{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "history", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/", "canonical": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Bren Gray — football predictions, page 8 of 33", "description": "Predictions 121–140 of 621 by Bren Gray, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Page 8 of 33 of the predictions by Bren Gray recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 121–140 of 621 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.", "key_number": "621", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "technical", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 0, "date_count": 0, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:56.153Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "56071824177345a778e23ebca0c48e24e3698b6e4f744abf560e06c25c8778e1", "dependency_group": "author:e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/index.json", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": false, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": null, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204", "public_name": "Bren Gray", "tracker_number": 1503, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-11-05" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-f9b0c8345c00d14284297e67", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/#pick-n-f9b0c8345c00d14284297e67", "match": "Manchester City v Newcastle United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-21T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5252.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5500, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.5500", "published_at": "2026-02-18T21:50:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:12.306Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f9b0c8345c00d14284297e67", "quote_text": "I’m tipping a comfortable Manchester City win, probably 2-0 or 3-0.", "fragment_from": 4454, "fragment_to": 4521, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/manchester-city-vs-newcastle-premier-league-betting-tips-22-02-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Bren Gray", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f0992290f5c8cb83edb7fa84966e2564966a5e89c1e1be7c25e9bdde9691ba89", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-02-18T21:50:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:12.306Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.647Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Manchester City v Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-02-21T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Manchester City", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.5405", "closing_source": "aggregator closing price" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5405, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-02-18T21:50:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-02-18T21:50:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:12.306Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "59907cd167ba89028b3229c97f9b610960a7157762b62c0c7db1a1e3cd1202c5", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.5405", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5405, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.647Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3e79c9f920ebe05afecff70b643ac4f36a402b25a87ce665d22c876f264d609b", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Manchester City", "decimal_odds": "1.5500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.653Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/manchester-city-vs-newcastle-premier-league-betting-tips-22-02-26/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Manchester City to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-44d5bab18f712c709355ecda", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/#pick-n-44d5bab18f712c709355ecda", "match": "Brentford v Arsenal", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5468.1, "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "3.5", "settled_price": "3.5500", "published_at": "2026-02-09T09:59:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:16.080Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-44d5bab18f712c709355ecda", "quote_text": "Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.50", "fragment_from": 4324, "fragment_to": 4370, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/brentford-vs-arsenal-premier-league-betting-tips-13-02-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Bren Gray", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "75084793492bae04d0c270063783c0ac3bfba4e1634bba74eaa2c35c4d59f626", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-02-09T09:59:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:16.080Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.727Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Brentford v Arsenal", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.5500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-02-09T09:59:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-02-09T09:59:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:16.080Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes", "author_odds": "3.5", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "2-yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brentford 1-1 Arsenal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "12f4cb1a3a9925b6bdb9b76a9812c4833d9a11bab467f3c51c5c274570515b3e", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "3.5", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.720Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e3413b0212377f8b48ab50d8a2b45e56217a965d0619b2b30193ebfa91c303f8", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "3.5500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:20.727Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/brentford-vs-arsenal-premier-league-betting-tips-13-02-26/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes" } }, { "record_id": "n-e8e459c506d143b25c1babed", "url": null, "match": "Brentford v Arsenal", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-12T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5468.1, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Brentford 1-2 Arsenal", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-09T09:59:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:16.080Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-30dc738e57f628049285c3fb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "I’m backing a straight away win, which is priced at a reasonable $1.90 across the best betting apps.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-04T03:55:54.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:18.421Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3652c3a7d9775c2769e30710", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Manchester United to win both halves\n\n$2.30", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-01-29T08:15:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:22.562Z", "origin": "Found after the match; 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