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Chance\n\n12\n\nESTAC Troyes have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.\n\nOlympique Marseille have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:04:15.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T04:09:35.223Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-02ef29308580ba76297d7278", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Total 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"unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-043c2320589bb66d7f67ca8c", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/11/#pick-n-043c2320589bb66d7f67ca8c", "match": "Arouca v Estrela Amadora", "match_url": "/football/matches/arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": 15.2, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-043c2320589bb66d7f67ca8c", "quote_text": "Total Goals\n\nOver 1.5", "fragment_from": 2975, "fragment_to": 2996, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/fc-arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-primeira-liga-12223753/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Baba", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "14f0b8092bfa059f31fcad503de3a83932bde48908b32332eee1e1fb28eecd8d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-d9b1eaa27075", "display_name": "Arouca — Estrela Amadora", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f099f38331a99b0e55a51cd8d8298c9e905ab0598cb7120d3fb06da637240661", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Baba", "publisher": "Livetipsportal", "forecaster": "Baba", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/fc-arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-primeira-liga-12223753/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-4a97397c1a78983fc7e550d5", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/11/#pick-n-4a97397c1a78983fc7e550d5", "match": "Arouca v Estrela Amadora", "match_url": "/football/matches/arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": 15.2, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.73", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.73", "settled_price": "1.73", "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4a97397c1a78983fc7e550d5", "quote_text": "Moreover, with both teams possessing a commendable attacking record, our second tip would be to bet on both teams to score in this match. The odds for this outcome stand at 1.73 with Paripesa", "fragment_from": 2364, "fragment_to": 2555, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/fc-arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-primeira-liga-12223753/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Baba", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "14f0b8092bfa059f31fcad503de3a83932bde48908b32332eee1e1fb28eecd8d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-11T04:24:27.584Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d9b1eaa27075", "display_name": "Arouca — Estrela Amadora", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-11/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.73", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.73", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.73" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5973adcf050617e247777d19bd1789e4fa9edd3914f8136973611c32dcddeacf", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.73", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-11T04:24:27.584Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f5b4f9fd9c7e882b61a16eef9393f169207690c0a5f8f05bcf6c43d7df99a094", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Baba", "publisher": "Livetipsportal", "forecaster": "Baba", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/fc-arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-primeira-liga-12223753/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-57715353f8952261f294b254", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/11/#pick-n-57715353f8952261f294b254", "match": "Arouca v Estrela Amadora", "match_url": "/football/matches/arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": 15.2, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Arouca 2-1 Estrela Amadora", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-57715353f8952261f294b254", "quote_text": "A predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Arouca reflects both teams' attacking capabilities while recognizing Arouca's stronger home form.", "fragment_from": 6577, "fragment_to": 6715, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/fc-arouca-vs-estrela-amadora-primeira-liga-12223753/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Baba", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": 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"recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T01:14:58.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T04:19:42.719Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Estrela Amadora", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Estrela Amadora" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora." }, "settlements": [ { 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