{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "canonical": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Calum Burrowes: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 15 settled picks by Calum Burrowes recorded before kick-off across 8 matches, 15 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 15 settled live picks by Calum Burrowes before kick-off across 8 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −38.7% on the total staked. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Calum Burrowes, 63 are linked to matches: 63 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−38.7%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 42, "date_count": 15, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:58:32.111Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "0d9a5ffee1eba62c143f7d18e82c55e517a6c9d03e968f515ae76e976f8bc187", "dependency_group": "author:e-69588cd1e214a47800b45130", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-69588cd1e214a47800b45130", "public_name": "Calum Burrowes", "tracker_number": 1321, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-24", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-69588cd1e214a47800b45130-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-38.7040", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 15, "n_events": 8, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "0.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:58:32.111Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 15 settled picks across 8 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-c3416588d541b79707ccba13", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "reserve_hundredths": 10000, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-13T21:28:25.993Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-a8d22799a0047b22df469b16" }, { "at": "2026-10-17T16:23:58.595Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-3e08cb315958e07b7777bd66" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.896Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-f65aa882051ebca3239f1c75" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 306, "recognised": 144, "accepted": 34, "executed": 25, "calculated": 23, "gaps": [ { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 54 }, { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 27 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 20 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 9 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 7 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 2 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 306, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 35, "not_about_a_match": 127, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 144, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 34, "admitted": 34, "qualifying_picks": 25, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 23, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, 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"observation_id": "n-b7315fa762d8f9e8ea176f11", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b7315fa762d8f9e8ea176f11", "quote_text": "Brad Hills and Kyron Gordon will, however, play no part in this weekend's cup tie due to injury.", "fragment_from": 4326, "fragment_to": 4422, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/cray-wanderers/fa-cup/preview/cray-wanderers-vs-stockport-prediction-team-news-lineups_608587.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c16b684e6bc75918dfde3007550ff8b377444a914191ff828f423b288588a4b1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T12:50:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T13:10:26.755Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, 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null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T12:50:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T12:50:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T13:10:26.755Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that 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"result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-466f47a4454abbd062591ae8", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-466f47a4454abbd062591ae8", "quote_text": "Benfica possible starting lineup:", "fragment_from": 4571, "fragment_to": 4604, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/benfica/preview/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-prediction-team-news-lineups_608581.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97c8ec6164d7ea178ed2714eb463da677875b3b917b92aba759f0ce766f06e42", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": 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null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-28ddabe2f101be555115fda3", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-28ddabe2f101be555115fda3", "quote_text": "Estrela Amadora possible starting lineup:", "fragment_from": 4431, "fragment_to": 4472, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/benfica/preview/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-prediction-team-news-lineups_608581.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97c8ec6164d7ea178ed2714eb463da677875b3b917b92aba759f0ce766f06e42", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9478b536b082637c6ddd1aea", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/8/#pick-n-9478b536b082637c6ddd1aea", "quote_text": "we back Silva's men to extend their winning run to eight matches on Sunday", "fragment_from": 4993, "fragment_to": 5067, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/benfica/preview/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-prediction-team-news-lineups_608581.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97c8ec6164d7ea178ed2714eb463da677875b3b917b92aba759f0ce766f06e42", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-26acc5883056", "display_name": "Estrela Amadora — Benfica", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T20:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Benfica", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Benfica" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e7cbf6be32919f5c0232b9bd09b1b91556f687a3c4bfdb8626facd589d6458ba", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Benfica", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Calum Burrowes", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Calum Burrowes", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/benfica/preview/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-prediction-team-news-lineups_608581.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d8f928f2be1010eae45eefa3", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/9/#pick-n-d8f928f2be1010eae45eefa3", "quote_text": "We say: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Benfica", "fragment_from": 4703, "fragment_to": 4738, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/benfica/preview/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-prediction-team-news-lineups_608581.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97c8ec6164d7ea178ed2714eb463da677875b3b917b92aba759f0ce766f06e42", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-06T12:15:02.954Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-26acc5883056", "display_name": "Estrela Amadora — Benfica", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T20:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/estrela-amadora-vs-benfica-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Estrela Amadora 1-3 Benfica", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "9.6400", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T12:08:58.203Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T11:31:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T12:10:22.319Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Estrela Amadora 1-3 Benfica", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Benfica" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2961000fd6e2df8915084106eaa8dd45ec0b593f309293afc7cd844c81beb42f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Estrela Amadora 1-3 Benfica", "decimal_odds": "9.6400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T12:15:02.954Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a497a345cfd5752ecb1fe3683bd259bb683b7add7b6537ee07555b6f1820d893", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", 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"https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/accrington-stanley/fa-cup/preview/accrington-vs-wycombe-prediction-team-news-lineups_608487.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "07e03ad394fd1d91e13911beb6ade5922b5afe262a965a3a77913c0ed72ffcc2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T14:11:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T15:10:07.460Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T14:11:00.000Z", 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null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5260aafb7a58c73bde3175ac", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5260aafb7a58c73bde3175ac", "quote_text": "Crystal Palace vs. Hoffenheim: How to watch Europa League clash, date, time, live stream, TV channel", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 100, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/crystal-palace/how-to-watch/how-to-watch-crystal-palace-vs-hoffenheim-date-time-live-stream-and-tv-channel_608377.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": 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"Calum Burrowes", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Calum Burrowes", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/stoke-city/preview/stoke-vs-bristol-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_607450.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b062abb32d94f61de4a4832e", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/6/#pick-n-b062abb32d94f61de4a4832e", "quote_text": "We say: Stevenage 2-1 MK Dons", "fragment_from": 4451, "fragment_to": 4480, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/stevenage/preview/stevenage-vs-mk-dons-prediction-team-news-lineups_607437.html", 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"url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/leyton-orient/preview/burton-albion-vs-leyton-orient-prediction-team-news-lineups_607424.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "11fdae0cf2173fe1e95eb430ec36532ef1e5065f857e65c5105c2a4f74f8e84e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T09:41:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:58.864Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T09:41:00.000Z", 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"on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Calum Burrowes", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Calum Burrowes", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/leyton-orient/preview/burton-albion-vs-leyton-orient-prediction-team-news-lineups_607424.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4e3c8b8758d0beb35337dafc", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/6/#pick-n-4e3c8b8758d0beb35337dafc", "quote_text": "We say: Blackpool 1-2 MK Dons", "fragment_from": 4699, "fragment_to": 4728, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/blackpool/preview/blackpool-vs-mk-dons-prediction-team-news-lineups_607177.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5d766bf12fabd6bbabfcbc71a34b99b29a08d3c2502125944d359b9bcfa887a4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T15:52:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T16:09:58.407Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": 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Julio Pleguezuelo, Joe Edwards, Malachi Boateng", "fragment_from": 3888, "fragment_to": 3979, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/plymouth-argyle/preview/stevenage-vs-plymouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_607173.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "91329262c686bccfec77b28b5cf71feee6bc3520c868f02eba7ac2a321ae7884", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T14:44:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T15:09:53.793Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, 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"n-cc6ffbc8bd275cf18b034998", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cc6ffbc8bd275cf18b034998", "quote_text": "Wanya Marcal was forced off shortly after half time and is expected to miss Tuesday's match", "fragment_from": 3547, "fragment_to": 3638, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/plymouth-argyle/preview/stevenage-vs-plymouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_607173.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Calum Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "91329262c686bccfec77b28b5cf71feee6bc3520c868f02eba7ac2a321ae7884", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-18T14:44:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T15:09:53.793Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T14:44:54.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T14:44:54.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-18T15:09:53.793Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." 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"author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.3000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:23:32.144Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Calum Burrowes", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Calum Burrowes", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/afc-wimbledon/preview/afc-wimbledon-vs-mansfield-prediction-team-news-lineups_607165.html", 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Draw · Stoke City v Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-4f7c8ae4bd30" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City · 3 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-03", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e3cdaf77eb94" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 4.50 · Bodø/Glimt v Lille · 3 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-03", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-cdcea832c1e6" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Stoke City v Preston North End · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-6e585f418cc4" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–0 · Stevenage v Wigan Athletic · 10 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-10", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-a938af9c629c" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.90 · Burnley v Charlton Athletic · 13 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-13", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-9ea828b33d3c" }, { "code_name": "E-07", "body": "Draw at 3.22 · Cambridge United v Wycombe Wanderers · 20 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-20", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-96906d0a0a9f" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Correct score · 28 matches", "details_words": "Correct score 3/28 (28 matches); Match result (1X2) 4/11 (11 matches); Goals over/under 3/7 (7 matches); Both teams to score 0/5 (5 matches); Goalscorer picks 2/3 (3 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 3/28", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 4.50 · 3 Nov 2026", "details_words": "Bodø/Glimt v Lille · Draw at 4.50 (our pre-match price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Bodø/Glimt 2-2 Lille at 11", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/7/#pick-n-5e340de94855fb85b38dba80", "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" }, { "code_name": "E-01", "body": "Draw calls · 4/13", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Draw calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-01-draw-calls/" }, { "code_name": "E-06", "body": "Non-favourite calls · 3/10", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Non-favourite calls", "rule_href": "/titles/e-06-non-favourite-calls/" } ], "history": [ { "code_name": "C-02", "body": "Only one right of 4 forecasters · Draw · Cambridge United v Wycombe Wanderers · 20 Oct 2026 · removed 26 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-26", "status": "corrected", "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record", "provenance": "live" } ] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "footballwhispers.com", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/h-beer-sheva-vs-ofi-prediction-05-11-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-24", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -58056, "staked_hundredths": 150000, "return_percent": "-38.70", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 15 settled live picks by Calum Burrowes before kick-off across 8 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −38.7% on the total staked. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Calum Burrowes, 63 are linked to matches: 63 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "15", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "8", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−580.56 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−38.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Calum Burrowes across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Calum Burrowes publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6494, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3506, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23506, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43506, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43056, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53056, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63056, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -58056, "n": 15 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 8, "match_dates": 8, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -58056, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63056, "after_picks": 13 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6494, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6494, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3506, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23506, "n": 4, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43506, "n": 6, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43056, "n": 7, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53056, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63056, "n": 13, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -58056, "n": 15, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 15 settled live picks by Calum Burrowes before kick-off across 8 matches between 15 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −38.7% on the total staked. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Calum Burrowes, 63 are linked to matches: 63 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/calum-burrowes/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 144, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 81, "proven_predictions": 63, "proven_checked": 57, "proven_measured": 42, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 63, "checked": 57, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 15, "void": 0, "matches": 8, "net_points_hundredths": -58056, "staked_hundredths": 150000, "return_percent": "-38.70", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 11, "return_main_percent": "-16.41", "return_other_percent": "-19.45", "settled_excluding_void": 11, "net_main_points_hundredths": -18056, "net_other_points_hundredths": -21400, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 11, "return_main_percent": "-25.91", "return_other_percent": "-27.41", "settled_excluding_void": 11, "net_main_points_hundredths": -28506, "net_other_points_hundredths": -30156, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 27, "exact_hits": 3, "exact_rate": 11.1, "outcome_checked": 27, "outcome_hits": 10, "outcome_rate": 37.0, "baseline_matches": 16, "baseline_distinct_matches": 16, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 5, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 31.2, "favourite_hits": 9, "favourite_rate": 56.2, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 2, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "3 of 27 score forecasts named the exact score (11.1%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 5 of 16 matches; the market favourite was right in 9 of the same 16 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 16 of 27 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 57, "priced": 15 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 15, "won": 4, "won_percent": "26.7", "implied_percent": "50.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 3, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "52.4" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "58.2" }, { "market": "Player to score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "45.6" }, { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "10.0" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "67.5" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 8, "right": 1, "wrong": 7, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-11cb94e2506d34a34f025191", "n-1cdfae5e044eb4a36e798c27", "n-41e8c4b3d303ba3c4d838e56", "n-48cf8d5b3aa35ecad2a04818", "n-55fefa68d7311fdb2586cf3a", "n-5e340de94855fb85b38dba80", "n-88cc2cd076f213b091d18853", "n-995c21da6e96b8286f3eadd9", "n-9c6d20c01ed62d68de3349aa", "n-9ec33b98194988ef54d12c26", "n-a639d1d3dc3fce7f5f718ebb", "n-df7a49ce6d9b29b4fcb40a5e", "n-e2dcc30c96eb80c74d8b16f4", "n-e8823a47d50cc7da280eeb0e", "n-ecf9146c3c9de3106c2aa9a3" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 15 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-24", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-88cc2cd076f213b091d18853", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/8/#pick-n-88cc2cd076f213b091d18853", "match": "Sturm Graz v NK Celje", "match_url": "/football/matches/sturm-graz-vs-nk-celje-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 52.3, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Oumar Diakité to score at 2.2", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 15000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.2", "settled_price": "2.5000", "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:33:47.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T15:44:17.078Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-88cc2cd076f213b091d18853", "quote_text": "> Oumar Diakite to score anytime at 6/5 | Likelihood: Possible", "fragment_from": 5069, "fragment_to": 5131, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/sturm-graz-vs-celje-prediction-05-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Cal Burrowes", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "409e49649fbbfb8ff35219c2c9f5192a6cec0b40b3499a3f0344443f091c078f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:33:47.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:44:17.078Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:43:22.622Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-072ef95e9f2a", "display_name": "Sturm Graz — NK Celje", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sturm-graz-vs-nk-celje-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Oumar Diakité to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.2", "our_snapshot": "2.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T15:41:23.515Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 15000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:33:47.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:33:47.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:44:17.078Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Oumar Diakité to score", "author_odds": "2.2", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Oumar Diakité to score at 2.2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won — Oumar Diakité scored 2 goals; the final score was Sturm Graz 2-3 NK Celje." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7155c8a741502a03b5d81d0ecffe619fb8e360060b9c5a9201a262ec801a3817", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Oumar Diakité to score", "decimal_odds": "2.2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 12000, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:43:21.600Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b1b1650909a0df08e4477832376c3b4ce59a1d9723feb2c3213d0ed30e5dfac1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", 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"recorded_at": "2026-09-27T09:42:23.621Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8b9852e6209508bb65cfe996", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Under 2.5 goals at 8/11", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-27T09:37:57.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T09:42:23.621Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1d6d38c47bc7287328aa051c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Under 2.5 goals at 1/2", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T20:35:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.940Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d14296213915a60354c8df1b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Draw at 9/5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T20:35:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.940Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-526bae70cd233d890c3c0902", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Both Teams to Score at 1/1", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T20:35:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.940Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d8ceffca69462555aeb4272a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Whispers predicts: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T20:35:05.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T21:27:58.940Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fde69b74d4c5d5654daba278", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Both Teams to Score at 6/5 | Likelihood: Probable", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T19:44:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-24T20:14:14.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5e9e733d7345f0ce953415c8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Correct score of 1-1 at 7/2 | Likelihood: Probable", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T19:44:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-24T20:14:14.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-556594f15e7fb298b57d0c1b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Under 2.5 goals at 15/8 | Likelihood: Probable", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T19:44:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-24T20:14:14.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4a5a76f65be67a9f53d55dfe", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "> Draw at 13/8 | Likelihood: Probable", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T19:44:03.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-24T20:14:14.118Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Football Whispers", "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 63, "before_kickoff": 63, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 63, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 49.4, "min_hours": 25.0, "max_hours": 56.4, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 21, "settled_picks_all": 40, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 3, "no_recorded_line": 16, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 210000, "author_net_hundredths": -78062, "favourite_net_hundredths": 20277, "difference_hundredths": -98339, "author_return_percent": -37.17, "favourite_return_percent": 9.66, "author_hit_rate": 23.8, "favourite_hit_rate": 52.4, "picked_favourite_share": 38.1, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 19, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "author_net_hundredths": -58062, "favourite_net_hundredths": 40277, "author_hits": 5, "favourite_hits": 11, "picked_favourite": 6, "author_return_percent": -30.56, "favourite_return_percent": 21.2 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 0, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -100.0 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 0, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -100.0 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-06T11:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6289 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3711 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -30000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -13711 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -800, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23711 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10800, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -33711 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4306, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27217 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2188, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20723 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -7812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -8873 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -27812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -37812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 22977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 38477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -57812, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 28477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -34312, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 18477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -44312, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -54312, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 44977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38062, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -48062, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 24977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -58062, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 14977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -68062, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4977 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -78062, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 20277 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 144, "pages": 9, "page_urls": [ "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/2/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/3/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/4/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/5/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/6/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/7/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/8/", "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/9/" ], "groups": { "settled": 23, "pending": 2, "excluded": 119 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Calum Burrowes Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-69588cd1e214a47800b45130", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Calum Burrowes", "main_entity": "e-69588cd1e214a47800b45130", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-69588cd1e214a47800b45130", "medium": "Sports Mole", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk", "source_info": "sports-mole", "byline": "Calum Burrowes", "url": "/sources/sports-mole/", "summary": { "statements": 140, "predictions": 43, "settled_picks": 2, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -100.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-27", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-87e5c6cec38cd194613c6da9", "medium": "Football Whispers", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "footballwhispers.com", "source_info": "football-whispers", "byline": "Cal Burrowes", "url": "/sources/football-whispers/", "summary": { "statements": 166, "predictions": 101, "settled_picks": 13, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -29.27, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-24", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-15", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "fd4d280c4aea0717106193498e153c83f568a460850f95df929d377f8205d9d6" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-ff0186f21dc24b2d225f", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-48.06", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0469b477abca25389d222a90ef0851382314d4b1df7421b24810766b1ffb7458", "text": "−48.06% on 10 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-38.70", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fd4d280c4aea0717106193498e153c83f568a460850f95df929d377f8205d9d6", "text": "−38.70% on 15 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ac87b7ba197f4d11d172", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-66.32", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7d267e67fa88ce4cea21f8da4f2d86ccd6639dc1f5acb7a6d8f9c5104ab8250f", "text": "−530.56 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "-48.06", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0469b477abca25389d222a90ef0851382314d4b1df7421b24810766b1ffb7458", "text": "−48.06% on 10 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-879b55c9ec7c3c6ac47d", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-46.11", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4cc070324f7a1c962b251f6afc35fa9d4e640e0958a50d461fa658b4bc036354", "text": "−230.56 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-66.32", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7d267e67fa88ce4cea21f8da4f2d86ccd6639dc1f5acb7a6d8f9c5104ab8250f", "text": "−530.56 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-07f7ca0e517ba4cddbdf", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-32.64", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "137504836301b85623c2d5ae4d5af3c1cba95f306cc0682b94e677f5a220b3e0", "text": "−130.56 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-46.11", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4cc070324f7a1c962b251f6afc35fa9d4e640e0958a50d461fa658b4bc036354", "text": "−230.56 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-75a7abe328abd5385a94", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-45.02", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7154a9e4fd08402dbfa0137696c3ebb56309cc22543580c24d436bbe0a7fb45e", "text": "−135.06 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "-32.64", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "137504836301b85623c2d5ae4d5af3c1cba95f306cc0682b94e677f5a220b3e0", "text": "−130.56 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e7fbe623a90cbbc1eb44", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-17.53", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "49676aa2c8b5ce83bdf4aeced70f91ffe78763307c5430bd1b85a324c2bbd130", "text": "−35.06 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-45.02", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7154a9e4fd08402dbfa0137696c3ebb56309cc22543580c24d436bbe0a7fb45e", "text": "−135.06 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-cee4129fc5994b97a5f2", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.4", "return_percent": "-45.02", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ca95d5105935f56c69381b21307848993ced2a97e3d9e51c4a7958f2d19d78ec", "text": "−135.06 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · 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