{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/braden-chalker/", "canonical": "/authors/braden-chalker/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Braden Chalker: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Braden Chalker: 421 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 421 statements by Braden Chalker, including 3 predictions. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Braden Chalker, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "421", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 2, "date_count": 2, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "5fc8ee5e9ce2702de63cdd1f4af80bbd67f833ce6640d20d252c85872889d695", "dependency_group": "author:e-8e155971928e1f5093e68223", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/braden-chalker/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/braden-chalker/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-8e155971928e1f5093e68223", "public_name": "Braden Chalker", "tracker_number": 2025, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-30", "until": "2026-10-02" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-8e155971928e1f5093e68223-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 421, "recognised": 3, "accepted": 0, "executed": 0, "calculated": 0, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 3 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 421, "of_them_restored": 421, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 32, "not_about_a_match": 386, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 3, "predictions_restored": 3, "matches": 0, "admitted": 0, "qualifying_picks": 0, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 0, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 3 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "service": 1 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-090901f0bb03aef4a1bfe6c6", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-090901f0bb03aef4a1bfe6c6", "quote_text": "LW: Son Heung-min - The 32-year-old hopes to be back among the goals after blanking against Coventry, Newcastle United and Arsenal.", "fragment_from": 3421, "fragment_to": 3552, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240921050922id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-predicted-lineup-vs-brentford-premier-league-9-21-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fd99c52576bfb19a9621e308bb9fffe0b4173b0dba74ab3243fd3ea73a7cdc0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-21T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6de5d02295c85076bb27c82c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6de5d02295c85076bb27c82c", "quote_text": "ST: Dominic Solanke - Tottenham's record-signing will be eager to open his Spurs account in a bid to lift the team to three points.", "fragment_from": 3288, "fragment_to": 3419, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240921050922id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-predicted-lineup-vs-brentford-premier-league-9-21-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fd99c52576bfb19a9621e308bb9fffe0b4173b0dba74ab3243fd3ea73a7cdc0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-21T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f8189bcbcbc9ebd6cbfa6eae", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f8189bcbcbc9ebd6cbfa6eae", "quote_text": "RW: Brennan Johnson - Johnson will look to build on his match-winning strike against Coventry to keep his place in the team.", "fragment_from": 3162, "fragment_to": 3286, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240921050922id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-predicted-lineup-vs-brentford-premier-league-9-21-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fd99c52576bfb19a9621e308bb9fffe0b4173b0dba74ab3243fd3ea73a7cdc0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-21T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ff1d92119af79ae89c0fb31d", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ff1d92119af79ae89c0fb31d", "quote_text": "CM: James Maddison - The former Leicester City midfielder has shown glimpses of the player that set the Premier League on fire in Spurs' first 10 games of last season but has yet to do it on a consistent basis.", "fragment_from": 2950, "fragment_to": 3160, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240921050922id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-predicted-lineup-vs-brentford-premier-league-9-21-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fd99c52576bfb19a9621e308bb9fffe0b4173b0dba74ab3243fd3ea73a7cdc0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-21T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-29d368e773f719e7d1374229", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-29d368e773f719e7d1374229", "quote_text": "CM: Yves Bissouma - Bissouma is set to slot right back into the midfield three sitting right in front of the backline. His press-resistance will be vital when Tottenham attempt to play out from the back.", "fragment_from": 2745, "fragment_to": 2948, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240921050922id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-predicted-lineup-vs-brentford-premier-league-9-21-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fd99c52576bfb19a9621e308bb9fffe0b4173b0dba74ab3243fd3ea73a7cdc0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-09-21T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:51:21.290Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a023c573b9bc92aff40c0ca5", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a023c573b9bc92aff40c0ca5", "quote_text": "CM: Dejan Kulusevski - The numbers won't show it but Kulusevski has been Tottenham's best player thus far this season. 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source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-744c31aa0b9208e3273a112c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-744c31aa0b9208e3273a112c", "quote_text": "CB: Fikayo Tomori—Tomoro returns to the heart of defense after Fonseca rested him against Udinese", "fragment_from": 1902, "fragment_to": 1999, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022041645id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/ac-milan-predicted-lineup-vs-club-brugge-uefa-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f9dfecb68ed1da564d708349852c23e21c5ffcba9de5becf7b98f15922324b58", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:11.855Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T03:45:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:11.855Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-eec2391f912ed17e1b6407ee", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-eec2391f912ed17e1b6407ee", "quote_text": "CB: Strahinja Pavlović—The ex-RB Salzburg defender keeps his place in the backline after a solid performance", "fragment_from": 1736, "fragment_to": 1844, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022041645id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/ac-milan-predicted-lineup-vs-club-brugge-uefa-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Braden Chalker", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f9dfecb68ed1da564d708349852c23e21c5ffcba9de5becf7b98f15922324b58", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:11.855Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T03:45:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:11.855Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 1, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "si.com", "url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur-vs-brentford-premier-league-preview-predictions-team-news-9-21-24" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-30", "observed_to": "2026-10-02", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "3 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages", "reasons": [ { "code": "after_match", "predictions": 3, "words": "read after the match" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 421 statements by Braden Chalker, including 3 predictions. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Braden Chalker, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "421", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 421 statements by Braden Chalker, including 3 predictions. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Braden Chalker, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/braden-chalker/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 3, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 2, "proven_checked": 2, "proven_measured": 2, "proven_dates": 2, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 2, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 2, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 2, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 50.0, "baseline_matches": 2, "baseline_distinct_matches": 2, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 1, "favourite_rate": 50.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 2 matches; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same 2 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 1, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 1, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 1, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 100.0, "baseline_matches": 1, "baseline_distinct_matches": 1, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 100.0, "favourite_hits": 1, "favourite_rate": 100.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.", "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).", "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 1, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2024-09-21", "record_to": "2024-09-29" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-4bd95bd47994e5eb75615746", "url": null, "match": "Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2024-09-29T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -17553.1, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester United 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2024-09-29T02:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:23.966Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-80e7a01db0d1046f3dad6849", "url": null, "match": "Liverpool v West Ham United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2024-09-25T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)", "lead_hours": -17645.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-0 West Ham United", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "5-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2024-09-23T21:39:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:27.653Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5f014adaa6b1e54392ebaec9", "url": null, "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Brentford", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2024-09-21T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -17746.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Brentford", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2024-09-21T03:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:37:32.040Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 3, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 3, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 3, "pages": 1, "page_urls": [ "/authors/braden-chalker/" ], "groups": { "settled": 0, "pending": 0, "excluded": 3 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 3, "author_url": "/authors/braden-chalker/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Braden Chalker Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-8e155971928e1f5093e68223", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Braden Chalker", "main_entity": "e-8e155971928e1f5093e68223", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-8e155971928e1f5093e68223", "medium": "Sports Illustrated", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "si.com", "source_info": "sports-illustrated", "byline": "Braden Chalker", "url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "summary": { "statements": 421, "predictions": 3, "settled_picks": 0, "headline_kind": null, "return_percent": null, "headline_part": null, "period_from": "2026-09-30", "period_to": "2026-10-02" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": null, "number_changes": [], "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 1 October 2026 · 3 predictions · last change 1 October 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/braden-chalker/", "s": "2026-10-01", "prediction_count": 3, "refreshed_at": "2026-10-01", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 1 October 2026 · 3 predictions · last change 1 October 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "probation", "in_words": "Probation", "settled_count": 2, "days": 5, "weeks": 1, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": false, "won_count": 0, "first_settled_on": "2024-09-25", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": [ { "source_code": "sports-illustrated", "source_name": "Sports Illustrated", "source_url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "label": "Also at Sports Illustrated", "authors_total": 13, "authors": [ { "name": "Ewan Ross-Murray", "url": "/authors/ewan-ross-murray/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 6, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.81", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 6 }, { "name": "James Cormack", "url": "/authors/james-cormack/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 3, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.41", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 3 }, { "name": "Amanda Langell", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "9.20", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "name": "Roberto Casillas", "url": "/authors/roberto-casillas/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.85", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "name": "Andrew Headspeath", "url": "/authors/andrew-headspeath/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Barnaby Lane", "url": "/authors/barnaby-lane/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Ben Steiner", "url": "/authors/ben-steiner/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Grey Whitebloom", 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