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 "heading": "Alex Campean: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 10 settled picks by Alex Campean recorded before kick-off across 10 matches, 20 Oct 2026 – 1 Nov 2026: −5.9% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Alex Campean before kick-off across 10 matches between 20 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −5.9% on the total staked. Of the 62 predictions we hold for Alex Campean, 18 are linked to matches: 14 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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  "public_name": "Alex Campean",
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   "ci_high": "52.2670",
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   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/3/#pick-n-1dd5646eee35e9a470ffa5ae",
   "quote_text": "Bet on: Aston Villa [telefon-vyrezan])",
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   "quote_text": "Bet on Hungary ML (+130)",
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   "quote_text": "Bet on Sweden to win & Both teams to score (+200)",
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   "quote_text": "Pick France -1.5 against Turkey at Ev odds",
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   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/3/#pick-n-3ad9266369d4da44e0114940",
   "quote_text": "Take Italy ML against Belgium at +120 odds",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/nations-league-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-for-friday-09-25-2026/",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a3ab0ccc29538fe2f78bd316",
   "quote_text": "Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check updated lines in our website before placing any bets.",
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   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/3/#pick-n-f28411731a0b2b3cbf4a606b",
   "quote_text": "Bet on Switzerland -1.5 (+105)",
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   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/3/#pick-n-d1fcd7382bfa0d77b8ce2514",
   "quote_text": "Take Spain ML & BTTS against England at +350 odds",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/nations-league-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-predictions-09-26-2026/",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:03.441Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-60d6a67120a1f4f1bf6e4429",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-60d6a67120a1f4f1bf6e4429",
   "quote_text": "Maximize your soccer bankroll: Claim the exclusive 200% Crypto Sign-Up Bonus.",
   "fragment_from": 462,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/nations-league-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-09-29-2026/",
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-37e193c4023d951c64e8248f",
   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/2/#pick-n-37e193c4023d951c64e8248f",
   "quote_text": "Bet on Bayern Munich -2.5 (+105)",
   "fragment_from": 3169,
   "fragment_to": 3201,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/european-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-for-this-weekend-10-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Alex Campean",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-18T19:44:09.516Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "status": "not_supported",
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   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T19:44:09.516Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9efa3455ae2f94e495931e24",
   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/2/#pick-n-9efa3455ae2f94e495931e24",
   "quote_text": "Bet on Over 2.5 Goals (-120).",
   "fragment_from": 2643,
   "fragment_to": 2672,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/european-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-for-this-weekend-10-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Alex Campean",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "28e0b8aebb87ae06fb12b4478e1c64774a76e1d4c3e88fe7cd3592638dc6d7a0",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-18T19:44:09.516Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
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   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T20:24:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T19:44:09.516Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
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 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 1,
  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
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 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 10,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "10.0",
    "below": 1,
    "within": 8,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.5",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/4/#pick-n-a309f61267b7d94649f316d4",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.82",
    "market": "1.67",
    "difference_percent": "9.2"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/4/#pick-n-a7c60e620ca4a4fb0d9b998b",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.83",
    "market": "1.95",
    "difference_percent": "-6.3"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "betus.com.pa",
   "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/european-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-for-this-weekend-11-07-2026/"
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  "observed_from": "2026-10-18",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-06",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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  "settled_picks": 10,
  "matches": 10,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -5926,
  "staked_hundredths": 100000,
  "return_percent": "-5.93",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-20",
  "period_to": "2026-11-01",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Alex Campean before kick-off across 10 matches between 20 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −5.9% on the total staked. Of the 62 predictions we hold for Alex Campean, 18 are linked to matches: 14 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "10",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "10",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−59.26 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−5.9%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −63.8% to +52.3%"
   }
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  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
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   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9000,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 100,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4074,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
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    "n": 10
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  "return_over_time_parts": {
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    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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    "low": {
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     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9000,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4074,
     "after_picks": 9
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    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
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      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9000,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 100,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4074,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
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      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Alex Campean before kick-off across 10 matches between 20 October and 1 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −5.9% on the total staked. Of the 62 predictions we hold for Alex Campean, 18 are linked to matches: 14 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alex-campean/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
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   "no_match_linked": 44,
   "proven_predictions": 14,
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   "proven_measured": 10,
   "proven_dates": 5,
   "parts": [
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     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 14,
     "checked": 14,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
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      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 3
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
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       "return_main_percent": "-5.93",
       "return_other_percent": "-6.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -5926,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -6000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 7,
       "return_main_percent": "7.11",
       "return_other_percent": "14.02",
       "settled_excluding_void": 7,
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       "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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      }
     ],
     "score": {
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      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 10
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 10,
      "won": 5,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "49.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "42.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "58.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "50.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "49.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "47.6"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 4,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 2,
      "other": 1
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
  "interval_low": "-63.81",
  "interval_high": "52.27",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 20 October – 1 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-18",
  "record_to": "2026-11-06"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a0d9d9dbc8f54999be0ea3e",
   "url": "/authors/alex-campean/picks/4/#pick-n-0a0d9d9dbc8f54999be0ea3e",
   "match": "Liverpool v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 38.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "3.45",
   "settled_price": "3.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T17:52:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T01:46:11.373Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.4000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 14000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-0a0d9d9dbc8f54999be0ea3e",
    "quote_text": "Bet on: Liverpool vs. Arsenal Draw (+245)",
    "fragment_from": 5896,
    "fragment_to": 5937,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.betus.com.pa/soccer/picks/european-hot-takes-odds-picks-and-prediction-for-this-weekend-10-30-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Alex Campean",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6309bdd89c7dd1533ff6a8975525a3403b4698cec76c68ee68860de2b8a2dc2e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-30T17:52:42.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-31T01:46:11.373Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-31T02:32:26.827Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Liverpool — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-arsenal-2026-11-01/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.45",
     "our_snapshot": "3.4000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T01:44:40.307Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f28411731a0b2b3cbf4a606b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Switzerland -1.5 (+105)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T17:51:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:03.441Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d1fcd7382bfa0d77b8ce2514",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Take Spain ML & BTTS against England at +350 odds",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T17:51:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:03.441Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f3a78a41160e64d51e54c8ce",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Hungary ML (+130)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:37:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:04.308Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-79f2f867d5b0ef57cc8dddfe",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Sweden to win & Both teams to score (+200)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:37:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:04.308Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-df175c1d36296b28e90c194b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Pick France -1.5 against Turkey at Ev odds",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:37:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:04.308Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ad9266369d4da44e0114940",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Take Italy ML against Belgium at +120 odds",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:37:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:04.308Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d6f1d611c946c83d28d6cd02",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Man United ML (+105)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0ef2f0d245a8746199fb30ae",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Real Madrid ML (-105)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-68df37e5cdb54653ebff1415",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Man City -1.5 (-120)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c65dfd089045d03a28890997",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Liverpool ML (+115)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e8249f0097224fd0466ce44c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Lamine Yamal Anytime Goalscorer (-120)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2a50373627495040ef5c2a9e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Dortmund PK (Ev)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f44dd152f9db42a93ef4e458",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on Over 3 Goals (+105)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b658958235fd36f4e17fa935",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on: Arsenal Wins and Both Teams To Score – Yes (+250)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1dd5646eee35e9a470ffa5ae",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bet on: Aston Villa [telefon-vyrezan])",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:56:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:45:05.043Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 18,
  "before_kickoff": 14,
  "after_kickoff": 4,
  "at_least_2h": 14,
  "share_2h_plus": 77.8,
  "median_hours": 23.3,
  "min_hours": 10.7,
  "max_hours": 48.3,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 4,
  "settled_picks_all": 10,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 3,
   "no_recorded_line": 3,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 40000,
  "author_net_hundredths": 524,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 3524,
  "difference_hundredths": -3000,
  "author_return_percent": 1.31,
  "favourite_return_percent": 8.81,
  "author_hit_rate": 50.0,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 50.0,
  "picked_favourite_share": 50.0,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 3,
    "staked_hundredths": 30000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -10476,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 13524,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 2,
    "picked_favourite": 2,
    "author_return_percent": -34.92,
    "favourite_return_percent": 45.08
   },
   {
    "market_code": "total",
    "picks": 1,
    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 11000,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 0,
    "picked_favourite": 0,
    "author_return_percent": 110.0,
    "favourite_return_percent": -100.0
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 1000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 10524,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10476
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 524,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 3524
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 62,
  "pages": 5,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/alex-campean/",
   "/authors/alex-campean/picks/2/",
   "/authors/alex-campean/picks/3/",
   "/authors/alex-campean/picks/4/",
   "/authors/alex-campean/picks/5/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 10,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 52
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/alex-campean/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Alex Campean Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-76496ccd84ffe2b539b98aa5",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Alex Campean",
  "main_entity": "e-76496ccd84ffe2b539b98aa5",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-76496ccd84ffe2b539b98aa5",
    "medium": "BetUS",
    "channel": "author pages",
    "domain": "betus.com.pa",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "Alex Campean",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 70,
     "predictions": 62,
     "settled_picks": 10,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -5.93,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-11-06"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 10,
   "matches": 10,
   "void": 0,
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 "number_changes": [
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  "prediction_count": 62,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-11-06",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alex-campean/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 18 October 2026 · 62 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>"
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