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 "heading": "Alex Sarwar: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 55 settled picks by Alex Sarwar recorded before kick-off across 51 matches, 10 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: −1.0% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 55 settled live picks by Alex Sarwar before kick-off across 51 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Alex Sarwar, 122 are linked to matches: 109 were recorded by us before kick-off and 13 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
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   "url": "https://www.thestatszone.com/hamburg-vs-borussia-monchengladbach-preview-team-news-prediction-236568"
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 55 settled live picks by Alex Sarwar before kick-off across 51 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Alex Sarwar, 122 are linked to matches: 109 were recorded by us before kick-off and 13 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
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    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
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    "value": "−1.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −26.8% to +26.6%"
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   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5671,
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   {
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   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -31966,
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   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34969,
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   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23169,
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   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3531,
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     {
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     {
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     },
     {
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      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
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     },
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  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 55 settled live picks by Alex Sarwar before kick-off across 51 matches between 10 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Alex Sarwar, 122 are linked to matches: 109 were recorded by us before kick-off and 13 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alex-sarwar/",
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-09-29",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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  },
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    ],
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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   "group": "excluded",
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    "author_claim": {
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     "cause": "the result data received so far does not include the player statistics this market needs",
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   "market_code": "double_chance",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T11:48:32.644Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "evidence": {
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    "statement_class": "unpriced",
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     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Anderlecht."
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    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
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   "quote": "With that in mind, consider backing a narrow victory for Sandeep Lamichhane's side.\n\nBiratnagar Kings vs Kathmandu Gorkhas tip: Biratnagar Kings to win",
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  },
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   "quote": "Janakpur Bolts vs Lumbini Lions tip: Lumbini Lions to win",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T03:48:31.372Z",
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  },
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
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   "quote": "Chitwan Rhinos vs Sudurpaschim Royals tip: Chitwan Rhinos to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T20:29:12.729Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "quote": "Karnali Yaks vs Kathmandu Gorkhas tip: Karnali Yaks to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T15:58:34.851Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers tip: Perth Scorchers to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T03:38:30.077Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe tip: Afghanistan to win",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T02:48:30.573Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "Therefore, back them to claim a second straight Bundesliga victory when playing at Deutsche Bank Park.\n\nEintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg tip: Eintracht Frankfurt to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T00:08:30.136Z",
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   "quote": "With Union having tightened up at the back too, backing under 2.5 goals between the pair looks worthwhile.\n\nUnion Berlin vs FC Cologne tip: Under 2.5 goals",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T23:58:34.736Z",
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   "quote": "When considering that three of the last four matches featuring one of these two clubs has seen under 2.5 goals scored, it’s well worth backing the same outcome when they face off here.\n\nMumbai…",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "New Zealand vs India tip: India to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T09:22:45.500Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes tip: Ellyse Perry to score 20+ runs",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "quote": "Australia vs Wales tip: Australia to win with -97.5 handicap",
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   "quote": "Biratnagar Kings vs Sudurpaschim Royals tip: Sudurpaschim Royals to win",
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   "quote": "look at backing Lumbini Lions to make it two in a row.\n\nChitwan Rhinos vs Lumbini Lions tip: Lumbini Lions to win",
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   "quote": "New Zealand vs Fiji tip: New Zealand HT/FT",
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  },
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  },
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   "quote": "Fiji vs France tip: Fiji to win with -61.5 handicap",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T03:18:43.351Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "It’s well worth backing both teams to score, regardless of the final outcome.\n\nSV Elversberg vs Mainz tip: Both teams to score",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T21:38:29.655Z",
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   "quote": "New Zealand vs India tip: India to win",
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  },
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   "quote": "Therefore, back Samoa to do enough for the win which would book their place in the last four.",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T01:28:35.054Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe tip: Afghanistan to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T17:58:29.543Z",
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   "quote": "England vs Sri Lanka tip: England to win",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T16:28:33.189Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers tip: Sydney Sixers to win",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T02:38:29.847Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "Janakpur Bolts vs Kathmandu Gorkhas tip: Harmeet Singh to take 2+ wickets",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T18:28:29.898Z",
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   "quote": "FC Goa vs SC Delhi tip: FC Goa to win",
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   "quote": "Pakistan vs Sri Lanka tip: Pakistan to win",
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   "quote": "explore backing Phillips to accumulate over 22.5 match runs via the appropriate market.",
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "backing them via the safety of the draw no bet market appears to be the value play.\n\nPaderborn vs Hamburg tip: Hamburg to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "Namibia vs Ireland tip: Ireland to win",
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   "quote": "New Zealand vs India tip: New Zealand to win",
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   "quote": "Australia vs England tip: Australia to win and Jaime Chapman to score a try anytime",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T19:28:31.098Z",
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  },
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   "quote": "With that in mind, consider making use of the double chance market to back a Union win or draw.\n\nUnion Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund tip: Double chance - Union Berlin/draw",
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  },
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   "quote": "Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen tip: Ferencvaros to win",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T15:18:26.690Z",
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   "quote": "back Walters’ side to put their first win on the board via a small handicap.\n\nAustralia vs New Zealand tip: Australia to win with -4.5 handicap",
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   "quote": "Samoa vs France tip: Brian To’o to score two tries or more",
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   "quote": "Papua New Guinea vs Lebanon tip: Papua New Guinea HT/FT",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:48:27.321Z",
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
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  "page_urls": [
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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  "current": false
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 "title_tag": "Alex Sarwar Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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    "byline": "Alex Sarwar",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 1339,
     "predictions": 297,
     "settled_picks": 55,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -1.02,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-09-29",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "tracked"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
  "updated": "2026-11-06",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 55,
   "matches": 51,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-10",
   "period_to": "2026-11-05",
   "composition_hash": "86d49133caf599268c0ba423b769415f557c9775440b31042fcb57b01903494f"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-4e6b9444aaa9ad942a53",
   "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
    "return_percent": "0.78",
    "settled_picks": 45,
    "matches": 41,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ae260620d3ecffbc0193f16deb24fc659c0f7c67f8fb44a6670765ec71c97562",
    "text": "+0.78% on 45 settled picks across 41 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.02",
    "settled_picks": 55,
    "matches": 51,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "86d49133caf599268c0ba423b769415f557c9775440b31042fcb57b01903494f",
    "text": "−1.02% on 55 settled picks across 51 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 6 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 10,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-c4c0ad83abc75133b81c",
   "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-04.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.39",
    "settled_picks": 43,
    "matches": 39,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0b3088b25ff7903b783a35195c51d760314c13411b5aab12dc0611568c844180",
    "text": "−5.39% on 43 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-05.1",
    "return_percent": "0.78",
    "settled_picks": 45,
    "matches": 41,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ae260620d3ecffbc0193f16deb24fc659c0f7c67f8fb44a6670765ec71c97562",
    "text": "+0.78% on 45 settled picks across 41 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-c43446ed84dd42409094",
   "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-04.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-11.28",
    "settled_picks": 31,
    "matches": 28,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6dbec5608a54831d7ec10535ccce09f2e80914496c080fd2d79a0dd5dd720c77",
    "text": "−11.28% on 31 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-04.1",
    "return_percent": "-5.39",
    "settled_picks": 43,
    "matches": 39,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0b3088b25ff7903b783a35195c51d760314c13411b5aab12dc0611568c844180",
    "text": "−5.39% on 43 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 12 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 12,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-8fbec93d1290091f6d62",
   "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-15.98",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 17,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a5586eef277e8d78b35a2d48199d7e74212524c38153bbb92cf5dc30a8045b40",
    "text": "−15.98% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-11.28",
    "settled_picks": 31,
    "matches": 28,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6dbec5608a54831d7ec10535ccce09f2e80914496c080fd2d79a0dd5dd720c77",
    "text": "−11.28% on 31 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "11 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 11,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-473261aafe8f1efaf16e",
   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-6.65",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 15,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d2b7f0e94d235927870558b1d706d58256044f7f76048774dcc9c9df4b7c5c77",
    "text": "−6.65% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-15.98",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 17,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a5586eef277e8d78b35a2d48199d7e74212524c38153bbb92cf5dc30a8045b40",
    "text": "−15.98% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-371b2a893755e49961f6",
   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-12.35",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "371d84ba6504420dbc77a7dbf37642e6a87fb251b583c012b740b8a52bfeab09",
    "text": "−12.35% on 14 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-6.65",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 15,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d2b7f0e94d235927870558b1d706d58256044f7f76048774dcc9c9df4b7c5c77",
    "text": "−6.65% on 18 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-d844c6e727f2ed0f25c2",
   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-16.99",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0ee969526d89e2daf24ff939d33f0e23183ae7791e7b4c9d42d389429b8ce93c",
    "text": "−16.99% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-12.35",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "371d84ba6504420dbc77a7dbf37642e6a87fb251b583c012b740b8a52bfeab09",
    "text": "−12.35% on 14 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-f5665bf17b53310c27b1",
   "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.07",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1515562015160619fe573593b9b0c17aeea61db095ac067613c57883073fa1b8",
    "text": "−10.07% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-16.99",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "0ee969526d89e2daf24ff939d33f0e23183ae7791e7b4c9d42d389429b8ce93c",
    "text": "−16.99% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-fcc548e3b089c73ce626",
   "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-23.4",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "-21.43",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "17d71276929ffcedae671995e7c6f1576d73194436e24715248304c0398d836d",
    "text": "−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.07",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1515562015160619fe573593b9b0c17aeea61db095ac067613c57883073fa1b8",
    "text": "−10.07% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 10 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 10,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-7a334c8b80c15527110b",
   "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "116.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.1",
    "composition_hash": "bc7f7540b29cf5c52e463f4586264a257278226006873fe33af82b0fea812336",
    "text": "+116.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "-21.43",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "17d71276929ffcedae671995e7c6f1576d73194436e24715248304c0398d836d",
    "text": "−42.86 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. Was: +116.00 points (1 settled pick). Now: −42.86 points (2 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 1,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-a298d143def41aa93240"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-a80c3a36a1e11df852a8",
   "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
   "url": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "116.00",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.1",
    "composition_hash": "bc7f7540b29cf5c52e463f4586264a257278226006873fe33af82b0fea812336",
    "text": "+116.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 55,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 28,
      "won": 18,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 65061,
      "return_percent": "23.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "2.18",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 28
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 12,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 1047,
      "return_percent": "0.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-22",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.90",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 12
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 10,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -68277,
      "return_percent": "-68.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-03",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.57",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 10
     },
     {
      "code_name": "draw_no_bet",
      "in_words": "Draw no bet",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 5400,
      "return_percent": "27.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-03",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.27",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.33",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2
     },
     {
      "code_name": "result_and_total",
      "in_words": "Result and total goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11150,
      "return_percent": "111.5",
      "period_from": "2026-11-05",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.12",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Championship",
      "in_words": "EFL Championship",
      "url": "/football/competitions/efl-championship/",
      "settled_picks": 19,
      "won": 11,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 27950,
      "return_percent": "14.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-30",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": false,
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