{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
 "canonical": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Aaron Ashley — football predictions, page 15 of 32",
 "description": "Predictions 261–280 of 608 by Aaron Ashley, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 15 of 32 of the predictions by Aaron Ashley recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 261–280 of 608 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "608",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "e2f22c2a8b6dd24f87e877ae050e466b4a7793a32203926ed7539ffe566a726b",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
  "public_name": "Aaron Ashley",
  "tracker_number": 1495,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-8b250493eb6e48aff7a80198",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Over 2.5 Galatasaray cards",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-94674fdbb37a20d9c7d2ca1f",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-94674fdbb37a20d9c7d2ca1f",
   "match": "Liverpool v Galatasaray",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-18T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4700.0,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -1: Liverpool -1 at 1.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6250,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.75",
   "settled_price": "1.6250",
   "published_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-94674fdbb37a20d9c7d2ca1f",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool -1 goal on handicap\n2pts 3-4 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 1964,
    "fragment_to": 2008,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260317174517id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/liverpool-vs-galatasaray-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-a3rdh9g9fsCk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "5b3790b00775e535c8dcd870f64ab8ef20ab64fb330867f56315f4e9298c7d30",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.629Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Galatasaray",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-03-18T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-0"
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap -1",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool -1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.75",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6250",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6250,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-03-17T17:45:17.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-03-17T17:45:17.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "Liverpool -1",
     "author_odds": "1.75",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap -1: Liverpool -1 at 1.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "4-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 4-0 Galatasaray."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "baff23c572b850a83f06e9458b0a804cb90d1b8f0f3538c1a2129c7a805598e6",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Liverpool -1",
      "decimal_odds": "1.75",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.622Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a9321bfbd78af6df6c36cddfe28fd00891d76f9a305d432f62e915f25378684f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Liverpool -1",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6250",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6250,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.629Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/liverpool-vs-galatasaray-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-a3rdh9g9fsCk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool -1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ad992fa34785d2cb22f6de18",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Lucas Torreira to commit two or more fouls",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e67b7cb449bcb565aab5d1b1",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Liverpool v Galatasaray",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-18T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -4700.0,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -2: Liverpool -2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-03-18T18:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:00:24.889Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-774bd69a84627da674d90711",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Newcastle to commit most fouls in each half\n5-4 Betfair",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:01:34.643Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7e2f5fd117ce00217a8a524c",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-7e2f5fd117ce00217a8a524c",
   "match": "Qarabag v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-02-18T17:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -5374.3,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Lewis Hall to be carded at 6.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-6",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "6.5",
   "settled_price": "6.5",
   "published_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:01:34.643Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7e2f5fd117ce00217a8a524c",
    "quote_text": "Lewis Hall to be shown a card\n11-2 general",
    "fragment_from": 2339,
    "fragment_to": 2381,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260217202403id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/qarabag-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-apklQ5J8ueRA/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "414d4574273b14c7929b45fb375f3988d3c6076cead0cf7d13235a54a0b5cc1e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:01:34.643Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.790Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Qarabag v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-02-18T17:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-6"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Lewis Hall to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "6.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-17T20:24:03.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:01:34.643Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-17T20:24:03.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Lewis Hall to be carded",
     "author_odds": "6.5",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Lewis Hall to be carded at 6.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-6",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Qarabag 1-6 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7be480391ce1e5a53724a0d960e012611cfbf8e44347f25c0dbca373b3bd1386",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Lewis Hall to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "6.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.790Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/qarabag-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-apklQ5J8ueRA/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Lewis Hall to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-dd09150630aba79e912d1300",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals\n2pts 5-4 Coral, Ladbrokes",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-02-18T16:46:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:01:34.643Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0933f347bf01a8e1682cccae",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jurrien Timber to be shown a card",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-253c4b954f4d7db6146be163",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Vinicius Junior to score or assist",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-764cf69870f16eaf753840a4",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Real Madrid v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -12765.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5800,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5800",
   "published_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7faf98599370cd8aa9581966",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-7faf98599370cd8aa9581966",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -12765.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.1",
   "settled_price": "3.1000",
   "published_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7faf98599370cd8aa9581966",
    "quote_text": "Real Madrid to win & both teams to score\n1pt 21-10 Betfair",
    "fragment_from": 1364,
    "fragment_to": 1422,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250415135034id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/real-madrid-vs-arsenal-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-aZJmD9L1Z3R1/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "380b95a553d4cd1bf721d7250fd84176e39aa3ed83cc8e4e93208da0a15af0d9",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.907Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Real Madrid v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.1000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-15T13:50:34.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-15T13:11:15.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:03:20.645Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-15T13:50:34.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 3.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "336ac5dc148aeab82dcc60eabb3241561ad032c4dce9ba4440436ffaff808766",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.902Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4bec0cdc4f574f3bdb3d2f7dbe5b9fe53fb459f4738cb0dd4d9163267ccb628c",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:14.907Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/champions-league/real-madrid-vs-arsenal-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-aZJmD9L1Z3R1/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3a01f14434257e10f1768818",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-3a01f14434257e10f1768818",
   "match": "Birmingham City v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-08-27T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
   "lead_hours": -18333.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Fulham at 1.65",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.65",
   "settled_price": "1.8000",
   "published_at": "2024-08-26T15:06:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:05:43.101Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3a01f14434257e10f1768818",
    "quote_text": "Fulham to win\n2pts 13-20 Coral, Hills, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1328,
    "fragment_to": 1376,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl-cup/birmingham-vs-fulham-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aGGt72s39rN3/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2b3bb1892f78cf31668df914061dc874e584db09f3c0a609429df2008df5801a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-08-26T15:06:53.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:05:43.101Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:25.172Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Birmingham City v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
     "starts_at": "2024-08-27T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Fulham",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.65",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-08-26T15:06:53.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-08-26T15:06:53.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:05:43.101Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Fulham",
     "author_odds": "1.65",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Fulham at 1.65"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Birmingham City 0-2 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "46275dcae01b4f3f3026a5451c2a5bf38af80ae54f8153fecc8018f99b27bfca",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Fulham",
      "decimal_odds": "1.65",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:25.165Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cf5e3ebd521d0faae5165089b1c5cd97ff1d19718d5f4f9304d3f77366f00697",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Fulham",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:25.172Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl-cup/birmingham-vs-fulham-prediction-betting-tips-and-odds-aGGt72s39rN3/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Fulham to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cbc0a596047bb23edab8eb5f",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-cbc0a596047bb23edab8eb5f",
   "match": "Plymouth Argyle v Sheffield United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-12T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -12868.6,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.25",
   "settled_price": "2.25",
   "published_at": "2025-04-11T14:22:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:08:52.106Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-cbc0a596047bb23edab8eb5f",
    "quote_text": "Sheffield United to win & under 3.5 goals\n1pt 5-4 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1416,
    "fragment_to": 1482,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250411145054id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-plymouth-vs-sheffield-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a88YP0k642wA/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c310755b19659ae52fa0b78a8da5986fc3b4f8470d5537e80fbe037c59a3c15e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-11T14:22:45.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:08:52.106Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.285Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Plymouth Argyle v Sheffield United",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-12T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-11T14:50:54.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-11T14:22:45.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-11T14:22:45.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:08:52.106Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-11T14:50:54.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.25",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Sheffield United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4fc68085cb491b9fd0235fa22a113afc774313cbfbaf2b60d966923753d2f54e",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.285Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-plymouth-vs-sheffield-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-a88YP0k642wA/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Sheffield United to win and under 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8f813c5b2a0972ac5ab80cb4",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-8f813c5b2a0972ac5ab80cb4",
   "match": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -8853.2,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Luke Thomas to be carded at 5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "5",
   "settled_price": "5",
   "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8f813c5b2a0972ac5ab80cb4",
    "quote_text": "Luke Thomas to be shown a card\n4-1 general",
    "fragment_from": 1993,
    "fragment_to": 2035,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250925170956id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2a417a1c68ef7874696addd6e7e86eb4a9080066f07d5c3c03e38fd7daf89604",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.300Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Luke Thomas to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Luke Thomas to be carded",
     "author_odds": "5",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Luke Thomas to be carded at 5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1dc0549dc250714451a139f7e393041195492b57addeb3c6d114d8775990c410",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Luke Thomas to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.300Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Luke Thomas to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9d0ddcb75397e057b8f0fce0",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-9d0ddcb75397e057b8f0fce0",
   "match": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -8853.2,
   "market_code": "draw_no_bet",
   "author_said": "Draw no bet: Leicester City at 2.3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Void",
   "claim_outcome": "Void",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 0,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.3",
   "settled_price": "2.3",
   "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9d0ddcb75397e057b8f0fce0",
    "quote_text": "Leicester draw no bet\n1pt 13-10 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1931,
    "fragment_to": 1974,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250925170956id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2a417a1c68ef7874696addd6e7e86eb4a9080066f07d5c3c03e38fd7daf89604",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.293Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
    "outcome_label": "Leicester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "void",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 0,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Draw no bet",
     "choice": "Leicester City",
     "author_odds": "2.3",
     "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Draw no bet: Leicester City at 2.3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "void",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Void: the final score was West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9b2ef9deef32dd7fd73499167439785cba6733a1645e5650fc3cef443423258d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Draw no bet",
      "choice": "Leicester City",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "void",
      "result_words": "Void",
      "change_hundredths": 0,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.293Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leicester City (Draw no bet)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ceb738c19407a5468edf4591",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-ceb738c19407a5468edf4591",
   "match": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -8853.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Leicester City win, both teams to score: no at 6.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ceb738c19407a5468edf4591",
    "quote_text": "Leicester to win & under 2.5 goals\n11-2 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 2047,
    "fragment_to": 2093,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250925170956id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2a417a1c68ef7874696addd6e7e86eb4a9080066f07d5c3c03e38fd7daf89604",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Bromwich Albion v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-26T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Leicester City win, both teams to score: no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "6.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "5.6900",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-25T16:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:12:09.972Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-09-25T17:09:56.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Leicester City win, both teams to score: no",
     "author_odds": "6.5",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Leicester City win, both teams to score: no at 6.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "c8778fd1dd58f8b2bcc48445098383fdcc3ae58daaba54483b33a0277a8b195b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Leicester City win, both teams to score: no",
      "decimal_odds": "6.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:04.193Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "31f7b69453d456a6087fa6283c3ce64bd9efda224fff6cbd75e9013ef73a1775",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Leicester City win, both teams to score: no",
      "decimal_odds": "5.6900",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:22.525Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/championship-west-brom-vs-leicester-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-at6GZ1r0q0zi/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leicester City win, both teams to score: no"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2386ab975a230b471500e8fc",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-2386ab975a230b471500e8fc",
   "match": "Middlesbrough v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -12957.3,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Middlesbrough or draw at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.05",
   "settled_price": "2.0000",
   "published_at": "2025-04-07T14:24:37.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:23.565Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2386ab975a230b471500e8fc",
    "quote_text": "Middlesbrough or draw double chance\n1pt 21-20 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 1358,
    "fragment_to": 1409,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250407161234id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/middlesbrough-leeds-predictions-betting-tips-odds-arjyp8o2rHC7/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6751ee01c19445684474c724105d35b70837ce2245456dc3ec66b73d5b6ab1e4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-07T14:24:37.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:23.565Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.451Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Middlesbrough v Leeds United",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-08T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "Middlesbrough or draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.05",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-07T16:12:34.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-07T14:24:37.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-07T14:24:37.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:23.565Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-07T16:12:34.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "Middlesbrough or draw",
     "author_odds": "2.05",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "1X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: Middlesbrough or draw at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b9571573f60147730cf551fc89ff73114c6d221b87dab038d56a207ea529ac87",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Middlesbrough or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.445Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5d2bfcd3d9fbc1a0e1dacc9a947fdbdaf950d1403ee430d5f5c579f681544ca0",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "Middlesbrough or draw",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:15.451Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/middlesbrough-leeds-predictions-betting-tips-odds-arjyp8o2rHC7/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Middlesbrough or draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2b284eb281b6bd63dc2f94bb",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/#pick-n-2b284eb281b6bd63dc2f94bb",
   "match": "Leicester City v Sheffield Wednesday",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-10T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -9984.8,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Yan Valery to be carded at 11",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:27.492Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2b284eb281b6bd63dc2f94bb",
    "quote_text": "Yan Valery to be shown a card\n\nThe Owls right-back picked up seven bookings in 39 Championship appearances last season and looks in for a tough task up against the tricky Stephy Mavididi.\n\nPays out at 10-1 with bet365",
    "fragment_from": 5693,
    "fragment_to": 5910,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250809133417id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/leicester-vs-sheffield-wednesday-predictions-tips-and-bet-builder-acBhP0S9iFqg/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8543ea9a74f1d7483b31b92e93a0755b23ac9a776ac09c20b3a62dd09b280f45",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:27.492Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leicester City v Sheffield Wednesday",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-10T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Yan Valery to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "11",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-09T13:34:17.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:27.492Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-09T13:34:17.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Yan Valery to be carded",
     "author_odds": "11",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Yan Valery to be carded at 11"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ef16b6994e5b2dff23a7669478e1408c04cc4a706540331eb6713486fa29723f",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Yan Valery to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "11",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:58.518Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/efl/leicester-vs-sheffield-wednesday-predictions-tips-and-bet-builder-acBhP0S9iFqg/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Yan Valery to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-51652d623112dcaa7e446243",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jordan Ayew anytime goalscorer",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:27.492Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7f79573660904693f05164c9",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Leicester City v Sheffield Wednesday",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-10T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": -9984.8,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 2.5: Leicester City over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.2600",
   "published_at": "2025-08-09T12:49:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T16:16:27.492Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 608,
  "pages": 32,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/2/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/3/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/4/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/5/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/6/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/7/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/8/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/9/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/12/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/13/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/14/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/16/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/17/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/18/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/19/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/20/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/21/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/22/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/23/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/24/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/25/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/26/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/27/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/28/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/29/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/30/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/31/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/32/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 234,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 372
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 15,
  "first": 261,
  "last": 280,
  "author_url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
 "source_revision": 76
}