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 "heading": "Andrew Headspeath: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Andrew Headspeath: 71 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 71 statements by Andrew Headspeath, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Andrew Headspeath, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Andrew Headspeath",
    "publisher": "si.com",
    "forecaster": "Andrew Headspeath",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/barcelona-vs-feyenoord-preview-predictions-lineups-9-9-26",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-df428a64accefaf2c28360cd",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-df428a64accefaf2c28360cd",
   "quote_text": "Barcelona Predicted Lineup vs. Feyenoord",
   "fragment_from": 0,
   "fragment_to": 40,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260908195106id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/barcelona-predicted-lineup-vs-feyenoord-9-9-26",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Andrew Headspeath",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "60f952cd8d0f588cff1f0bd72aacc924cad0231809b503dd67555dc157289ac5",
    "material_removed": false
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   "published_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
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   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:42.766Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
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 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
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  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
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   "name": "si.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260415021223id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/bayern-munich-vs-real-madrid-preview-predictions-lineups-4-15-26"
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  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "none",
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  "restored": false,
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  "staked_hundredths": null,
  "return_percent": null,
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null,
  "period_from": null,
  "period_to": null,
  "status": "unknown",
  "method_version": null,
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": "2 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages",
  "reasons": [
   {
    "code": "after_match",
    "predictions": 2,
    "words": "read after the match"
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  ],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 71 statements by Andrew Headspeath, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Andrew Headspeath, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Statements",
    "value": "71",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#statement",
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   {
    "label": "Predictions",
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction",
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  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
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  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 71 statements by Andrew Headspeath, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Andrew Headspeath, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/andrew-headspeath/",
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     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "lines": []
     },
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      "priced": 0
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    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "score": {
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      "outcome_rate": 100.0,
      "baseline_matches": 1,
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      "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price",
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      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.",
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
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     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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      "lines": [
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       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).",
       "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives."
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     },
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
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}
