{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "canonical": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Ben Horlock: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 43 settled picks by Ben Horlock recorded before kick-off across 20 matches, 21 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +5.1% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 43 settled live picks by Ben Horlock before kick-off across 20 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.1% on the total staked. Of the 193 predictions we hold for Ben Horlock, 169 are linked to matches: 115 were recorded by us before kick-off and 54 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "+5.1%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 75, "date_count": 15, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:06:11.540Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "afc70c5a978ff468e79712768bfd4d424e5ee96b6d3c2c26558c2c42550d2dbd", "dependency_group": "author:e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3", "public_name": "Ben Horlock", "tracker_number": 4952, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-17", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3-roi-market-price-90d-z99", 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"issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 21763, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:15.236Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004902, "profit_hundredths": 4902, "outcome_id": "ish-2ac1d88a8439f86b65bc03ba" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T12:32:04.126Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1010702, "profit_hundredths": 10702, "outcome_id": "ish-3a3285bd764623f4c1d217f3" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T09:39:30.690Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000702, "profit_hundredths": 702, "outcome_id": "ish-57dc168a8d911abe6b68cc96" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T09:39:30.707Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1009002, "profit_hundredths": 9002, "outcome_id": "ish-5a7dd6148aa460a11d8f2deb" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:11:51.175Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 999002, "profit_hundredths": -998, "outcome_id": "ish-0e4069434ae02e9a297545e0" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:11:51.203Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 989002, "profit_hundredths": -10998, 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7821, "outcome_id": "ish-450077cfba7d7565a4989aeb" }, { "at": "2026-10-30T22:10:42.852Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 997821, "profit_hundredths": -2179, "outcome_id": "ish-2264ed309c558405d4ee642a" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:34:38.634Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1010321, "profit_hundredths": 10321, "outcome_id": "ish-de76c866ea0040f2e052a995" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T17:34:38.676Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1015321, "profit_hundredths": 15321, "outcome_id": "ish-02b5278fb374d8f5b449cbef" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:17.067Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1026821, "profit_hundredths": 26821, "outcome_id": "ish-ec19bf509881782286aae90c" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:17.083Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1040421, "profit_hundredths": 40421, "outcome_id": "ish-532e7ea81fb357438419f2b8" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T22:13:09.552Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1030421, "profit_hundredths": 30421, "outcome_id": "ish-7e1698f570bdc3b58eb19e7d" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T22:13:09.574Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1020421, "profit_hundredths": 20421, "outcome_id": "ish-05b37cac9a5999041f17f512" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:40.616Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1025321, "profit_hundredths": 25321, "outcome_id": "ish-4ece25887e13d98b0230a999" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:40.626Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1029621, "profit_hundredths": 29621, "outcome_id": "ish-b15d122d4088ff3c136228f0" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.969Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019621, "profit_hundredths": 19621, "outcome_id": "ish-92bb281aa3be5874cb7ff5d4" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.984Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1009621, "profit_hundredths": 9621, "outcome_id": "ish-f5a953b3267fda5d917b9dc3" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:15.325Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1014621, "profit_hundredths": 14621, "outcome_id": "ish-ad60a591815233210da7112c" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:15.342Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1025121, "profit_hundredths": 25121, "outcome_id": "ish-c02b88c8413923705c87fd46" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:15.375Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1015121, "profit_hundredths": 15121, "outcome_id": "ish-cf9c78c42256ff8cc1a1f12b" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:12.877Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019976, "profit_hundredths": 19976, "outcome_id": "ish-ba5e5262988d68780567d86a" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:12.888Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1009976, "profit_hundredths": 9976, "outcome_id": "ish-fcf5db3f092330f2f3335197" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.029Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1024726, "profit_hundredths": 24726, "outcome_id": "ish-aa05629f8595ea091c97d21c" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.038Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1033201, "profit_hundredths": 33201, "outcome_id": "ish-981b03ed2220bf6ce5756aff" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:13.048Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1037645, "profit_hundredths": 37645, "outcome_id": "ish-874153e376688073b7031ad2" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:53.350Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1027645, "profit_hundredths": 27645, "outcome_id": "ish-5fbd187d00ce124af052cf86" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:53.362Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1032407, "profit_hundredths": 32407, "outcome_id": "ish-9e07f51f68ac93ad2877c9ce" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T20:22:53.374Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1022407, "profit_hundredths": 22407, "outcome_id": "ish-9cf77e96204f7c2b5b1d4603" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:22.198Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012407, "profit_hundredths": 12407, "outcome_id": "ish-ac0e6421012ecec53efadc4d" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:42.367Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1002407, "profit_hundredths": 2407, "outcome_id": "ish-a663d084651f63d88cf37f38" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:42.395Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 992407, "profit_hundredths": -7593, "outcome_id": "ish-b7a55d968fa79dac1193dc4b" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:42.411Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1014407, "profit_hundredths": 14407, "outcome_id": "ish-2c362a891b0bd20c0b2a0bc1" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:42.624Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019707, "profit_hundredths": 19707, "outcome_id": "ish-71308c52e9afb92591444777" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:42.647Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1026207, "profit_hundredths": 26207, "outcome_id": "ish-309b1f29fe1a0b887f7589a1" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:48.331Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1016207, "profit_hundredths": 16207, "outcome_id": "ish-bb6508d0aac68148a2f1ffa3" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:48.343Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1021763, "profit_hundredths": 21763, "outcome_id": "ish-8e9e868befc1f759cffd55df" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-cs-10-z-9661454475-event", "alt": "Ben Horlock · Exact score 2–0 · Arsenal v Everton · 24 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Ben", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 22 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "earned_at": "2026-10-24", "published_at": "2026-10-25", "visible_until": "2027-01-22", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–0 · 24 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-9661454475181b3de3e2", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-be86eb4d1265f8c1ff62c35a", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Arsenal v Everton", "said_text": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Everton", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 15 right", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/6/#pick-n-be86eb4d1265f8c1ff62c35a" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1036, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1036, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 762, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 762, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 594, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 594, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3/cs-10-z-9661454475-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-966145447518", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "embed_anchor": "title-exact-score-called-exact-score-called-3" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-219f05b9f3721c43d208", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–2 · 31 Oct", "body": "Exact score 2–2 · Hull City v Ipswich Town · 31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-219f05b9f372", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/#zk-219f05b9f3721c43d208" }, { "title_id": "zk-64b28fed2556f8cc878d", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–0 · 31 Oct", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-64b28fed2556", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/#zk-64b28fed2556f8cc878d" }, { "title_id": "zk-390cef478486e626b100", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–0 · 27 Oct", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Bradford City v Peterborough United · 27 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-390cef478486", "event_at": "2026-10-27", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/#zk-390cef478486e626b100" } ], "record_origin": [], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–2 · Hull City v Ipswich Town · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-219f05b9f372" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace · 31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-64b28fed2556" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Bradford City v Peterborough United · 27 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-27", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-390cef478486" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–0 · Arsenal v Everton · 24 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-24", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-966145447518" } ], "record_details": [], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 44, "above": 2, "above_share_percent": "4.5", "below": 1, "within": 41, "median_difference_percent": "-1.0", "not_comparable": 1, "disputed": 1, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/2/#pick-n-68086bb33eeef1eb455867c4", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.60", "market": "2.25", "difference_percent": "15.6" }, { "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/7/#pick-n-f34e8785b82036f5ecd17511", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.15", "market": "2.30", "difference_percent": "-6.5" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "betvictor.com", "url": "https://www.betvictor.com/news/ipswich-vs-bournemouth-odds-preview-prediction-h2h-best-bets/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-17", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 43, "matches": 20, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 21763, "staked_hundredths": 430000, "return_percent": "5.06", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 43 settled live picks by Ben Horlock before kick-off across 20 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.1% on the total staked. Of the 193 predictions we hold for Ben Horlock, 169 are linked to matches: 115 were recorded by us before kick-off and 54 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "43", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "20", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+217.63 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+5.1%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −27.5% to +37.1%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10702, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9002, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14502, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4421, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2179, "n": 14 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 40421, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20421, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9621, "n": 24 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 37645, "n": 32 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12407, "n": 36 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26207, "n": 41 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21763, "n": 43 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 43, "matches": 20, "match_dates": 12, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 21763, "low": { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2179, "after_picks": 14 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 40421, "after_picks": 18 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10702, "n": 2, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9002, "n": 4, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14502, "n": 8, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4421, "n": 12, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2179, "n": 14, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 40421, "n": 18, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20421, "n": 20, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9621, "n": 24, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 37645, "n": 32, "picks": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12407, "n": 36, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26207, "n": 41, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21763, "n": 43, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 43 settled live picks by Ben Horlock before kick-off across 20 matches between 21 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.1% on the total staked. Of the 193 predictions we hold for Ben Horlock, 169 are linked to matches: 115 were recorded by us before kick-off and 54 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ben-horlock/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 193, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 24, "proven_predictions": 115, "proven_checked": 99, "proven_measured": 75, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 115, "checked": 99, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 43, "void": 0, "matches": 20, "net_points_hundredths": 21763, "staked_hundredths": 430000, "return_percent": "5.06", "interval_low": "-27.54", "interval_high": "37.09", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 4 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 41, "return_main_percent": "-2.08", "return_other_percent": "-3.23", "settled_excluding_void": 41, "net_main_points_hundredths": -8537, "net_other_points_hundredths": -13243, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 36, "return_main_percent": "9.21", "return_other_percent": "7.16", "settled_excluding_void": 36, "net_main_points_hundredths": 33157, "net_other_points_hundredths": 25783, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 32, "exact_hits": 4, "exact_rate": 12.5, "outcome_checked": 32, "outcome_hits": 12, "outcome_rate": 37.5, "baseline_matches": 29, "baseline_distinct_matches": 29, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 10, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 34.5, "favourite_hits": 14, "favourite_rate": 48.3, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 2, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 13, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "4 of 32 score forecasts named the exact score (12.5%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 10 of 29 matches; the market favourite was right in 14 of the same 29 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 29 of 32 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 99, "priced": 43 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 43, "won": 25, "won_percent": "58.1", "implied_percent": "55.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 11, "picks": 20, "implied_percent": "55.3" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 12, "picks": 19, "implied_percent": "60.6" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "37.0" }, { "market": "Player to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "31.2" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 29, "right": 11, "wrong": 18, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 54, "checked": 43, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 43, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-0073dd16d87cb45fe2e2a732", "n-03cd406148a49a61b7237ead", "n-0822228fc18d21125c69777d", "n-104f434881d0fbbea9f18a94", "n-14aef27ceac27e01425fb954", "n-1f0ac3a817f64e26accb142f", "n-1fd74a7f4e0341d1c493bda3", "n-2e7b013dba963faff757921e", "n-376483906b2eec2fd3fe935f", "n-3851cea2be9ba2fd024aa676", "n-38d8a71501ef753d0dbe1d14", "n-594c3d153f33cb68d93dbb1e", "n-61320d49addd1fe1e43e8953", "n-625a037bdf0d055993e8de6a", "n-7255e4f49a1e1ac0fc33164c", "n-79d835a66f2241a92dcc3932", "n-8e65ed31422cfa04dbf5964a", "n-9139b2509dc831350713de90", "n-96c19cad1902c44b6939ee9f", "n-a164fa2e6281492370a1ca07", "n-a3b0a471fe1caf39084138b8", "n-a6e2788d821c6f5caededb42", "n-a8cbd5da1d50ba032d981868", "n-a9b347fb241c3ddbf20b32f6", "n-b4ab72c2ce612b4da11349c8", "n-b6516de5a6d2ff6d05278bc0", "n-bc2262de2848098159767fce", "n-be21abeb3d1e4c8a740c0926", "n-c187a9e662e6d5ef2f1565dd", "n-c1fa9f73a87097186ac814a4", "n-c834ba2a0b2595f878d61918", "n-c8963686c31d1f6322d39d19", "n-cae77b9158054962ed46b193", "n-cdc1042316d444a79012d02a", "n-d2ac37b6f6c39b05e6a4271d", "n-d870eeaeeb876f6513192742", "n-d8831d27922e414775c6e6d3", "n-ebf374d7067c594b3dec7f19", "n-f34e8785b82036f5ecd17511", "n-f5a1d5502e087366768894c1", "n-f6dd67eabdecdc74ba654009", "n-f71b4a926fbba237b985ff2d", "n-f8b642bbd5e2898e8d4831b1" ], "interval_low": "-27.54", "interval_high": "37.09", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 21 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-17", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-a8cbd5da1d50ba032d981868", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/11/#pick-n-a8cbd5da1d50ba032d981868", "match": "Arsenal v Hull City", "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 46.8, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.55", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5556, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.55", "settled_price": "1.5556", "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "no", "price": "1.5556", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5556, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a8cbd5da1d50ba032d981868", "quote_text": "BTTS (No): The Gunners superby kept Liverpool at bay last week and have conceded the least amount of goals in the PL (5). Our football betting markets have BTTS (No) available at 11/20.", "fragment_from": 4901, "fragment_to": 5086, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.betvictor.com/news/arsenal-vs-hull-odds-betting-preview-prediction/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ben Horlock", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "468de2b9c0aa9a6a4b4e55b4187cd8a448441ea7d9a617468d05bf7944603c15", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:11:50.343Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-db14ccc3b614", "display_name": "Arsenal — Hull City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "no", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.55", "our_snapshot": "1.5556", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T16:06:26.943Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5556, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", 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}, { "operation_id": "6bc1d90d1d010825102c9058739a2ebf6b684bf7577736e9b4bec4ee8a98e793", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "no", "decimal_odds": "1.5556", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5556, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:11:50.343Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ben Horlock", "publisher": "BetVictor News", "forecaster": "Ben Horlock", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.betvictor.com/news/arsenal-vs-hull-odds-betting-preview-prediction/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-61320d49addd1fe1e43e8953", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/11/#pick-n-61320d49addd1fe1e43e8953", "match": "Arsenal v Hull City", "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 46.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.47", "settled_price": "1.5000", "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.5000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-61320d49addd1fe1e43e8953", "quote_text": "Over 2.5 goals: Landed in two of the last three H2H clashes. Currently 40/85.", "fragment_from": 4822, "fragment_to": 4899, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.betvictor.com/news/arsenal-vs-hull-odds-betting-preview-prediction/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ben Horlock", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "468de2b9c0aa9a6a4b4e55b4187cd8a448441ea7d9a617468d05bf7944603c15", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:11:44.290Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-db14ccc3b614", "display_name": "Arsenal — Hull City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T16:06:26.943Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T16:08:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T16:10:34.384Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 Hull City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "29c731955ee22d908b410cea1fc7056ebb671cb11a06d6abcf43db0b69aaa59e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:11:34.578Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "8aa85c9d608f70e9137ca574cd82bfdc79a852b1b869b7a284bcae15d1ae24d1", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T16:11:44.290Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ben Horlock", "publisher": "BetVictor News", "forecaster": "Ben Horlock", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline 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Currently 9/10.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:28:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:30:27.076Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4880c22911a25887ef8d210d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Prediction: Leeds 1-2 Tottenham", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T10:28:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T10:30:27.076Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cceb271f0b51c62d2710f3ec", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "BTTS (No): The Cherries have kept six consecutive clean sheets with Sparta Prague blanking in their last two games in all comps. Our football betting markets have BTTS (No) available at 11/10.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:23:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T12:30:17.431Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4bc4b22a8bb634e8406810e2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 2.5 goals: Landed in four of Bournemouth’s last six which included the 3-0 wins over AC Milan and Sturm Graz. 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Our football betting markets have BTTS (No) available at 4/5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T11:43:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T12:21:24.895Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-75be6060370c6e2929227607", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 4.5 goals: Landed in nine different Barcelona games in all competitions so far this term. 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"author_cumulative_hundredths": -24870, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -94770 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -19551, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -89451 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -11076, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -80976 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -6221, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -76121 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -16221, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -86121 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -13721, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -83621 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -9277, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -79177 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -74415 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -68354 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -24515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -78354 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -34515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -71361 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -44515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -57661 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -54515, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -50668 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -49215, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -45368 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -42318, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -38471 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -35818, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -31971 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -45818, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -41971 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -40262, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -36415 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38724, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -34877 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 193, "pages": 11, "page_urls": [ "/authors/ben-horlock/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/2/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/3/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/4/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/5/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/6/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/7/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/8/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/9/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/10/", "/authors/ben-horlock/picks/11/" ], "groups": { "settled": 43, "pending": 4, "excluded": 146 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Ben Horlock Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=43&odds=1.90&roi=5.1&src=record", "n": 43, "odds": "1.90", "roi": "5.1", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "person": { "person_id": "o-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Ben Horlock", "main_entity": "e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-a5216cb8a4f36f42532c04c3", "medium": "BetVictor News", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "betvictor.com", "source_info": "betvictor-com", "byline": "Ben Horlock", "url": "/sources/betvictor-com/", "summary": { "statements": 421, "predictions": 193, "settled_picks": 43, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 5.06, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 43, "matches": 20, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "c85475c057b1c48d4f340e93201f3d71fd864602969ce6fbe530aa7042871017" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-323249b29990818ad21b", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "6.39", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "618c47c739d71551fb4521ff8a7c3c54325c5dc646caa64ab578ecabc461360a", "text": "+6.39% on 41 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "5.06", "settled_picks": 43, "matches": 20, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c85475c057b1c48d4f340e93201f3d71fd864602969ce6fbe530aa7042871017", "text": "+5.06% on 43 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4664f532af7a57e4d2f7", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "3.45", "settled_picks": 36, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "757dac8742dca36e7819eb153503ede08c1141f35638809233b46844e31dcadf", "text": "+3.45% on 36 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "6.39", "settled_picks": 41, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "618c47c739d71551fb4521ff8a7c3c54325c5dc646caa64ab578ecabc461360a", "text": "+6.39% on 41 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-accfcc6db4976c774852", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "11.76", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f11d55d38cf63e479421579190baf1a21151e70c480a41213a9e4521251b2032", "text": "+11.76% on 32 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "3.45", "settled_picks": 36, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "757dac8742dca36e7819eb153503ede08c1141f35638809233b46844e31dcadf", "text": "+3.45% on 36 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-11c542d9514cdd8c33be", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "4.01", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7b08d68c27e3a8cd057904d53b4e6bf51127d2554ef36c5df211a160f081ad9f", "text": "+4.01% on 24 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "11.76", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f11d55d38cf63e479421579190baf1a21151e70c480a41213a9e4521251b2032", "text": "+11.76% on 32 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "8 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 8, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-d2862d826080c1fbd9c2", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "10.21", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "57a024ccdaab34060ffc265b84d3841557c65ba4b468970026ab56850c8c626c", "text": "+10.21% on 20 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "4.01", "settled_picks": 24, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7b08d68c27e3a8cd057904d53b4e6bf51127d2554ef36c5df211a160f081ad9f", "text": "+4.01% on 24 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fc3e54af32dcee8c3596", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "22.46", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "40e283010d892be9cb560ed1175422d3ad684ceb8cbdd260df599c91af880ef2", "text": "+22.46% on 18 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "10.21", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "57a024ccdaab34060ffc265b84d3841557c65ba4b468970026ab56850c8c626c", "text": "+10.21% on 20 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b67cd94a8db271e3b765", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-1.56", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b7c68cf976b85ec1e01af365125f85a3f4040df2884ab62d2d4650cbf6c2e822", "text": "−1.56% on 14 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "22.46", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "40e283010d892be9cb560ed1175422d3ad684ceb8cbdd260df599c91af880ef2", "text": "+22.46% on 18 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fd84bd23879ed2f2014a", "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "3.68", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "62a1e2e0cd0884dc27e7bfbf6ff10cb88363b68a66947b84005fad85a5ab35e6", "text": "+3.68% on 12 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "return_percent": "-1.56", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b7c68cf976b85ec1e01af365125f85a3f4040df2884ab62d2d4650cbf6c2e822", "text": "−1.56% on 14 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-bd6b0002f42a9b9b6df4", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "18.13", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5a2b603df7ecec0ea60b54e5ae0b2fdc3afe61edf702244a4127c8f8caa6282c", "text": "+145.02 points on 8 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "3.68", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "62a1e2e0cd0884dc27e7bfbf6ff10cb88363b68a66947b84005fad85a5ab35e6", "text": "+3.68% on 12 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-16a9e3e72d75ec73c2c3", "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-27.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "return_percent": "22.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d9a40be3deeb7fd31c20464c398e95fac46e929480a0cdfa5f6140297485bc67", "text": "+90.02 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "return_percent": "18.13", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "5a2b603df7ecec0ea60b54e5ae0b2fdc3afe61edf702244a4127c8f8caa6282c", "text": "+145.02 points on 8 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 4, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-cf3088a5d958027bb78c", "at": "2026-10-24T11:27:41.323Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.2", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "53.51", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2b0eaec64f9386be2196208b396588c4a13b2c1ab893acc0106facd1d9a75485", "text": "+107.02 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "return_percent": "22.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d9a40be3deeb7fd31c20464c398e95fac46e929480a0cdfa5f6140297485bc67", "text": "+90.02 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-86161071275c53958a62", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/ben-horlock/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "49.02", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": 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