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 "heading": "Bren Gray: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 24 settled picks by Bren Gray recorded before kick-off across 20 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −4.2% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Bren Gray before kick-off across 20 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −4.2% on the total staked. Of the 621 predictions we hold for Bren Gray, 605 are linked to matches: 79 were recorded by us before kick-off, 3 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 523 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−4.2%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 48,
  "date_count": 17,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2,
  "live_count": 25,
  "restored_count": 231,
  "of_them_archived": 2
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:56.153Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "0e502014739c1eb07aa88cad97f67cc2f0054517c49c0b667ce2b868280cae35",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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 "exports": [
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   "type_code": "csv",
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 "modules": {
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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  "claim": "/claim/"
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204",
  "public_name": "Bren Gray",
  "tracker_number": 1503,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-05"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
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 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-3766e374d89c4c2d5e888204-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-4.1642",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
   "cause": null,
   "n_bets": 24,
   "n_events": 20,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-52.2200",
   "ci_high": "42.7133",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "83.33",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:56.153Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_uid": null,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 24 settled picks across 20 matches",
  "average_odds": "3.46",
  "odds_from_author": 21,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 3
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
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  "bankroll_hundredths": 990006,
  "reserve_hundredths": 40000,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": -9994,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "data_points": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:57.312Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990000,
    "profit_hundredths": -10000,
    "outcome_id": "ish-5b9836f1135c17da6c5e8af3"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:57.319Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 980000,
    "profit_hundredths": -20000,
    "outcome_id": "ish-d59f91de2eb89f572992816e"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-11T19:32:25.133Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 970000,
    "profit_hundredths": -30000,
    "outcome_id": "ish-d6a3dc0a1bd655afe9023452"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-20T21:08:15.331Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 986250,
    "profit_hundredths": -13750,
    "outcome_id": "ish-474283a2b73d1a648aa3e48c"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-22T11:25:47.739Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 999100,
    "profit_hundredths": -900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-258d84865bacdef98d072b54"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T14:46:20.653Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 989100,
    "profit_hundredths": -10900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-0ec4fee7a5228a7326316dd3"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:46.293Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 979100,
    "profit_hundredths": -20900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-1a3b1a7c0d2679bd6eaf0f00"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:41.511Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 969100,
    "profit_hundredths": -30900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-128958d4147734169f76c6a1"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:41.525Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 959100,
    "profit_hundredths": -40900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-5d486dddf80f87f69e58802c"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-27T22:11:51.156Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 949100,
    "profit_hundredths": -50900,
    "outcome_id": "ish-14ef424e6002b234278fa7c3"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:48.729Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 961400,
    "profit_hundredths": -38600,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f5e8ba276eb4ecfb2bb5745a"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:48.769Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 951400,
    "profit_hundredths": -48600,
    "outcome_id": "ish-909f0800c43b516377e81cfa"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.201Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 971650,
    "profit_hundredths": -28350,
    "outcome_id": "ish-2f3dbba6c9576f7fe4b5e6fe"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.206Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 961650,
    "profit_hundredths": -38350,
    "outcome_id": "ish-7b3a99d1b5b5b05ebbb3e6b4"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:49.022Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 971650,
    "profit_hundredths": -28350,
    "outcome_id": "ish-5aebc8d13737c9ea387f42d2"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:18.064Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 985450,
    "profit_hundredths": -14550,
    "outcome_id": "ish-91cee18cc1951ca5183ec582"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T22:07:20.284Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 999450,
    "profit_hundredths": -550,
    "outcome_id": "ish-bd08826df0dd5d7689a0d3c8"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T22:07:20.297Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1010950,
    "profit_hundredths": 10950,
    "outcome_id": "ish-106a45a1f06f99c497f639ba"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:08.936Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1000950,
    "profit_hundredths": 950,
    "outcome_id": "ish-92e3cdc230b4fcb5154f99e1"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:16.138Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990950,
    "profit_hundredths": -9050,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f42ea2013b44c8e292555651"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:16.179Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 980950,
    "profit_hundredths": -19050,
    "outcome_id": "ish-757ae05e6edb241614ed7bd7"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.394Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 994450,
    "profit_hundredths": -5550,
    "outcome_id": "ish-b652784ebefcca60cbf7159c"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.410Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 984450,
    "profit_hundredths": -15550,
    "outcome_id": "ish-58d5fdfb8608c6d6aba14159"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:46.985Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990006,
    "profit_hundredths": -9994,
    "outcome_id": "ish-0877cedc568ad6da64d13a8d"
   }
  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
  "series_key": "market_price",
  "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 2029,
  "recognised": 621,
  "accepted": 359,
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  "calculated": 255,
  "gaps": [
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 171
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 58
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 21
   },
   {
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 19
   },
   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 14
   },
   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 2
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  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "statements": 2029,
  "of_them_restored": 1745,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 386,
   "not_about_a_match": 1022,
   "unclassified": 0
  },
  "predictions": 621,
  "predictions_restored": 526,
  "matches": 35,
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  "qualifying_picks": 336,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 306,
  "settled_picks": 255,
  "settled_picks_restored": 230,
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "market_price",
    "derived": false,
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    "qualifying_picks": 28,
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    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 4,
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    "qualifying_picks": 26,
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    "operations_settled": 21,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.1",
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "derived_series",
    "derived": true,
    "is_restored": false,
    "qualifying_picks": 21,
    "settled_picks": 17,
    "void": 0,
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    "matches": 17,
    "operations_settled": 17,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "2.2"
    ],
    "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 120,
    "settled_picks": 94,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 26,
    "matches": 81,
    "operations_settled": 94,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 152,
    "settled_picks": 116,
    "void": 1,
    "pending_picks": 36,
    "matches": 109,
    "operations_settled": 116,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 280,
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    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 65,
    "matches": 149,
    "operations_settled": 215,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 171
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 58
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 21
   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_admitted",
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    "figure": 19
   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 14
   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 2
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {
   "ads": 9
  },
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-cc7e1320b404c8655828ffd8",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cc7e1320b404c8655828ffd8",
   "quote_text": "Predicted Lineup: Penders; Acheampong, Fofana, Colwill; Neto, Caicedo, Lavia, Chavarria; Estevao",
   "fragment_from": 3110,
   "fragment_to": 3206,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Bren Gray",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d998ec7ab00dce975f968f13",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d998ec7ab00dce975f968f13",
   "quote_text": "Team News: Joao Pedro, James and Lacroix are out, as is Gittens. Emiliano Martinez and Caicedo",
   "fragment_from": 2960,
   "fragment_to": 3054,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/",
    "display_name": null,
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ddefad89179a85770b3218bb",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ddefad89179a85770b3218bb",
   "quote_text": "Predicted Lineup: Roefs; Hume, Danso, O’Nien, Reinildo; Xhaka, Sadiki; Rigg, Le Fee, Talbi; Brobbey",
   "fragment_from": 2026,
   "fragment_to": 2125,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Bren Gray",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "294ecbf2108f743df598f3fa277a09718d66d5146c153af7307181bbd353e273",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T21:37:14.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
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   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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   "quote_text": "Over 2.5 goals at $1.62 doesn’t appeal to me either.",
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    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "streak",
     "priced": 0,
     "unpriced": 4,
     "probability": null,
     "one_in": null,
     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-5c96393bf7993908d0e2",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 19 Oct",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–19 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-5c96393bf799",
    "event_at": "2026-10-19",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-5c96393bf7993908d0e2"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-72f424a324eca7c1553f",
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Exact score 2–0 · 31 Oct",
    "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-72f424a324ec",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/#zk-72f424a324eca7c1553f"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-bb84b8b08723d048ceea",
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Exact score 2–0 · 24 Oct",
    "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Arsenal v Everton · 24 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-bb84b8b08723",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/#zk-bb84b8b08723d048ceea"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 59,
    "body": "59 recorded before kick-off · since 10 Oct 2026"
   },
   {
    "portion": "archived",
    "n": 2,
    "body": "2 from the pre-match archive · 2025"
   },
   {
    "portion": "found_after",
    "n": 282,
    "body": "282 found after the match"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–19 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-19",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-5c96393bf799"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-72f424a324ec"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Arsenal v Everton · 24 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-bb84b8b08723"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Correct score · 22 matches",
    "details_words": "Correct score 3/22 (22 matches); Match result (1X2) 3/10 (10 matches); Goals over/under 8/9 (8 matches); Bet-builder combos 3/7 (7 matches); Both teams to score 5/7 (7 matches); Team goals and win to nil 0/3 (3 matches); Goalscorer picks 2/2 (2 matches); Handicaps 1/1 (1 match)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-01",
    "body": "Exact scores · 3/22",
    "details_words": "before kick-off 2/20 · archive 1/2",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "display_name": "Exact scores",
    "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-01",
    "body": "Minority calls · 0/1",
    "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Minority calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 2.45 · 20 Oct 2026",
    "details_words": "Paris Saint-Germain v FC Barcelona · Home win at 2.45 (our pre-match price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Paris Saint-Germain 3-2 FC Barcelona",
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/#pick-n-d06dcb3197e3ee13ce67797f",
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   }
  ],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Southampton v Wrexham · 9 Aug 2025 · archive record",
    "event_at": "2025-08-09",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "90 days after the event",
    "provenance": "archived"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 231,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 2,
  "found_post_match": 229,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 25,
  "date_count": 114,
  "span_from": "2025-04-06",
  "span_to": "2026-09-20",
  "line_text": "restored history: 231, of which pre-match archive 2",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, League Cup, Champions League and Europa League matches between 6 April 2025 and 20 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 231. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 2. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 229. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 230,
   "share": "0.387"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 115,
    "roi": "10.2696",
    "ci_low": "-18.3661",
    "ci_high": "40.0087",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 94,
    "roi": "-5.6840",
    "ci_low": "-27.2387",
    "ci_high": "19.0434",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 216,
    "roi": "-7.5949",
    "ci_low": "-26.1103",
    "ci_high": "10.7698",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_derived_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 87,
    "roi": "7.5230",
    "ci_low": "-16.4483",
    "ci_high": "33.2414",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "League Cup",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 219 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 68 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.",
  "score_accuracy": {
   "n": 87,
   "share": "0.046"
  }
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 25,
    "above": 9,
    "above_share_percent": "36.0",
    "below": 3,
    "within": 13,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.9",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   },
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 31,
    "above": 9,
    "above_share_percent": "29.0",
    "below": 6,
    "within": 16,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.7",
    "not_comparable": 2,
    "disputed": 2,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +0.7% over 31 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-10450193adae347c0c1a2533",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.75",
    "market": "2.20",
    "difference_percent": "-20.5"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-080c21d529abda2a189d6177",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.15",
    "market": "2.70",
    "difference_percent": "-20.4"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/2/#pick-n-5d6b3248bf2cbb29b53453f6",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.80",
    "market": "2.20",
    "difference_percent": "27.3"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/5/#pick-n-e3912e979fbaecf1bd00d13d",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "1.72",
    "market": "1.45",
    "difference_percent": "18.2"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "bettingtop10.co.nz",
   "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-odds/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-05",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 24,
  "matches": 20,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -9994,
  "staked_hundredths": 240000,
  "return_percent": "-4.16",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-10",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Bren Gray before kick-off across 20 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −4.2% on the total staked. Of the 621 predictions we hold for Bren Gray, 605 are linked to matches: 79 were recorded by us before kick-off, 3 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 523 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "24",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "20",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−99.94 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−4.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −52.2% to +42.7%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 215 selections in this historical price series, 2 have a pre-match archive copy and 213 were first found after the match."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30000,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -900,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20900,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -40900,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50900,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -48600,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10950,
    "n": 18
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 950,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15550,
    "n": 23
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9994,
    "n": 24
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 24,
    "matches": 20,
    "match_dates": 11,
    "period_from": "2026-10-10",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -9994,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-27",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50900,
     "after_picks": 10
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10950,
     "after_picks": 18
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -900,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20900,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -40900,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -50900,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -48600,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10950,
      "n": 18,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 950,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15550,
      "n": 23,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9994,
      "n": 24,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2025-08-08",
    "period_to": "2025-08-09",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 55000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-08-08",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-08-09",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 55000,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-08-08",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 55000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 24 settled live picks by Bren Gray before kick-off across 20 matches between 10 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −4.2% on the total staked. Of the 621 predictions we hold for Bren Gray, 605 are linked to matches: 79 were recorded by us before kick-off, 3 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 523 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bren-gray/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 621,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 16,
   "proven_predictions": 82,
   "proven_checked": 70,
   "proven_measured": 48,
   "proven_dates": 17,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 79,
     "checked": 68,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 24,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 20,
      "net_points_hundredths": -9994,
      "staked_hundredths": 240000,
      "return_percent": "-4.16",
      "interval_low": "-52.22",
      "interval_high": "42.71",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 20,
       "return_main_percent": "4.25",
       "return_other_percent": "5.85",
       "settled_excluding_void": 20,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 8506,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 11700,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "26.69",
       "return_other_percent": "17.40",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 34700,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 22614,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-01"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 22,
      "exact_hits": 1,
      "exact_rate": 4.5,
      "outcome_checked": 22,
      "outcome_hits": 6,
      "outcome_rate": 27.3,
      "baseline_matches": 17,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 17,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 6,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 35.3,
      "favourite_hits": 8,
      "favourite_rate": 47.1,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "1 of 22 score forecasts named the exact score (4.5%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 6 of 17 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 17 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 17 of 22 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 68,
      "priced": 24
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 24,
      "won": 10,
      "won_percent": "41.7",
      "implied_percent": "38.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 6,
        "implied_percent": "35.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "32.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "44.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "64.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "9.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "41.5"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 27,
      "right": 14,
      "wrong": 13,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": 55000,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "275.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-08-08",
      "period_to": "2025-08-09",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "12.1",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "12.1"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 523,
     "checked": 283,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 213,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 147,
      "net_points_hundredths": -222650,
      "staked_hundredths": 2130000,
      "return_percent": "-10.45",
      "interval_low": "-28.48",
      "interval_high": "7.28",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-04-06",
      "period_to": "2026-09-20",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 100,
       "return_main_percent": "0.48",
       "return_other_percent": "8.11",
       "settled_excluding_void": 100,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 4850,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 81100,
       "period_from": "2025-04-16",
       "period_to": "2026-09-15"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 94,
       "return_main_percent": "-5.41",
       "return_other_percent": "-5.68",
       "settled_excluding_void": 94,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -50850,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -53430,
       "period_from": "2025-04-06",
       "period_to": "2026-09-20"
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     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 55,
      "exact_hits": 2,
      "exact_rate": 3.6,
      "outcome_checked": 55,
      "outcome_hits": 30,
      "outcome_rate": 54.5,
      "baseline_matches": 55,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 55,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 30,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 54.5,
      "favourite_hits": 34,
      "favourite_rate": 61.8,
      "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price",
      "pending": 56,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "2 of 55 score forecasts named the exact score (3.6%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 30 of 55 matches; the market favourite was right in 34 of the same 55 matches.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).",
       "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 283,
      "priced": 213
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 213,
      "won": 84,
      "won_percent": "39.4",
      "implied_percent": "40.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 40,
        "picks": 79,
        "implied_percent": "48.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 16,
        "picks": 37,
        "implied_percent": "29.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 35,
        "implied_percent": "10.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 10,
        "picks": 25,
        "implied_percent": "56.4"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 10,
        "picks": 19,
        "implied_percent": "63.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 18,
        "implied_percent": "46.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-8fd6689e95d14a49a5feff2f",
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   "n-c9b22ba036520253281f60cd",
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  ],
  "interval_low": "-52.22",
  "interval_high": "42.71",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2025-04-06",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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 "recorded_picks": [
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   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 66.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.57",
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   "series_code": "market_price",
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   "favourite": {
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    "picked_favourite": true
   },
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   "evidence": {
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    "source_info": {
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    },
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     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United."
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    "settlements": [
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      "series_key": "author_price",
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     "verdict_by": null,
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    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
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   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 21.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes at 2.5",
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   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-3",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 13500,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.5",
   "settled_price": "2.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T22:18:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T22:46:50.017Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Man City to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.50",
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    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/rb-leipzig-vs-man-city-prediction-odds/",
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     "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/",
     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.5",
     "our_snapshot": "2.3500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T22:47:23.822Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 13500,
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    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
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    "dates": {
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     "detected_at": "2026-11-03T22:46:50.017Z",
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     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
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    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "2.5",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-yes",
     "period": "match",
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     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes at 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City."
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    "settlements": [
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      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
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      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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      "site_simulation": true,
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      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
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  },
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  },
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     "choice": "Aston Villa over 0.5",
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     "market_key": "team_total",
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   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: FC Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.75",
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   "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
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  },
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   "match": "Chelsea v West Ham United",
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   "kickoff": "2026-01-31T17:30:00.000Z",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:45.024Z",
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  },
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   "published_at": "2026-01-23T13:43:12.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:49.592Z",
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  },
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Chelsea",
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   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
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   "published_at": "2026-01-23T13:33:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:49.910Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "published_at": "2026-01-19T13:18:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:35:31.801Z",
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     "closing": "2.1350",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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    "origin": "source_stated_date",
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 "title_tag": "Bren Gray Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
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 "person": {
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     "predictions": 621,
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    "text": "+6.08% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+0.50% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+6.08% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−9.09% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−50.90% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
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    "return_percent": "275.00",
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "d1fab03477a9b0220000b1cc08f9cd5e30976c086cb4c24f61b3bd4a722c1ce0",
    "text": "+550.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-28.1",
    "return_percent": "-50.90",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c0e316f8083a93d1e5a7d23bd5d57bed98ad7215097466402234293347124d03",
    "text": "−50.90% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks). Now: independent odds snapshot (10 settled picks).",
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   "category": "method_changed",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d928dc3a489e0db379cb274b2657527d480540cdc4b07730543195c067e94ed3",
    "text": "−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-14.3",
    "return_percent": "275.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
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    "void": 0,
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    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
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    "composition_hash": "d1fab03477a9b0220000b1cc08f9cd5e30976c086cb4c24f61b3bd4a722c1ce0",
    "text": "+550.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 14 October 2026: the live record at our recorded market price becomes the headline number from 10 settled picks; until then the headline is the record restored from pre-match archive copies, and the live record so far is shown beside it. Was: independent odds snapshot (3 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
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    "composition_hash": "15ab8da0022baaa58defef71619dc8a91109ce33480e86125d33322f4a9f8239",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-100.00",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "d928dc3a489e0db379cb274b2657527d480540cdc4b07730543195c067e94ed3",
    "text": "−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z",
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   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
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    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "d1fab03477a9b0220000b1cc08f9cd5e30976c086cb4c24f61b3bd4a722c1ce0",
    "text": "+550.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "15ab8da0022baaa58defef71619dc8a91109ce33480e86125d33322f4a9f8239",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "The headline number is now calculated in a different series: “independent odds snapshot” (2 settled picks) instead of “historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only” (2 settled picks). The series is chosen by the published rule; the earlier figure is kept here.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 2,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-246ec907c514e0ffb4d9"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-b166ccbd482ccca2ccd5",
   "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.87",
    "settled_picks": 249,
    "matches": 165,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "e5fda4532886d986c96dd2f003f562a34124f0f8964ca8cb3febabae1fe1779d",
    "text": "−1.87% on 249 settled picks across 165 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "275.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "d1fab03477a9b0220000b1cc08f9cd5e30976c086cb4c24f61b3bd4a722c1ce0",
    "text": "+550.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (249 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 247,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-087cb32384bb8715d31e"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-737b91cb4df487ee3227",
   "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
   "url": "/authors/bren-gray/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-6.35",
    "settled_picks": 197,
    "matches": 130,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "e51da7014e027ededb99eb7198d4db4c6d007201d6f2a54d478a10c443f73abf",
    "text": "−6.35% on 197 settled picks across 130 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.87",
    "settled_picks": 249,
    "matches": 165,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "e5fda4532886d986c96dd2f003f562a34124f0f8964ca8cb3febabae1fe1779d",
    "text": "−1.87% on 249 settled picks across 165 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "Added 52 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 52,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 3,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-080c21d529abda2a189d6177",
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-080c21d529abda2a189d6177",
    "match": "Crystal Palace v Liverpool",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/crystal-palace-vs-liverpool-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.15",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T19:46:50.266Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-6dd0bdbecfae8fbdcc15b529",
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-6dd0bdbecfae8fbdcc15b529",
    "match": "Sunderland v Chelsea",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/sunderland-vs-chelsea-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Draw no bet: Chelsea at 1.48",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:21.585Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-038d02b1a3d20af47856cd10",
    "url": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/32/#pick-n-038d02b1a3d20af47856cd10",
    "match": "Manchester United v Aston Villa",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Draw no bet: Aston Villa at 2.15",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T22:07:16.982Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 24,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10250,
      "return_percent": "-17.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.19",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "return_percent": "-60.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 40450,
      "return_percent": "80.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-20",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.31",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -4444,
      "return_percent": "-22.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.60",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "correct_score_market",
      "in_words": "Correct score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "11.62",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "handicap_asian",
      "in_words": "Asian handicap",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 20250,
      "return_percent": "202.5",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.00",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_to_score",
      "in_words": "Player to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 14000,
      "return_percent": "140.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.30",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "team_total",
      "in_words": "Team goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-27",
      "period_to": "2026-10-27",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.25",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "win_to_nil",
      "in_words": "Win to nil",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-04",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.20",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Premier League",
      "in_words": "Premier League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/",
      "settled_picks": 15,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -14894,
      "return_percent": "-9.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "3.53",
      "odds_from_author": 12,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 3,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 5,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-11-01",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "3.25",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
        "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-24",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "3.82",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -4444,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-25",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.60",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 25300,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.22",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 20250,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "3.00",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "12.25",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "player_to_score",
        "in_words": "Player to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 14000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.30",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Champions League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Champions League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/",
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 12600,
      "return_percent": "21.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-20",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.89",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
        "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 19750,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.57",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-04",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "11.00",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 12850,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
        "period_to": "2026-10-20",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.45",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "win_to_nil",
        "in_words": "Win to nil",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-04",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.20",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
      "in_words": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
      "url": "/football/competitions/efl-cup-carabao/",
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -7700,
      "return_percent": "-25.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-27",
      "period_to": "2026-10-28",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.30",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 2300,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-28",
        "period_to": "2026-10-28",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.33",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "team_total",
        "in_words": "Team goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-27",
        "period_to": "2026-10-27",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.25",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "best_slice": null
   },
   {
    "code": "archived",
    "title": "Archived before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "correct_score_market",
      "in_words": "Correct score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 55000,
      "return_percent": "275.0",
      "period_from": "2025-08-08",
      "period_to": "2025-08-09",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "8.36",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Championship",
      "in_words": "EFL Championship",
      "url": "/football/competitions/efl-championship/",
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 55000,
      "return_percent": "275.0",
      "period_from": "2025-08-08",
      "period_to": "2025-08-09",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "8.36",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 55000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2025-08-08",
        "period_to": "2025-08-09",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "8.36",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 2
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "best_slice": null
   }
  ],
  "best_slice": null
 },
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 621 predictions · last change 5 November 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bren-gray/",
  "s": "2026-09-28",
  "prediction_count": 621,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-11-05",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bren-gray/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 621 predictions · last change 5 November 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "tracked",
  "in_words": "Tracked",
  "settled_count": 70,
  "days": 457,
  "weeks": 6,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": true,
  "won_count": 26,
  "first_settled_on": "2025-08-08",
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
   "tracked": {
    "min_settled": 30,
    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
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