{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Bren Gray — football predictions, page 4 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 41–60 of 621 by Bren Gray, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 33 of the predictions by Bren Gray recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–60 of 621 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "621",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:56.153Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "3d9bc9c85389c0097e514cfcc79cfdcf7b62138727994f5ac3e7060678fd23f9",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
  "public_name": "Bren Gray",
  "tracker_number": 1503,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-05"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-645ed5c0871e04f1cf403119",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-645ed5c0871e04f1cf403119",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-03T18:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3550.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes at 3.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.4",
   "settled_price": "3.8750",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:49:35.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:25.097Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-645ed5c0871e04f1cf403119",
    "quote_text": "Aston Villa to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.40",
    "fragment_from": 4493,
    "fragment_to": 4543,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/aston-villa-vs-tottenham-premier-league-betting-tips-04-05-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "fa8a5be8c59225b25f52011db8bfb9ccc6603e629b9d23c8635c8499a3ffafa4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:49:35.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:25.097Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:18.973Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-03T18:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.8750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T20:49:35.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T20:49:35.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:25.097Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.4",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes at 3.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2ef163c99124b3b95855fcebc0c1662f028ee633f0c7f962085d87e8b0694168",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:18.956Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "118431c226b5b04c2a4d6c79da11f149dea0699fc717fbad780bf650a2c64c6d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.8750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:18.973Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/aston-villa-vs-tottenham-premier-league-betting-tips-04-05-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5db47803631175aba2c73f3e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Manchester United v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-03T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3553.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester United 2-1 Liverpool",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:41:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.356Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ef9593825bcd6cce4b0324be",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-ef9593825bcd6cce4b0324be",
   "match": "Manchester United v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-03T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3553.6,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester United win, both teams to score: over at 3.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:41:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.356Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ef9593825bcd6cce4b0324be",
    "quote_text": "Manchester United to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $3.70",
    "fragment_from": 4642,
    "fragment_to": 4693,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/manchester-united-vs-liverpool-premier-league-betting-tips-04-05-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "418197aae88ead86de0ea53aac3fa2e3ab0a1c28700ec689c9b8418e14979e64",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:41:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.356Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester United v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-03T14:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester United win, both teams to score: over",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T20:41:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T20:41:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.356Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Manchester United win, both teams to score: over",
     "author_odds": "3.7",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester United win, both teams to score: over at 3.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1506f0b5ae4d9cc44a093c3300ed2c739dddf6bce81e4704791a0db96b5fe463",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Manchester United win, both teams to score: over",
      "decimal_odds": "3.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.997Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/manchester-united-vs-liverpool-premier-league-betting-tips-04-05-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester United win, both teams to score: over"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0980ac392fe27b34e9ee3678",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-0980ac392fe27b34e9ee3678",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3575.6,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 13250,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.4",
   "settled_price": "2.3250",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0980ac392fe27b34e9ee3678",
    "quote_text": "Arsenal Win to Nil @ $2.40",
    "fragment_from": 4804,
    "fragment_to": 4830,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "7ce455a75e97849fc0ede7151e57b3e9a501f772e13fa3f57debd867fc52edcd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.123Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.3250",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 13250,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "To win to nil",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
     "author_odds": "2.4",
     "market_key": "win_to_nil",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "59fcd904158cd6a990120cc0fbef8c6505f81358bdf367bf0bef2724bd002f7d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 14000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.102Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "34109a62cf60f1c1c08cdda63e7e5050a8092267d51daba2c980174e03f4cb8b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3250",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 13250,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.123Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win to nil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7477d483c26c81005aa97c37",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-7477d483c26c81005aa97c37",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3575.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4500",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7477d483c26c81005aa97c37",
    "quote_text": "I’m backing Arsenal here",
    "fragment_from": 3947,
    "fragment_to": 3971,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "7ce455a75e97849fc0ede7151e57b3e9a501f772e13fa3f57debd867fc52edcd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.025Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.4505",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4505,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "df96e7d6e5ed3bc18b1762c58e70fdc69e28b53e59b7aaf9176ac2c873ee8ee8",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4505",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4505,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.025Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "9525409de069f586d65f8ddf80c8d66373c02dc5822273a5b551216ba45de090",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.041Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7bd8f216ed55e3fbebde73b2",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-7bd8f216ed55e3fbebde73b2",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3575.6,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.9800",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7bd8f216ed55e3fbebde73b2",
    "quote_text": "The Under 2.5 looks tempting",
    "fragment_from": 4547,
    "fragment_to": 4575,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "7ce455a75e97849fc0ede7151e57b3e9a501f772e13fa3f57debd867fc52edcd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.059Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9524",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "78c61b8a7d0b93a635ced245cd5ef3a8d50d8658b3a06643b1136e0903d3c8eb",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9524",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.059Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "bddf9fb4ad07446b0390877d36481ece4b84c34bb1a45cd7c27ec0613a5db8c3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.075Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-fulham-premier-league-betting-tips-03-05-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f55764dd4bdb87a8c0fae575",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Arsenal -1.5 at longer odds is also a thought",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T01:36:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.680Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-69f19b3d2bfa32ef65260228",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Arsenal to beat Fulham\n\n$1.50",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T20:29:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:27.924Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2b4b897898616614e187ce88",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Arsenal to beat Newcastle\n\n$1.50",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-23T03:49:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:28.537Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-49aad131da29c1708153f766",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3746.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-1 Crystal Palace",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-826e37ce8e3ee874d1a9bf29",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-826e37ce8e3ee874d1a9bf29",
   "match": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3746.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 17250,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.1",
   "settled_price": "2.7250",
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-826e37ce8e3ee874d1a9bf29",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.10",
    "fragment_from": 5070,
    "fragment_to": 5118,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1d71e2ec02cfcdade3a2041814ee2ed514ec478253f0a6cd8597616ad676ad3a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.233Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.7250",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 17250,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 3.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b9308f947793926731eafa278f1502da9c84730d7fa367cc1d49163113a25f00",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 21000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.220Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a2066a0fc59575b80dc8e609552968f9cda7a1d404fc4823ab68da3504cd4f70",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.7250",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 17250,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.233Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ca142ebebb9db47b961dffd4",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-ca142ebebb9db47b961dffd4",
   "match": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3746.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.73",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5850,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.73",
   "settled_price": "1.5850",
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ca142ebebb9db47b961dffd4",
    "quote_text": "For anyone looking at football betting tips ahead of this one, the BTTS market at $1.73 is generous.",
    "fragment_from": 4920,
    "fragment_to": 5020,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1d71e2ec02cfcdade3a2041814ee2ed514ec478253f0a6cd8597616ad676ad3a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.191Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.73",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.5882",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5882,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T23:20:28.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:29.943Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.73",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.73"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "46dc34623be0287f48e9efe19f7515b3cac053083b20877cabd22b2d54d29ae4",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7300,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.157Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a3b5755e4e553568197fc4ec5238a6482866d3a9445e9c123a93a20819b026b6",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5882",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5882,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.191Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "9ae92201af8b102513a6c95689e45fe13bd814381b9ba03d08e20aa8606be482",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5850",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5850,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.206Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/liverpool-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0450342b5a516f1066fe92b7",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-0450342b5a516f1066fe92b7",
   "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3743.6,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0450342b5a516f1066fe92b7",
    "quote_text": "the goals angle is where I’d be looking.",
    "fragment_from": 4712,
    "fragment_to": 4752,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "62ecbb5e27511494a9695d86274de2ada0c9706cb8729278e565ef14e27db911",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6897",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "667360b802b7fe7c224788da7767e66b293efd128f1d8b4499e7ffbeda27b8a4",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6897",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:57.651Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "253676065b1a425c630d91caa24165d3b0d998b8effd4708d12668b70b17fb3d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6900",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:06.728Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1d04eef38895f03e5ec81247",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-1d04eef38895f03e5ec81247",
   "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3743.6,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.3",
   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1d04eef38895f03e5ec81247",
    "quote_text": "Arsenal to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.30",
    "fragment_from": 4802,
    "fragment_to": 4843,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "62ecbb5e27511494a9695d86274de2ada0c9706cb8729278e565ef14e27db911",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.361Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.3",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "47e4992a8244271d3063f3554e2cc8a9dd2fe94e6fcc336e07f89616ff6a8747",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.347Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3b12355a5b753ce889fca352bbbbb6a3234883b9917daedde8a91d41110ff210",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.361Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a163b2df1b56450d5a3bef0f",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3743.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 3-1 Newcastle United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d030374c20690f2c9a032553",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-d030374c20690f2c9a032553",
   "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3743.6,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d030374c20690f2c9a032553",
    "quote_text": "but I don’t expect a clean sheet.",
    "fragment_from": 4355,
    "fragment_to": 4388,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "62ecbb5e27511494a9695d86274de2ada0c9706cb8729278e565ef14e27db911",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9524",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "88081c7fdd337d6f83bdd6770395b65ad9ee45f6c087cfe137b8018708756e9c",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9524",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.206Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3656c85f107bc75fcd78b125e7c1efa7225a322cdf85a163014a6caefd9c8403",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8700",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:22.622Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d34781ba5dbd906be33d1116",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-d34781ba5dbd906be33d1116",
   "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3743.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d34781ba5dbd906be33d1116",
    "quote_text": "I’m picking a comfortable Arsenal win",
    "fragment_from": 4316,
    "fragment_to": 4353,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "62ecbb5e27511494a9695d86274de2ada0c9706cb8729278e565ef14e27db911",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.247Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.3824",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3824,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-22T22:57:23.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:30.665Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d6480d66d4c209810d26737dbf7d6e9ea3a4405bdb3b0293f9028af04988328c",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3824",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3824,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.247Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ec7e4e54fd5bc04cf88810233c94f0d53383b78dc5849661a2eeabdb00c96398",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:19.261Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-newcastle-united-premier-league-betting-tips-26-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5bc3748cb19585920c8ea079",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bournemouth to beat Leeds\n\n$2.05",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-20T21:33:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:31.842Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5434fcd10591f19112090cd9",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Burnley v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3813.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Burnley 4-1 Manchester City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-19T21:01:58.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:32.928Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bd411a6b4b9a1395350ded5e",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/#pick-n-bd411a6b4b9a1395350ded5e",
   "match": "Burnley v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3813.1,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap -2.5: Manchester City -2.5 at 1.9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-19T21:01:58.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:32.928Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bd411a6b4b9a1395350ded5e",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City -2.5 Asian Handicap @ $1.90",
    "fragment_from": 4506,
    "fragment_to": 4549,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/burnley-vs-manchester-city-premier-league-betting-tips-23-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b14b140e5ba83c8d87e12ccb532beff448df0cc5654722e1ac793c07358b7348",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-19T21:01:58.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:32.928Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Burnley v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Asian handicap -2.5",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City -2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.9",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.1400",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-19T21:01:58.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-19T21:01:58.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:32.928Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Asian handicap -2.5",
     "choice": "Manchester City -2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.9",
     "market_key": "handicap_asian",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Asian handicap -2.5: Manchester City -2.5 at 1.9"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "cdaa82b5939d247474b8e874e89efa7f5490f66e1b8834f0b6926be13626088e",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap -2.5",
      "choice": "Manchester City -2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.903Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "093865cce41e392e19b9691274aa1c5b3feb1fe1a8d5e0da2cfdb92ccd438255",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap -2.5",
      "choice": "Manchester City -2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1400",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.906Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "68b9ff9f467f15aab2bff13ff0fa2d7d4177fb71c62331579bd2db40a4cb063b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap -2.5",
      "choice": "Manchester City -2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:21.021Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/burnley-vs-manchester-city-premier-league-betting-tips-23-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City -2.5"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 621,
  "pages": 33,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/bren-gray/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/2/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/3/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/5/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/6/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/7/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/9/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/10/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/11/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/12/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/13/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/14/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/15/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/16/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/17/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/18/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/19/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/20/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/21/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/23/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/24/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/25/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/26/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/27/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/28/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/29/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/33/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 255,
   "pending": 5,
   "excluded": 361
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 60,
  "author_url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 63
}