{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ben Knapton — football predictions, page 5 of 5",
 "description": "Predictions 61–75 of 75 by Ben Knapton, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 5 of 5 of the predictions by Ben Knapton recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 61–75 of 75 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "75",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:08:40.253Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "62f909a8e30a5e7d6ffe301f3979f3bb56d16d5fa2a7f110f420f0c77d33832c",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-b220e9bd712e7a04e6cf72e3",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-b220e9bd712e7a04e6cf72e3",
  "public_name": "Ben Knapton",
  "tracker_number": 1193,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-26",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-34f52515b8ab8563dffc6024",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-34f52515b8ab8563dffc6024",
   "match": "Brentford v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/brentford-vs-nottingham-forest-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 12.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-34f52515b8ab8563dffc6024",
    "quote_text": "We say: Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest",
    "fragment_from": 2797,
    "fragment_to": 2836,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c1dd1e3955c7",
     "display_name": "Brentford — Nottingham Forest",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/brentford-vs-nottingham-forest-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Brentford 2-0 Nottingham Forest."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5dac1c6043770467d6c55913393358d59d3615c62d998856d23ed10c26d2b40b",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Brentford",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0200",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10200,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:05.757Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Brentford 2-1 Nottingham Forest"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-831a08bd4526db4c43bc2c9b",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-831a08bd4526db4c43bc2c9b",
   "match": "Hull City v Ipswich Town",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-ipswich-town-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 12.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-831a08bd4526db4c43bc2c9b",
    "quote_text": "We say: Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town",
    "fragment_from": 3690,
    "fragment_to": 3724,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-1e31bd108972",
     "display_name": "Hull City — Ipswich Town",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-ipswich-town-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Hull City 2-2 Ipswich Town."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6d0e35dbd14277cdc6db2f018ec3eaea15244ddd87f50f3b1751f55981d235c4",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Hull City",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:10.854Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-842eb4d7ebd5fba6daba06ac",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-842eb4d7ebd5fba6daba06ac",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Fulham",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-fulham-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 17.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.9709",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-842eb4d7ebd5fba6daba06ac",
    "quote_text": "We say: Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham",
    "fragment_from": 7484,
    "fragment_to": 7514,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-cc0571163d80",
     "display_name": "Aston Villa — Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-fulham-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d86e0e8558e0e5f0d7d8b53010956e0e103969663444151407a3e9adb85f2d74",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9709",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:37.575Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Aston Villa 3-0 Fulham"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-905fd9dc4155fd8a67d9411f",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-905fd9dc4155fd8a67d9411f",
   "match": "Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 12.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-905fd9dc4155fd8a67d9411f",
    "quote_text": "We say: Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion",
    "fragment_from": 5418,
    "fragment_to": 5468,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3a3fd595d5c8",
     "display_name": "Manchester City — Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/manchester-city-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5ab1dc10662829772c2871626b54bf6f3dd977769d4f73275ac5b181280901a0",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6993",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:24.753Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9be3acb522220a3373339707",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-9be3acb522220a3373339707",
   "match": "Chelsea v Manchester United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 10.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9be3acb522220a3373339707",
    "quote_text": "We say: Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United",
    "fragment_from": 948,
    "fragment_to": 985,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c3d02ca4c53b",
     "display_name": "Chelsea — Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Chelsea 2-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2a2ede4511ca16378c3fe500c5e97943a1547c40ddf19c1ec176f4c2fed9d858",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Chelsea",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c66029d61105e52fca151e64",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-c66029d61105e52fca151e64",
   "match": "Coventry City v Sunderland",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/coventry-city-vs-sunderland-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 12.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c66029d61105e52fca151e64",
    "quote_text": "We say: Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland",
    "fragment_from": 4583,
    "fragment_to": 4619,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-900e5a680f9a",
     "display_name": "Coventry City — Sunderland",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/coventry-city-vs-sunderland-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Coventry City 3-1 Sunderland."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "cea91f1e5793b2743dd9b932df20ed9569e309a28716ac0493072bed08d44e7d",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Sunderland",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:19.145Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Coventry City 1-2 Sunderland"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d0c1a4594b10f8535e2dae5c",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-d0c1a4594b10f8535e2dae5c",
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-31/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 12.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d0c1a4594b10f8535e2dae5c",
    "quote_text": "We say: Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United",
    "fragment_from": 1849,
    "fragment_to": 1885,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb6ad6dca54cf3f22fea2711474e7ffb9e24a30d707db16f6861cd26aa981d39",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-39d8fcfaf4a9",
     "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth — Leeds United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-31/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T02:10:27.474Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "755afe8b276f58ebb7662d8dc24520f270565946060e1365205360f4680c6fa1",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "AFC Bournemouth",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 11000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-31T07:27:00.864Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/man-utd/premier-league-predictions/feature/three-goals-at-stamford-bridge-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608054.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-178882a58724ec5e4d2c0a55",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-178882a58724ec5e4d2c0a55",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 57.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 1-1 Everton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-31T09:33:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T10:10:30.840Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.3000",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-178882a58724ec5e4d2c0a55",
    "quote_text": "We say: Newcastle United 1-1 Everton",
    "fragment_from": 5104,
    "fragment_to": 5140,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/newcastle-united/preview/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608131.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb82d0a386f10c205f09ff5feab35270d2155700e9a657b4a0be48523d0ca00a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T09:33:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T10:10:30.840Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2ded8bcaf47e",
     "display_name": "Newcastle United — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United 1-1 Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-31T09:33:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-31T09:33:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-31T10:10:30.840Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Newcastle United 1-1 Everton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Newcastle United 1-1 Everton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6f282ad94d59618f28fe8da17d2850801a0b9d362f2b2d3f2377c2f4b3d761c0",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-02T08:15:11.990Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/newcastle-united/preview/newcastle-vs-everton-prediction-team-news-lineups_608131.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United 1-1 Everton"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0c245afb5fbaf8f18b4d37ac",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-0c245afb5fbaf8f18b4d37ac",
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 56.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-01T10:28:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T11:10:33.099Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0c245afb5fbaf8f18b4d37ac",
    "quote_text": "We say: Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa",
    "fragment_from": 5393,
    "fragment_to": 5426,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/champions-league/preview/barcelona-vs-aston-villa-prediction-team-news-lineups_608180.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "923fcf655d779691781090aa6031e912155215796f584897a0ea0a86a46a0927",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-01T10:28:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-01T11:10:33.099Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f4b8886fe09c",
     "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T10:28:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T10:28:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-01T11:10:33.099Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e5673cf982b80b3e1c843f23dc278ab9fb54f77c1c3287dda6011d140005bc54",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "FC Barcelona",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/barcelona/champions-league/preview/barcelona-vs-aston-villa-prediction-team-news-lineups_608180.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Aston Villa"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-18d180ee2a2c7214e089c06d",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-18d180ee2a2c7214e089c06d",
   "match": "SK Slavia Praha v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 57.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: SK Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:52:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T10:10:05.105Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "1.2899",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 2899,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-18d180ee2a2c7214e089c06d",
    "quote_text": "We say: Slavia Prague 0-3 Arsenal",
    "fragment_from": 5490,
    "fragment_to": 5523,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/champions-league/preview/slavia-prague-vs-arsenal-prediction-team-news-lineups_608243.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b92cc4fa010c29b4b75ad457ea33e950db995159d8144556cf0f66a01d68558e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-02T09:52:46.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:10:05.105Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-74eec71471f0",
     "display_name": "SK Slavia Praha — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sk-slavia-praha-vs-arsenal-2026-11-04/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "SK Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T09:52:46.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T09:52:46.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:10:05.105Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "SK Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "0-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: SK Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was SK Slavia Praha 1-2 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4e9f39f18149e2e7325ee391c75954731a021fefa1e80ae9505dedcc4ea571fa",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2899",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 2899,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-03T03:53:41.272Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/champions-league/preview/slavia-prague-vs-arsenal-prediction-team-news-lineups_608243.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "SK Slavia Praha 0-3 Arsenal"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-97eb06113b0d2e44dbf5db13",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-97eb06113b0d2e44dbf5db13",
   "match": "Arsenal v Hull City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 52.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T09:48:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T10:10:13.602Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.1499",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 1499,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-97eb06113b0d2e44dbf5db13",
    "quote_text": "We say: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City",
    "fragment_from": 5757,
    "fragment_to": 5786,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/preview/arsenal-vs-hull-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608461.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "dc11bfe11c24636bc1ab0568746bb156a26ea31d7d0da8a944fdb89bb6d15820",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T09:48:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T10:10:13.602Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-db14ccc3b614",
     "display_name": "Arsenal — Hull City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal 2-0 Hull City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T09:48:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T09:48:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T10:10:13.602Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Arsenal 2-0 Hull City",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Hull City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7604c9eb41c0e4b0042cc6e279389e33737af05d44c8e58b00499dcb770ca17a",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1499",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 1499,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T10:15:57.690Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/preview/arsenal-vs-hull-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608461.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal 2-0 Hull City"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e889e3761fbcb8af2baa36f8",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-e889e3761fbcb8af2baa36f8",
   "match": "Sunderland v Chelsea",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sunderland-vs-chelsea-2026-11-08/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 46.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:33:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T15:10:23.900Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e889e3761fbcb8af2baa36f8",
    "quote_text": "We say: Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea",
    "fragment_from": 5214,
    "fragment_to": 5244,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/chelsea/preview/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-team-news-lineups_608574.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "66167dee496f0bc3122f96112eade2cc495ce69ae53ae6eb6eb3b8dc7b5b6dcd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T14:33:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T15:10:23.900Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-cb4a97ea2900",
     "display_name": "Sunderland — Chelsea",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sunderland-vs-chelsea-2026-11-08/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "scheduled"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T14:33:26.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T14:33:26.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T15:10:23.900Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "0-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "77296f39996c236c052b29a78923523b64a9c3083b6b2ac7e491acbde389df86",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Chelsea",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9524",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T15:20:50.930Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/chelsea/preview/sunderland-vs-chelsea-prediction-team-news-lineups_608574.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Sunderland 0-2 Chelsea"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-948c6e66d2949f25a72f1c4b",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-948c6e66d2949f25a72f1c4b",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Manchester City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 14.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-948c6e66d2949f25a72f1c4b",
    "quote_text": "We say: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City",
    "fragment_from": 3650,
    "fragment_to": 3695,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "17e2ea831720f3443a0eb5ec0b0412f4bc84cb7ce3e302a0756a630987bf7bad",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e86288800a65",
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest — Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": null,
     "condition": "no_result"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting the final score",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting the final score."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "de0de0d0b8ab7ec64b59530004072b8830bf665a1b1f9745cba70891f3713075",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7092",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:25:40.817Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a2d55d9b6b2d87d0cbd35357",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-a2d55d9b6b2d87d0cbd35357",
   "match": "Fulham v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a2d55d9b6b2d87d0cbd35357",
    "quote_text": "We say: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United",
    "fragment_from": 1712,
    "fragment_to": 1747,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "17e2ea831720f3443a0eb5ec0b0412f4bc84cb7ce3e302a0756a630987bf7bad",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-5400ee392a3b",
     "display_name": "Fulham — Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3406766e9e81d2596723396d06d38ea3294c55241bc56281363ad8593695ddd9",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6850",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 26850,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:25:30.070Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e99e0fd7a177c9dba59c9880",
   "url": "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/#pick-n-e99e0fd7a177c9dba59c9880",
   "match": "Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 9.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e99e0fd7a177c9dba59c9880",
    "quote_text": "We say: Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur",
    "fragment_from": 871,
    "fragment_to": 913,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ben Knapton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "17e2ea831720f3443a0eb5ec0b0412f4bc84cb7ce3e302a0756a630987bf7bad",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f45f3e972ed1",
     "display_name": "Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:10:55.602Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "43dca653cce32d217d8d01cc20f5a9f8426e778dd87bbce4ab5794993f2d2f87",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:25:24.664Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ben Knapton",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Ben Knapton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/arsenal/premier-league-predictions/feature/hull-hopeless-against-arsenal-saturdays-premier-league-predictions_608595.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 75,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ben-knapton/",
   "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/4/",
   "/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 0,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 75
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 5,
  "first": 61,
  "last": 75,
  "author_url": "/authors/ben-knapton/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ben-knapton/picks/5/",
 "source_revision": 16
}
