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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-7fad73c8ed3b0228fd4a0b7d", "public_name": "Carter White", "tracker_number": 1471, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-26", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-7fad73c8ed3b0228fd4a0b7d-roi-market-price-90d-z99", 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969019, "profit_hundredths": -30981, "outcome_id": "ish-a68892c5a3f1e106944c1f52" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T15:55:04.938Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 959019, "profit_hundredths": -40981, "outcome_id": "ish-f8e9232be07c13cad5011d43" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T15:55:05.104Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949019, "profit_hundredths": -50981, "outcome_id": "ish-cd4e0804a5a1e5c063e9ad77" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:16.277Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 939019, "profit_hundredths": -60981, "outcome_id": "ish-4b374687c109c4bf6274d14a" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.845Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 929019, "profit_hundredths": -70981, "outcome_id": "ish-a55564e4d768f76286f8d31a" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:34:36.621Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 931819, "profit_hundredths": -68181, "outcome_id": "ish-0aa4ae94d74e6ae63fab8182" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:34:36.640Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 938819, "profit_hundredths": -61181, "outcome_id": "ish-25a7f9a94581890f04f0a211" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:48.425Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 948719, "profit_hundredths": -51281, "outcome_id": "ish-7fc892299bf45f60d54db31f" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:48.517Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 938719, "profit_hundredths": -61281, "outcome_id": "ish-a01c61bfe10aa3b83dc8ebbe" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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"stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 21 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 10 }, { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 5 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "service": 4 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-e3e1283106c757d0322933df", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e3e1283106c757d0322933df", "quote_text": "the Latics played out a goalless draw at home with fellow strugglers Mansfield Town.", "fragment_from": 629, "fragment_to": 713, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/boreham-wood/fa-cup/preview/boreham-wood-vs-wigan-prediction-team-news-lineups_608459.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", 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"source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-edc56a9e7e61ede906ca6ed0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-edc56a9e7e61ede906ca6ed0", "quote_text": "The Wood secured a dramatic last-minute success over Hartlepool United last time out", "fragment_from": 519, "fragment_to": 603, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/boreham-wood/fa-cup/preview/boreham-wood-vs-wigan-prediction-team-news-lineups_608459.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "820e56bd72300b3a49568b3c9fb268533a5e717d2e3cc00dcbfbce25ff62cebd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T09:10:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T07:11:07.249Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T09:10:31.000Z", 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statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a8a2c567da11fb19dd123832", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-a8a2c567da11fb19dd123832", "quote_text": "We say: Stuttgart 2-2 Werder Bremen", "fragment_from": 3853, "fragment_to": 3888, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/predictions-bundesliga/feature/bayern-to-destroy-mainz-saturdays-bundesliga-predictions_608619.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46dd7e4c73c450fd3577a071764eefd507cf785e797baec4c0d51d391c4b6655", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f872507dca73a501a66cfa3f", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-f872507dca73a501a66cfa3f", "quote_text": "We say: RB Leipzig 3-0 Augsburg", "fragment_from": 3055, "fragment_to": 3086, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/predictions-bundesliga/feature/bayern-to-destroy-mainz-saturdays-bundesliga-predictions_608619.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46dd7e4c73c450fd3577a071764eefd507cf785e797baec4c0d51d391c4b6655", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ee1aee847d3438d66ff6804a", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-ee1aee847d3438d66ff6804a", "quote_text": "We say: SC Paderborn 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt", "fragment_from": 2321, "fragment_to": 2365, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/predictions-bundesliga/feature/bayern-to-destroy-mainz-saturdays-bundesliga-predictions_608619.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46dd7e4c73c450fd3577a071764eefd507cf785e797baec4c0d51d391c4b6655", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0a6edce7ec625a21c0af78ca", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-0a6edce7ec625a21c0af78ca", "quote_text": "We say: Mainz 05 1-4 Bayern Munich", "fragment_from": 1636, "fragment_to": 1670, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/predictions-bundesliga/feature/bayern-to-destroy-mainz-saturdays-bundesliga-predictions_608619.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46dd7e4c73c450fd3577a071764eefd507cf785e797baec4c0d51d391c4b6655", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-89503e178cae104e53d75552", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-89503e178cae104e53d75552", "quote_text": "We say: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Elversberg", "fragment_from": 848, "fragment_to": 888, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/predictions-bundesliga/feature/bayern-to-destroy-mainz-saturdays-bundesliga-predictions_608619.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "46dd7e4c73c450fd3577a071764eefd507cf785e797baec4c0d51d391c4b6655", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:05:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:15.375Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3c0bb4551cca11c06116550a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3c0bb4551cca11c06116550a", "quote_text": "Unfortunately, Lankshear picked up a slight knock in Middlesbrough's 3-0 success over Charlton Athletic on October 31", "fragment_from": 4933, "fragment_to": 5050, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/england/uefa-nations-league/feature/no-palmer-three-players-who-should-and-shouldnt-be-in-england-squad_608613.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3db34bb23389335c549d2381c00bb968c7446f8a9afa9f87c175e56133e34932", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:26.637Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:26.637Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4374e601b2c1aed19daae479", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4374e601b2c1aed19daae479", "quote_text": "Here, Sports Mole discusses the German's selection for the two Nations League games", "fragment_from": 795, "fragment_to": 878, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/england/uefa-nations-league/feature/no-palmer-three-players-who-should-and-shouldnt-be-in-england-squad_608613.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3db34bb23389335c549d2381c00bb968c7446f8a9afa9f87c175e56133e34932", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": 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null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-433232d1c3be150366dc7d23", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-433232d1c3be150366dc7d23", "quote_text": "England manager Thomas Tuchel has named his 25-man squad for the upcoming November international break.", "fragment_from": 290, "fragment_to": 393, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/england/uefa-nations-league/feature/no-palmer-three-players-who-should-and-shouldnt-be-in-england-squad_608613.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3db34bb23389335c549d2381c00bb968c7446f8a9afa9f87c175e56133e34932", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:26.637Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T20:52:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:26.637Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-551aea0ba681cda1b31c17ce", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-551aea0ba681cda1b31c17ce", "quote_text": "Lois Openda is currently in the Lyon treatment room because of a leg injury.", "fragment_from": 3143, "fragment_to": 3219, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/brest/preview/brest-vs-lyon-prediction-team-news-lineups_608607.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ba2fb8dafd58166999bf883a54383e0af91e989b0ff656831b7387e83279ca52", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:44:30.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T15:10:22.581Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T14:44:30.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", 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Of the 36 predictions we hold for Carter White, 22 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "449", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "36", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 449 statements by Carter White, including 36 predictions. Of the 36 predictions we hold for Carter White, 22 are linked to matches: 22 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/carter-white/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 36, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 14, "proven_predictions": 22, "proven_checked": 22, "proven_measured": 22, "proven_dates": 9, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 22, "checked": 22, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 22, "exact_hits": 1, "exact_rate": 4.5, "outcome_checked": 22, "outcome_hits": 8, "outcome_rate": 36.4, "baseline_matches": 12, "baseline_distinct_matches": 12, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 4, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 33.3, "favourite_hits": 8, "favourite_rate": 66.7, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "1 of 22 score forecasts named the exact score (4.5%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 4 of 12 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 12 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 12 of 22 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 22, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 1, "right": 0, "wrong": 1, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2026-09-26", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-ed52d0bc155993c10dba9563", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-ed52d0bc155993c10dba9563", "match": "Birmingham City v Swansea City", "match_url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-swansea-city-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL Championship", "lead_hours": 43.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "score forecast without a price, 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"https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/birmingham-city/preview/birmingham-vs-swansea-prediction-team-news-lineups_608514.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Carter White", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60d939842d740aef3c4b4d609934a03faefcfe1c3b041fce466a65dcdfbb6a28", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T18:28:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:11:08.855Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-b9b8c8cc8521", "display_name": "Birmingham City — Swansea City", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/birmingham-city-vs-swansea-city-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T18:28:12.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T18:28:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:11:08.855Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "089b7dc6cc192f49584a5f218ae3b7c5cef329b2a9fbc08d253860a84c1d6162", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.6000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T19:25:40.819Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Carter White", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Carter White", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/birmingham-city/preview/birmingham-vs-swansea-prediction-team-news-lineups_608514.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Birmingham City 1-1 Swansea City" } }, { "record_id": "n-66e34964db7f1eed7b23ca4d", "url": "/authors/carter-white/picks/3/#pick-n-66e34964db7f1eed7b23ca4d", "match": "West Bromwich Albion v Millwall", "match_url": "/football/matches/west-bromwich-albion-vs-millwall-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL 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null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Auxerre 1-0 Le Mans", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T19:05:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T20:10:00.344Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5fb04e7a262e8e19855fb40a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Rennes 3-1 OFI Crete", "group": 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