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Хозяева будут доминировать территориально", "fragment_from": 1100, "fragment_to": 1178, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48621", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alvin Almazov", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "22556360baac3cb9837f6d0249b24da9f261d36318a3d1a7740f81aab2b942db", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:58.565Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:58.565Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-570112cdc0102ccb97b49f69", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-570112cdc0102ccb97b49f69", "quote_text": "Эксперты отмечают у сегодняшнего Шальке отсутствие агрессии и трусость в атаке", "fragment_from": 885, "fragment_to": 963, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48621", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alvin Almazov", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "22556360baac3cb9837f6d0249b24da9f261d36318a3d1a7740f81aab2b942db", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:58.565Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:31.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T08:20:58.565Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 6, "above": 1, "above_share_percent": "16.7", "below": 0, "within": 5, "median_difference_percent": "0.5", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/alvin-almazov/picks/8/#pick-n-913bfd13cc46e2ede9350079", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.69", "market": "1.24", "difference_percent": "36.8" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "t.me", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48660" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -13347, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-22.25", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Alvin Almazov before kick-off across 6 matches between 28 October and 3 November 2026. Won 3 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 190 predictions we hold for Alvin Almazov, 17 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "6", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "6", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−133.47 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−22.2%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "match_dates": 5, "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -13347, "low": { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23700, "after_picks": 4 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6300, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6300, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3700, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13700, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23700, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13347, "n": 6, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Alvin Almazov before kick-off across 6 matches between 28 October and 3 November 2026. Won 3 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 190 predictions we hold for Alvin Almazov, 17 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alvin-almazov/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 190, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 173, "proven_predictions": 17, "proven_checked": 15, "proven_measured": 6, "proven_dates": 8, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 17, "checked": 15, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "matches": 6, "net_points_hundredths": -13347, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-22.25", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.7", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 6 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 6, "return_main_percent": "-22.25", "return_other_percent": "-15.50", "settled_excluding_void": 6, "net_main_points_hundredths": -13347, "net_other_points_hundredths": -9300, "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-11-03" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "51.77", "return_other_percent": "51.60", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": 10353, "net_other_points_hundredths": 10320, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-03" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 15, "priced": 6 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 6, "won": 3, "won_percent": "50.0", "implied_percent": "56.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 2, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "55.1" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "57.6" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 2, "right": 0, "wrong": 1, "other": 1 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-13001dfbaaac5842ab29d3c1", "n-6336ed3197d15d4f7533d01d", "n-6ddc59f3b8d73d3282239f7a", "n-913bfd13cc46e2ede9350079", "n-bc7ec90e5d661c63663dd993", "n-f8f3979cbf4c78a85faec415" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 28 October – 3 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-25", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-913bfd13cc46e2ede9350079", "url": "/authors/alvin-almazov/picks/8/#pick-n-913bfd13cc46e2ede9350079", "match": "FC Barcelona v Aston Villa", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/", "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 37.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Barcelona at 1.69", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2353, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.69", "settled_price": "1.2353", "published_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:06.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:58.070Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-913bfd13cc46e2ede9350079", "quote_text": "Прогноз: П1 • Кф: 1.69", "fragment_from": 28, "fragment_to": 50, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48517", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alvin Almazov", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "735934e245eadffae9de4a32907c07be390bb3729eeacdb6937e6bb1334f95a6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:58.070Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:46.117Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f4b8886fe09c", "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Aston Villa", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "3-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.69", "our_snapshot": "1.2353", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T06:33:08.762Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2353, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:06.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T06:35:58.070Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "author_odds": "1.69", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Barcelona at 1.69" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ec8f3566be9b22dfed6a8da569a21006e6e332fa9c10a8999f9f496ba5d55989", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": "1.69", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6900, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:44.936Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "490a9036bf441490a2368d212755220c3fea3fcf890b2b51492abdae6eade0f0", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": "1.2353", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2353, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:46.117Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Alvin Almazov (@alvinalmazov)", "publisher": "t.me", "forecaster": "Alvin Almazov (@alvinalmazov)", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48517", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Barcelona to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-f8f3979cbf4c78a85faec415", "url": "/authors/alvin-almazov/picks/8/#pick-n-f8f3979cbf4c78a85faec415", "match": "Feyenoord v Inter", "match_url": "/football/matches/feyenoord-vs-inter-2026-11-03/", "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 37.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.74", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.74", "settled_price": "1.8000", "published_at": "2026-11-02T06:20:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T06:21:01.740Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f8f3979cbf4c78a85faec415", "quote_text": "✅ Фейеноорд - Интер • Прогноз: П2 • Кф: 1.74", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 44, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48516", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alvin Almazov", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "97248ff5602d47be3a823e48de690f0a15612e584644c17613dcc39346b33171", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T06:20:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T06:21:01.740Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:47.610Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-c7d02fec7631", "display_name": "Feyenoord — Inter", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/feyenoord-vs-inter-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "0-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Inter", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.74", "our_snapshot": "1.8000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T06:18:00.471Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-02T06:20:34.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T06:20:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T06:21:01.740Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Inter", "author_odds": "1.74", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.74" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Feyenoord 0-3 Inter." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "fe60d5f18cc5d85bef910ae9757cf5c7b1d7911fee7a65e84c0331978e603d31", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Inter", "decimal_odds": "1.74", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7400, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:47.506Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7b11490e4aa8207adbd3140cfbd95a0abf43ed8a14332adf24a93374810530a3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Inter", "decimal_odds": "1.8000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:41:47.610Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Alvin Almazov (@alvinalmazov)", "publisher": "t.me", "forecaster": "Alvin Almazov (@alvinalmazov)", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48516", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Inter to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-6336ed3197d15d4f7533d01d", "url": "/authors/alvin-almazov/picks/6/#pick-n-6336ed3197d15d4f7533d01d", "match": "Baltika Kaliningrad v Akron Tolyatti", "match_url": "/football/matches/baltika-kaliningrad-vs-akron-tolyatti-2026-11-01/", "kickoff": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Russian Premier League", "lead_hours": 48.2, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.71", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.71", "settled_price": "1.7040", "published_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:58.627Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6336ed3197d15d4f7533d01d", "quote_text": "✅ Балтика - Акрон • Прогноз: ТМ(2.5) • Кф: 1.71", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 47, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "telegram", "url": "https://t.me/alvinalmazov/48455", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alvin Almazov", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5f3fc3f9d6d0cc321c0bd1cf901e47da44674cd6e723a5d4de89712e2f50cc3e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:58.627Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T10:12:09.987Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-da26990293cb", "display_name": "Baltika Kaliningrad — Akron Tolyatti", "competition_name": "Russian Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-01T14:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/baltika-kaliningrad-vs-akron-tolyatti-2026-11-01/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.71", "our_snapshot": "1.7040", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:58.627Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-30T14:20:58.627Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "under 2.5", "author_odds": "1.71", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.71" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron Tolyatti." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "323599213b2cbecdbb880e6d912cc8b5747f3ee9d86947079ea0b9446e63d681", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-214abbec14937e2fe2d3c02b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Прогноз: Ф1(0) • Кф: 1.72", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T18:50:06.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T04:05:55.395Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1f9b1f5acc97343c7b184d52", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "прогноз на предстоящую игру склоняется к ничейному исходу", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T18:35:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T04:05:54.065Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d03c7ac0e141fea3b45d0594", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Урал-2 - Челябинск-М • Прогноз: ТБ(2.5) • Кф: 1.7", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-23T18:35:26.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T04:05:54.065Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 17, "before_kickoff": 17, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 17, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 50.9, "min_hours": 19.4, "max_hours": 139.9, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; 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