{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/", "canonical": "/authors/amanda-langell/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Amanda Langell: Football Prediction Record", "description": "1 settled pick by Amanda Langell archived before kick-off across 1 match, 10 Mar 2026: won 0 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Amanda Langell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 10 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Amanda Langell, 11 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "1", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 11, "date_count": 10, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 1, "of_them_archived": 1 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "276b4109e8a54c56e22c46c7663363042392f1de76a91163d0296bcb1b66ec4a", "dependency_group": "author:e-6b5ad178f535536a2f581b07", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-6b5ad178f535536a2f581b07", "public_name": "Amanda Langell", "tracker_number": 1545, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-10-02" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-6b5ad178f535536a2f581b07-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 859, "recognised": 15, "accepted": 1, "executed": 1, "calculated": 1, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 12 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 2 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 859, "of_them_restored": 859, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 94, "not_about_a_match": 750, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 15, "predictions_restored": 15, "matches": 0, "admitted": 1, "qualifying_picks": 1, "qualifying_picks_restored": 1, "settled_picks": 1, "settled_picks_restored": 1, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 1, "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 1, "operations_settled": 1, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last 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"series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:49:15.178Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e24be25cfaa7bc29cdab0b31", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e24be25cfaa7bc29cdab0b31", "quote_text": "expect Flick will put out his strongest XI against Young Boys.", "fragment_from": 981, "fragment_to": 1043, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241001070517id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/barcelona-predicted-lineup-vs-young-boys-champions-league-10-1-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ce131e767ae06f3ad8340a8d5162cfcba765e59ca6148495d16025c5b1f462a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:49:15.178Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:49:15.178Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c5e225543b575fb2136795ed", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c5e225543b575fb2136795ed", "quote_text": "Barcelona Predicted Lineup vs. Young Boys: Champions League", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 59, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241001070517id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/barcelona-predicted-lineup-vs-young-boys-champions-league-10-1-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ce131e767ae06f3ad8340a8d5162cfcba765e59ca6148495d16025c5b1f462a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:49:15.178Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:49:15.178Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8cbe9badd04b15ead94cf673", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8cbe9badd04b15ead94cf673", "quote_text": "ST: Diogo Jota—Expect Jota to return to the starting XI after Núñez got the nod against Bologna. Slot confirmed the Portugal international recovered from a knock he suffered in training earlier in the week.", "fragment_from": 2585, "fragment_to": 2791, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d9e85114549579192b3569ca", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d9e85114549579192b3569ca", "quote_text": "LW: Luis Díaz—Despite his lack of the production in Liverpool's first two UCL fixtures, Díaz already has five goals in six Premier League matches.", "fragment_from": 2437, "fragment_to": 2583, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ae13a347d478fa563a65c7da", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ae13a347d478fa563a65c7da", "quote_text": "AM: Dominik Szoboszlai—The midfielder will look to continue building him chemistry up top with Salah and Díaz. Szoboszlai has yet to score in the Premier League this season.", "fragment_from": 2262, "fragment_to": 2435, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3d58cd32243df08f5774d2ba", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3d58cd32243df08f5774d2ba", "quote_text": "RW: Mohamed Salah—Salah has found the back of the net in Liverpool's first three away fixtures of the 2024–25 Premier League season and will look to extend the streak at Selhurst Park.", "fragment_from": 2076, "fragment_to": 2260, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cd43ead97a0d04e682d92784", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cd43ead97a0d04e682d92784", "quote_text": "DM: Alexis Mac Allister—Fresh off scoring the winner against Bologna, Mac Allister will slot in alongside Gravenberch.", "fragment_from": 1956, "fragment_to": 2074, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ae65b79e659e77af58ab6191", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ae65b79e659e77af58ab6191", "quote_text": "DM: Ryan Gravenberch—Gravenberch is Liverpool's unsung hero so far. While the front four push forward, the 22-year-old acts as an insurance policy behind the ball, always ready to stabilize the midfield and help his backline.", "fragment_from": 1729, "fragment_to": 1954, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-04T21:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-02923874f48aaff1c406598f", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-02923874f48aaff1c406598f", "quote_text": "LB: Andrew Robertson—The 30-year-old got the nod against Bologna even after suffering a knock at the weekend. If Slot opts to give Robertson a bit of rest, though, expect Konstantinos Tsimikas to start in his place.", "fragment_from": 1512, "fragment_to": 1727, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241004214754id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/liverpool-predicted-lineup-vs-crystal-palace-premier-league-10-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b8e7589fead0a871871ee1afb9b831dbf3ea65027730c5194ba164347c9c7de3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-02T00:47:45.379Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, 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"observation_id": "n-960c0684685a0c9196f7ab3a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-960c0684685a0c9196f7ab3a", "quote_text": "ST: Kylian Mbappé—Fresh off scoring a screamer against Celta Vigo, Mbappé leads the team in goalscoring despite missing time with a previous thigh injury.", "fragment_from": 2926, "fragment_to": 3080, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { 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"author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6f8c376b4380b64c6ffefcdc", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6f8c376b4380b64c6ffefcdc", "quote_text": "RW: Rodrygo—Rodrygo should return to the XI for the first time since suffering from minor back discomfort in the Madrid derby. The 23-year-old has struggled to produce on the right-wing since Mbappé's arrival, though, meaning Ancelotti could stick with a 4-man midfield in place of the Brazilian winger.", "fragment_from": 2621, "fragment_to": 2924, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-714bcc8d219da3d980039caf", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-714bcc8d219da3d980039caf", "quote_text": "CM: Jude Bellingham—The England international played well as a right midfielder on Saturday, but expect him to return to his preferred left side against Dortmund.", "fragment_from": 2457, "fragment_to": 2619, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": 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source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f4cd524260c6323aae359e5b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f4cd524260c6323aae359e5b", "quote_text": "CM: Aurélien Tchouaméni—After another experiment in the backline, expect the Frenchman to return to the midfield.", "fragment_from": 2342, "fragment_to": 2455, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": 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null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c8292727b4862d749bedfbcb", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c8292727b4862d749bedfbcb", "quote_text": "LB: Ferland Mendy—Expect the left-back to return to the starting XI after only playing 20 minutes against Celta Vigo.", "fragment_from": 2007, "fragment_to": 2124, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": 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31-year-old will have the tough task of silencing Serhou Guirassy, who has scored seven goals in as many matches for Dortmund this season.", "fragment_from": 1843, "fragment_to": 2005, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that 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"material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-fb85067ed0aebd9e503eaeec", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-fb85067ed0aebd9e503eaeec", "quote_text": "RB: Lucas Vázquez—In the wake of Dani Carvajal's season-ending knee injury, Vázquez is Ancelotti's new first-choice right-back.", "fragment_from": 1543, "fragment_to": 1670, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241022051050id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-predicted-lineup-vs-borussia-dortmund-champions-league-10-22-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3a1e3abb592219a29a4306064dc6e04effc31b84d35283e1c555ee79f0d50db9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-10-22T05:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:16:07.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, 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"prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-87059cce45aaaa26d901b8b0", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-87059cce45aaaa26d901b8b0", "quote_text": "CB: Manuel Akanji—Akanji will have the tough task of silencing Viktor Gyökeres, who comes into Tuesday's fixture with 20 goals across all competitions on the season.", "fragment_from": 1552, "fragment_to": 1717, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241105060122id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/manchester-city-predicted-lineup-vs-sporting-cp-champions-league-11-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "eca0ef22f1fa0c1c0541caa572a1c61d963c96d29febee153e6f6abf0bba6eae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:15.430Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-11-05T06:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:15.430Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8f820bd115f4c79173f5b264", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8f820bd115f4c79173f5b264", "quote_text": "RB: Rico Lewis—Expect the 19-year-old to return to Guardiola's XI after Kyle Walker played an underwhelming 90 minutes at the weekend.", "fragment_from": 1416, "fragment_to": 1550, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241105060122id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/manchester-city-predicted-lineup-vs-sporting-cp-champions-league-11-5-24", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Amanda Langell", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "eca0ef22f1fa0c1c0541caa572a1c61d963c96d29febee153e6f6abf0bba6eae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:15.430Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2024-11-05T06:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-01T01:13:15.430Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 1, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 1, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 1, "span_from": "2024-10-20", "span_to": "2026-03-17", "line_text": "restored history: 1, of which pre-match archive 1", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League and Champions League matches between 20 October 2024 and 17 March 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 1. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 1, "share": "0.0" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 1, "roi": "-100.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_derived_sm", "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 13, "roi": "-28.1923", "ci_low": "-70.6923", "ci_high": "17.6923", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Champions League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 3 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 10 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.", "score_accuracy": { "n": 13, "share": "0.0769" } }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "si.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250416051250id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/real-madrid-vs-arsenal-preview-predictions-lineups-4-16-25" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-10-02", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-03-10", "period_to": "2026-03-10", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Amanda Langell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 10 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Amanda Langell, 11 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−100 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "−100.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-03-10", "period_to": "2026-03-10", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -10000, "low": { "date": "2026-03-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-03-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-03-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Amanda Langell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 10 March 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 15 predictions we hold for Amanda Langell, 11 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/amanda-langell/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 15, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 11, "proven_checked": 11, "proven_measured": 11, "proven_dates": 10, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 11, "checked": 11, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-03-10", "period_to": "2026-03-10", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 10, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 10, "outcome_hits": 4, "outcome_rate": 40.0, "baseline_matches": 10, "baseline_distinct_matches": 10, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 4, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 40.0, "favourite_hits": 5, "favourite_rate": 50.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 10 score forecasts named the exact score (0.0%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 4 of 10 matches; the market favourite was right in 5 of the same 10 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 11, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 0, "won_percent": "0.0", "implied_percent": "10.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "10.9" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 4, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 2, "exact_hits": 1, "exact_rate": 50.0, "outcome_checked": 2, "outcome_hits": 2, "outcome_rate": 100.0, "baseline_matches": 2, "baseline_distinct_matches": 2, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 2, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 100.0, "favourite_hits": 2, "favourite_rate": 100.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "1 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 2 of 2 matches; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 2 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).", "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-26d0acaaa691a358122fcd36" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 10 March 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1", "record_from": "2026-03-10", "record_to": "2026-03-10" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-26d0acaaa691a358122fcd36", "url": null, "match": "Newcastle United v FC Barcelona", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-03-10T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -4891.7, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 1-2 FC Barcelona", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "9.2000", "published_at": "2026-03-10T02:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:44:49.019Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ceaa1db701406cbddef19b30", "url": null, "match": "Manchester City v Real Madrid", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-03-17T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -4723.7, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester City 2-1 Real Madrid", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-03-17T02:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:39:16.545Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ce14400fd433643bb2a407d4", "url": null, "match": "Real Madrid v Benfica", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-25T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -5203.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Real Madrid 1-1 Benfica", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-24T21:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:45:43.931Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-68b68a19ff34c004f3943334", "url": null, "match": "Benfica v Real Madrid", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-17T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -5395.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Benfica 1-2 Real Madrid", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-17T01:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:48:56.102Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cc53824648cf01c43fc0eec4", "url": null, "match": "West Ham United v Manchester United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-10T20:15:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5516.4, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: West Ham United 1-2 Manchester United", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-10T02:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:37:45.106Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7a5f1d7ebd731d3b990a0ad5", "url": null, "match": "Chelsea v Leeds United", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-10T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5517.1, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Chelsea 3-1 Leeds United", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-10T01:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:37:46.988Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-555301d0cd59b62a70c97a10", "url": null, "match": "Benfica v Real Madrid", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-01-28T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": -5875.9, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Benfica 0-2 Real Madrid", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "4-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-01-28T02:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:53:36.747Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4ce0c71b0fd8be49026a24f2", "url": null, "match": "Nottingham Forest v Manchester City", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-27T12:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -6604.2, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-3 Manchester City", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-12-27T01:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:43:52.504Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": 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"record_id": "n-dab326ff2a51ed849b2bebf2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Do not be surprised if the Ligue 1 winners stumble in the league phase and find themselves forced to win a two-legged phase playoff tie to advance in the competition.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:38:00.259Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": 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