{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ben Sully — football predictions, page 2 of 4",
 "description": "Predictions 1–20 of 54 by Ben Sully, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 2 of 4 of the predictions by Ben Sully recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 54 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "54",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:11:06.627Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "071de7bb76208e91a0051b135b2ee646529a2989fc4ca1b3b9d48dddd8fdeecb",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-45ceaa0bd8569c02e836dc68",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-45ceaa0bd8569c02e836dc68",
  "public_name": "Ben Sully",
  "tracker_number": 1079,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-25",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-50639d1a59145a64485c0907",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Liverpool Women 1-1 Everton Women",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T20:54:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T22:11:31.653Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cb3f2349e508beac964e2dc8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Chelsea Women 1-1 Arsenal Women",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T22:26:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T23:07:14.142Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2390843dd414ba974f6801e2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Spain 3-1 Croatia",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T18:54:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T19:03:30.156Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8733b554e2b20a5159d5100e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "we think the hosts will ease to all three points on Tuesday.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T18:54:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T19:03:30.156Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bcbacb647f362d0b7a05cdc2",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-bcbacb647f362d0b7a05cdc2",
   "match": "India v Brazil",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/india-vs-brazil-2026-10-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": 38.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: India 0-4 Brazil",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-01T22:37:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T23:03:05.956Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "1.0220",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 220,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bcbacb647f362d0b7a05cdc2",
    "quote_text": "We say: India 0-4 Brazil",
    "fragment_from": 4220,
    "fragment_to": 4244,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/brazil/preview/india-vs-brazil-prediction-team-news-lineups_606083.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "e0d483d237cdc2445dc39c633e17d5074b19818354a24714c9e03f9b603a2714",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-01T22:37:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T23:03:05.956Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-1a7d6fbb6300",
     "display_name": "India — Brazil",
     "competition_name": "International Soccer",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/india-vs-brazil-2026-10-03/",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "India 0-4 Brazil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-01T22:37:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-01T22:37:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T23:03:05.956Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "India 0-4 Brazil",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "0-4",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: India 0-4 Brazil"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Matched: the final score was India 0-4 Brazil."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bfe3d159736194ee0e60d319673585ffa89a2ea3c9d86d42554d8b9c819c9172",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Brazil",
      "decimal_odds": "1.0220",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 220,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-02T02:03:39.437Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/brazil/preview/india-vs-brazil-prediction-team-news-lineups_606083.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "India 0-4 Brazil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a89f0917c561636cd9708d83",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-a89f0917c561636cd9708d83",
   "match": "India v Uruguay",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/india-vs-uruguay-2026-10-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-06T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": 39.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: India 0-3 Uruguay",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-6",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T21:28:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:18.457Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a89f0917c561636cd9708d83",
    "quote_text": "We say: India 0-3 Uruguay",
    "fragment_from": 3996,
    "fragment_to": 4021,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/india/preview/india-vs-uruguay-prediction-team-news-lineups_606216.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b7b7d0e5a1331047dfc6adb1633595d8d21f4598fba4bf8d8008f1e8fd09d794",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-04T21:28:02.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:18.457Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-852d56195628",
     "display_name": "India — Uruguay",
     "competition_name": "International Soccer",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-06T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/india-vs-uruguay-2026-10-06/",
     "scoreline": "1-6",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "India 0-3 Uruguay",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T21:28:02.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T21:28:02.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:18.457Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "India 0-3 Uruguay",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "0-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: India 0-3 Uruguay"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-6",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was India 1-6 Uruguay."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "55e84e0377c97607f72c240fdabbc86f49cfd97f7be809a7ea71d7690812fdaf",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Uruguay",
      "decimal_odds": "1.03",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "cancelled",
      "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-05T02:18:44.180Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/india/preview/india-vs-uruguay-prediction-team-news-lineups_606216.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "India 0-3 Uruguay"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1258264d99c825247dd63d89",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-1258264d99c825247dd63d89",
   "match": "Argentina v Benin",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/argentina-vs-benin-2026-10-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-06T23:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": 46.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Argentina 4-0 Benin",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T23:14:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-05T00:07:47.171Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1258264d99c825247dd63d89",
    "quote_text": "We say: Argentina 4-0 Benin",
    "fragment_from": 4912,
    "fragment_to": 4939,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/argentina/preview/argentina-vs-benin-prediction-team-news-lineups_606232.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "0ae348921e86b7f948eb98fbb896647d695a24e4a79f95bcce5d56c0431a1da2",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-04T23:14:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-05T00:07:47.171Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d336e4077675",
     "display_name": "Argentina — Benin",
     "competition_name": "International Soccer",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-06T23:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/argentina-vs-benin-2026-10-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Argentina 4-0 Benin",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T23:14:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T23:14:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-05T00:07:47.171Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Argentina 4-0 Benin",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "4-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Argentina 4-0 Benin"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Argentina 3-0 Benin."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1054d657ab4bf58f5a4d7232f63f1ac356f4f1738d1f73b7b8d2d1d42f149a36",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Argentina",
      "decimal_odds": "1.01",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "cancelled",
      "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-05T04:34:35.913Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/argentina/preview/argentina-vs-benin-prediction-team-news-lineups_606232.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Argentina 4-0 Benin"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-444eef5f9adf54be1dc5f7ac",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-444eef5f9adf54be1dc5f7ac",
   "match": "Southampton v Portsmouth",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/southampton-vs-portsmouth-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 36.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T22:03:38.848Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.6000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 6000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-444eef5f9adf54be1dc5f7ac",
    "quote_text": "We say: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
    "fragment_from": 4721,
    "fragment_to": 4755,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/southampton/preview/southampton-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606590.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "da501221f2fb2f0c8d86df2972d61a8818ed5f389de6077a623e58dd454581cc",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T22:03:38.848Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-99b355985f5d",
     "display_name": "Southampton — Portsmouth",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/southampton-vs-portsmouth-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T22:03:38.848Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8efae3f18a3bf563d226763fa7c1d6095d692ec2f7930250724fee65b0ab1a70",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Southampton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:11:45.280Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/southampton/preview/southampton-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606590.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-45095e9bd4635e4897e9f50c",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-45095e9bd4635e4897e9f50c",
   "match": "Levante UD v Sevilla",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/levante-ud-vs-sevilla-2026-10-12/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 43.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Levante UD 1-1 Sevilla",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T22:27:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T23:05:19.731Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.6000",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-45095e9bd4635e4897e9f50c",
    "quote_text": "We say: Levante 1-1 Sevilla",
    "fragment_from": 4361,
    "fragment_to": 4388,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/levante/preview/levante-vs-sevilla-prediction-team-news-lineups_606645.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb64352d8c2cb1e6be1f98dbde4e7f82f910709a877d52f9e6c4cb215fc8e740",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T22:27:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T23:05:19.731Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-06bacf89a285",
     "display_name": "Levante UD — Sevilla",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/levante-ud-vs-sevilla-2026-10-12/",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Levante UD 1-1 Sevilla",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T22:27:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T22:27:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T23:05:19.731Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Levante UD 1-1 Sevilla",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Levante UD 1-1 Sevilla"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Levante UD 3-3 Sevilla."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "842b3b999f730aba1028ef0f9ea52026db9f4078af809fa48a32c9f91dfb837a",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 23000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:37:00.442Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/levante/preview/levante-vs-sevilla-prediction-team-news-lineups_606645.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Levante UD 1-1 Sevilla"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2bad4e768c77d3e71a154ac6",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-2bad4e768c77d3e71a154ac6",
   "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 14.1,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5899",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5899,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2bad4e768c77d3e71a154ac6",
    "quote_text": "We say: Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna",
    "fragment_from": 1484,
    "fragment_to": 1529,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a7837daec4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Sociedad — Deportivo de A Coruña",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo de A Coruña."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "12a1f78a968d74cb01b9c26867d37072c5e6a3a018232c4fce8073f6cc580df4",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Real Sociedad",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5899",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5899,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:32.532Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3dc9ca732dac62b4d483d950",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-3dc9ca732dac62b4d483d950",
   "match": "Real Betis v Osasuna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-betis-vs-osasuna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 16.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3dc9ca732dac62b4d483d950",
    "quote_text": "We say: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna",
    "fragment_from": 2119,
    "fragment_to": 2149,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b421c1106eb1",
     "display_name": "Real Betis — Osasuna",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-betis-vs-osasuna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f5c027bf1d7c44e01b448bc3537541349e850170a03b7c119579abff061b0bcc",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Real Betis",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:34.286Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7ddd191f142a87b81e4ed16c",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-7ddd191f142a87b81e4ed16c",
   "match": "Real Betis v Osasuna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-betis-vs-osasuna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 16.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Betis",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "5-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7ddd191f142a87b81e4ed16c",
    "quote_text": "expecting the home side to secure another three points here",
    "fragment_from": 2194,
    "fragment_to": 2253,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:34.336Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b421c1106eb1",
     "display_name": "Real Betis — Osasuna",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-betis-vs-osasuna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Real Betis",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.5000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:40.303Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Real Betis",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Real Betis"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6fd0e8f13517296b1bbed7effe2fe17be173258fcb982d1b1c6c4f0cfcc7ce7f",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Real Betis",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:34.336Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Betis to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-807591aaa30af4ce84fef951",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-807591aaa30af4ce84fef951",
   "match": "Elche v Celta Vigo",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-celta-vigo-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.5500",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-807591aaa30af4ce84fef951",
    "quote_text": "We say: Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo",
    "fragment_from": 822,
    "fragment_to": 850,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7f51e7225c5b",
     "display_name": "Elche — Celta Vigo",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-celta-vigo-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Elche 0-0 Celta Vigo."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d63a01ff8377923ee8c15f87c60526d3445be79b058b283a32e2d6217f7db417",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Celta Vigo",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:30.728Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8df04d866c1ea0948e993bc1",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-8df04d866c1ea0948e993bc1",
   "match": "Real Racing Club v Valencia",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-valencia-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 18.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8df04d866c1ea0948e993bc1",
    "quote_text": "believe that Los Che may be forced to settle for a share of the spoils against Racing",
    "fragment_from": 2881,
    "fragment_to": 2966,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f793845eecea",
     "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Valencia",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-valencia-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Racing Club 2-2 Valencia."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ca8cf4ecff96384a8288e53fa8d6b8c5a4baf6d5386209fb7e1d26e71b1df788",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bd9ed2e853bff00db70b9b48",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-bd9ed2e853bff00db70b9b48",
   "match": "Elche v Celta Vigo",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-celta-vigo-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Celta Vigo",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.5500",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.5500",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bd9ed2e853bff00db70b9b48",
    "quote_text": "we are backing the visitors to shade a close match on Sunday",
    "fragment_from": 924,
    "fragment_to": 984,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:30.832Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7f51e7225c5b",
     "display_name": "Elche — Celta Vigo",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/elche-vs-celta-vigo-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Celta Vigo",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "2.5500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:40.303Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Celta Vigo",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Celta Vigo"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Elche 0-0 Celta Vigo."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e7752925d3e5bbd407450ddca2b12eb40769bc977174c32e6084b0a99fe95503",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Celta Vigo",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:30.832Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Celta Vigo to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c74fd44ef87d1b82a2d7518a",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-c74fd44ef87d1b82a2d7518a",
   "match": "Real Racing Club v Valencia",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-valencia-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 18.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.3000",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c74fd44ef87d1b82a2d7518a",
    "quote_text": "We say: Racing de Santander 1-1 Valencia",
    "fragment_from": 2758,
    "fragment_to": 2798,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f793845eecea",
     "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Valencia",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-valencia-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Real Racing Club 2-2 Valencia."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "446f309c7fcf9c655c8204fc359e9fd9deea4df66ff62806dfba6add396a81cd",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 25000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:43:15.661Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d8a242e8e84ca30f1e85c9d3",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-d8a242e8e84ca30f1e85c9d3",
   "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 14.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Sociedad",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5899,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5899",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5899",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5899,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d8a242e8e84ca30f1e85c9d3",
    "quote_text": "home advantage will help Real Sociedad claim a narrow win",
    "fragment_from": 1639,
    "fragment_to": 1696,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc440dcf441ba12f7409c0e7615ab1b8ea8693c784f0cd7f09f04422c7b2c76d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:32.576Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a7837daec4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Sociedad — Deportivo de A Coruña",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Real Sociedad",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.5899",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:40.303Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5899,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T00:09:48.075Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Real Sociedad",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Real Sociedad"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo de A Coruña."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9f84ae790cf0aeb54d39a8e3c1a8121f29d05064873244b90c724feb11c0e2d4",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Real Sociedad",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5899",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5899,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-11T00:10:32.576Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/betis/la-liga-predictions/feature/betis-to-maintain-perfect-home-record-sundays-la-liga-predictions_606638.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Sociedad to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e960349f873e3171a6aab5f7",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-e960349f873e3171a6aab5f7",
   "match": "Norwich City v Southampton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/norwich-city-vs-southampton-2026-10-14/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 55.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Norwich City 1-2 Southampton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-12T10:40:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T11:09:47.869Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.3600",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e960349f873e3171a6aab5f7",
    "quote_text": "We say: Norwich City 1-2 Southampton",
    "fragment_from": 4406,
    "fragment_to": 4442,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/norwich-city/preview/norwich-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_606717.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a085f0180aea4cdc0f05853106a43dccb0dcab91101932b66e2ac1591093f067",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-12T10:40:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T11:09:47.869Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-08913b098410",
     "display_name": "Norwich City — Southampton",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/norwich-city-vs-southampton-2026-10-14/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Norwich City 1-2 Southampton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T10:40:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T10:40:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T11:09:47.869Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Norwich City 1-2 Southampton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Norwich City 1-2 Southampton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Norwich City 0-1 Southampton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "71959fd41a8b44838907184c680faf1062e82d531d2df7824da8f6af3fb658f5",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Southampton",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 16500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-12T20:12:21.021Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/norwich-city/preview/norwich-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_606717.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Norwich City 1-2 Southampton"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ae2186ebb95d108e3250e5fb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Derby County 1-1 Stoke City",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T22:27:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T23:09:52.867Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-31cdb8bd981d5ea7020b44f7",
   "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-31cdb8bd981d5ea7020b44f7",
   "match": "Norwich City v Portsmouth",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/norwich-city-vs-portsmouth-2026-10-17/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 37.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T23:04:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T00:09:51.584Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.7300",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-31cdb8bd981d5ea7020b44f7",
    "quote_text": "We say: Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth",
    "fragment_from": 4536,
    "fragment_to": 4571,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/norwich-city/preview/norwich-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606971.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Sully",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "39207fb20f914ce3bebff4911fb64c9c7484e663f42da9c01b03a7bc5f927420",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-15T23:04:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T00:09:51.584Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-fc8df8d43588",
     "display_name": "Norwich City — Portsmouth",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/norwich-city-vs-portsmouth-2026-10-17/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T23:04:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T23:04:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T00:09:51.584Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Norwich City 0-1 Portsmouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bc7bf5d060945bb91145e82529d829e4016997292ad66d661f89bcb23bc90b50",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.9000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-16T00:47:03.560Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Sully",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/norwich-city/preview/norwich-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606971.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Norwich City 1-1 Portsmouth"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 54,
  "pages": 4,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ben-sully/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ben-sully/picks/4/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 4,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 50
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 2,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/ben-sully/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/",
 "source_revision": 44,
 "evidence_extra": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c2bf279f485c52e67e6dc3ee",
   "quote_text": "We say: Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
   "fragment_from": 4711,
   "fragment_to": 4752,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608543.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "12721c46d453dc5bafcba8a5cb2f9fee847580fd2d96f02d1e0587462af72271",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T13:17:24.831Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-d607b41f82ca",
    "display_name": "Preston North End — Southampton",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/preston-north-end-vs-southampton-2026-11-07/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T23:59:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T13:17:24.831Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-3",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Preston North End 1-3 Southampton"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Preston North End 1-0 Southampton."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "eb10815cdeed15630b3eedb7e241f9ac5deaacb8216d1a3ccf07853110a1d498",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Southampton",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-southampton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608543.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Preston North End 1-3 Southampton"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-ee28575c69ab84b02bd72e9b",
   "quote_text": "We say: Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
   "fragment_from": 4182,
   "fragment_to": 4223,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-bolton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608406.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "86255a475cd78fac25c8332251772f4654d6366ac7ae2991e99cb1f82a50e7c5",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-05T20:05:44.139Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "repeats another statement",
   "cause_code": "duplicate",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-e3cfad1a08bf",
    "display_name": "Derby County — Bolton Wanderers",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-bolton-wanderers-2026-11-06/",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T23:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T20:05:44.139Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-3",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "ec1d8dfca3e4ff95c01e07ed8621ae23c92b6723363fa51e9037a223554a78e7",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "197cfbb2dd75ff01666d6fc820b171214c9115d412e3e6c653b7ce822aa0abe1",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bolton Wanderers",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/derby-county/preview/derby-vs-bolton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608406.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Derby County 1-3 Bolton Wanderers"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-346058392b6c22c52c3d2657",
   "quote_text": "We say: Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Osasuna",
   "fragment_from": 4666,
   "fragment_to": 4705,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/deportivo-la-coruna/preview/deportivo-vs-osasuna-prediction-team-news-lineups_608149.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "5caa73f5e2064e8a0701b44ce4c647215da052b2cfeed7c1abbf75d6c26b94df",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T20:01:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:35:44.769Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-63ceb4f9956a",
    "display_name": "Deportivo de A Coruña — Osasuna",
    "competition_name": "LaLiga",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/deportivo-de-a-coruna-vs-osasuna-2026-11-02/",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T20:01:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T20:01:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T18:35:44.769Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Deportivo de A Coruña 2-1 Osasuna."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "2763443e80eb2de74d7d7169c00e5a8aac2fe59ba58d8b90294fa2f0a2ae8237",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.2500",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-02T07:36:39.065Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/deportivo-la-coruna/preview/deportivo-vs-osasuna-prediction-team-news-lineups_608149.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Deportivo de A Coruña 1-1 Osasuna"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f276cc854b694857a5107432",
   "quote_text": "We say: Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham",
   "fragment_from": 4803,
   "fragment_to": 4839,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/sheffield-united/preview/sheff-utd-vs-wrexham-prediction-team-news-lineups_607877.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "b9694746ebb31ca5fdbcab241073fce11fa1e3a31e31d8f804005b6f9f94ca31",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T23:11:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-30T08:55:44.304Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-cd4dcf8935c0",
    "display_name": "Sheffield United — Wrexham",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/sheffield-united-vs-wrexham-2026-10-30/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T23:11:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T23:11:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-30T08:55:44.304Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Sheffield United 1-0 Wrexham."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "93d2014e9a9210dc126fb193329f2e1c35513620f21cab49c37040620e59367c",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.3500",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-30T10:03:20.321Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/sheffield-united/preview/sheff-utd-vs-wrexham-prediction-team-news-lineups_607877.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e970cfafc9c56903678cd2d7",
   "quote_text": "We say: Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United",
   "fragment_from": 4659,
   "fragment_to": 4704,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bradford-city/league-cup/preview/bradford-vs-peterborough-prediction-team-news-lineups_607674.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ecae86b1ceae352947a4266aad329cfa765376c80aa379844d1a18782d5243f7",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-25T15:09:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-26T18:35:44.206Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-80e601bc06f7",
    "display_name": "Bradford City — Peterborough United",
    "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/bradford-city-vs-peterborough-united-2026-10-27/",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T15:09:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T15:09:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-26T18:35:44.206Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "2-0",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "ba7836f9206246716a6541cb7fe6419c4af0394d4dfd5a164bac9b955e1203c6",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bradford City",
     "decimal_odds": "1.6536",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 6536,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-27T08:18:24.758Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bradford-city/league-cup/preview/bradford-vs-peterborough-prediction-team-news-lineups_607674.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Bradford City 2-0 Peterborough United"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d46e39504909d9e6aff8a8bf",
   "quote_text": "We say: Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
   "fragment_from": 5118,
   "fragment_to": 5152,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bournemouth/preview/bournemouth-vs-sunderland-prediction-team-news-lineups_607069.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "309bad0150081a46a51abf976f95bb771ac706f5be5cc584504f7212b3e257c5",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T21:37:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:38.554Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-f80d15d1ac60",
    "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth — Sunderland",
    "competition_name": "Premier League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-sunderland-2026-10-18/",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T21:37:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T21:37:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T19:05:38.554Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "2-2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "a0b9db8d408a3dc69abb65923abc5567e607b8b2343914ea67bdbbab5b952e0d",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.4500",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-18T10:33:06.628Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bournemouth/preview/bournemouth-vs-sunderland-prediction-team-news-lineups_607069.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-4c6a97cdc8401637e2640bb4",
   "quote_text": "We say: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
   "fragment_from": 5768,
   "fragment_to": 5802,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/southampton/preview/southampton-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606590.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ben Sully",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "1e57e016c5095b38eda2844d1ef733441a66817ad4f9ce292dff1bda289034c9",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-11T09:26:47.714Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-99b355985f5d",
    "display_name": "Southampton — Portsmouth",
    "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/southampton-vs-portsmouth-2026-10-11/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T21:26:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T09:26:47.714Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "3-1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "f36b234d75f0c4c5bb465e90040e239aa2f3005fb2d183fcbc5108c630841a96",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Southampton",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ben Sully",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Ben Sully",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/southampton/preview/southampton-vs-portsmouth-prediction-team-news-lineups_606590.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth"
  }
 ]
}
