{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "canonical": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Ayaz Karacan: Football Prediction Record", "description": "199 settled picks by Ayaz Karacan archived before kick-off across 199 matches, 14 Feb 2025 – 11 Jan 2026: +3.3% reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 199 settled archived picks by Ayaz Karacan from copies archived before kick-off, across 199 matches between 14 February 2025 and 11 January 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned +3.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,037 predictions we hold for Ayaz Karacan, 206 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 831 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "+3.3%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 199, "date_count": 66, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 988, "of_them_archived": 199 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "17e29a662c752f99c0c737bfcdd617e0e7be983a04d98f49dd5055fc3a50ee6e", "dependency_group": "author:e-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f", "public_name": "Ayaz Karacan", "tracker_number": 3952, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-10-12" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 1037, "recognised": 1037, "accepted": 1037, "executed": 1037, "calculated": 988, "gaps": [] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 1037, "of_them_restored": 1037, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 0, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 1037, "predictions_restored": 1037, "matches": 0, "admitted": 1037, "qualifying_picks": 1037, "qualifying_picks_restored": 1037, "settled_picks": 988, "settled_picks_restored": 988, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 1037, "settled_picks": 988, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 49, "matches": 986, "operations_settled": 988, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, 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null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:41.860Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.539Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-01-11T13:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Go Ahead Eagles", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.93", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.8700", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T09:19:50.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:41.860Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T09:19:50.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Go Ahead Eagles", "author_odds": "1.93", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Go Ahead Eagles at 1.93" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8ad3030a48eefc7589b0833c7a14af00db9656e8ae0c0ace4628eb609e6515b4", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Go Ahead Eagles", "decimal_odds": "1.93", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.539Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "f3c4ae6ab7fbc63207ea6fcd1738303a5a1f4eb375b8585611da96189d59be5e", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Go Ahead Eagles", "decimal_odds": "1.8700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.539Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/go-ahead-eagles-fortuna-sittard-iddaa-tahmini-11-01-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-774333b477a5d2ff3ac38674", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/53/#pick-n-774333b477a5d2ff3ac38674", "quote_text": "3.5 ÜST, Oran 2.06", "fragment_from": 2808, "fragment_to": 2826, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/heerenveen-feyenoord-iddaa-tahmini-11-01-2026-2/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ayaz Karacan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "262a6ecf70f4144fd717229c070ee802f9e1cd700cef390bfb929067003e2bc4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:37.385Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.055Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "SC Heerenveen v Feyenoord", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-01-11T11:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.06", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.3650", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 13650, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T09:11:25.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:37.385Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T09:11:25.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": "2.06", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.06" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was SC Heerenveen 2-2 Feyenoord." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f8ca27c76b1e9e71d9a39ac9ed9ac53306f4491c670fa556aefb4b59a4ec0e0b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.06", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10600, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.055Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ad01e70ac0b8bfc361ef2214e467ea90909d185095f450f8fc3992f8c4f3f5c6", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "2.3650", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 13650, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:03.055Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/heerenveen-feyenoord-iddaa-tahmini-11-01-2026-2/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c125a65ec6c677ea0f704cb0", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/53/#pick-n-c125a65ec6c677ea0f704cb0", "quote_text": "2.5 ALT, Oran 1.33", "fragment_from": 2778, "fragment_to": 2796, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/nacional-santa-clara-iddaa-tahmini-11-01-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ayaz Karacan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "54b749a06ee4f6500dc56c0cb9f438a54b08b06fee7d115e7a752987a3708342", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:43:32.703Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:04.586Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Nacional v Santa Clara", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-01-11T15:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-3" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.33", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.4550", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T08:09:10.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:43:32.703Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-01-11T08:09:10.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "1.33", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.33" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nacional 3-3 Santa Clara." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "cfb88778620e86fe0064f8f77c275a8b92a57d8aaed22ce22a3ed4ff9fe3e148", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.33", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:04.586Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "438e6c149d62cf7d42f3ecb5858e1a5fd98b56327caa4f3a89756501c82442d8", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4550", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:01:04.586Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": 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"author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.58", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:53:06.814Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "238147201bdbb67bd766de333dd312a251124e7c2b0b740387ae7e0724fb9f61", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.6200", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:53:06.814Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/feyenoord-rkc-waalwijk-bahis-tahmini-14-05-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-46080819b3861e7a8215a1b3", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/49/#pick-n-46080819b3861e7a8215a1b3", "quote_text": "KGVAR, Oran 1.45", "fragment_from": 2824, "fragment_to": 2840, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/heerenveen-nec-nijmegen-bahis-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ayaz Karacan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "53938dee47b022406f6f02b28438046a1121dde7e85f07d3323cc71d5d0cace7", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:41.137Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.807Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "SC Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2025-04-27T12:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.45", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.5500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:19:28.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:41.137Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:19:28.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.45", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SC Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "82972d5d60e351147c911349b80355b6a5c6ed3280c7c4c1c23b930f8e74a3f8", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.45", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.807Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "943e6a33a33509016217a52cd31f39fb90bac7fc41c885c54bb2ac65df9e9426", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.5500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.807Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/heerenveen-nec-nijmegen-bahis-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3714ae1ced4442a568f979d3", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/49/#pick-n-3714ae1ced4442a568f979d3", "quote_text": "KGVAR, Oran 1.55", "fragment_from": 2739, "fragment_to": 2755, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/ajax-sparta-rotterdam-iddaa-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ayaz Karacan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4991ae433b720844631cd9155e77553db2ab01ec1d9e7d482c4fa95f52554f9f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:34.845Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.694Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AFC Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2025-04-27T12:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.55", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7250", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7250, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:12:58.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:34.845Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:12:58.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.55", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AFC Ajax 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "47758888ea752d21a9dfda6d4fbc46f5658046628c3a3b93c697ac2035aa0932", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.55", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5500, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.694Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5c0f6430253f4e42d1a3d3d11f42ab920b0c6c1900eda41cab477e0048519a04", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.7250", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7250, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.694Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/ajax-sparta-rotterdam-iddaa-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8c3efec04906237a75c75102", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/49/#pick-n-8c3efec04906237a75c75102", "quote_text": "MS 1, Oran 1.59", "fragment_from": 2760, "fragment_to": 2775, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/fortuna-sittard-willem-ii-bahis-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Ayaz Karacan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "329ad73f987341db72f3ba4bacccd429a850def2ed936ac2860fd3f26aa98632", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:30.265Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.219Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Fortuna Sittard v Willem II Tilburg", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2025-04-27T10:15:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Fortuna Sittard", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.59", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.7000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:14:09.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:30.265Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-27T08:14:09.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Fortuna Sittard", "author_odds": "1.59", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Fortuna Sittard at 1.59" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II Tilburg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "817219f842e32bf873be8c73a72489022c2ccdbdbb00c385334ad8f9fc21261c", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Fortuna Sittard", "decimal_odds": "1.59", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5900, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.219Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a15a5a0fcecf75a5cfd0c935bf571200a305ea9e704a817ee1569a13928c270c", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Fortuna Sittard", "decimal_odds": "1.7000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:22.219Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Ayaz Karacan", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Ayaz Karacan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/fortuna-sittard-willem-ii-bahis-tahmini-27-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 988, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 199, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 789, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 225, "span_from": "2025-02-03", "span_to": "2026-01-11", "line_text": "restored history: 988, of which pre-match archive 199", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Championship, League Cup, Champions League, Europa League, League One, Conference League, UEFA Super Cup, Brasileiro Série A, Brasileiro Série B, Ligue 1, Serie A, Eredivisie, Primeira Liga and MLS Next Pro matches between 3 February 2025 and 11 January 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 988. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 199. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 789. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 988, "share": "0.5749" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 988, "roi": "-10.6113", "ci_low": "-15.7315", "ci_high": "-5.6398", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 984, "roi": "-0.8211", "ci_low": "-6.2690", "ci_high": "4.7305", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Championship", "League Cup", "Champions League", "Europa League", "League One", "Conference League", "UEFA Super Cup", "Brasileiro Série A", "Brasileiro Série B", "Ligue 1", "Serie A", "Eredivisie", "Primeira Liga", "MLS Next Pro" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 988 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "futboltr.com", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/go-ahead-eagles-fortuna-sittard-iddaa-tahmini-11-01-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-10-12", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 199, "matches": 199, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 66350, "staked_hundredths": 1990000, "return_percent": "3.33", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 199 settled archived picks by Ayaz Karacan from copies archived before kick-off, across 199 matches between 14 February 2025 and 11 January 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned +3.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,037 predictions we hold for Ayaz Karacan, 206 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 831 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "199", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "199", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+663.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "+3.3%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −9.0% to +15.8%" } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 831 predictions dated by the source. 785 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2025-02-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5000, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2025-02-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17400, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44800, "n": 13 }, { "date": "2025-02-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18100, "n": 16 }, { "date": "2025-02-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27900, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2025-03-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18200, "n": 24 }, { "date": "2025-03-08", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6200, "n": 35 }, { "date": "2025-03-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 38100, "n": 42 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 61150, "n": 45 }, { "date": "2025-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34850, "n": 54 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 65850, "n": 63 }, { "date": "2025-03-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 58800, "n": 71 }, { "date": "2025-04-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85500, "n": 74 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 110200, "n": 77 }, { "date": "2025-04-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84700, "n": 81 }, { "date": "2025-04-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 103950, "n": 84 }, { "date": "2025-04-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73950, "n": 87 }, { "date": "2025-04-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 100250, "n": 91 }, { "date": "2025-04-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117150, "n": 94 }, { "date": "2025-04-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 89350, "n": 100 }, { "date": "2025-04-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 105450, "n": 109 }, { "date": "2025-04-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85450, "n": 111 }, { "date": "2025-04-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 75450, "n": 112 }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 90450, "n": 114 }, { "date": "2025-04-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106100, "n": 122 }, { "date": "2025-05-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 81300, "n": 126 }, { "date": "2025-05-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 94050, "n": 132 }, { "date": "2025-05-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 112950, "n": 135 }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 125950, "n": 136 }, { "date": "2025-07-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117750, "n": 140 }, { "date": "2025-07-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 93150, "n": 144 }, { "date": "2025-07-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 126100, "n": 150 }, { "date": "2025-07-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 135250, "n": 154 }, { "date": "2025-07-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 157250, "n": 158 }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 107250, "n": 163 }, { "date": "2025-08-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 107650, "n": 166 }, { "date": "2025-08-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 120800, "n": 171 }, { "date": "2025-08-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106850, "n": 174 }, { "date": "2025-08-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 86850, "n": 176 }, { "date": "2025-08-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 76850, "n": 177 }, { "date": "2025-08-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 65500, "n": 185 }, { "date": "2025-10-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83350, "n": 192 }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73350, "n": 193 }, { "date": "2026-01-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 72700, "n": 196 }, { "date": "2026-01-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 66350, "n": 199 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 199, "matches": 199, "match_dates": 66, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 66350, "low": { "date": "2025-02-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44800, "after_picks": 13 }, "high": { "date": "2025-07-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 157250, "after_picks": 158 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2025-02-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5000, "n": 2, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-02-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17400, "n": 7, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-02-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34800, "n": 12, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44800, "n": 13, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-02-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18100, "n": 16, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-02-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27900, "n": 20, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-02-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20400, "n": 21, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18200, "n": 24, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-03-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1900, "n": 30, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2025-03-08", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6200, "n": 35, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-03-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 38100, "n": 42, "picks": 7 }, { "date": "2025-03-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 52400, "n": 44, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 61150, "n": 45, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34850, "n": 54, "picks": 9 }, { "date": "2025-03-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 58050, "n": 62, "picks": 8 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 65850, "n": 63, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 58800, "n": 71, "picks": 8 }, { "date": "2025-03-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 70300, "n": 72, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85500, "n": 74, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 90200, "n": 75, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 110200, "n": 77, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84700, "n": 81, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-04-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 103950, "n": 84, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-04-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83950, "n": 86, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73950, "n": 87, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 100250, "n": 91, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 111650, "n": 93, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117150, "n": 94, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 89350, "n": 100, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 101750, "n": 104, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-04-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 105450, "n": 109, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-04-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85450, "n": 111, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-04-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 75450, "n": 112, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83450, "n": 113, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 90450, "n": 114, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 104050, "n": 117, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-04-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106100, "n": 122, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-05-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 81300, "n": 126, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 87500, "n": 127, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-05-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 94050, "n": 132, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-05-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 112950, "n": 135, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 125950, "n": 136, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-06-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 115950, "n": 137, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-07-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117750, "n": 140, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-07-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 97750, "n": 142, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-07-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 93150, "n": 144, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-07-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 126100, "n": 150, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2025-07-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 132100, "n": 151, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-07-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 135250, "n": 154, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-07-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 157250, "n": 158, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-08-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 127250, "n": 161, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 107250, "n": 163, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-08-16", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 107650, "n": 166, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-08-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 119350, "n": 168, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-08-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 120800, "n": 171, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-08-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106850, "n": 174, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-08-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 96850, "n": 175, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-08-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 86850, "n": 176, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-08-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 76850, "n": 177, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73200, "n": 179, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2025-08-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 65500, "n": 185, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2025-08-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 76850, "n": 189, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-10-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 83350, "n": 192, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73350, "n": 193, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-01-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 72700, "n": 196, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-01-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 66350, "n": 199, "picks": 3 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 199 settled archived picks by Ayaz Karacan from copies archived before kick-off, across 199 matches between 14 February 2025 and 11 January 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned +3.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,037 predictions we hold for Ayaz Karacan, 206 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 831 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 1037, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 206, "proven_checked": 199, "proven_measured": 199, "proven_dates": 66, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 206, "checked": 199, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 199, "void": 0, "matches": 199, "net_points_hundredths": 66350, "staked_hundredths": 1990000, "return_percent": "3.33", "interval_low": "-8.98", "interval_high": "15.82", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 199, "return_main_percent": "3.33", "return_other_percent": "-6.49", "settled_excluding_void": 199, "net_main_points_hundredths": 66350, "net_other_points_hundredths": -129100, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 199, "priced": 199 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 199, "won": 119, "won_percent": "59.8", "implied_percent": "58.0", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 54, "picks": 88, "implied_percent": "60.5" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 38, "picks": 62, "implied_percent": "55.2" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 27, "picks": 49, "implied_percent": "57.0" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "source_reported", "title": "Source-reported history", "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.", "predictions": 831, "checked": 789, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 785, "void": 0, "matches": 784, "net_points_hundredths": -147150, "staked_hundredths": 7850000, "return_percent": "-1.87", "interval_low": "-8.12", "interval_high": "4.47", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-02-03", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 785, "return_main_percent": "-1.87", "return_other_percent": "-11.43", "settled_excluding_void": 785, "net_main_points_hundredths": -147150, "net_other_points_hundredths": -897300, "period_from": "2025-02-03", "period_to": "2026-01-11" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { 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false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fc31943c0d0a718260a7e54e", "url": null, "match": "Gil Vicente v Famalicão", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-17T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": -14449.2, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 2.7", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:25:46.541Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f7fd8c0e0818afd56de1de92", "url": null, "match": "Bologna v Torino", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-02-14T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "lead_hours": -14521.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.04", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "disputed_reading", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:15:53.588Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 1037, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 1037, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 1037, "pages": 53, "page_urls": [ "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/2/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/3/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/4/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/5/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/6/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/7/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/8/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/9/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/10/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/11/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/12/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/13/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/14/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/15/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/16/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/17/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/18/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/19/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/20/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/21/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/22/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/23/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/24/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/25/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/26/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/27/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/28/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/29/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/30/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/31/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/32/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/33/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/34/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/35/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/36/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/37/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/38/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/39/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/40/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/41/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/42/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/43/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/44/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/45/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/46/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/47/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/48/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/49/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/50/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/51/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/52/", "/authors/ayaz-karacan/picks/53/" ], "groups": { "settled": 988, "pending": 0, "excluded": 49 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Ayaz Karacan Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Ayaz Karacan", "main_entity": "e-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-92ca8c85b91d5f16b6d3a83f", "medium": "FutbolTR", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "futboltr.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "Ayaz Karacan", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 1037, "predictions": 1037, "settled_picks": 199, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": 3.33, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-12" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "established" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "sample": { "settled_picks": 199, "matches": 199, "void": 0, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "composition_hash": "af7dc362384e8b0fb010352bde6fddb60a50e7a63a7d9c90577ed83d9c63803b" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-bf4259b7d92536553a47", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "3.23", "settled_picks": 201, "matches": 201, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ec07a5aa4f2a0857702b130faa08fef2e29bcca247ddfde50e8ecfba491294d5", "text": "+3.23% on 201 settled picks across 201 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "3.33", "settled_picks": 199, "matches": 199, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "af7dc362384e8b0fb010352bde6fddb60a50e7a63a7d9c90577ed83d9c63803b", "text": "+3.33% on 199 settled picks across 199 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-c9a38e75edecfd5d1fc7" }, { "id": "zc-b47d2c3c14d07bf2dd35", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "return_percent": "0.72", "settled_picks": 206, "matches": 206, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ebcad57ed550f2f5431975b35f2113b052ae8da089cad64daa0d7a556d800b80", "text": "+0.72% on 206 settled picks across 206 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "3.23", "settled_picks": 201, "matches": 201, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ec07a5aa4f2a0857702b130faa08fef2e29bcca247ddfde50e8ecfba491294d5", "text": "+3.23% on 201 settled picks across 201 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 5 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 5, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-6ca750d23463b3e6d749" }, { "id": "zc-f470b70ecdfdc1402a3c", "at": "2026-10-13T20:21:18.065Z", "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.4", "url": "/authors/ayaz-karacan/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "return_percent": "0.72", "settled_picks": 206, "matches": 206, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ebcad57ed550f2f5431975b35f2113b052ae8da089cad64daa0d7a556d800b80", "text": "+0.72% on 206 settled picks across 206 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 206 settled picks in the series “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 206, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 199, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 88, "won": 54, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 5600, "return_percent": "0.6", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.52", "odds_from_author": 88, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 62, "won": 38, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 68950, "return_percent": "11.1", "period_from": "2025-02-16", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.65", "odds_from_author": 62, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 49, "won": 27, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -8200, "return_percent": "-1.7", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-10-02", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.62", "odds_from_author": 49, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Primeira Liga", "in_words": "Primeira Liga", "url": "/football/competitions/primeira-liga/", "settled_picks": 85, "won": 58, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 153550, "return_percent": "18.1", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.60", "odds_from_author": 85, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 39, "won": 27, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 40350, "return_percent": "10.3", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.48", "odds_from_author": 39, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 25, "won": 15, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 29250, "return_percent": "11.7", "period_from": "2025-02-16", "period_to": "2025-08-31", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.68", "odds_from_author": 25, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 21, "won": 16, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 83950, "return_percent": "40.0", "period_from": "2025-02-15", "period_to": "2025-08-31", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.73", "odds_from_author": 21, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "Eredivisie", "in_words": "Eredivisie", "url": "/football/competitions/eredivisie/", "settled_picks": 66, "won": 33, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -86700, "return_percent": "-13.1", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.58", "odds_from_author": 66, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 23, "won": 14, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 24550, "return_percent": "10.7", "period_from": "2025-02-16", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 23, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 23, "won": 11, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -38900, "return_percent": "-16.9", "period_from": "2025-02-15", "period_to": "2026-01-11", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.63", "odds_from_author": 23, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 20, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -72350, "return_percent": "-36.2", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-08-31", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.49", "odds_from_author": 20, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Conference League", "in_words": "UEFA Conference League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/", "settled_picks": 15, "won": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 13450, "return_percent": "9.0", "period_from": "2025-04-10", "period_to": "2025-10-02", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.51", "odds_from_author": 15, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 8, "won": 6, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 18150, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-04-10", "period_to": "2025-08-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.48", "odds_from_author": 8, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": 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