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"forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://speltips.se/europatipset-14-10-jackpot-och-champions-league", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 2, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "speltips.se", "url": "https://speltips.se/topptipset-15-10-europa-league-och-confan" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-13", "observed_to": "2026-10-15", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before 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At our recorded market prices these picks returned +7.4% on the total staked. Of the 26 predictions we hold for Arvid Snacke, 15 are linked to matches: 15 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "10", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "10", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+74.14 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+7.4%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −43.5% to +51.4%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14473, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7414, "n": 10 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "match_dates": 2, "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-10-15", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 7414, "low": { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7414, "after_picks": 10 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14473, "after_picks": 8 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14473, "n": 8, "picks": 8 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7414, "n": 10, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Arvid Snacke before kick-off across 10 matches between 14 and 15 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +7.4% on the total staked. Of the 26 predictions we hold for Arvid Snacke, 15 are linked to matches: 15 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/arvid-snacke/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 26, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 11, "proven_predictions": 15, "proven_checked": 15, "proven_measured": 10, "proven_dates": 2, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 15, "checked": 15, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 10, "void": 0, "matches": 10, "net_points_hundredths": 7414, "staked_hundredths": 100000, "return_percent": "7.41", "interval_low": "-43.52", "interval_high": "51.44", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-10-15", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 6, "return_main_percent": "-7.65", "return_other_percent": "-2.61", "settled_excluding_void": 6, "net_main_points_hundredths": -4590, "net_other_points_hundredths": -1565, "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-10-15" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 15, "priced": 10 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 10, "won": 7, "won_percent": "70.0", "implied_percent": "66.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Double chance", "won": 4, "picks": 6, "implied_percent": "75.1" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "54.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 4, "right": 1, "wrong": 3, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-146ab3b1f7c2072cd2d1288d", "n-2224d884e7ce38653dbc53a9", "n-24e003705523f6b7c32fb501", "n-2f3126abbf5ad94456f66632", "n-35d0955b9d960b99f34eca20", "n-916e5aa72de07d3d8b1fabd9", "n-982cbb34bcaa5d878172217a", "n-b722b053525bcca86adbdff2", "n-c7b464ce48425efeb3409eea", "n-efcdfc9250c7c9349c590208" ], "interval_low": "-43.52", "interval_high": "51.44", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 14–15 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-13", "record_to": "2026-10-15" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-982cbb34bcaa5d878172217a", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/picks/3/#pick-n-982cbb34bcaa5d878172217a", "match": "Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht", "match_url": "/football/matches/dinamo-zagreb-vs-anderlecht-2026-10-15/", "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 11.7, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Dinamo Zagreb or draw", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2941, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.2941", "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-982cbb34bcaa5d878172217a", "quote_text": "Belgarna är säkerligen nöjda med delad ära i Zagreb. 1X.", "fragment_from": 2803, "fragment_to": 2859, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/topptipset-15-10-europa-league-och-confan", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Arvid Snacke", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "17e617e71f21cccaf867bd787695a5cba3a607daaa0c80098a7808cecf86354f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-15T07:21:12.794Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0677921d1759", "display_name": "Dinamo Zagreb — Anderlecht", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/dinamo-zagreb-vs-anderlecht-2026-10-15/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Dinamo Zagreb or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.2941", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T07:14:48.255Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2941, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Dinamo Zagreb or draw", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Dinamo Zagreb or draw" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "469e661b7286a660bc17b0dba5d7cda07154a1fcd48b42055999d705056ab994", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Dinamo Zagreb or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.2941", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2941, "executed_at": "2026-10-15T07:21:12.794Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Arvid Snacke", "publisher": "Speltips.se", "forecaster": "Arvid Snacke", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://speltips.se/topptipset-15-10-europa-league-och-confan", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Dinamo Zagreb or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-24e003705523f6b7c32fb501", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/picks/2/#pick-n-24e003705523f6b7c32fb501", "match": "Olympique de Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus", "match_url": "/football/matches/olympique-de-marseille-vs-olympiakos-piraeus-2026-10-15/", "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 11.7, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Olympique de Marseille or draw", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.3984", "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-24e003705523f6b7c32fb501", "quote_text": "1X ska räcka gott.", "fragment_from": 1781, "fragment_to": 1799, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/topptipset-15-10-europa-league-och-confan", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Arvid Snacke", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "17e617e71f21cccaf867bd787695a5cba3a607daaa0c80098a7808cecf86354f", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:41.958Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-50cbf0117aea", "display_name": "Olympique de Marseille — Olympiakos Piraeus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/olympique-de-marseille-vs-olympiakos-piraeus-2026-10-15/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Olympique de Marseille or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.3984", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T07:14:48.255Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T07:11:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T07:19:35.137Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Olympique de Marseille or draw", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Olympique de Marseille or draw" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Olympique de Marseille 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ddaeb3e174842e5bcd90424f014c1ff6bc606874f82790fd8f5e601fff31805f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Olympique de Marseille or draw", "decimal_odds": "1.3984", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:36:41.958Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Arvid Snacke", "publisher": "Speltips.se", "forecaster": "Arvid Snacke", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://speltips.se/topptipset-15-10-europa-league-och-confan", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Olympique de Marseille or draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-2224d884e7ce38653dbc53a9", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/picks/2/#pick-n-2224d884e7ce38653dbc53a9", "match": "Toronto FC v Orlando City SC", "match_url": "/football/matches/toronto-fc-vs-orlando-city-sc-2026-10-14/", "kickoff": "2026-10-14T23:30:00.000Z", "competition": "MLS", "lead_hours": 35.5, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Toronto FC or Orlando City SC", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.2976", "published_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T11:59:38.256Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2224d884e7ce38653dbc53a9", "quote_text": "Speltips: 12", "fragment_from": 8133, "fragment_to": 8145, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://speltips.se/europatipset-14-10-jackpot-och-champions-league", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Arvid Snacke", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ba320415935ee6060f13799e9d9e720642381fb9173fe41c82f0cbefb312c086", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T11:59:38.256Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T12:17:18.013Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-cf49d45bc76f", "display_name": "Toronto FC — Orlando City SC", "competition_name": "MLS", "starts_at": "2026-10-14T23:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/toronto-fc-vs-orlando-city-sc-2026-10-14/", "scoreline": "3-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Toronto FC or Orlando City SC", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.2976", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-13T12:03:46.660Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T11:59:38.256Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Toronto FC or Orlando City SC", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "12", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Toronto FC or Orlando City SC" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Toronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "27ceb627055c33b5602014580d51118850b1b2d028d63544a8387316ed27bf23", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Toronto FC or Orlando City SC", "decimal_odds": 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"author_said": null, "quote": "Match 4: Aston Villa – Fenerbahce | Speltips: 1X2", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T11:59:38.256Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-64718959014f8c1590316aa5", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Match 2: Roma – Real Madrid | Speltips: 1X2", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-13T11:49:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T11:59:38.256Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 15, "before_kickoff": 15, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 15, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 31.0, "min_hours": 11.7, "max_hours": 35.5, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before 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"2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 600, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1200 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 3550, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4150 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-14T23:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13354, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13954 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 26, "pages": 3, "page_urls": [ "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "/authors/arvid-snacke/picks/2/", "/authors/arvid-snacke/picks/3/" ], "groups": { "settled": 10, "pending": 0, "excluded": 16 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Arvid Snacke Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-a1f5a7c31de22df92461d351", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Arvid Snacke", "main_entity": "e-a1f5a7c31de22df92461d351", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-a1f5a7c31de22df92461d351", "medium": "Speltips.se", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "speltips.se", "source_info": "speltips-se", "byline": "Arvid Snacke", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/", "summary": { "statements": 33, "predictions": 26, "settled_picks": 10, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 7.41, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-13", "period_to": "2026-10-15" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "updated": "2026-10-27", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-10-15", "composition_hash": "64584e01197d849ce66fce73b0f8f7a8c831951ecd95fd339517d6e537c94569" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-8f6df4de9c2043def846", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "19.35", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8b2fa5ef7d2ffd20905d4482b3e7a3475f52ba7c0b9ab837f37b6d2e359c931b", "text": "+174.14 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "7.41", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "64584e01197d849ce66fce73b0f8f7a8c831951ecd95fd339517d6e537c94569", "text": "+7.41% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fc3cac3caedecd031488", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.1", "return_percent": "7.41", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0b53a9e1a94dad68519147a732a2ca1c812c71a7089daca78bd1831fbdd4b0a8", "text": "+7.41% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "19.35", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8b2fa5ef7d2ffd20905d4482b3e7a3475f52ba7c0b9ab837f37b6d2e359c931b", "text": "+174.14 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-fa8cd697f05550ca2a36" }, { "id": "zc-252bc7bcedbe23c891ac", "at": "2026-10-17T04:29:28.512Z", "data_version": "2026-10-17.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.7", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "return_percent": "5.42", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "722fd77dd2c8b02d98e9133be905360fea54e4285e3fdebeaeb96c4ada69d859", "text": "+48.78 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-17.1", "return_percent": "7.41", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0b53a9e1a94dad68519147a732a2ca1c812c71a7089daca78bd1831fbdd4b0a8", "text": "+7.41% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e545668112f22d188528", "at": "2026-10-15T21:55:15.257Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.8", "url": 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(found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-107bf16b1493ec43fe4d", "at": "2026-10-15T03:15:54.496Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.1", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "24.27", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c36df0a6e79ce5a682de0a2020819bb6b3efd7bdb0c0ce3d09233eb6d08eb08a", "text": "+121.33 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.2", "return_percent": "17.05", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0f3c67a2be48aed3e038299b60d3637515f1f0fbbc258c4cc105d8b610ef9159", "text": "+119.37 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-81b93170f1d6b191f7a4", "at": "2026-10-14T22:11:18.139Z", "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-14.2", "url": "/authors/arvid-snacke/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.3", "return_percent": "24.27", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c36df0a6e79ce5a682de0a2020819bb6b3efd7bdb0c0ce3d09233eb6d08eb08a", "text": "+121.33 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 5 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 10, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "url": null, "settled_picks": 6, "won": 4, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -5940, "return_percent": "-9.9", "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-10-15", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.35", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 6 }, { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": 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