{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ali Demir — football predictions, page 18 of 34",
 "description": "Predictions 321–340 of 652 by Ali Demir, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 18 of 34 of the predictions by Ali Demir recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 321–340 of 652 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "652",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:15:49.950Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "6e75341c12d96c7237f6717bd4f0cce49a0bfa926cb937065b206f0d74e116b7",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
  "public_name": "Ali Demir",
  "tracker_number": 2610,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-c7f3334a6317b54e3a55f7d3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,76",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-21T04:20:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:27:08.695Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ab6d450b797029c6a0bcb2c",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-3ab6d450b797029c6a0bcb2c",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Manchester City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 31.0,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Aston Villa or draw at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 13500,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3ab6d450b797029c6a0bcb2c",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Aston Villa oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nInterwetten\n\n2,20",
    "fragment_from": 4653,
    "fragment_to": 4723,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d9ed11ba9e4dcd56bdbce6154885a9d5a97d7decd9d43bb62af4426c093b4ed6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:15.945Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f13233de2338",
     "display_name": "Aston Villa — Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Aston Villa or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": "2.3500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T04:23:28.328Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 13500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Aston Villa or draw",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Aston Villa or draw at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8410169ab090807ef9d8f19ef248112f476e10d825613b21678933c7cbe243bf",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Aston Villa or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:14.942Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a270d25005e7d9e14ad37db460099163a3d3bbbd3e579339182c084bbc01539f",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Aston Villa or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 13500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:15.945Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Aston Villa or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-53f6eee2adcfaee7bb0289e6",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-53f6eee2adcfaee7bb0289e6",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Manchester City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 31.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-53f6eee2adcfaee7bb0289e6",
    "quote_text": "Aston Villa gewinnt\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n5,00",
    "fragment_from": 4599,
    "fragment_to": 4648,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d9ed11ba9e4dcd56bdbce6154885a9d5a97d7decd9d43bb62af4426c093b4ed6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f13233de2338",
     "display_name": "Aston Villa — Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Aston Villa",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Aston Villa",
     "author_odds": "5",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e0e0fc61d4cd1763faff8e9e0bedf56b10a1ca215d2329f45f2dab9fc608c857",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fe03e4f9ee993ddd2c41503defbecb00c9e077627787f073231253e33e52d959",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Aston Villa to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cfee87e9137ee60a9ca553b6",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-cfee87e9137ee60a9ca553b6",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Manchester City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 31.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.52",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-cfee87e9137ee60a9ca553b6",
    "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,52",
    "fragment_from": 4562,
    "fragment_to": 4594,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d9ed11ba9e4dcd56bdbce6154885a9d5a97d7decd9d43bb62af4426c093b4ed6",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f13233de2338",
     "display_name": "Aston Villa — Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.52",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:27:08.564Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.52",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.52"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9e3772ac278f022fc60b6ba90ccf26d961ea64df4db83433513d0c503fe317bf",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "acc795c8111e45b6260b1f8dde560c7e70903d9d71d1cb1becdac372a329a042",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/aston-villa-manchester-city-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7001de3142efa0759b76dcc5",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-7001de3142efa0759b76dcc5",
   "match": "Cagliari v Bologna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7001de3142efa0759b76dcc5",
    "quote_text": "Unentschieden\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n3,00",
    "fragment_from": 4309,
    "fragment_to": 4341,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9589398dd02cdb969f48daf4ddfdadec0efe267e318429f3c82b0c1c3761020a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-eb2e40f3f5ea",
     "display_name": "Cagliari — Bologna",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Cagliari 0-2 Bologna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d3b385753e85ce0b8600046c361c9695213e33046db41c0e45e348cadfd99c6b",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5cd4f3db53891d1aef067f96095339f67a0e164c32b1d1f610cec5635a89df17",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-870f601eae51a415940cb00c",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-870f601eae51a415940cb00c",
   "match": "Cagliari v Bologna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.65",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6700,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.65",
   "settled_price": "1.6700",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "under",
    "price": "1.6800",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 6800,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-870f601eae51a415940cb00c",
    "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nSerie A\n\nMorgen\n15:00\n\nCagliari\n\nVS\n\nBologna\n\nNS\n\n1,65",
    "fragment_from": 7341,
    "fragment_to": 7411,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9589398dd02cdb969f48daf4ddfdadec0efe267e318429f3c82b0c1c3761020a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:08.427Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-eb2e40f3f5ea",
     "display_name": "Cagliari — Bologna",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.65",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6700",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:59.572Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6700,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.65",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.65"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Cagliari 0-2 Bologna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "802a5b6cb14c5be6701c87c2f6fad21d1cd3ba9fa630b2d531ba543896424d6b",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.65",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:07.828Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ec27bd8ab3eeebc58645993fc812ca2af566d38b688bd51b81e6ead8e347aec0",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6700",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6700,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:08.427Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cb82cd35fcaf7375d95c6ead",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-cb82cd35fcaf7375d95c6ead",
   "match": "Cagliari v Bologna",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Cagliari or draw at 1.56",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.56",
   "settled_price": "1.5300",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-cb82cd35fcaf7375d95c6ead",
    "quote_text": "Cagliari oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,56",
    "fragment_from": 4258,
    "fragment_to": 4304,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9589398dd02cdb969f48daf4ddfdadec0efe267e318429f3c82b0c1c3761020a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:07.778Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-eb2e40f3f5ea",
     "display_name": "Cagliari — Bologna",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-bologna-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Cagliari or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.56",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5300",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T04:56:59.572Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:35:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T04:57:08.651Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Cagliari or draw",
     "author_odds": "1.56",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Cagliari or draw at 1.56"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Cagliari 0-2 Bologna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e711922dee7eac1590b0aa73e4bafbaa69b94c5d66d80926c5dee080f1ce4f28",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Cagliari or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.56",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:05.535Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fb640b215008f6013cccea6b903e63b585f68f8a21a213237daaa16bb717cef9",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Cagliari or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5300",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:46:07.778Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/cagliari-bologna-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Cagliari or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-21f5ec28f4a20c0795690f93",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-21f5ec28f4a20c0795690f93",
   "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-3",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-21f5ec28f4a20c0795690f93",
    "quote_text": "1. FSV Mainz 05\n\nVS\n\nSV Werder Bremen\n\nNS\n\n3,90\n\nbei\n\nInterwetten",
    "fragment_from": 8291,
    "fragment_to": 8356,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fsv-mainz-05-sv-werder-bremen-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "50a70314964e769cbaf0c40442c3af32f33189e325c5e526906f3232cfc0cd1f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-0ca36146af08",
     "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.9",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.9",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 SV Werder Bremen."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1a13fa8ab2978bd07804307f644c25db81534b51ec766e54bbdaeb1bc523047e",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3c7dd51737708d68ac1291199dfba92c65bce5c66137b057af32b0c805059ce5",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fsv-mainz-05-sv-werder-bremen-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5b3cf284562b08bc921dcd3b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unentschieden zum Spielende\n\nbei\nInterwetten\n\n3,90",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
   "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 32.0,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or SV Werder Bremen at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10500,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Werder gewinnt\n\nBundesliga\n\nMorgen\n15:30\n\n1. FSV Mainz 05\n\nVS\n\nSV Werder Bremen\n\nNS\n\n2,10",
    "fragment_from": 150,
    "fragment_to": 275,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fsv-mainz-05-sv-werder-bremen-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "50a70314964e769cbaf0c40442c3af32f33189e325c5e526906f3232cfc0cd1f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:45:17.673Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-0ca36146af08",
     "display_name": "1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-sv-werder-bremen-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": "2.0500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:30.491Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or SV Werder Bremen at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-3 SV Werder Bremen."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "302477f8480e6b130513f4765834576a9b3986d100333b487e69525255b5d57c",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 11000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:45:15.006Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "8fb4def55295f0ea84554c5f25a2e9f1cf3b576a1176d66b65ca396cd74dae12",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:45:17.673Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/1-fsv-mainz-05-sv-werder-bremen-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or SV Werder Bremen"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-70dedb1a276a33cc0b751422",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Werder gewinnt\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n2,10",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7dfb26bd52cb4f6a9212167f",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-7dfb26bd52cb4f6a9212167f",
   "match": "Real Racing Club v Espanyol",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 32.5,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Espanyol at 1.53",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.53",
   "settled_price": "1.5747",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7dfb26bd52cb4f6a9212167f",
    "quote_text": "Espanyol oder Unentschieden\n\nLa Liga\n\nMorgen\n16:15\n\nRacing Santander\n\nVS\n\nEspanyol\n\nNS\n\n1,53",
    "fragment_from": 7180,
    "fragment_to": 7272,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "e514d5bdd9f0ca7551dc6f18bdae4dc23b9c2cd75610d5d7f4ca81fe31ce66a0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:44:54.600Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a1ecb34cd4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Espanyol",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Espanyol",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.53",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5747",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:39:13.074Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Espanyol",
     "author_odds": "1.53",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Espanyol at 1.53"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Racing Club 2-1 Espanyol."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a07506bdbf200e3b445c7ccccbcd070590f200672e1bdb1201d4d77202415074",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Espanyol",
      "decimal_odds": "1.53",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:44:51.747Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3eddfbedc317333588cc1708baeb40075692bfa31ef6e565abee575f58806926",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Espanyol",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5747",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-23T06:44:54.600Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Espanyol"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8f3b071a6323816d7ecc37b4",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-8f3b071a6323816d7ecc37b4",
   "match": "Real Racing Club v Espanyol",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 32.5,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8f3b071a6323816d7ecc37b4",
    "quote_text": "Racing Santander vs Espanyol –\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore",
    "fragment_from": 8492,
    "fragment_to": 8538,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "e514d5bdd9f0ca7551dc6f18bdae4dc23b9c2cd75610d5d7f4ca81fe31ce66a0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a1ecb34cd4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Espanyol",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Racing Club 2-1 Espanyol."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3c20a656d65c83f2ae8a8000524e8745b023f71757db826f15638079a3f1f072",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ab7efff0f424cfdec822acae",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-ab7efff0f424cfdec822acae",
   "match": "Real Racing Club v Espanyol",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 32.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.38",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ab7efff0f424cfdec822acae",
    "quote_text": "3\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,38",
    "fragment_from": 4159,
    "fragment_to": 4217,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "e514d5bdd9f0ca7551dc6f18bdae4dc23b9c2cd75610d5d7f4ca81fe31ce66a0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a1ecb34cd4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Racing Club — Espanyol",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-racing-club-vs-espanyol-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.38",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:09.349Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "2.38",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.38"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Racing Club 2-1 Espanyol."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1c3fcd9aa2f662fcc5a2f47fca655b69745cb721a27eebfc15a62dcbc3f1848f",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fc855b6453c526efd5a18f71fbde2cace26b8dc40e470e19cb6fe54a8760ee42",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/racing-santander-espanyol-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d9e45c7fa8adb14c28e97c21",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-d9e45c7fa8adb14c28e97c21",
   "match": "Valencia v Villarreal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-villarreal-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 34.8,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d9e45c7fa8adb14c28e97c21",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nbei\nbwin\n\n2,20",
    "fragment_from": 4073,
    "fragment_to": 4114,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-valencia-fc-villarreal-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "aeea2f26b6ffefc43274e57fc1cd1bcf746e0e3dbe1272547c2d0c527648fc20",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3837cbba3984",
     "display_name": "Valencia — Villarreal",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-villarreal-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Valencia 1-2 Villarreal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2a7191c87042af1db3b5f7787464d10938de0bd3d7d2a8e06e5bfd5d7ba67f3a",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a12055eb6c7e19ba74e8058df4600a130b5f96f62024740a89e3865a9c6e679d",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-valencia-fc-villarreal-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e1a3f2dbb12744889bcbf53f",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-e1a3f2dbb12744889bcbf53f",
   "match": "Valencia v Villarreal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-villarreal-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 34.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "3.7",
   "settled_price": "3.6000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.1500",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 11500,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e1a3f2dbb12744889bcbf53f",
    "quote_text": "Unentschieden nach regulärer Spielzeit\n\nLa Liga\n\nMorgen\n18:30\n\nFC Valencia\n\nVS\n\nFC Villarreal\n\nNS\n\n3,70",
    "fragment_from": 150,
    "fragment_to": 253,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-valencia-fc-villarreal-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "aeea2f26b6ffefc43274e57fc1cd1bcf746e0e3dbe1272547c2d0c527648fc20",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:03.618Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3837cbba3984",
     "display_name": "Valencia — Villarreal",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-villarreal-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.7",
     "our_snapshot": "3.6000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:39:13.074Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T05:25:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-23T05:42:10.038Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.7",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Valencia 1-2 Villarreal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7e1c3c3392ecb154b9195795a3d66ea1ebad614bbd7b1556d8026f9cace8aeb2",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:03.475Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "453869ce08ce3c416d2ec7c28b21485880ea420ce5ef98e40ea273e4a9af4ace",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:03.618Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-valencia-fc-villarreal-prognose-24-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-01a7b8b04491c4308cf47384",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Getafe\n\nLa Liga\n\n25 Okt.\n14:00\n\nAthletic Bilbao\n\nVS\n\nFC Getafe\n\nNS\n\n2,27",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T06:12:09.479Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-18a9812e0898f8ccb5b2187a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unentschieden nach regulärer Spielzeit\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n3,95",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T06:12:09.479Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-30e1e817a01b620e52a2a840",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nLa Liga\n\n25 Okt.\n14:00\n\nAthletic Bilbao\n\nVS\n\nFC Getafe\n\nNS\n\n1,60",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T06:12:09.479Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b17ee97d5ae5b54bd51bd0b3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,60",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T06:12:09.479Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 652,
  "pages": 34,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ali-demir/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/4/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/5/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/6/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/7/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/8/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/10/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/11/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/12/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/13/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/14/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/16/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/17/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/19/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/20/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/21/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/22/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/23/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/24/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/25/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/26/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/27/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/28/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/29/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/30/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/31/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/32/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/33/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/34/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 142,
   "pending": 10,
   "excluded": 500
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 18,
  "first": 321,
  "last": 340,
  "author_url": "/authors/ali-demir/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
 "source_revision": 47
}