{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ben Sully — football predictions, page 4 of 4",
 "description": "Predictions 41–54 of 54 by Ben Sully, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 4 of the predictions by Ben Sully recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–54 of 54 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "54",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:11:06.627Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "7faefa020123ba4f21708094894fbfef3e67b228768b003f19e65575176988b3",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-45ceaa0bd8569c02e836dc68",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-45ceaa0bd8569c02e836dc68",
  "public_name": "Ben Sully",
  "tracker_number": 1079,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-25",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-4b5149a92ab4041728fcabd8",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-4b5149a92ab4041728fcabd8",
   "match": "Getafe v Sevilla",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-sevilla-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Getafe 0-1 Sevilla",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4b5149a92ab4041728fcabd8",
    "quote_text": "We say: Getafe 0-1 Sevilla",
    "fragment_from": 864,
    "fragment_to": 890,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/la-liga-predictions/feature/real-madrid-to-back-up-clasico-win-sundays-la-liga-predictions_608160.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1a3b8311194a3b1a302f2885d6c96d3c0fc6907c9f2683e281aefc59b0a960c3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-85621d5bb3a5",
     "display_name": "Getafe — Sevilla",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/getafe-vs-sevilla-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Getafe 0-1 Sevilla",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Getafe 0-1 Sevilla",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "0-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Getafe 0-1 Sevilla"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Getafe 3-1 Sevilla."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0553f936fb8076a86e1cab20ad4b1128145316e831efbdb2315c13a60d5404ae",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Sevilla",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T06:20:32.513Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/la-liga-predictions/feature/real-madrid-to-back-up-clasico-win-sundays-la-liga-predictions_608160.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Getafe 0-1 Sevilla"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-84d8620eb8a8129b31ecaeed",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-84d8620eb8a8129b31ecaeed",
   "match": "Elche v Valencia",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-valencia-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 16.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Elche 2-1 Valencia",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.3150",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-84d8620eb8a8129b31ecaeed",
    "quote_text": "We say: Elche 2-1 Valencia",
    "fragment_from": 2175,
    "fragment_to": 2201,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/la-liga-predictions/feature/real-madrid-to-back-up-clasico-win-sundays-la-liga-predictions_608160.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1a3b8311194a3b1a302f2885d6c96d3c0fc6907c9f2683e281aefc59b0a960c3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-0f26b2861a19",
     "display_name": "Elche — Valencia",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-valencia-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Elche 2-1 Valencia",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Elche 2-1 Valencia",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Elche 2-1 Valencia"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Elche 0-1 Valencia."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2c6bba4de89d569fbfb96606deeb4ffd3634095198140a25281a2866004b0a36",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Elche",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3150",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-01T06:20:40.298Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/la-liga-predictions/feature/real-madrid-to-back-up-clasico-win-sundays-la-liga-predictions_608160.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Elche 2-1 Valencia"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a745f63ae199dd0993a196a0",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T00:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T01:10:12.898Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1e4d6d814a9dddc167f9a351",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-1e4d6d814a9dddc167f9a351",
   "match": "Cardiff City v West Ham United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cardiff-city-vs-west-ham-united-2026-11-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 44.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T22:36:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T23:10:19.556Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.0000",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1e4d6d814a9dddc167f9a351",
    "quote_text": "We say: Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United",
    "fragment_from": 4418,
    "fragment_to": 4458,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/cardiff-city/preview/cardiff-vs-west-ham-prediction-team-news-lineups_608265.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d95aaf8b423c4d162c77808fa4466cb121a334b3f046f94f371efd3e72c05877",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T22:36:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:10:19.556Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c89987002049",
     "display_name": "Cardiff City — West Ham United",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-04T19:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cardiff-city-vs-west-ham-united-2026-11-04/",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T22:36:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T22:36:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T23:10:19.556Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Cardiff City 3-3 West Ham United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bbbe63df808a8f2f73cfe52b0635f956cc77c702cbfdaf32f13becc1a3d28c79",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "West Ham United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-03T03:42:25.083Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/cardiff-city/preview/cardiff-vs-west-ham-prediction-team-news-lineups_608265.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e64bf90c78047786db284b61",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-e64bf90c78047786db284b61",
   "match": "Anderlecht v Red Bull Salzburg",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/anderlecht-vs-red-bull-salzburg-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 41.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T23:57:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T00:11:28.939Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.9091",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 9091,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e64bf90c78047786db284b61",
    "quote_text": "We say: Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg",
    "fragment_from": 4651,
    "fragment_to": 4691,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/anderlecht/europa-league/preview/anderlecht-vs-salzburg-prediction-team-news-lineups_608360.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "afa82b281f6207ff09ef0d16b6701a8a159afc34d8d3c1d912bc4075c436c83d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-03T23:57:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T00:11:28.939Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-8e47f16889a2",
     "display_name": "Anderlecht — Red Bull Salzburg",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/anderlecht-vs-red-bull-salzburg-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T23:57:59.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T23:57:59.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T00:11:28.939Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Anderlecht 2-0 Red Bull Salzburg."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7634550f3aa6d1afa6bcb1756702b6c0f5b032a03456d325a9ecbaddc5b78127",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.7500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T03:21:21.695Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/anderlecht/europa-league/preview/anderlecht-vs-salzburg-prediction-team-news-lineups_608360.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Anderlecht 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-019d55a47d754d8573465461",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-019d55a47d754d8573465461",
   "match": "Derby County v Bolton Wanderers",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-bolton-wanderers-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 43.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:50.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:10:09.373Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-019d55a47d754d8573465461",
    "quote_text": "We say: Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
    "fragment_from": 4120,
    "fragment_to": 4161,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-bolton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608406.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1abce064c13c639fa8c3065b74768262ff9abfb9f3f7a6bd687e90c74bfcd8b6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T00:10:09.373Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e3cfad1a08bf",
     "display_name": "Derby County — Bolton Wanderers",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-bolton-wanderers-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:50.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:50.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T00:10:09.373Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "c45d40c61ba75001c634b72c8c565c6d2710f079c4796ef542f290e0160c0899",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Bolton Wanderers",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-bolton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608406.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bb4ed7adb1476eaa90c2f69e",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-bb4ed7adb1476eaa90c2f69e",
   "match": "Portsmouth v Stoke City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/portsmouth-vs-stoke-city-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 44.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T15:52:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:23.897Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.3500",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bb4ed7adb1476eaa90c2f69e",
    "quote_text": "We say: Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City",
    "fragment_from": 4086,
    "fragment_to": 4119,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/portsmouth/preview/portsmouth-vs-stoke-prediction-team-news-lineups_608495.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6367468025ce6754cdaf0f422f17d182f3cb8ec50c05073f755a5705a7941fa3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T15:52:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:23.897Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d8527cc92183",
     "display_name": "Portsmouth — Stoke City",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/portsmouth-vs-stoke-city-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T15:52:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T15:52:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:23.897Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Portsmouth 1-2 Stoke City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6a0761769d89f6bee3f86ee72a8a6b5e904b55126d1b2f3f03a62b239e8d3a79",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2100",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:13:58.861Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/portsmouth/preview/portsmouth-vs-stoke-prediction-team-news-lineups_608495.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Portsmouth 1-1 Stoke City"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-480838e8c7dc85c106f0864a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Lincoln City",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T17:09:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T18:10:22.456Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ec4c0f4d12ef8980312304f2",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-ec4c0f4d12ef8980312304f2",
   "match": "Preston North End v Southampton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/preston-north-end-vs-southampton-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 38.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T00:10:09.710Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ec4c0f4d12ef8980312304f2",
    "quote_text": "We say: Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
    "fragment_from": 4117,
    "fragment_to": 4158,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608543.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a001c0314e8158e532375758a8948022db14fa390735f523874b222bb2668985",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T00:10:09.710Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d607b41f82ca",
     "display_name": "Preston North End — Southampton",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/preston-north-end-vs-southampton-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T00:10:09.710Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Preston North End 1-3 Southampton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Preston North End 1-0 Southampton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "501aaa12b030572e079cc1ad74d34a13d223fe97e1531670419b860af5fd0b93",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "69c27cfb4b0bc6cd09b73f0ed24fab3f81f4126fe9ce9546fe98418634cdf5c3",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Southampton",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608543.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bb3af778f57d090155513d99",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-bb3af778f57d090155513d99",
   "match": "FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-nashville-sc-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "MLS",
   "lead_hours": 42.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T01:11:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T02:10:00.608Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bb3af778f57d090155513d99",
    "quote_text": "We say: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC",
    "fragment_from": 4346,
    "fragment_to": 4384,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-cincinnati/preview/cincinnati-vs-nashville-prediction-team-news-lineups_608553.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1ee86f9dc9378bad1c71989d116fc7611038fbc1e3d3edd6aff848224582fb6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T01:11:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T02:10:00.608Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-06a6c922011c",
     "display_name": "FC Cincinnati — Nashville SC",
     "competition_name": "MLS",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T21:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-cincinnati-vs-nashville-sc-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "scheduled"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T01:11:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T01:11:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T02:10:00.608Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "kick-off 7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b1d5afa254cbbe3f6753339b286b7195b0755e993a7e43acf5c005eebc20d759",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.7600",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T02:12:31.476Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-cincinnati/preview/cincinnati-vs-nashville-prediction-team-news-lineups_608553.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Cincinnati 2-2 Nashville SC"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f2350a0ec58964f22d2158a3",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-f2350a0ec58964f22d2158a3",
   "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 40.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T18:08:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:30.997Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f2350a0ec58964f22d2158a3",
    "quote_text": "We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford",
    "fragment_from": 5300,
    "fragment_to": 5344,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/brighton-and-hove-albion/preview/brighton-vs-brentford-prediction-team-news-lineups_608616.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ee4516ed8fd36a2379ce0d6ba4ba40366554561e5f26d02bcd5ffae1b1e19416",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T18:08:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:30.997Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-614e771cf635",
     "display_name": "Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "scheduled"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T18:08:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T18:08:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:10:30.997Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "36fff6a5d4003336d76b74fc9be98d835ab0d6ed95174fed9f50fbf4f7f8ba7d",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8929",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T21:12:51.257Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/brighton-and-hove-albion/preview/brighton-vs-brentford-prediction-team-news-lineups_608616.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ff3c1dce08b5f6676e8a1da",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Troyes",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:13.003Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a26de5311c1bafdd559f76cb",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-a26de5311c1bafdd559f76cb",
   "match": "Auxerre v Paris FC",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/auxerre-vs-paris-fc-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": 15.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:13.003Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a26de5311c1bafdd559f76cb",
    "quote_text": "We say: Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC",
    "fragment_from": 757,
    "fragment_to": 785,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/psg/ligue-1-predictions/feature/psg-to-run-riot-against-troyes-saturdays-ligue-1-predictions_608636.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "24cb39f6f2148f07bf23d00ab9c6c2efd010d972a4a6e4dd3d98c35c5f0edd15",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:13.003Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3f949c2e77fa",
     "display_name": "Auxerre — Paris FC",
     "competition_name": "Ligue 1",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/auxerre-vs-paris-fc-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "no_result"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T02:10:13.003Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting the final score",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting the final score."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1b818e2f526afcd1ffe7680669bea050141a9cb47e39940468207b5c54775666",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.8400",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T02:16:06.892Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/psg/ligue-1-predictions/feature/psg-to-run-riot-against-troyes-saturdays-ligue-1-predictions_608636.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Auxerre 1-1 Paris FC"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4f10182d3828af6e8413b015",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/#pick-n-4f10182d3828af6e8413b015",
   "match": "Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-rayo-vallecano-2026-11-08/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-08T15:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 35.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:47:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:39.855Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4f10182d3828af6e8413b015",
    "quote_text": "We say: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano",
    "fragment_from": 4322,
    "fragment_to": 4362,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-sociedad/preview/real-sociedad-vs-rayo-vallecano-prediction-team-news-lineups_608650.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "71cf5aa59270bc12cdfbfbd5e39773d4054da0934cfb571db03a4d0bd054778b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:47:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:39.855Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-0dc94048886e",
     "display_name": "Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-08T15:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-rayo-vallecano-2026-11-08/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "scheduled"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:47:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:47:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:39.855Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:15 UTC",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:15 UTC."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "dc9788b921b1fde6095c8659a60b99bfffe089c8a1b07d561ac15364a570516f",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Real Sociedad",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6993",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:24:20.973Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-sociedad/preview/real-sociedad-vs-rayo-vallecano-prediction-team-news-lineups_608650.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Rayo Vallecano"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 54,
  "pages": 4,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ben-sully/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 4,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 50
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 54,
  "author_url": "/authors/ben-sully/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 14
}
