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date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:43.536Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a1e95a2ae1b59fbf558fcfb9107ebe7671a9b96e2badcb870115eb275bbf0bf8", "series_key": "retro_market_closing", "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.9524", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:54.321Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b7956f2a76fcba3cdea93b7afab109a9fb5430cfca8a8f1182e3ae4f593a3d43", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:54.334Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/brighton-vs-leeds-united-odds-tips/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-6e4333482e56733926cc8772", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/18/#pick-n-6e4333482e56733926cc8772", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -554.2, "market_code": "result_and_total", "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals at 3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "3", "settled_price": "3", "published_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:43.536Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6e4333482e56733926cc8772", "quote_text": "Brighton Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $3.00", "fragment_from": 4654, "fragment_to": 4693, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/brighton-vs-leeds-united-odds-tips/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Bren Gray", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "415b23ccb8ec5617dbac812b2a3f4f09a8022f28bd572fa209cb030e3e1cc88a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:43.536Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:54.359Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:43.536Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals", "author_odds": "3", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "1-over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals at 3" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "20dff2c8d7088b52d4a2a00e9ad6b17492c9341b530f9cf0a8b068f35574b9a4", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals", "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "3", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:54.359Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Bren Gray", "publisher": "bettingtop10.co.nz", "forecaster": "Bren Gray", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/brighton-vs-leeds-united-odds-tips/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals" } }, { "record_id": "n-e2a4d4d1e35e103ef4d34270", "url": null, "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -554.2, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Leeds United", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-02T22:56:13.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:43.536Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0314edfb12cde5d54551330f", "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/18/#pick-n-0314edfb12cde5d54551330f", "match": "Newcastle United v AFC Bournemouth", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -556.7, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 3.4", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-02T22:43:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:44.566Z", "origin": "Found after the match; 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