{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/",
 "canonical": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Bren Gray — football predictions, page 22 of 33",
 "description": "Predictions 401–420 of 621 by Bren Gray, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 22 of 33 of the predictions by Bren Gray recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 401–420 of 621 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "621",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:56.153Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "cfb0b02941e5f8dae68ecebd9a09e7a0edd58c8ef3ac81aa7ae39d9464437c99",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
  "public_name": "Bren Gray",
  "tracker_number": 1503,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-05"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-1794cc660f8cb5bc2e1164ea",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-1794cc660f8cb5bc2e1164ea",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Real Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4028.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1794cc660f8cb5bc2e1164ea",
    "quote_text": "Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.10",
    "fragment_from": 4828,
    "fragment_to": 4874,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/bayern-munich-vs-real-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "43ace37a75927c559d67f68e41a228a4736b39a3ef1882ff91b7c23d05466e68",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Bayern München v Real Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.1900",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bb544911962c2ddcd834c5d1fb6f83a0678a13b21cd0247a150d32154580caf0",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:58.058Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e340d7eaae1c8188e6d07873725b477aae2d51c499cc51887593ee1d24141feb",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1900",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:08.047Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/bayern-munich-vs-real-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c151a4b1b22217e590050109",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-c151a4b1b22217e590050109",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Real Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4028.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: da at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c151a4b1b22217e590050109",
    "quote_text": "Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.10",
    "fragment_from": 4828,
    "fragment_to": 4874,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/bayern-munich-vs-real-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "43ace37a75927c559d67f68e41a228a4736b39a3ef1882ff91b7c23d05466e68",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Bayern München v Real Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "da",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-12T22:02:33.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:15.010Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: da at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7006561961c99f5ce0fd51c25e5e08cc5d87a073dd3fc80d78362b91e2220e2d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.992Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/bayern-munich-vs-real-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "da"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bb1b9b8192520e394350af45",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-bb1b9b8192520e394350af45",
   "match": "Arsenal v Sporting CP",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4028.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.2",
   "settled_price": "3.4500",
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:50:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:51.875Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bb1b9b8192520e394350af45",
    "quote_text": "Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.20",
    "fragment_from": 4452,
    "fragment_to": 4498,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-sporting-cp-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "712e3ef9216f6dbf826ec63f2ac0bb479399f833130d57966f82ed44cd0ed826",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:50:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:51.875Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:18.822Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Sporting CP",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.4500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-12T21:50:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-12T21:50:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:51.875Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 0-0 Sporting CP."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ae9aa70390e81da81608fe605900ff7e98bca8deb49190d80d038b5a4c45d93c",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:18.816Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "b9f185119b2dc7244733bb9eb29423ce971eda8f2f418e22865ada86d7792e96",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.4500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:18.822Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/arsenal-vs-sporting-cp-champions-league-betting-tips-16-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f9b80ebf09a7ecc07d7b2c53",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v Sporting CP",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4028.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-1 Sporting CP",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:50:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:51.875Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-67ad3d0512eb5a9af57fb7e7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Barcelona to beat Atletico Madrid\n\n$1.85",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T22:09:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:02.544Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bffd2659c84e9c50313ba70b",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-bffd2659c84e9c50313ba70b",
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Barcelona",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-14T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4052.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:20:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:33.958Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bffd2659c84e9c50313ba70b",
    "quote_text": "Barcelona to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.20",
    "fragment_from": 5037,
    "fragment_to": 5085,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/atletico-madrid-vs-barcelona-champions-league-betting-tips-15-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "de7b3b4c31784f5b8bdd9033d5335e4f417acf6e964b9e7d89cf083c5318d865",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:20:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:33.958Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Atlético Madrid v FC Barcelona",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-14T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.7000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-12T21:20:18.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-12T21:20:18.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:33.958Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a8946f6b7e335f65aef57b7e8ba2f71d7e4db0a07b081fb279a64eac64aba476",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.954Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ca129b475d2243f0884d2057c3b734b931985d05be6fb18ac66c3041aa482a32",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.7000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:21.177Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/atletico-madrid-vs-barcelona-champions-league-betting-tips-15-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f4b975f580d45f0c19706153",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Barcelona",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-14T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4052.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Atlético Madrid 2-1 FC Barcelona",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T21:20:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:33.958Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-44ee240abf0d29705dc6902a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Barcelona to beat Atletico Madrid and BTTS\n\n$2.80",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T23:10:56.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:51.384Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4149770a63f049e1cd3eed31",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5300",
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5c1be15fab059b03c9930ee9",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Liverpool",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7379212890a3c195d8784ced",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Kvaratskhelia, who I reckon scores again,",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d39d6fe3bb886df69afce10a",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-d39d6fe3bb886df69afce10a",
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.2",
   "settled_price": "2.9750",
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d39d6fe3bb886df69afce10a",
    "quote_text": "PSG to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.20",
    "fragment_from": 4602,
    "fragment_to": 4644,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/psg-vs-liverpool-champions-league-betting-tips-09-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "691e019c0fe52e41989b02c01b841e7857d735e685aa1c0efc8cc2c44ea91bfd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.867Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.9750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-06T22:49:19.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:27.850Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Liverpool."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5e7b1b7c67a0941cfada8896ec7c9f3b8d1ab1b5a40558f1d26676508f41fd89",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.861Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3fa7a422ed29753f83958e88811f9ef29e63f2783d5801b53e28ac62ae0e3539",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.9750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.867Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/psg-vs-liverpool-champions-league-betting-tips-09-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-564df9e5bbe8212b04ecb599",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: FC Barcelona win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-92e7aa04c230dc42502b2b49",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 2-1 Atlético Madrid",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-997b07db6fd514c8227cee78",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-997b07db6fd514c8227cee78",
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.4",
   "settled_price": "1.8650",
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-997b07db6fd514c8227cee78",
    "quote_text": "Barcelona to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.40",
    "fragment_from": 5143,
    "fragment_to": 5186,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/barcelona-vs-atletico-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-09-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3f53f737451e245f81f51a39f1700f261d20812d79bdc3bf1a891c8c747da2f5",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.890Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8650",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.4",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Barcelona 0-2 Atlético Madrid."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "c4e48c2e5495f1c9af0fc64bd92d11e58fde8df2e9a84419f0f15d72da949ac2",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.885Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "1ac81052b65cd1bd5a1b19a3c59acc4ca29b379d54df2ae32b4a11c816889e71",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8650",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:22.890Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/barcelona-vs-atletico-madrid-champions-league-betting-tips-09-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aee7e310c8f493109a853f1a",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Atlético Madrid",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d56be8025454cfba67d43fa8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Atlético Madrid",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4196.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3350",
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T22:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:09.647Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8ddc83bc2fc6550a9cfab0bf",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "I’m backing Madrid at $2.10 on football betting sites",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T00:19:35.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:06:40.720Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7b78bd8326f4626323d23965",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Sporting CP v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-07T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4220.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Sporting CP 2-1 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T00:12:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:07:05.390Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-83542ac854ae111ae621e596",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/#pick-n-83542ac854ae111ae621e596",
   "match": "Sporting CP v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-07T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4220.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.6",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-06T00:12:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:07:05.390Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-83542ac854ae111ae621e596",
    "quote_text": "At $3.60, I’m backing Arsenal in a game where both sides find the net.",
    "fragment_from": 5143,
    "fragment_to": 5213,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sporting-cp-vs-arsenal-champions-league-betting-tips-08-04-26/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Bren Gray",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ed5221e82e122527c281149b394f2884bac2ab2546e6c1a505dd72b9d8a4c68f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-06T00:12:54.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:07:05.390Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Sporting CP v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-07T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.6",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.8000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-06T00:12:54.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-06T00:12:54.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:07:05.390Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.6",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.6"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8513a32e444c7bb5f1999fabb69a21615a9284674772f9664c90daa76bb6a73b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:02.671Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e5e8fa1ef0659c6756cd1aaed20ce07b8b643dedd9ddc281bd3471fa140c9ff5",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.8000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:17.116Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Bren Gray",
     "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
     "forecaster": "Bren Gray",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sporting-cp-vs-arsenal-champions-league-betting-tips-08-04-26/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 621,
  "pages": 33,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/bren-gray/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/2/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/3/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/4/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/5/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/6/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/7/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/8/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/9/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/10/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/11/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/12/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/13/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/14/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/15/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/16/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/17/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/18/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/19/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/20/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/21/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/23/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/24/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/25/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/26/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/27/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/28/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/29/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/31/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/",
   "/authors/bren-gray/picks/33/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 255,
   "pending": 5,
   "excluded": 361
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 22,
  "first": 401,
  "last": 420,
  "author_url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/bren-gray/picks/22/",
 "source_revision": 70
}