{
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 "language": "en",
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 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Aleksandr Moskvin: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "20 settled picks by Aleksandr Moskvin archived before kick-off across 11 matches, 4 Aug 2026 – 11 Oct 2026: −10.1% reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 20 settled archived picks by Aleksandr Moskvin from copies archived before kick-off, across 11 matches between 4 August and 11 October 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −10.1% on the total staked. Of the 83 predictions we hold for Aleksandr Moskvin, 23 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive; 60 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−10.1%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "quarantine",
 "indexing_threshold": {
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  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2,
  "live_count": 0,
  "restored_count": 71,
  "of_them_archived": 20
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "d85a7ab0a6ab6db6f19d6d310aa963adc6e75d48fa0197f37a12885bebc5d80f",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-0b8f70079cfcc8be7b51ae76",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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  {
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 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks.csv",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
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  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-0b8f70079cfcc8be7b51ae76",
  "public_name": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
  "tracker_number": 4157,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-12",
   "until": "2026-10-13"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-0b8f70079cfcc8be7b51ae76-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
  "average_odds": null,
  "odds_from_author": null,
  "odds_from_snapshot": null
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_key": null,
  "series_label": "No level stake placed",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": 0,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 83,
  "recognised": 83,
  "accepted": 83,
  "executed": 83,
  "calculated": 71,
  "gaps": []
 },
 "record_counts": {
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  "statements": 83,
  "of_them_restored": 83,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 0,
   "not_about_a_match": 0,
   "unclassified": 0
  },
  "predictions": 83,
  "predictions_restored": 83,
  "matches": 15,
  "admitted": 83,
  "qualifying_picks": 83,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 83,
  "settled_picks": 71,
  "settled_picks_restored": 71,
  "series_list": [
   {
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    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 77,
    "settled_picks": 65,
    "void": 2,
    "pending_picks": 12,
    "matches": 47,
    "operations_settled": 65,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
    "is_restored": true,
    "qualifying_picks": 79,
    "settled_picks": 70,
    "void": 1,
    "pending_picks": 9,
    "matches": 50,
    "operations_settled": 70,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    ],
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {},
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
 "evidence_items": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-975f86ce6b8a422f26082dcb",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/6/#pick-n-975f86ce6b8a422f26082dcb",
   "quote_text": "ТМ (2,5)",
   "fragment_from": 5536,
   "fragment_to": 5544,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sparta-lion-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-4-avgusta-2026-goda/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "35460f95fb2073a02586e9167fc84ff8db8020e004f80c0d551d5f31b8b4e7d3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T23:10:05.784Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:08:08.905Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "AC Sparta Praha v Olympique Lyonnais",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.0",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.1150",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T18:44:01.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T23:10:05.784Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T18:44:01.000Z",
    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 2.5",
    "author_odds": "2.0",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "2.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.0"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AC Sparta Praha 2-1 Olympique Lyonnais."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "28aabd4cd3eff5c02f0ebfaab8d6bbd2df4e015d6894343893435f5ca8aab1ea",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "2.0",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:08:08.905Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "13305eccf60bb347fb75515dad282acb3b52bc3004478d3866ad5c3acd21ea66",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1150",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:08:08.905Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "publisher": "Metaratings",
    "forecaster": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sparta-lion-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-4-avgusta-2026-goda/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3b0d16381c41337ec66aba5b",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/6/#pick-n-3b0d16381c41337ec66aba5b",
   "quote_text": "Победа Лиона в основное время оценивается коэффициентом от 2,06 до 2,12",
   "fragment_from": 4038,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sparta-lion-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-4-avgusta-2026-goda/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "35460f95fb2073a02586e9167fc84ff8db8020e004f80c0d551d5f31b8b4e7d3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T23:10:05.784Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "AC Sparta Praha v Olympique Lyonnais",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": null
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Olympique Lyonnais",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.12",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.1550",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "unknown",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T18:44:01.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T23:10:05.784Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-08-03T18:44:01.000Z",
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais",
    "author_odds": "2.12",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "2",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Olympique Lyonnais at 2.12"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "unknown",
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "edcbc274df2dbde77917e6f87c12cc6943b341184dd6e788863c689eba7f05d6",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais",
     "decimal_odds": "2.12",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": "unknown",
     "result_words": "Pending",
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-19T18:51:15.836Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "6471efe038ae7804334492fd1e7b97af276c0bc3f555f753e224fc483cfef564",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Olympique Lyonnais",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1550",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": "unknown",
     "result_words": "Pending",
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-19T18:51:15.836Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "publisher": "Metaratings",
    "forecaster": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sparta-lion-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-4-avgusta-2026-goda/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1ce509447345956947a224e3",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/6/#pick-n-1ce509447345956947a224e3",
   "quote_text": "1,62\n\nСтавкаТБ (2,5)\n\nБукмекер\n\nБонус\nExclusive\n10 000 ₽\n\nПерейти\n\nВсё пройдет\n\nНикакой прогноз не пройдет\n\nП1\n\nТБ (2,5)",
   "fragment_from": 4893,
   "fragment_to": 5013,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/lion-sparta-praga-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-11-avgusta-2026-goda/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "81a56b7c6c4235a142cbbff8dcc6565d9c141f7b5766cc78089a89f75f8a56cc",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-08-10T05:51:18.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:06:29.286Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:08:21.966Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Olympique Lyonnais v AC Sparta Praha",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-08-11T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "3-0"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.62",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.4500",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4500,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-08-10T05:51:18.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-08-10T05:51:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:06:29.286Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
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    "url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
    "scoreline": "1-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.75",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.6350",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T17:33:58.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T17:33:58.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:29:23.165Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "author_odds": "1.75",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "2.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.75"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "fe15d5c0f6bbdb0d13b22cb5e1acf95c5ad5ec53184a7c235f5f8c74e0b457a2",
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     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.75",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.309Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
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    },
    {
     "operation_id": "349684a3bd029151686abf7741ad476e02a49045ff57990734343eee0df43b01",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.6350",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result_words": "Lost",
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     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.309Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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    "publisher": "Metaratings",
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    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": "channel_owner_only",
    "status": "under_check",
    "status_words": "Attribution under review",
    "status_note": "The source does not name the tipster, and the byline is a different person; the selection was linked to this profile only through the channel we follow for it. It is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sassuolo-milan-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-italii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
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   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-74a2b6e6980d7262f6dd02b0",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/2/#pick-n-74a2b6e6980d7262f6dd02b0",
   "quote_text": "Обе забьют — да",
   "fragment_from": 519,
   "fragment_to": 534,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sassuolo-milan-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-italii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "0f1c367143bf0baa8bda709216afa755c32d342423783e2ce3193abea2f2a74a",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T17:33:58.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:29:23.165Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.275Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-6daf1549fb1e",
    "display_name": "Sassuolo v AC Milan",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
    "scoreline": "1-1"
   },
   "market_label": "Both teams to score",
   "outcome_label": "yes",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.69",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.5500",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 5500,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T17:33:58.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T17:33:58.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:29:23.165Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "choice": "yes",
    "author_odds": "1.69",
    "market_key": "both_teams_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.69"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "2e2439e699602e45274ff8ac81655b97233419c1153eda61cdaa9a71a27eaa6b",
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "decimal_odds": "1.69",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 6900,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.275Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
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    },
    {
     "operation_id": "d53b2652a6e4b43f7cf5aa1f5f8545970148e40c87fe9474063856145b18395e",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "decimal_odds": "1.5500",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 5500,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.275Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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    "publisher": "Metaratings",
    "forecaster": null,
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": "channel_owner_only",
    "status": "under_check",
    "status_words": "Attribution under review",
    "status_note": "The source does not name the tipster, and the byline is a different person; the selection was linked to this profile only through the channel we follow for it. It is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sassuolo-milan-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-italii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-09e7d7308964f826df23c0c3",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/2/#pick-n-09e7d7308964f826df23c0c3",
   "quote_text": "Тотал больше 2,5 гола",
   "fragment_from": 4928,
   "fragment_to": 4949,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/benfika-vitoriya-gimarainsh-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-portugalii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "f4d46952d7752c24ad5487ace53b79be4430fcce2a419d6c5cb9765d6443f609",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T17:52:52.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:14:59.953Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.932Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-ab34e450c302",
    "display_name": "Benfica v Vitória Guimarães",
    "competition_name": "Primeira Liga",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-11T17:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-vitoria-guimaraes-2026-10-11/",
    "scoreline": "2-0"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.43",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "1.4000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "source_reported_history",
   "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T17:52:52.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T17:52:52.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:14:59.953Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
   "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 2.5",
    "author_odds": "1.43",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "2.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.43"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Benfica 2-0 Vitória Guimarães."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "dfbbff231846ac37ad542c4730e6e09c8cf6100f93b96953cd5acd7f352b26df",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.43",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.932Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "67ad3a1503a82064d5ba69c5840ee34ec9e5ad026ac81c9c3d5d2f24c2193532",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.4000",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.932Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": null,
    "publisher": "Metaratings",
    "forecaster": null,
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": "channel_owner_only",
    "status": "under_check",
    "status_words": "Attribution under review",
    "status_note": "The source does not name the tipster, and the byline is a different person; the selection was linked to this profile only through the channel we follow for it. It is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/benfika-vitoriya-gimarainsh-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-portugalii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 71,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 20,
  "found_post_match": 0,
  "of_them_source_reported": 51,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 16,
  "span_from": "2026-08-04",
  "span_to": "2026-10-11",
  "line_text": "restored history: 71, of which pre-match archive 20",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship, Champions League, Bundesliga, LaLiga, Ligue 1, International Soccer, Serie A, Eredivisie and Primeira Liga matches between 4 August 2026 and 11 October 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 71. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 20. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 51. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 69,
   "share": "0.4928"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 30,
    "roi": "0.1667",
    "ci_low": "-26.9643",
    "ci_high": "27.0690",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 69,
    "roi": "-18.5000",
    "ci_low": "-37.6316",
    "ci_high": "2.9758",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "Champions League",
   "Bundesliga",
   "LaLiga",
   "Ligue 1",
   "International Soccer",
   "Serie A",
   "Eredivisie",
   "Primeira Liga"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 71 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "metaratings.ru",
   "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/sparta-lion-prognoz-na-match-ligi-chempionov-4-avgusta-2026-goda/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-12",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-13",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 20,
  "matches": 11,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -20250,
  "staked_hundredths": 200000,
  "return_percent": "-10.12",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-08-04",
  "period_to": "2026-10-11",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 20 settled archived picks by Aleksandr Moskvin from copies archived before kick-off, across 11 matches between 4 August and 11 October 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −10.1% on the total staked. Of the 83 predictions we hold for Aleksandr Moskvin, 23 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive; 60 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "20",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "11",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−202.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "−10.1%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −47.1% to +26.5%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.",
   "60 predictions are kept out of this record’s totals: the article byline and the named tipster differ."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-08-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5650,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12550,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-09",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5550,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20250,
    "n": 20
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 11,
    "match_dates": 6,
    "period_from": "2026-08-04",
    "period_to": "2026-10-11",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -20250,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20250,
     "after_picks": 20
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5550,
     "after_picks": 14
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-08-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5650,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12550,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5550,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20250,
      "n": 20,
      "picks": 6
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 20 settled archived picks by Aleksandr Moskvin from copies archived before kick-off, across 11 matches between 4 August and 11 October 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −10.1% on the total staked. Of the 83 predictions we hold for Aleksandr Moskvin, 23 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive; 60 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 23,
   "under_review": 60,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 23,
   "proven_checked": 20,
   "proven_measured": 20,
   "proven_dates": 6,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 23,
     "checked": 20,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 20,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 11,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20250,
      "staked_hundredths": 200000,
      "return_percent": "-10.12",
      "interval_low": "-47.14",
      "interval_high": "26.50",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-08-04",
      "period_to": "2026-10-11",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 11,
       "return_main_percent": "20.41",
       "return_other_percent": "27.45",
       "settled_excluding_void": 11,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 22450,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 30200,
       "period_from": "2026-10-04",
       "period_to": "2026-10-10"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 20,
      "priced": 20
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 20,
      "won": 11,
      "won_percent": "55.0",
      "implied_percent": "60.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "56.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "59.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "77.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "44.4"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-01d284abbf9e88c4cc341ded",
   "n-0d009b7a307bc8d7efea10e2",
   "n-4328dfaa2b192fb28919b90e",
   "n-68438f6e1b8728364a90c9da",
   "n-6b45ed36183205b56d648491",
   "n-759e4ad14baf9082ac323370",
   "n-78c3e13365590d0c79282378",
   "n-8d23a6e5fcb51b1c49a85fa5",
   "n-91818d4d695c48401f47f102",
   "n-95be9bd3b3548f003f1334cc",
   "n-975f86ce6b8a422f26082dcb",
   "n-980442f0d17a6344512ff217",
   "n-9c40019ee0881453a256d843",
   "n-9fdb43463e287ad7eaf3c605",
   "n-ba319b6bc2ab08b26160d6bc",
   "n-e5e919acb6db54a25900f137",
   "n-e68550a32084fc518be019f8",
   "n-ee30342a8f5b3b5ee1691de2",
   "n-f7811d41981d63481285c0e5",
   "n-fd80ce69caf2da0740dc6bcc"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-47.14",
  "interval_high": "26.50",
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 4 August – 11 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2026-08-04",
  "record_to": "2026-10-11"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-fd80ce69caf2da0740dc6bcc",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/3/#pick-n-fd80ce69caf2da0740dc6bcc",
   "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -31.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.77",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.77",
   "settled_price": "1.6700",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.77; returns at the author's price leave it out",
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fd80ce69caf2da0740dc6bcc",
    "quote_text": "Обе забьют — да",
    "fragment_from": 5661,
    "fragment_to": 5676,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/real-sosedad-deportivo-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-ispanii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "08e201749067bed98ac377b013a8b2d602038be3bcd3aef9790fbf89a10ab781",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:13.312Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a7837daec4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "3-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.77",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6700",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6700,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T22:20:28.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": null,
     "fragment_basis": "no",
     "source_page_at": null,
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T22:20:28.000Z",
     "flags": [
      "no_date"
     ],
     "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.77",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.77"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo de A Coruña."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "414a9d09a7c8592386c31911c3a0cb086d367da26c04910d1bc198fbd3d08b97",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.77",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7700,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:13.312Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e8b6c1069d62a2d8744ec04113c6ec96e661a545a14ede574e5015569a4bae97",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6700",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6700,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:13.312Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
     "publisher": "Metaratings",
     "forecaster": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/real-sosedad-deportivo-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-ispanii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4328dfaa2b192fb28919b90e",
   "url": "/authors/aleksandr-moskvin/picks/3/#pick-n-4328dfaa2b192fb28919b90e",
   "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": -31.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.74",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.74",
   "settled_price": "1.7500",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": "price disputed: the quote does not give the author's price 1.74; returns at the author's price leave it out",
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4328dfaa2b192fb28919b90e",
    "quote_text": "Тотал больше 2,5 гола",
    "fragment_from": 538,
    "fragment_to": 559,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/real-sosedad-deportivo-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-ispanii-11-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "08e201749067bed98ac377b013a8b2d602038be3bcd3aef9790fbf89a10ab781",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:13.290Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a7837daec4e9",
     "display_name": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-sociedad-vs-deportivo-de-a-coruna-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "3-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.74",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T22:20:28.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": null,
     "fragment_basis": "no",
     "source_page_at": null,
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T21:22:06.942Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T22:20:28.000Z",
     "flags": [
      "no_date"
     ],
     "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.74",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.74"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo de A Coruña."
    },
    "settlements": [
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     "status_note": "The source does not name the tipster, and the byline is a different person; the selection was linked to this profile only through the channel we follow for it. It is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/inter-parma-prognoz-na-match-chempionata-italii-10-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
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  },
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "International Soccer",
   "lead_hours": -199.2,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Kyrgyzstan or draw at 1.26",
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T21:13:38.820Z",
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   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-808fcb842b97c385bd0e64f1",
    "quote_text": "Киргизия не проиграет с коэффициентом 1,26",
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     "speaker": "Aleksandr Moskvin",
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    },
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    },
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     "closing": "1.2200",
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     "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
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    },
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
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     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Kyrgyzstan or draw at 1.26"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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     "status": "not_named",
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     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/kirgiziya-livan-prognoz-na-tovarishcheskij-match-4-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
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    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Kyrgyzstan or draw"
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-065bccd3e1cbebefae54a72d",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
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   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Kyrgyzstan at 1.95",
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-065bccd3e1cbebefae54a72d",
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    "source_info": {
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    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
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     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
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     "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/kirgiziya-livan-prognoz-na-tovarishcheskij-match-4-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
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    "choice_words": "Kyrgyzstan to win"
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  },
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   "record_id": "n-dfaa00def060afd5b99a143c",
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   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-dfaa00def060afd5b99a143c",
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    },
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     "closing": "5.3100",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "author_claim": {
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     "choice": "Russia 3-0 Namibia",
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     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "3-0",
     "period": "match",
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     "in_words": "Correct score: Russia 3-0 Namibia"
    },
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     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Russia 6-0 Namibia."
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      "choice": "Russia 3-0 Namibia",
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      "status": "confirmed",
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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     "basis": "channel_owner_only",
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
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     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://metaratings.ru/prognozy/futbol/rossiya-namibiya-prognoz-na-tovarishcheskij-match-3-oktyabrya-2026-goda/",
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  },
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   "record_id": "n-65f444f2160a51fcdd77ef90",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Birmingham City v Southampton",
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   "kickoff": "2026-09-01T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -986.6,
   "market_code": "draw_no_bet",
   "author_said": "Draw no bet: Southampton at 1.9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Void",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 83,
  "pages": 6,
  "page_urls": [
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  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
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 "title_tag": "Aleksandr Moskvin Predictions: Verified Record and Results",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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    "summary": {
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     "predictions": 83,
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     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
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    "text": "−8.07% on 23 settled picks across 12 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
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 ]
}
