{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
 "canonical": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Ali Demir — football predictions, page 15 of 34",
 "description": "Predictions 261–280 of 652 by Ali Demir, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 15 of 34 of the predictions by Ali Demir recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 261–280 of 652 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "652",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:15:49.950Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "6d9d44fe10d7a1e165d47fc728ac3c2513aadfdd2ecb4177ce3f687cdc27337b",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e20fe2da98da2eb7e6c151d8",
  "public_name": "Ali Demir",
  "tracker_number": 2610,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-eec538dd153e8b2867022824",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-eec538dd153e8b2867022824",
   "match": "Sturm Graz v Olympique de Marseille",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sturm-graz-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-10-22/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 59.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.72",
   "settled_price": "1.6800",
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T04:57:12.826Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.72; returns at the author's price leave it out",
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-eec538dd153e8b2867022824",
    "quote_text": "Sturm Graz vs Marseille –\n\nÜber 2,5 Tore",
    "fragment_from": 6204,
    "fragment_to": 6244,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sturm-graz-marseille-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "941805e84c8f9025bf7841dff8c77448bb5fbd5020da407c8a3f5007ae1ec3ce",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T04:57:12.826Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:39:39.257Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-42828e55f24a",
     "display_name": "Sturm Graz — Olympique de Marseille",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sturm-graz-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-10-22/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.72",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6800",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T04:55:36.000Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T04:45:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T04:57:12.826Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.72",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.72"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sturm Graz 1-0 Olympique de Marseille."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bbfebc923e971b1acbb87a6af2ef4c2029655572cecd9e442d408d04b373b658",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.72",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:48:05.033Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "8943a30ca52445dd1327604969c5b6b73d59a8db0495fe4cd9081f217d489279",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6800",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:39:39.257Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sturm-graz-marseille-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-31b11e3153cd50bbe8413c69",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1\n\nIberia: Asiatisches Handicap -0,5\n\nGeschätzter Marktdurchschnitt\n\n3,10",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-47b10d2a3fede94f3d59af75",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "2\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n2,05",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-507ca8142a182ddb898c47a0",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Iberia 1999 Tiflis vs Mjällby AIF –\n\nDoppelte Chance: Iberia Tiflis oder Unentschieden\n\nUEFA Europa Conference League\n\n22 Okt.\n18:45\n\nIberia 1999 Tiflis\n\nVS\n\nMjällby AIF\n\nNS\n\n1,70\n\nBeste Quote…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-643e1ed9cd1921f4f8bad956",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Iberia: Asiatisches Handicap -0,5",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7b471c1e20437d8f1f853265",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "3\n\nDoppelte Chance: Iberia Tiflis oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n1,70",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-daf5f1b49811d5b910be8ccb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Iberia 1999 Tiflis vs Mjällby AIF –\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nUEFA Europa Conference League\n\n22 Okt.\n18:45\n\nIberia 1999 Tiflis\n\nVS\n\nMjällby AIF\n\nNS\n\n2,05\n\nbei\n\nWinamax",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:42:09.602Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-42c64392f43d1148c3671cd1",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-42c64392f43d1148c3671cd1",
   "match": "Kauno Žalgiris v Brann",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/kauno-zalgiris-vs-brann-2026-10-22/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 58.8,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Kauno Žalgiris or draw at 2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds",
   "author_price": "2",
   "settled_price": "2",
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-42c64392f43d1148c3671cd1",
    "quote_text": "1\n\nKauno Žalgiris oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,00",
    "fragment_from": 3882,
    "fragment_to": 3948,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/kauno-zalgiris-brann-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ef469dda9a5bf2008409f40362895b2c6a49cc97c4255220ebfc99003d5e5eb9",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:56.429Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ce7ee95759d9",
     "display_name": "Kauno Žalgiris — Brann",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/kauno-zalgiris-vs-brann-2026-10-22/",
     "scoreline": "1-4",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Kauno Žalgiris or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Kauno Žalgiris or draw",
     "author_odds": "2",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Kauno Žalgiris or draw at 2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ac012cc9337449d743b9e507e66d0e13a75e3c9b346acffe38dbe7dc0fca2d47",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Kauno Žalgiris or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:56.429Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e6309ed2684ccc740b1f0eac609024c4e8be436ec5bd72b79ec655995946cf78",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Kauno Žalgiris or draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/kauno-zalgiris-brann-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Kauno Žalgiris or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5e3ecfba4d2a54e0475fe93c",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-5e3ecfba4d2a54e0475fe93c",
   "match": "Kauno Žalgiris v Brann",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/kauno-zalgiris-vs-brann-2026-10-22/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 58.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-4",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5e3ecfba4d2a54e0475fe93c",
    "quote_text": "Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann –\n\nÜber 2,5 Tore",
    "fragment_from": 5687,
    "fragment_to": 5727,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/kauno-zalgiris-brann-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ef469dda9a5bf2008409f40362895b2c6a49cc97c4255220ebfc99003d5e5eb9",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ce7ee95759d9",
     "display_name": "Kauno Žalgiris — Brann",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/kauno-zalgiris-vs-brann-2026-10-22/",
     "scoreline": "1-4",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:57:08.928Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Kauno Žalgiris 1-4 Brann."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3f1977615b94a3d3673f039e78df06e00a2416c626c76d065cf8cc7c67c07180",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/kauno-zalgiris-brann-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-13f98fc251cd650c9ab14e7e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "NS\n\n1,64",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:50:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:12:09.005Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1ac8e17daed36a07e16d4496",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nUEFA Europa Conference League\n\n22 Okt.\n18:45\n\nFC Nordsjaelland\n\nVS\n\nZSKA Sofia\n\nNS\n\n1,60",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:50:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:12:09.005Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-757933650f66b7716c7dd583",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "ZSKA Sofia +1,5 Asiatisches Handicap\n\nbei\nWinamax\n\n1,64",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:50:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:12:09.005Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-921bbd645832d505777d4b37",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder ZSKA Sofia\n\nbei\nbet365 Sportwetten\n\n2,62",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T05:50:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:12:09.005Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1a13f8b7a9110ad8f5b897e1",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-1a13f8b7a9110ad8f5b897e1",
   "match": "Sporting Braga v Gent",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 60.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.73",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "repeats another statement",
   "reason_code": "duplicate",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1a13f8b7a9110ad8f5b897e1",
    "quote_text": "SC Braga vs Gent –\n\nBeide Teams treffen: Nein\n\nUEFA Europa Conference League\n\n22 Okt.\n21:00\n\nSC Braga\n\nVS\n\nGent\n\nNS\n\n1,73",
    "fragment_from": 7220,
    "fragment_to": 7341,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b9f642e6520db9b08a7ba624de716cefc90f22ebe7ff854f7347c57b12a2160c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": "repeats another statement",
    "cause_code": "duplicate",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ea7308eacb1e",
     "display_name": "Sporting Braga — Gent",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.73",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "1.73",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 1.73"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sporting Braga 2-0 Gent."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "061d6a8e34e4f74eba39242460a1feffba6ba674ae0ce28bb0cd205a4296b1af",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "cancelled",
      "status_text": "Cancelled: repeats another statement",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:53.785Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "94cdf92c1a09b011fea330720a6b0d6f57dda6a31134aaf876f36ba9a7372260",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-32d7d4e354976df1ee64bbfe",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-32d7d4e354976df1ee64bbfe",
   "match": "Sporting Braga v Gent",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 60.5,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.66",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7100,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.66",
   "settled_price": "1.7100",
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-32d7d4e354976df1ee64bbfe",
    "quote_text": "SC Braga vs Gent –\n\nUnter 2,5 Tore\n\nUEFA Europa Conference League\n\n22 Okt.\n21:00\n\nSC Braga\n\nVS\n\nGent\n\nNS\n\n1,66",
    "fragment_from": 8719,
    "fragment_to": 8829,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b9f642e6520db9b08a7ba624de716cefc90f22ebe7ff854f7347c57b12a2160c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:18:36.295Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ea7308eacb1e",
     "display_name": "Sporting Braga — Gent",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.66",
     "our_snapshot": "1.7100",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T06:25:36.000Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7100,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.66",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.66"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sporting Braga 2-0 Gent."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "321b9a560f2d1707d32f8dbc5755e63fb12615fe8c1deea4cc7cf7351442c5b9",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.66",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6600,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:53.880Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "242d1142a1842d37301e86cdabc8bf552692fd337e8908817952067ec176d8ca",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7100",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7100,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T11:18:36.295Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fe87fdcc8f747da2c8ef3f71",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-fe87fdcc8f747da2c8ef3f71",
   "match": "Sporting Braga v Gent",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Conference League",
   "lead_hours": 60.5,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Gent at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds",
   "author_price": "2.05",
   "settled_price": "2.05",
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fe87fdcc8f747da2c8ef3f71",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Gent\n\nbei\nbwin\n\n2,05",
    "fragment_from": 3987,
    "fragment_to": 4043,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b9f642e6520db9b08a7ba624de716cefc90f22ebe7ff854f7347c57b12a2160c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:53.622Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ea7308eacb1e",
     "display_name": "Sporting Braga — Gent",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/archive/2026/10/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Gent",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.05",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T06:27:09.503Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Gent",
     "author_odds": "2.05",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Gent at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sporting Braga 2-0 Gent."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "262644ee6b6874552156ee83ea20df2bc24a5e3fc8fd0c5d104fa12fb6d57faa",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Gent",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:47:53.622Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6347046a85635757e791dc5f09e298eff1c02195dc4ff7ed1d9fe9457372e064",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Gent",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/sc-braga-gent-prognose-22-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Gent"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-be01f566e4d55b0f4a48f21d",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-be01f566e4d55b0f4a48f21d",
   "match": "Forest Green v Chesham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "England FA Cup Qualification",
   "lead_hours": 10.8,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Chesham at 3.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-be01f566e4d55b0f4a48f21d",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Unentschieden oder Chesham United\n\nbei\nInterwetten\n\n3,70",
    "fragment_from": 4222,
    "fragment_to": 4295,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/forest-green-chesham-united-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "de6b0416b76aa55104e8ef25a0bbad3142f744ee7b3c2fd49f33bcac2ded93a2",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-811589c07d32",
     "display_name": "Forest Green — Chesham",
     "competition_name": "England FA Cup Qualification",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Chesham",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Chesham",
     "author_odds": "3.7",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Chesham at 3.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Forest Green 5-0 Chesham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2590ff495963f7f84f64e26865fc1eafaf81d7dd52172721ba656e016cf3f870",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Chesham",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f8c46991ece7d1d64f6f30f01efd7eecbde457f67c70edf6642116a44659225e",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Chesham",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/forest-green-chesham-united-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Chesham"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f6b3280e794fd29f6e92107d",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-f6b3280e794fd29f6e92107d",
   "match": "Forest Green v Chesham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "England FA Cup Qualification",
   "lead_hours": 10.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f6b3280e794fd29f6e92107d",
    "quote_text": "Forest Green vs Chesham United –\n\nÜber 3,5 Tore\n\nFA Cup\n\nHeute\n20:45\n\nForest Green\n\nVS\n\nChesham United\n\nNS\n\n2,30",
    "fragment_from": 6305,
    "fragment_to": 6417,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/forest-green-chesham-united-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "de6b0416b76aa55104e8ef25a0bbad3142f744ee7b3c2fd49f33bcac2ded93a2",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-811589c07d32",
     "display_name": "Forest Green — Chesham",
     "competition_name": "England FA Cup Qualification",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T07:45:32.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:08.678Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "2.3",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Forest Green 5-0 Chesham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "882c4aeeafe93929a4301253cb7f42765d25a200d574d52916354c0d0425d117",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5b19fd6bf5ff5e68a26c651aaad3244ce375cff68e8d20b5405f1a0d38bfbce3",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/forest-green-chesham-united-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1673894b52cebc68b278fde3",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-1673894b52cebc68b278fde3",
   "match": "Stafford Rangers v Gateshead",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "England FA Cup Qualification",
   "lead_hours": 10.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.67",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1673894b52cebc68b278fde3",
    "quote_text": "Unentschieden nach Spielende\n\nGeschätzter Marktdurchschnitt\n\n3,67",
    "fragment_from": 3685,
    "fragment_to": 3750,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/stafford-rangers-gateshead-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8b3a35317042f6959b66993441008a2f0217309ec3149a1903c673d5e6f9e386",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-446b0a6b8d7c",
     "display_name": "Stafford Rangers — Gateshead",
     "competition_name": "England FA Cup Qualification",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.67",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.67",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.67"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Stafford Rangers 5-0 Gateshead."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e884ebd074e0eb6f6a3b9c5d39006d88c45c0940f9c4fc0bee2597b43b57b0c6",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "04533fac4e4227d4d7721154ee58885e50326c6ca1cb3e042a5944c64b772041",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/stafford-rangers-gateshead-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5ca18052a15c664fe9043cba",
   "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/#pick-n-5ca18052a15c664fe9043cba",
   "match": "Stafford Rangers v Gateshead",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "England FA Cup Qualification",
   "lead_hours": 10.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.57",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5ca18052a15c664fe9043cba",
    "quote_text": "Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead –\n\nUnter 3,5 Tore\n\nFA Cup\n\nHeute\n20:45\n\nStafford Rangers\n\nVS\n\nGateshead\n\nNS\n\n1,57",
    "fragment_from": 7028,
    "fragment_to": 7139,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/stafford-rangers-gateshead-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Ali Demir",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8b3a35317042f6959b66993441008a2f0217309ec3149a1903c673d5e6f9e386",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-446b0a6b8d7c",
     "display_name": "Stafford Rangers — Gateshead",
     "competition_name": "England FA Cup Qualification",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T07:42:42.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-20T07:57:09.398Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": "1.57",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.57"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Stafford Rangers 5-0 Gateshead."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "91957b443c8b9cb1fbd00a4bf384becbaaaea9cf2a4158b1bd2c22453bc589be",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "9a87f160d6e423508f29c862ec63e6336f261b1dd5d3394130613a7b3754716a",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Ali Demir",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Ali Demir",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/stafford-rangers-gateshead-prognose-20-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 652,
  "pages": 34,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/ali-demir/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/2/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/3/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/4/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/5/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/6/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/7/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/8/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/9/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/10/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/11/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/12/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/13/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/14/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/16/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/17/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/19/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/20/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/21/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/22/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/23/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/24/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/25/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/26/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/27/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/28/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/29/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/30/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/31/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/32/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/33/",
   "/authors/ali-demir/picks/34/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 142,
   "pending": 10,
   "excluded": 500
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 15,
  "first": 261,
  "last": 280,
  "author_url": "/authors/ali-demir/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/ali-demir/picks/15/",
 "source_revision": 57
}