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 "heading": "Ali Demir — football predictions, page 3 of 34",
 "description": "Predictions 21–40 of 652 by Ali Demir, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 3 of 34 of the predictions by Ali Demir recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 652 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "652",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/3/index.json",
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  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
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  "claim": "/claim/"
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
  "public_name": "Ali Demir",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
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    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n1,70",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-08-20T18:00:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:20:19.051Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Egnatia Rrogozhinë gewinnt\n\nbei\nbwin\n\n1,77",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-07-15T21:06:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:22:07.319Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n2,07",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-07-15T21:06:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:22:07.319Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "match_url": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Aston Villa gewinnt\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n1,65",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-04-16T20:51:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:27.237Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\n\nbei\nMERKUR BETS\n\n1,82",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T20:51:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:27.237Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "FC Porto gewinnt oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n1,71",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T21:06:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:45.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,04",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T21:06:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:45.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/3/#pick-n-f7bad3fc77c56cb38697e74a",
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n1,66",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T21:06:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:45.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.180Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f7bad3fc77c56cb38697e74a",
    "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n1,66",
    "fragment_from": 4772,
    "fragment_to": 4804,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/nottingham-forest-fc-porto-prognose-16-04-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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     "bundle_id": "844218e0cb28999e32ad5dcfdd61b56702a453e39a80dd12c98983ce8ad408ea",
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    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "too_late",
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    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
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    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-16T21:06:03.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-16T21:06:03.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:24:45.998Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.180Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −2.5 goals · under −2.5",
      "now": "Over/Under 2.5 goals · under 2.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:02.180Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
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  },
  {
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2\n\nBarcelona gewinnt\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n1,57",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-08T21:10:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:25:56.940Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1\n\nAtletico oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,72",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-04-08T21:10:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:25:56.940Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "3\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Ja\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n1,53",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-08T21:10:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:25:56.940Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unentschieden nach regulärer Spielzeit\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n3,30",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-06T20:45:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:26:13.393Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5ce673be1af686ebc80fbad9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,25",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-06T20:45:03.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:26:13.393Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "corrections": [],
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   "authorship": {
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 ]
}