{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/",
 "canonical": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Anthony Nolan — football predictions, page 2 of 5",
 "description": "Predictions 1–20 of 63 by Anthony Nolan, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 2 of 5 of the predictions by Anthony Nolan recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 63 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "63",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:48:49.387Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "bf69fbf1b2168c858b129b1e27e8e20e5850ead18acddc4ff0c8306bfd6a53d4",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-0d19eef6ec81aa8719847920",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-0d19eef6ec81aa8719847920",
  "public_name": "Anthony Nolan",
  "tracker_number": 969,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-24",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-898e702a2fdcb5c6aafb8a91",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Sweden 3-1 Romania",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T22:26:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-24T19:35:58.889Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b75089382d4da3f7ba01d9da",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: San Marino 0-3 Finland",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T23:11:29.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T00:30:45.792Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f592af60882e77619945762d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Faroe Islands 2-1 Kazakhstan",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T22:27:52.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T00:30:45.840Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-28e6b375d99933e5646b5369",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Curacao 3-1 Nicaragua",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T22:59:14.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T23:07:14.026Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4221f0c79fba3414fe00894f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Belgium 1-2 France",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-26T22:05:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:18:20.407Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a750f9cc2df84f68be1ba8c3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "their attacking quality - even in the absence of Mbappe - may see them secure a narrow win.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-26T22:05:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-26T23:18:20.407Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-56b2477e4a8ee7a6a50f0dbc",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Finland 2-1 Belarus",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T22:27:43.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T22:38:03.846Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8e0a5d76845641c18b849455",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: San Marino 0-3 Albania",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T23:00:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-27T23:15:24.428Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-afe9b495eeab60359b76f97d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Kazakhstan 2-1 Moldova",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-30T22:44:19.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T23:06:39.481Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-80ad01eaf78d7542d1197686",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-01T00:56:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T01:05:25.367Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-059ca27ed21e876b825233cf",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Iceland 2-1 Bulgaria",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-02T01:19:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-02T02:03:46.942Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a598378fc07aa99544bc3388",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Ukraine 0-1 Hungary",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T02:05:37.795Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a3787778525548ba8d660d9d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: Northern Ireland 2-0 Georgia",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T02:59:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T03:02:56.976Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4261bb9d0cdbb7dda44b11d8",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-4261bb9d0cdbb7dda44b11d8",
   "match": "Switzerland v North Macedonia",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Nations League",
   "lead_hours": 44.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T21:53:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:17.774Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4261bb9d0cdbb7dda44b11d8",
    "quote_text": "We say: Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia",
    "fragment_from": 4035,
    "fragment_to": 4074,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/switzerland/uefa-nations-league/preview/switzerland-vs-n-macedonia-prediction-team-news-lineups_606230.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3c80fed524cb5ee6d98bc336ab74f98e4396737fbbef702f970c32aa471a8bfa",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-04T21:53:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:17.774Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ae8b8846a0cf",
     "display_name": "Switzerland — North Macedonia",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Nations League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T21:53:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T21:53:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-04T22:07:17.774Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e17dc88463589af2da73d8a5832fd8a2c10e539c0d6b6a1ce52887351fd880f9",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Switzerland",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/switzerland/uefa-nations-league/preview/switzerland-vs-n-macedonia-prediction-team-news-lineups_606230.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a1bd5710233375792569a51",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-0a1bd5710233375792569a51",
   "match": "Scotland v Slovenia",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Nations League",
   "lead_hours": 43.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Scotland 1-1 Slovenia",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T22:59:28.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-04T23:04:20.608Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0a1bd5710233375792569a51",
    "quote_text": "We say: Scotland 1-1 Slovenia",
    "fragment_from": 3837,
    "fragment_to": 3866,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/scotland/uefa-nations-league/preview/scotland-vs-slovenia-prediction-team-news-lineups_606231.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "1d0d34638cd8b75aab6366bb7d0b261b90883faa6b3a58f543a16bc0aac5a383",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-04T22:59:28.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-04T23:04:20.608Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "ambiguous",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2da290c0b380",
     "display_name": "Scotland — Slovenia",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Nations League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Scotland 1-1 Slovenia",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T22:59:28.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T22:59:28.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-04T23:04:20.608Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Scotland 1-1 Slovenia",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Scotland 1-1 Slovenia"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Scotland 1-2 Slovenia."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "69153f30397e62459b43340168eb2915c8c0b8642dd9681ebc23834336f1c455",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/scotland/uefa-nations-league/preview/scotland-vs-slovenia-prediction-team-news-lineups_606231.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Scotland 1-1 Slovenia"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-44414cc7d6d5008872d9a8e8",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-44414cc7d6d5008872d9a8e8",
   "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 41.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Werder Bremen",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-07T23:48:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T01:09:00.508Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.3317",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-44414cc7d6d5008872d9a8e8",
    "quote_text": "We say: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Werder Bremen",
    "fragment_from": 4734,
    "fragment_to": 4777,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/preview/dortmund-vs-werder-bremen-prediction-team-news-lineups_606409.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "743a8929c221b04cd6e5afe14d1d0e5ff3bc4dc128541bd6686810f52ed6a9db",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-07T23:48:02.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-08T01:09:00.508Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-bc1b20d37a35",
     "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-09/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Werder Bremen",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-07T23:48:02.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-07T23:48:02.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-08T01:09:00.508Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Werder Bremen",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Werder Bremen"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9ccb47c76a0b2ca0efaf8db49d444eac76356fe1d298482bcb7f438f7a68bbb3",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Borussia Dortmund",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3333",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-08T11:49:51.250Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/borussia-dortmund/preview/dortmund-vs-werder-bremen-prediction-team-news-lineups_606409.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Werder Bremen"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-84595e82543c912a7d2ad95a",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-84595e82543c912a7d2ad95a",
   "match": "FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 39.9,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: FC Augsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T21:31:12.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T21:37:33.231Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "1.1818",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": "Sports Mole, section pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-84595e82543c912a7d2ad95a",
    "quote_text": "We say: Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich",
    "fragment_from": 4420,
    "fragment_to": 4454,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/augsburg/bundesliga-title-race/preview/augsburg-vs-bayern-prediction-team-news-lineups_606491.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b8af4103d55183ba8387aaf391a8958b606e034570fa981d1e7bdf758ba4a8f8",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T21:31:12.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-08T21:37:33.231Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-8e70f1379274",
     "display_name": "FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-augsburg-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "FC Augsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T21:31:12.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T21:31:12.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-08T21:37:33.231Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "FC Augsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-3",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: FC Augsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Bayern München."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8b90af5632dc00801d51fe54a41dccc643737030d35ae3cea19c66d1d8cfdb6d",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "FC Bayern München",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1818",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:07.636Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/augsburg/bundesliga-title-race/preview/augsburg-vs-bayern-prediction-team-news-lineups_606491.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Augsburg 1-3 FC Bayern München"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-63b564991095f53844de8e3a",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-63b564991095f53844de8e3a",
   "match": "RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 41.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "6-0",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T22:21:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-08T23:05:43.070Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5495",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5495,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-63b564991095f53844de8e3a",
    "quote_text": "We say: RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt",
    "fragment_from": 4325,
    "fragment_to": 4367,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/rb-leipzig/preview/rb-leipzig-vs-frankfurt-prediction-team-news-lineups_606492.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "dc0a1f2f8b149701d6c99c75482e883a4c07316b27c92fad1dfc6bf68ac15c51",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T22:21:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-08T23:05:43.070Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7f44e1174795",
     "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T22:21:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T22:21:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-08T23:05:43.070Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "75f3430eb98ae12f1cbf048362c4aa3a93e6f5315b5087b9fb107f6255603c1a",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "4.7500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:07.576Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/rb-leipzig/preview/rb-leipzig-vs-frankfurt-prediction-team-news-lineups_606492.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c9ebcdb96ecf825ba8da4656",
   "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/#pick-n-c9ebcdb96ecf825ba8da4656",
   "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 37.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score",
   "reason_code": "score_without_price",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T23:23:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T00:08:34.157Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "1.5814",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 5814,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c9ebcdb96ecf825ba8da4656",
    "quote_text": "We say: SC Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart",
    "fragment_from": 4398,
    "fragment_to": 4432,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/paderborn/preview/sc-paderborn-vs-stuttgart-prediction-team-news-lineups_606490.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "00523012de63e16edbc4cf6e625c3b1475a9c87a56728b475eaa556418e872f1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T23:23:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T00:08:34.157Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-17e4bb51bca5",
     "display_name": "SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sc-paderborn-07-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T23:23:44.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T23:23:44.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T00:08:34.157Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e8b7df36897253b0210fa6b0d3c6ea2597db070f16b3195402f71c9ead32dbd2",
      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "VfB Stuttgart",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5814",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5814,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:07.557Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
     "publisher": "Sports Mole",
     "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/paderborn/preview/sc-paderborn-vs-stuttgart-prediction-team-news-lineups_606490.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f68e0af6b545ee9771b91a0f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "We say: FC Koln 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T22:59:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T02:04:32.819Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 63,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/anthony-nolan/",
   "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/",
   "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/3/",
   "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/4/",
   "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 0,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 63
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 2,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/2/",
 "source_revision": 55,
 "evidence_extra": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a2658670158f646f51742ad2",
   "quote_text": "We say: Fenerbahce 2-4 Liverpool",
   "fragment_from": 4922,
   "fragment_to": 4954,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fenerbahce/champions-league/preview/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups_608293.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "9f55551e51a096306ac0485a104df3473e1ffeae13541e779f30c2f3b5614baa",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-02T23:58:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:15:44.637Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-e11039d41c22",
    "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T23:58:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T23:58:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:15:44.637Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "2-4",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "4cb959fcfeb11e4e19a7a8b6ddeadbd840f43d3d1c6a3b470d465db54f053eee",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fenerbahce/champions-league/preview/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-prediction-team-news-lineups_608293.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Fenerbahçe 2-4 Liverpool"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-0b2a9d8bc9b07eb3521942ef",
   "quote_text": "We say: Hoffenheim 2-3 Lyon",
   "fragment_from": 4552,
   "fragment_to": 4579,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/hoffenheim/europa-league/preview/hoffenheim-vs-lyon-prediction-team-news-lineups_607326.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "d560f8a3821117de6a17f0588269a8a149fde0d91b922d2261ec86a0615fb466",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:22:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-22T16:55:44.775Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-fb9f2443b067",
    "display_name": "TSG Hoffenheim — Olympique Lyonnais",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-22/",
    "scoreline": "3-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Olympique Lyonnais",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T22:22:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T22:22:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-22T16:55:44.775Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Olympique Lyonnais",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "2-3",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Olympique Lyonnais"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Olympique Lyonnais."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "443b6c0523cfdff9a2bf70927a602e13a4fb4631aa73811e6929478d602c5ed8",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/hoffenheim/europa-league/preview/hoffenheim-vs-lyon-prediction-team-news-lineups_607326.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Olympique Lyonnais"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9616fc91d16e02726b1ea9fb",
   "quote_text": "We say: Stuttgart 1-2 Atletico Madrid",
   "fragment_from": 4847,
   "fragment_to": 4884,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/stuttgart/champions-league/preview/stuttgart-vs-atletico-prediction-team-news-lineups_607188.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "558a8b511477e28f7572ebbec32a0da7288f241b0b1934de2fac36dc2b48982b",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-18T22:59:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-19T19:05:44.228Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-a03afa8d49aa",
    "display_name": "VfB Stuttgart — Atlético Madrid",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/vfb-stuttgart-vs-atletico-madrid-2026-10-20/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atlético Madrid",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-18T22:59:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-18T22:59:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-19T19:05:44.228Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atlético Madrid",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atlético Madrid"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "9a7633eae8c1d1680d6eb0c399531cb7d74758b1817e8aa96c80350a95cb281e",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Atlético Madrid",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:37:40.189Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/stuttgart/champions-league/preview/stuttgart-vs-atletico-prediction-team-news-lineups_607188.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atlético Madrid"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-76ed149aa2cdd113f9b09198",
   "quote_text": "We say: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Manchester United",
   "fragment_from": 5947,
   "fragment_to": 5992,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/atletico-madrid/champions-league/preview/atletico-vs-man-utd-prediction-team-news-lineups_606700.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "9d2595af705e5398e35494f636b66525b35caa9a9b3f048834a607ade024b997",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T22:20:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-13T16:05:38.604Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-d9409c72d207",
    "display_name": "Atlético Madrid — Manchester United",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-manchester-united-2026-10-13/",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Atlético Madrid 3-1 Manchester United",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T22:20:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T22:20:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-13T16:05:38.604Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Atlético Madrid 3-1 Manchester United",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "3-1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Atlético Madrid 3-1 Manchester United"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "14d1e45ad4cf264f41031d2767b4d5b7c8359a2fabc47d3d4129a12d714d0296",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Atlético Madrid",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/atletico-madrid/champions-league/preview/atletico-vs-man-utd-prediction-team-news-lineups_606700.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Atlético Madrid 3-1 Manchester United"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2ff9e726679f20d1a7e0777b",
   "quote_text": "We say: Ukraine 0-1 Hungary",
   "fragment_from": 3738,
   "fragment_to": 3765,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ukraine/uefa-nations-league/preview/ukraine-vs-hungary-prediction-team-news-lineups_606189.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "c66ff2afc0e41dc8cc7695e742b9e2e0c14f8731e7f5591dca07b7510aa5ae43",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-04T19:56:51.673Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-791544a87ec1",
    "display_name": "Ukraine — Hungary",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Nations League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-05T18:45:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Ukraine 0-1 Hungary",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-04T19:56:51.673Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Ukraine 0-1 Hungary",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "0-1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Ukraine 0-1 Hungary"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Ukraine 1-2 Hungary."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "0b5cc5a90a01e2534959cc6a833148f61b11c83652f86176258f5b5cd0502eb4",
     "series_key": "derived_series",
     "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Hungary",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ukraine/uefa-nations-league/preview/ukraine-vs-hungary-prediction-team-news-lineups_606189.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Ukraine 0-1 Hungary"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-41309046df7afcb5d16be282",
   "quote_text": "Hungary should be able to come out on top in a narrow victory",
   "fragment_from": 3957,
   "fragment_to": 4018,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "rss",
    "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ukraine/uefa-nations-league/preview/ukraine-vs-hungary-prediction-team-news-lineups_606189.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Anthony Nolan",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "c66ff2afc0e41dc8cc7695e742b9e2e0c14f8731e7f5591dca07b7510aa5ae43",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-04T19:56:51.673Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "repeats another statement",
   "cause_code": "duplicate",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-791544a87ec1",
    "display_name": "Ukraine — Hungary",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Nations League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-05T18:45:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Hungary",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-04T01:53:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-04T19:56:51.673Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Hungary",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Hungary"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Ukraine 1-2 Hungary."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "d6cfbe358ab1d02b91f65c9277fa253a31710aac19319800a34dae4bf944c606",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Hungary",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "publisher": "Sports Mole",
    "forecaster": "Anthony Nolan",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ukraine/uefa-nations-league/preview/ukraine-vs-hungary-prediction-team-news-lineups_606189.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Hungary to win"
  }
 ]
}