{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "history", "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/2/", "canonical": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/2/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Aaron Ashley — football predictions, page 2 of 32", "description": "Predictions 1–20 of 608 by Aaron Ashley, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Page 2 of 32 of the predictions by Aaron Ashley recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 608 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. 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"published_at": "2026-04-25T14:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:29.017Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:45.956Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-04-25T16:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "Player to score first", "outcome_label": "Kai Havertz to score first", "odds_set": { "by_author": "6.5", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-04-24T19:34:54.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-04-25T14:15:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-04-25T14:15:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:29.017Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-04-24T19:34:54.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score first", "choice": "Kai Havertz to score first", "author_odds": "6.5", "market_key": "player_first_goal", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": null, "in_words": "Player to score first: Kai Havertz to score first at 6.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 1-0 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null, "bundle_id": "29cee03ccfc7aa0ff38ab696d8e5392f575b8a7c6aa2d319e133a4c7d10413ae", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:45.167Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:45.999Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Arsenal v Coventry City", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-08-21T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "To win to nil", "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.727", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7270, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:09:45.167Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "To win to nil", "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil", "author_odds": "1.727", "market_key": "win_to_nil", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 1.73" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the 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