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"2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "publisher": "SportyTrader NL", "forecaster": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.nl/voorspellingen-tips/psv-willem-ii-383309/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 4, "service": 1, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 18, "above": 2, "above_share_percent": "11.1", "below": 1, "within": 15, "median_difference_percent": "0.1", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/3/#pick-n-aef39cf967a62027955bda43", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.42", "market": "1.15", "difference_percent": "23.5" }, { "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/3/#pick-n-7cf56c4cb014d0296c57ce47", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "3.20", "market": "3.00", "difference_percent": "6.7" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportytrader.nl", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.nl/voorspellingen-tips/cambuur-psv-385544/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-12", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 13727, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "7.22", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Arjan Van Tongerloo before kick-off across 10 matches between 20 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +7.2% on the total staked. Of the 59 predictions we hold for Arjan Van Tongerloo, 35 are linked to matches: 35 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "19", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "10", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+137.27 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+7.2%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −41.6% to +46.9%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24600, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34600, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30122, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37372, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18339, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8327, "n": 18 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13727, "n": 19 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 10, "match_dates": 8, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 13727, "low": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37372, "after_picks": 12 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13727, "after_picks": 19 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24600, "n": 4, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34600, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -30122, "n": 10, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37372, "n": 12, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18339, "n": 15, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8327, "n": 18, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13727, "n": 19, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 19 settled live picks by Arjan Van Tongerloo before kick-off across 10 matches between 20 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +7.2% on the total staked. Of the 59 predictions we hold for Arjan Van Tongerloo, 35 are linked to matches: 35 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 59, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 24, "proven_predictions": 35, "proven_checked": 33, "proven_measured": 19, "proven_dates": 10, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 35, "checked": 33, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 19, "void": 0, "matches": 10, "net_points_hundredths": 13727, "staked_hundredths": 190000, "return_percent": "7.22", "interval_low": "-41.64", "interval_high": "46.87", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 19, "return_main_percent": "7.22", "return_other_percent": "6.32", "settled_excluding_void": 19, "net_main_points_hundredths": 13727, "net_other_points_hundredths": 12000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 11, "return_main_percent": "32.75", "return_other_percent": "37.48", "settled_excluding_void": 11, "net_main_points_hundredths": 36027, "net_other_points_hundredths": 41223, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-04" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 33, "priced": 19 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 19, "won": 13, "won_percent": "68.4", "implied_percent": "66.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 4, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "53.7" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "72.2" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "75.2" }, { "market": "Team goals", "won": 3, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "67.6" }, { "market": "Asian handicap", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "87.0" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 13, "right": 7, "wrong": 6, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-05a992ac6d335261e06228af", "n-1d187a440b83a70dfc495956", "n-3658dfeb3f87f308ccf5d9c9", "n-393d2b8884e682822a321285", "n-453c551dde985251d26ede1f", "n-701602cdbb61dd8197a3089a", "n-7493daaf88034db8118e5e8d", "n-7a2dcd6bf3db69c7b381ef4c", "n-7cf56c4cb014d0296c57ce47", "n-7d213f73da4037ac1e425d94", "n-8ddf6fe27722c07ccd4441f4", "n-a10c4838ea01ceb39cd5d7d8", "n-a844aa0ff543afba1791f739", "n-aef39cf967a62027955bda43", "n-b552bbbc8aad2b32292c04ca", "n-b88356dc15056bd6684d17b5", "n-ca33caf8ce34fcec74a70011", "n-ddfd9c4081e491c70f4bae14", "n-e12412c496bfc3172d9d249e" ], "interval_low": "-41.64", "interval_high": "46.87", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 20 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-12", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-a10c4838ea01ceb39cd5d7d8", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/4/#pick-n-a10c4838ea01ceb39cd5d7d8", "match": "NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia", "match_url": "/football/matches/nec-nijmegen-vs-omonia-nicosia-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 47.2, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5400, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.5400", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T18:30:23.893Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "yes", "price": "1.5400", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5400, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a10c4838ea01ceb39cd5d7d8", "quote_text": "De voorspelling voor de wedstrijd tussen NEC en Omonia Nicosia is: Beide teams scoren.", "fragment_from": 2518, "fragment_to": 2604, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.nl/voorspellingen-tips/nec-omonia-nicosia-384489/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b28261c49df10da344718d01ae71973b7a41a54a408dcda486c099ee6aa6ac7a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:30:23.893Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T19:12:12.279Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-249eabeec1b6", "display_name": "NEC Nijmegen — Omonia Nicosia", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/nec-nijmegen-vs-omonia-nicosia-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "3-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.5400", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T18:29:44.363Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5400, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:30:23.893Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Omonia Nicosia." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7f6a93247b2da6f68dbf28ca31eba7742c176fd1d7bb65ae3b1ea7e9244f3ca8", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.5400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5400, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T19:12:12.279Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "publisher": "SportyTrader NL", "forecaster": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.nl/voorspellingen-tips/nec-omonia-nicosia-384489/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-3658dfeb3f87f308ccf5d9c9", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/4/#pick-n-3658dfeb3f87f308ccf5d9c9", "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV", "match_url": "/football/matches/psv-eindhoven-vs-club-brugge-kv-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 47.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Club Brugge KV at 3", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 20000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3", "settled_price": "3.0000", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T20:30:49.819Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.0500", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-3658dfeb3f87f308ccf5d9c9", "quote_text": "Club Brugge wint\n\nOdds\n3.00", "fragment_from": 11554, "fragment_to": 11581, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.nl/voorspellingen-tips/psv-fc-bruges-384292/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "34b6a2c73dfd39e819576516032b4c02dda87e8a3e294691041d6715b1023d2d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:30:49.819Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T04:05:01.227Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c2e9521ba3c2", "display_name": "PSV Eindhoven — Club Brugge KV", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/psv-eindhoven-vs-club-brugge-kv-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Club Brugge KV", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3", "our_snapshot": "3.0000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T20:28:08.354Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 20000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:30:49.819Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, 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null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 2.5 goals\n\nQuotering\n1.44", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T16:59:37.051Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cb2b27371165ce36b4591d3d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Como 1907 wint\n\nQuotering\n1.91", 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"claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T16:59:37.051Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-288cf58ec9e6467800d9cef0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Wedtip :\n\nBeide teams scoren\n\n1.4", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T16:59:37.051Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 35, "before_kickoff": 35, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 35, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 47.3, "min_hours": 46.5, "max_hours": 47.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 12, "settled_picks_all": 19, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 3, "no_recorded_line": 4, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 120000, "author_net_hundredths": 25785, "favourite_net_hundredths": -4215, "difference_hundredths": 30000, "author_return_percent": 21.49, "favourite_return_percent": -3.51, "author_hit_rate": 75.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 66.7, "picked_favourite_share": 83.3, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 7, "staked_hundredths": 70000, "author_net_hundredths": 8152, "favourite_net_hundredths": -21848, "author_hits": 4, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": 11.65, "favourite_return_percent": -31.21 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 3, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "author_net_hundredths": 9533, "favourite_net_hundredths": 9533, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 3, "author_return_percent": 31.78, "favourite_return_percent": 31.78 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": 8100, "favourite_net_hundredths": 8100, "author_hits": 2, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": 40.5, "favourite_return_percent": 40.5 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -4600, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4600 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -14600, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14600 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -11900, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -11900 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -21900, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -21900 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -17022, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -17022 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -13572, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -13572 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10822, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10822 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2948, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2948 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 385, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 385 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 20385, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9615 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25785, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4215 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 59, "pages": 4, "page_urls": [ "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/2/", "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/3/", "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/picks/4/" ], "groups": { "settled": 20, "pending": 0, "excluded": 39 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Arjan Van Tongerloo Predictions: Verified Record and Results", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-f50dd68ae53ac661471dea65", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "main_entity": "e-f50dd68ae53ac661471dea65", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-f50dd68ae53ac661471dea65", "medium": "SportyTrader NL", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportytrader.nl", "source_info": null, "byline": "Arjan Van Tongerloo", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 268, "predictions": 59, "settled_picks": 19, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 7.22, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "a7b705e745b24250e5908147128440d084cb07474b4a4ea2ce5fd46f3c006f42" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-166c416825f7896702a6", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "12.00", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a5d067b16f277687758a8f1ccc060751ef44a886e7b410240b0a588134ac84cb", "text": "+12.00% on 17 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "7.22", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a7b705e745b24250e5908147128440d084cb07474b4a4ea2ce5fd46f3c006f42", "text": "+7.22% on 19 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3a0a88118a0be97ca177", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "9.37", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d6b367448281c18adb44729614eca28ac256a068e371b6edfad3596c9a246d93", "text": "+9.37% on 16 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "12.00", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a5d067b16f277687758a8f1ccc060751ef44a886e7b410240b0a588134ac84cb", "text": "+12.00% on 17 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-70f08da2c8f76a9a635a", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-5.96", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e26fb32848db4dbd71ced42c9253ae675b1715c9b2643134f2f8be8085cfe193", "text": "−5.96% on 14 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "9.37", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d6b367448281c18adb44729614eca28ac256a068e371b6edfad3596c9a246d93", "text": "+9.37% on 16 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-becb95aedbc61202c9a2", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-24.88", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "217e9933dc2274f653fab7863a7fef65e32fae83480d90f1e64f5ced4602c652", "text": "−24.88% on 11 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "-5.96", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e26fb32848db4dbd71ced42c9253ae675b1715c9b2643134f2f8be8085cfe193", "text": "−5.96% on 14 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e98faa37f8bf1502f36c", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-22.36", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "86e635b94f3108f7e5ad08ebcc3aab31210f965eaa11741e7dd1522c4adf6a3e", "text": "−201.22 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-24.88", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "217e9933dc2274f653fab7863a7fef65e32fae83480d90f1e64f5ced4602c652", "text": "−24.88% on 11 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-174c9934d31a7a12c897", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-61.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8b014a6b23c9356aa46f1528d2fc1f0f856dc6c1e4e32aa4d30d7a742488d15c", "text": "−246.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-22.36", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "86e635b94f3108f7e5ad08ebcc3aab31210f965eaa11741e7dd1522c4adf6a3e", "text": "−201.22 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-969fd2f000bf479853f9", "at": "2026-10-23T01:17:07.717Z", "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-48.67", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a0c05963e2d57b25fa2784fb11be032984b5512c6c7c02423c5c3f00b83b833e", "text": "−146.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-23.1", "return_percent": "-61.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8b014a6b23c9356aa46f1528d2fc1f0f856dc6c1e4e32aa4d30d7a742488d15c", "text": "−246.00 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-79e2d63def3aad3cde99", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-23.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b8b2a187c31a02695007346b6e68946e4c1b698c18ca65a72154975c6a4d1069", "text": "−46.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-48.67", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a0c05963e2d57b25fa2784fb11be032984b5512c6c7c02423c5c3f00b83b833e", "text": "−146.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3530aa5a0ad08f928eff", "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2", "url": "/authors/arjan-van-tongerloo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4694637afa0887088294291745d34f5e0d3119ac610cdeb8b823dc8194087dd2", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "-23.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b8b2a187c31a02695007346b6e68946e4c1b698c18ca65a72154975c6a4d1069", "text": "−46.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7e8df1a7ea5e3c216c64", "at": "2026-10-20T21:29:02.148Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "previous_data_version": 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