{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ali Demir — football predictions, page 9 of 34",
 "description": "Predictions 141–160 of 652 by Ali Demir, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 9 of 34 of the predictions by Ali Demir recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 141–160 of 652 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "652",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:15:49.950Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "498d92ad3ebef0a929db0948296d870b3ae9a6056ef4e2e3ee05f1199d22ddcc",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
  "public_name": "Ali Demir",
  "tracker_number": 2610,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-8099ea0bf40bddb1a79a2242",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-8099ea0bf40bddb1a79a2242",
   "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-17/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 11.5,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap 1.5: 1. FC Union Berlin +1.5 at 1.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8099ea0bf40bddb1a79a2242",
    "quote_text": "1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund –\n\nUnion Berlin +1,5 Asiatisches Handicap\n\nBundesliga\n\nHeute\n15:30\n\n1. FC Union Berlin\n\nVS\n\nBorussia Dortmund\n\nNS\n\n1,55",
    "fragment_from": 9840,
    "fragment_to": 9999,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fc-union-berlin-borussia-dortmund-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "45d90fff6da1d3fd4a0bc16c1ca1b5af7f70ddc6ee80934ce9deb0300807b4c5",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f34b372eaab6",
     "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-17/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "1. FC Union Berlin +1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
     "choice": "1. FC Union Berlin +1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.55",
     "market_key": "handicap_asian",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Asian handicap 1.5: 1. FC Union Berlin +1.5 at 1.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "58597924aa4638db2c01ec2d0f9d49b68c2efeb026b469a9390106e348aaee7e",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
      "choice": "1. FC Union Berlin +1.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "c4d53f964c44ae2a80f0d020741d9d4cd0afc11beebeeec723d027fdb2df7fcb",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
      "choice": "1. FC Union Berlin +1.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fc-union-berlin-borussia-dortmund-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "1. FC Union Berlin +1.5"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f8736eff96c0097752564d1e",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-f8736eff96c0097752564d1e",
   "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-17/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 11.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 14000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.4",
   "settled_price": "2.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "yes",
    "price": "1.5405",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f8736eff96c0097752564d1e",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nBundesliga\n\nHeute\n15:30\n\n1. FC Union Berlin\n\nVS\n\nBorussia Dortmund\n\nNS\n\n2,40",
    "fragment_from": 163,
    "fragment_to": 266,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fc-union-berlin-borussia-dortmund-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "45d90fff6da1d3fd4a0bc16c1ca1b5af7f70ddc6ee80934ce9deb0300807b4c5",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:37.270Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f34b372eaab6",
     "display_name": "1. FC Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-union-berlin-vs-borussia-dortmund-2026-10-17/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.4",
     "our_snapshot": "2.4000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T02:05:10.358Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 14000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T04:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T01:57:07.864Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "2.4",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Union Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "50d8087817b33c055045249ea533a381fd84ff0f1b8221906755ab3affe9f4a2",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 14000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:36.266Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7da70273aeaab799fd85a77bc78654f8855509dcaf3d33b4be7666e20fd5c0b1",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 14000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:37.270Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fc-union-berlin-borussia-dortmund-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-812e317bf8939a0033cea6dc",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-812e317bf8939a0033cea6dc",
   "match": "Villarreal v Elche",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-elche-2026-10-17/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "handicap_asian",
   "author_said": "Asian handicap 1.5: Elche +1.5 at 1.72",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-812e317bf8939a0033cea6dc",
    "quote_text": "Elche CF +1,5 Asiatisches Handicap\n\nLa Liga\n\nHeute\n16:15\n\nFC Villarreal\n\nVS\n\nElche\n\nNS\n\n1,72",
    "fragment_from": 6911,
    "fragment_to": 7003,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-villarreal-elche-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a58cba1f2abdc42e202f59b7681b76fd88c0e57441d577a090e669a7c016b07c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f1e8201c1b4c",
     "display_name": "Villarreal — Elche",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-17T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-elche-2026-10-17/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
    "outcome_label": "Elche +1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.72",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
     "choice": "Elche +1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.72",
     "market_key": "handicap_asian",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Asian handicap 1.5: Elche +1.5 at 1.72"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-0 Elche."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f69cf4e689efb9b89f6cc527645470d6cda848d451177f59af6eb84ce4038540",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
      "choice": "Elche +1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.72",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "cancelled",
      "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:04.535Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4d0ad9b40cd6fc586564525032aa8fa8e19ee8c3170c6fe2cd41dd0295d60113",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Asian handicap 1.5",
      "choice": "Elche +1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6696",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "cancelled",
      "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:05.800Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-villarreal-elche-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Elche +1.5"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-98a3c17635a793bb9b329511",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-98a3c17635a793bb9b329511",
   "match": "Villarreal v Elche",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-elche-2026-10-17/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 11.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.0200",
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "under",
    "price": "1.7576",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 7576,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-98a3c17635a793bb9b329511",
    "quote_text": "FC Villarreal vs Elche –\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nLa Liga\n\nHeute\n16:15\n\nFC Villarreal\n\nVS\n\nElche\n\nNS\n\n2,10\n\nbei\n\nInterwetten\n\nQuoten können sich ändern.\nVeröffentlicht 15. Oktober 2026.\n\nEinsatz\n\n50 €\n\nMögliche Auszahlung\n\n105,00 €",
    "fragment_from": 118,
    "fragment_to": 340,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-villarreal-elche-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a58cba1f2abdc42e202f59b7681b76fd88c0e57441d577a090e669a7c016b07c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:04.385Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f1e8201c1b4c",
     "display_name": "Villarreal — Elche",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-17T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-elche-2026-10-17/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": "2.0200",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T02:23:35.191Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T08:36:33.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:27:07.507Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Villarreal 0-0 Elche."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "35d02dde08b6f6eed17fc016ce7bb8596257a15a1c0257a88b07cb6beba9c345",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:00.779Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "0462336da3b2b1eb540728fa6b0afc90d6244984a232abd0218efa2f90aeee55",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0200",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:04.385Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-villarreal-elche-prognose-17-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-056b17969f78ad80001b0e8f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Betis +1,5 Asiatisches Handicap\n\nLa Liga\n\nHeute\n18:30\n\nReal Betis Sevilla\n\nVS\n\nFC Barcelona\n\nNS\n\n1,75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-344a7bf7065c8c491b49d373",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Betis oder Unentschieden\n\nLa Liga\n\nHeute\n18:30\n\nReal Betis Sevilla\n\nVS\n\nFC Barcelona\n\nNS\n\n3,25",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-41a784b7f0eb8081546b0af5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1\n\nBetis +1,5 Asiatisches Handicap\n\nGeschätzter Marktdurchschnitt\n\n1,75",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-49dd80af675c33f2df1d653b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,68",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ce428f4fab9f3e50f72da357",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Real Betis Sevilla vs FC Barcelona –\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f0d1afed0de0a7fb68bcde9b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Real Betis Sevilla vs FC Barcelona –\n\nBetis oder Unentschieden\n\nLa Liga\n\nHeute\n18:30\n\nReal Betis Sevilla\n\nVS\n\nFC Barcelona\n\nNS\n\n3,25\n\nBeste Quote bei\n\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\nQuoten können sich…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-15T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:42:07.372Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0de199110b3ce9970493663a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "ES Troyes AC vs Lens –\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T22:56:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:57:06.250Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-12327b24020dc8c9a5c740a1",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "ES Troyes AC vs Lens –\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nLigue 1\n\nHeute\n20:45\n\nES Troyes AC\n\nVS\n\nLens\n\nNS\n\n2,35",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T22:56:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:57:06.250Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5b7c9b06f7d4bef8389ee4b6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,56",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T22:56:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:57:06.250Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bcef14f454e8eb12ae18fd09",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nbei\nbwin\n\n2,35",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T22:56:33.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T02:57:06.250Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-29060eb04a240b7538aaf3fa",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Der Tipp auf ein Unentschieden ist riskant, aber nachvollziehbar:",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-43f3db19d77de01fc8fdd9fe",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-43f3db19d77de01fc8fdd9fe",
   "match": "Dynamo Dresden v Magdeburg",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-43f3db19d77de01fc8fdd9fe",
    "quote_text": "Ein Unentschieden erscheint damit wahrscheinlicher als ein Dresdner Sieg.",
    "fragment_from": 5971,
    "fragment_to": 6044,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a2855d731b67d2af612123ab079dc5102854554535383ba69d1cc6f3fac5e113",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-dde4e1c65474",
     "display_name": "Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Magdeburg."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7bb4c698607e52ee7f1221e8bd1a90d2830e78c981bac1bf9bdccc95a617d0da",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8c50d49871f9495e0e82fb40",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-8c50d49871f9495e0e82fb40",
   "match": "Dynamo Dresden v Magdeburg",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8c50d49871f9495e0e82fb40",
    "quote_text": "Unter 3,5 Tore",
    "fragment_from": 8829,
    "fragment_to": 8843,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a2855d731b67d2af612123ab079dc5102854554535383ba69d1cc6f3fac5e113",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-dde4e1c65474",
     "display_name": "Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Magdeburg."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "dd13d495b270859b4b05f3559c0fcf43e5e80d2a17abe8b71118c964053b717e",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-95014eecdee2ecc366f075f8",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/#pick-n-95014eecdee2ecc366f075f8",
   "match": "Dynamo Dresden v Magdeburg",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Magdeburg",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-95014eecdee2ecc366f075f8",
    "quote_text": "Das 1:1 bei der SpVgg Greuther Fürth und die 1:2-Niederlage bei Hertha BSC in den aufgeführten Liga-Auswärtsspielen sprechen eher für die Doppelte Chance als für einen Auswärtssieg.",
    "fragment_from": 7915,
    "fragment_to": 8096,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a2855d731b67d2af612123ab079dc5102854554535383ba69d1cc6f3fac5e113",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-dde4e1c65474",
     "display_name": "Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/dynamo-dresden-vs-magdeburg-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Magdeburg",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T05:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T03:27:08.490Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Magdeburg",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Magdeburg"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Magdeburg."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7d5521799ac11d8487f938340f6b0c9e5fb4601e23280c4a9dcab5293bc3dd11",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Magdeburg",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/dynamo-dresden-1-fc-magdeburg-prognose-18-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Magdeburg"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1da1170857dc7f4bfad3b155",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance: Cambuur oder Unentschieden\n\nGeschätzter Marktdurchschnitt\n\n2,62",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:06:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:42:05.402Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4f971e7b1b38deec5ddca73b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Asiatisches Handicap: Cambuur +1,5\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n1,68",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T13:06:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T03:42:05.402Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 652,
  "pages": 34,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ali-demir/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/4/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/5/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/6/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/7/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/8/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/10/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/11/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/12/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/13/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/14/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/16/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/17/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/19/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/20/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/21/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/22/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/23/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/24/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/25/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/26/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/27/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/28/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/29/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/30/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/31/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/32/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/33/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/34/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 142,
   "pending": 10,
   "excluded": 500
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 9,
  "first": 141,
  "last": 160,
  "author_url": "/authors/ali-demir/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
 "source_revision": 81
}
