.3050",
   "published_at": "2026-05-01T22:25:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:21:49.350Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2fde8ab4651b049e53cf396e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "RC Lens v Toulouse",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-17T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": -4274.5,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals: RC Lens to win and over 1.5 goals at 1.82",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7400,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.82",
   "settled_price": "1.7400",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:16:04.621Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e9d6b078da1b715ea1fc614c",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Göztepe v Galatasaray",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T17:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": -4491.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "1.9300",
   "published_at": "2026-04-08T05:24:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:25:13.098Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-02844c82193ab8e999ebd3fb",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Sevilla v Valencia",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-21T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -4920.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 2.0",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.0",
   "settled_price": "1.9600",
   "published_at": "2026-03-20T23:37:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:27:13.333Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f9fc7104e8102c5782b13cf3",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Villarreal v Real Sociedad",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-20T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -4944.5,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Villarreal at 1.87",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.87",
   "settled_price": "1.9500",
   "published_at": "2026-03-20T06:38:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:27:19.460Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-39b7535d353da1af2c215ea9",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Chelsea v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-14T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -5068.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.8",
   "settled_price": "1.7050",
   "published_at": "2026-03-13T23:52:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T22:05:37.858Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-782ceb1a033aab7088b0d1ab",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-07T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -5259.0,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Atlético Madrid over 1.5 at 1.68",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.68",
   "settled_price": "1.6500",
   "published_at": "2026-03-06T23:38:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:30:50.372Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f871f50af1c63d572f931776",
   "url": null,
   "match": "RC Strasbourg v RC Lens",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-27T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": -5448.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: RC Strasbourg at 2.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.55",
   "settled_price": "2.2500",
   "published_at": "2026-02-27T06:32:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:32:35.198Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-190b21ebf30e13acceec9fc8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Juventus v Como",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-21T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -5598.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.1000",
   "published_at": "2026-02-20T23:41:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:34:07.494Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5b78a1ad6f9f3c5510cf6ad2",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Rayo Vallecano v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-15T15:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -5741.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.91",
   "settled_price": "1.7950",
   "published_at": "2026-02-15T06:39:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:34:51.492Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-06e01c7f17b44e744083cf09",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-11T19:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -5833.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.95",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.95",
   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2026-02-10T05:53:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:35:49.880Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-97d38dfb39a6d4ff103021e7",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Villarreal v Espanyol",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-09T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -5880.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Villarreal at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
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