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"quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/real-betis-barcelona-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Cezary Brzuzy", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ff1ec086872a5a9999e06d0b1876ab26010825401f0899c78c23a535319bd1c9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-17T09:11:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T09:19:36.791Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:56:54.204Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-82c8ccd85f2e", "display_name": "Real Betis — FC Barcelona", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/real-betis-vs-fc-barcelona-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "2-5", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes", "odds_set": { 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"data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-596f17bbef9415d605615cf4", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-596f17bbef9415d605615cf4", "quote_text": "Bonus 350 PLN dla nowych klientów Superbet za wygraną Man City w meczu z Ipswich.", "fragment_from": 1851, "fragment_to": 1932, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/manchester-city-ipswich-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Cezary Brzuzy", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "593a2686221813323bcb2cfabe0632dc227b2c2d7ad54b78ee2c5066abc3baaf", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-07673044822a539227f56f36", "url": "/authors/cezary-brzuzy/#pick-n-07673044822a539227f56f36", "quote_text": "Typ 2: Rayan Cherki strzeli gola\n\nKurs: 2.67", "fragment_from": 1447, "fragment_to": 1491, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/manchester-city-ipswich-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Cezary Brzuzy", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "593a2686221813323bcb2cfabe0632dc227b2c2d7ad54b78ee2c5066abc3baaf", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:43.561Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-6ad9a71a98c6", "display_name": "Manchester City — Ipswich Town", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-ipswich-town-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Rayan Cherki to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.67", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Rayan Cherki to score", "author_odds": "2.67", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Rayan Cherki to score at 2.67" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "afac5de3b64c9101f6547c902a7942b6a2daee69bc48568afe945c2690a571fd", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Rayan Cherki to score", "decimal_odds": "2.67", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:43.561Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6a84389c25b048c1850b56e7f750aae2ebf0281aba76e1167fc5cf98bed2b29b", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Rayan Cherki to score", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Cezary Brzuzy", "publisher": "Goal.pl typy", "forecaster": "Cezary Brzuzy", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/manchester-city-ipswich-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-70d8104da849e92d68b2895f", "url": "/authors/cezary-brzuzy/#pick-n-70d8104da849e92d68b2895f", "quote_text": "Typ 1: Wygrana Manchesteru City\n\nKurs: 1.23", "fragment_from": 1045, "fragment_to": 1088, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/manchester-city-ipswich-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Cezary Brzuzy", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "593a2686221813323bcb2cfabe0632dc227b2c2d7ad54b78ee2c5066abc3baaf", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:57:04.690Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-6ad9a71a98c6", "display_name": "Manchester City — Ipswich Town", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-ipswich-town-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Manchester City", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.23", "our_snapshot": "1.2353", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T08:47:10.411Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2353, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T08:40:08.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:49:44.403Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "author_odds": "1.23", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.23" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "db60e9f3846544cad66d7fdf7ae921b093daa4f8e8cee388e04462ee21d4249c", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.23", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2300, "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:57:03.821Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ed7a4c4aa968b2a9a1348bb810a2349b550630c61f0b27e0b0cefcf6603028a1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.2353", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2353, "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:57:04.690Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Cezary Brzuzy", "publisher": "Goal.pl typy", "forecaster": "Cezary Brzuzy", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/manchester-city-ipswich-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 2, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 2, "median_difference_percent": "1.3", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "goal.pl", "url": "https://www.goal.pl/typy/real-betis-barcelona-typy-kursy-statystyki-17-10-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-17", "observed_to": "2026-10-17", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 17520, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "58.40", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-10-17", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Cezary Brzuzy before kick-off across 2 matches on 17 October 2026. Won 3 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 5 predictions we hold for Cezary Brzuzy, 4 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "2", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+175.20 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+58.4%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-10-17", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 17520, "low": { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17520, "after_picks": 3 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17520, "after_picks": 3 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17520, "n": 3, "picks": 3 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Cezary Brzuzy before kick-off across 2 matches on 17 October 2026. Won 3 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 5 predictions we hold for Cezary Brzuzy, 4 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/cezary-brzuzy/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 5, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 1, "proven_predictions": 4, "proven_checked": 3, "proven_measured": 3, "proven_dates": 1, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 4, "checked": 3, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "matches": 2, "net_points_hundredths": 17520, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "58.40", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-10-17", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "32.60", "return_other_percent": "34.50", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": 6520, "net_other_points_hundredths": 6900, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-10-17" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "32.60", "return_other_percent": "32.40", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": 6520, "net_other_points_hundredths": 6479, "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-10-17" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, 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