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 "heading": "Adam Clancy: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 90 settled picks by Adam Clancy recorded before kick-off across 40 matches, 9 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +11.8% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 90 settled live picks by Adam Clancy before kick-off across 40 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.8% on the total staked. Of the 258 predictions we hold for Adam Clancy, 183 are linked to matches: 183 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   },
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    "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
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   {
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 90 settled live picks by Adam Clancy before kick-off across 40 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.8% on the total staked. Of the 258 predictions we hold for Adam Clancy, 183 are linked to matches: 183 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "90",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "40",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+1,062.99 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+11.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −21.5% to +52.6%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-09",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6100,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8050,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2050,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-14",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7950,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12650,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-16",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22650,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22950,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19402,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 41465,
    "n": 22
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16165,
    "n": 26
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21365,
    "n": 27
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15449,
    "n": 38
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4408,
    "n": 47
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53609,
    "n": 55
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3304,
    "n": 65
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17437,
    "n": 69
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34742,
    "n": 76
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20842,
    "n": 78
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 114053,
    "n": 81
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106299,
    "n": 90
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 90,
    "matches": 40,
    "match_dates": 20,
    "period_from": "2026-10-09",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 106299,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53609,
     "after_picks": 55
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-06",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 114053,
     "after_picks": 81
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6100,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8050,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2050,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7950,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12650,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22650,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22950,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19402,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 41465,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16165,
      "n": 26,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21365,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15449,
      "n": 38,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4408,
      "n": 47,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -53609,
      "n": 55,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3304,
      "n": 65,
      "picks": 10
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17437,
      "n": 69,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34742,
      "n": 76,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20842,
      "n": 78,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 114053,
      "n": 81,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 106299,
      "n": 90,
      "picks": 9
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 90 settled live picks by Adam Clancy before kick-off across 40 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.8% on the total staked. Of the 258 predictions we hold for Adam Clancy, 183 are linked to matches: 183 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 258,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 75,
   "proven_predictions": 183,
   "proven_checked": 159,
   "proven_measured": 121,
   "proven_dates": 21,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 183,
     "checked": 159,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 90,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 40,
      "net_points_hundredths": 106299,
      "staked_hundredths": 900000,
      "return_percent": "11.81",
      "interval_low": "-21.47",
      "interval_high": "52.60",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 31
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 79,
       "return_main_percent": "-2.69",
       "return_other_percent": "1.63",
       "settled_excluding_void": 79,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -21248,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 12900,
       "period_from": "2026-10-09",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 65,
       "return_main_percent": "10.24",
       "return_other_percent": "7.78",
       "settled_excluding_void": 65,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 66549,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 50579,
       "period_from": "2026-10-10",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 31,
      "exact_hits": 6,
      "exact_rate": 19.4,
      "outcome_checked": 31,
      "outcome_hits": 17,
      "outcome_rate": 54.8,
      "baseline_matches": 23,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 23,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 11,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 47.8,
      "favourite_hits": 12,
      "favourite_rate": 52.2,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "6 of 31 score forecasts named the exact score (19.4%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 11 of 23 matches; the market favourite was right in 12 of the same 23 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 23 of 31 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 159,
      "priced": 90
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 90,
      "won": 45,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "47.2",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 17,
        "picks": 28,
        "implied_percent": "58.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 10,
        "picks": 22,
        "implied_percent": "47.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 19,
        "implied_percent": "38.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Corners over/under",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "47.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "48.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "32.5"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 31,
      "right": 7,
      "wrong": 23,
      "other": 1
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-f3803fcd4cbb5767f2d677a0",
   "n-f73e2179a5e983a1efb6ca0e"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-21.47",
  "interval_high": "52.60",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-09-24",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-6b2831b4d69c712530326eca",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/13/#pick-n-6b2831b4d69c712530326eca",
   "match": "Arsenal v Hull City",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 42.1,
   "market_code": "corners_total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 10.5 corners: over 10.5 at 2.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10750,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.25",
   "settled_price": "2.0750",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T20:39:13.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T20:54:17.231Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-6b2831b4d69c712530326eca",
    "quote_text": "Six of Hull's last seven competitive fixtures have featured 11+ corners, so Over 10.5 corners at 5/4 (2.25) is worth backing.",
    "fragment_from": 3037,
    "fragment_to": 3162,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/arsenal-vs-hull-city-prediction-07-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Adam Clancy",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ecbf244cb0e37d5de535571fcbc65246da5e9c54242ad1599f7ae40ed735d510",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T20:39:13.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T20:54:17.231Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T20:55:45.828Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-db14ccc3b614",
     "display_name": "Arsenal — Hull City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-hull-city-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
    "outcome_label": "over 10.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.25",
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  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
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 "title_tag": "Adam Clancy Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
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 },
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    "text": "+4.97% on 27 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z",
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   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "30.84",
    "settled_picks": 16,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e609dc083dddfe1dd9ee9edae6b9635627b3c02b82023ba680c9bba8416563e7",
    "text": "+30.84% on 16 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "12.02",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 13,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "660e0a9b79b7519d9273558832b48efaafd27f6bca53bc1328d061d0794d3ea4",
    "text": "+12.02% on 20 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 2 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-8085b78d963a7fdc2993",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
    "return_percent": "39.56",
    "settled_picks": 15,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dd577c6cd3dca99794b1f4803fd21387304b748bace3b53c16c29425490bdc8c",
    "text": "+39.56% on 15 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "30.84",
    "settled_picks": 16,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e609dc083dddfe1dd9ee9edae6b9635627b3c02b82023ba680c9bba8416563e7",
    "text": "+30.84% on 16 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-3a8d05e304745da6bb8c",
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   "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
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    "settled_picks": 13,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fc02af730f55636d2931938a17220c101b8986f0df465a444428605c09909d85",
    "text": "+34.61% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
    "return_percent": "39.56",
    "settled_picks": 15,
    "matches": 10,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dd577c6cd3dca99794b1f4803fd21387304b748bace3b53c16c29425490bdc8c",
    "text": "+39.56% on 15 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-80f7d1a8b19b2912e682",
   "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
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    "return_percent": "31.07",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d893a71ce67fc8a66cebcec6ecf2ab728fa20f340a45012b0c96b8897d21597f",
    "text": "+31.07% on 12 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
    "return_percent": "34.61",
    "settled_picks": 13,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "fc02af730f55636d2931938a17220c101b8986f0df465a444428605c09909d85",
    "text": "+34.61% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-070c7ea8fbcb25e44505",
   "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.8",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
    "return_percent": "13.06",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dbfabd31ee5552a7e450dfa1e5a1a4416603a923638c233546397b969f91e0d3",
    "text": "+117.50 points on 9 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.8",
    "return_percent": "31.07",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d893a71ce67fc8a66cebcec6ecf2ab728fa20f340a45012b0c96b8897d21597f",
    "text": "+31.07% on 12 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-94356c248a75363c4bcc",
   "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.3",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
    "return_percent": "2.93",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "98dc395b1c2d62ff7dc8545063426a21c9e7adb4d1a20295282616cb81198469",
    "text": "+20.50 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
    "return_percent": "13.06",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "dbfabd31ee5552a7e450dfa1e5a1a4416603a923638c233546397b969f91e0d3",
    "text": "+117.50 points on 9 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-35a97bbb79a929b37b1b",
   "at": "2026-10-11T19:38:24.634Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.5",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "26.83",
    "settled_picks": 3,
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "498b523e25a744a3cee04e2256b36af91297478e302e1ec650a6d138fd3b756d",
    "text": "+80.50 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
    "return_percent": "2.93",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "98dc395b1c2d62ff7dc8545063426a21c9e7adb4d1a20295282616cb81198469",
    "text": "+20.50 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 4,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-cf3d3663f212c6a90990",
   "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3",
   "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "26.83",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "498b523e25a744a3cee04e2256b36af91297478e302e1ec650a6d138fd3b756d",
    "text": "+80.50 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-954d8939b3dfea5cf347"
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 7,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-274fb0f56c276253d3ef2fc6",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-274fb0f56c276253d3ef2fc6",
    "match": "Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/ipswich-town-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Player to score: Francisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa to score at 2.9",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:43:29.986Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-0c35f642b9dec00b815dd075",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-0c35f642b9dec00b815dd075",
    "match": "Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/ipswich-town-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.67",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:43:29.986Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-22a72ec16615377a21105816",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-22a72ec16615377a21105816",
    "match": "Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/ipswich-town-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth at 1.95",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:43:29.986Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-6de7c7a7fe512c41317908c4",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-6de7c7a7fe512c41317908c4",
    "match": "RC Lens v Olympique de Marseille",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Ligue 1",
    "author_said": "Correct score: RC Lens 1-3 Olympique de Marseille at 21",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T21:18:04.386Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-9c95733cce7908204507a7f7",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-9c95733cce7908204507a7f7",
    "match": "RC Lens v Olympique de Marseille",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Ligue 1",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T21:18:04.386Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-7762e0d76a8ff155269f2d1f",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-7762e0d76a8ff155269f2d1f",
    "match": "RC Lens v Olympique de Marseille",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Ligue 1",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.2",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T21:18:04.386Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-2fde8e61a887f0cbe3090bfe",
    "url": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/14/#pick-n-2fde8e61a887f0cbe3090bfe",
    "match": "RC Lens v Olympique de Marseille",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Ligue 1",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: Olympique de Marseille at 2.9",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T21:18:04.386Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 90,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 28,
      "won": 17,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 8241,
      "return_percent": "2.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.79",
      "odds_from_author": 28,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 22,
      "won": 10,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -13280,
      "return_percent": "-6.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "2.21",
      "odds_from_author": 18,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 4
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 19,
      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -23312,
      "return_percent": "-12.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "3.27",
      "odds_from_author": 17,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 2
     },
     {
      "code_name": "corners_total",
      "in_words": "Corners over/under",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 15450,
      "return_percent": "30.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.26",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 31054,
      "return_percent": "62.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.17",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "correct_score_market",
      "in_words": "Correct score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 80000,
      "return_percent": "200.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "10.88",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_to_score",
      "in_words": "Player to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -700,
      "return_percent": "-1.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.65",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_goal_or_assist",
      "in_words": "Player to score or assist",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 1000,
      "return_percent": "5.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.42",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "handicap_asian",
      "in_words": "Asian handicap",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7846,
      "return_percent": "78.5",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-10-18",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.40",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Premier League",
      "in_words": "Premier League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/",
      "settled_picks": 60,
      "won": 31,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 175542,
      "return_percent": "29.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
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