{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
 "canonical": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Aaron Ashley — football predictions, page 11 of 32",
 "description": "Predictions 181–200 of 608 by Aaron Ashley, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 11 of 32 of the predictions by Aaron Ashley recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 181–200 of 608 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "608",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "04ad7178c150871e8c4150847e84856fe4788fc67193a0475de9d13c38a94b94",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
  "public_name": "Aaron Ashley",
  "tracker_number": 1495,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-9c74b64a7a93a99fb04ffa19",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Boubakary Soumare to be shown a card",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-14T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:51.511Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ca4bec1e5fe6f50ec0e0b953",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-ca4bec1e5fe6f50ec0e0b953",
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Best bet\n\nDenmark to win & over 1.5 goals\n2pts 3-4 Coral, Ladbrokes",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T12:00:52.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:43.597Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.924Z",
    "field": "author price",
    "reason": "The author’s fractional price 3-4 was read as 3.75; as a decimal price it is 1.75.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-71c592d8e5e4",
    "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 3-4 was read as 3.75; as a decimal price it is 1.75."
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ca4bec1e5fe6f50ec0e0b953",
    "quote_text": "Best bet\n\nDenmark to win & over 1.5 goals\n2pts 3-4 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 2803,
    "fragment_to": 2870,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/nations-league/denmark-vs-wales-team-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-auG9F9P8UvZv/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "45b5073afcb146f21e4775f5fe698b08e7e1cbed931502772c7d462333d0fa33",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-27T12:00:52.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:43.597Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "not_supported",
    "cause": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
    "cause_code": "outside_coverage",
    "event": null,
    "market_label": null,
    "outcome_label": null,
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": null,
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-27T12:00:52.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-27T12:00:52.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:43.597Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
    "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.924Z",
      "field_name": "author price",
      "was": "3.75",
      "now": "1.75",
      "cause": "The author’s fractional price 3-4 was read as 3.75; as a decimal price it is 1.75."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.924Z",
     "field": "author price",
     "reason": "The author’s fractional price 3-4 was read as 3.75; as a decimal price it is 1.75.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-71c592d8e5e4",
     "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 3-4 was read as 3.75; as a decimal price it is 1.75."
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-dbffc4af8706edf8421161b9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Best player bet\n\nMikkel Damsgaard to score a goal\n10-3 bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-27T12:00:52.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:43.597Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ca005ed7b5eff79c902a1d78",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Austria to beat Israel",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:43.816Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b0030d61be5b7e7318a6fdd7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Barnsley to beat Leeds U21s",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:50:44.058Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-11fb4406350ba342d359f68d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Erling Haaland anytime goalscorer\n\nThe prolific Norwegian has six goals in his last four appearances and can add to his tally against the Black Cats.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4b7b700938c68002c8481bd7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Thomas Meunier to have one or more shots on target\n\nThe Belgian right-back has been deployed further forward for Sunderland this season and has had a shot on target in each of their four league…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5740fc058091e1117c548b22",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-5740fc058091e1117c548b22",
   "match": "Manchester City v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -200.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester City win, both teams to score: no at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5740fc058091e1117c548b22",
    "quote_text": "Best bet\n\nManchester City to win to nil\n1pt 11-10 bet365, Hills",
    "fragment_from": 3038,
    "fragment_to": 3101,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-sunderland-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aRddT8X79ruk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c1d5359b8fc4aee45d2f6a17875a03e67b68f546c6d060afdf9858a78fa3161e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester City v Sunderland",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: no",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester City win, both teams to score: no at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1e610570c0b5c7d870941795e68c76d5af346fd7926530eeb71a7c65450bceb7",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: no",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.822Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-sunderland-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aRddT8X79ruk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: no"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7222288464dbbdfee0481e01",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-7222288464dbbdfee0481e01",
   "match": "Manchester City v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -200.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7222288464dbbdfee0481e01",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City to win\n\nThe Citizens are full of confidence following six straight wins and visitors Sunderland tend to fare best at the Stadium of Light.",
    "fragment_from": 1919,
    "fragment_to": 2073,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-sunderland-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aRddT8X79ruk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c1d5359b8fc4aee45d2f6a17875a03e67b68f546c6d060afdf9858a78fa3161e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester City v Sunderland",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.3306",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-20T09:38:47.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.354Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Manchester City",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4a6950c0fc76d329f00ab5780f9077853e6b2de0c89a785d7237110b38793a37",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3306",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.804Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3c70b513d9bb30c8f5e14a38ae89445cfb009de0969a5bb9f3149ebaf34da3fb",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester City",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:15.545Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-sunderland-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aRddT8X79ruk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-01a94dd28523ffb91ed6254c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Leeds to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:37:25.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.580Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3b9f3a999558590135f42935",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-3b9f3a999558590135f42935",
   "match": "Leeds United v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -200.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Leeds United at 1.73",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.73",
   "settled_price": "1.6500",
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:37:25.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.580Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3b9f3a999558590135f42935",
    "quote_text": "Leeds\n2pts 8-11 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 3012,
    "fragment_to": 3044,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-crystal-palace-team-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aSsGp7j2uvrO/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "540bda3878e088ebefd7a3e29e8f8d82defbd92a567fe003e6f51a521c40c93d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-20T09:37:25.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.580Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.388Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leeds United v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Leeds United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.73",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6581",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-20T09:37:25.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-20T09:37:25.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T20:57:21.580Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Leeds United",
     "author_odds": "1.73",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Leeds United at 1.73"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "df3203452d702fd2bbc3fe1a2dd9d3940b467f88bbe145056130f1edcf1b4fc7",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Leeds United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.382Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "77c04c7016d93d6924b05a676074ae1f0e20f8f3c3bbeecc96a44bae3f0f2463",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Leeds United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6581",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.388Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "33170adac427d65a10fb3ff6bee29df0edcb632142004d6d688fa2c2b5df9682",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Leeds United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.394Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-crystal-palace-team-odds-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-aSsGp7j2uvrO/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Leeds United to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a001c7c26c840565c15893fb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Odds: 4-5 general",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:37:41.477Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5a7132271c390b0c7f584c68",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Pays out at 11-2 with bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:37:41.758Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bc10fc325cc767ab6c8d59fe",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-bc10fc325cc767ab6c8d59fe",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Coventry City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -221.1,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Frank Onyeka to be carded at 3.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "3.2",
   "settled_price": "3.2",
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:37:41.758Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bc10fc325cc767ab6c8d59fe",
    "quote_text": "Frank Onyeka to be shown a card\n11-5 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 2067,
    "fragment_to": 2110,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/nottingham-forest-vs-coventry-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-a3kR89M5076Y/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "a9d74fd0ecc94751c732371aee0962a97aa2e1c1efacfe71f7605d129e5e54f4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:37:41.758Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.504Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v Coventry City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Frank Onyeka to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:37:41.758Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Frank Onyeka to be carded",
     "author_odds": "3.2",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Frank Onyeka to be carded at 3.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2b4191866f9634760e2c8adaf7f6528487c1644d836d5bc18fdf7871737fd0ed",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Frank Onyeka to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:55.504Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/nottingham-forest-vs-coventry-predictions-betting-tips-team-news-bet-builder-a3kR89M5076Y/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Frank Onyeka to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-26cdb893edb20b394a28a8dd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Birmingham vs Middlesbrough @ 8-15",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:44:36.008Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-275c755f6ae8c5a2d8c1c0f4",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Inconsistent Manchester United should have enough to beat Fulham at Craven Cottage so I’ll go for both teams to score, Bruno Fernandes to have an assist and Harry Maguire to have at least one shot.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3d4d3a23d0c72810d99b76a4",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/#pick-n-3d4d3a23d0c72810d99b76a4",
   "match": "Fulham v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -219.4,
   "market_code": "player_shots",
   "author_said": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5: Josh King over 0.5 shots on target at 14",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3d4d3a23d0c72810d99b76a4",
    "quote_text": "Both teams to score, Josh King to have a shot on target and Timothy Castagne to be shown a card pays around 13-1.",
    "fragment_from": 1750,
    "fragment_to": 1863,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/expert-jury-betting-tips-and-predictions-for-fulham-vs-manchester-united-aovN84Q4uNOX/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "caae71a98bbbf41b8b894c4613976f0a23b386b6ca7b422f875f8754a4e103fd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
    "outcome_label": "Josh King over 0.5 shots on target",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "14",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
     "choice": "Josh King over 0.5 shots on target",
     "author_odds": "14",
     "market_key": "player_shots",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "0.5",
     "subject": "shots",
     "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5: Josh King over 0.5 shots on target at 14"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "674f70b9818d697dbf8be472c914294457378862aeff200c1ca30339e108fdb7",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 0.5",
      "choice": "Josh King over 0.5 shots on target",
      "decimal_odds": "14",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.352Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/expert-jury-betting-tips-and-predictions-for-fulham-vs-manchester-united-aovN84Q4uNOX/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Josh King over 0.5 shots on target"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d14e65dd91a2b71377b5efca",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL League One",
   "lead_hours": -244.9,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Sheffield Wednesday",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.1350",
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f7e7bcf1895367cdb668c24b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Southampton are finding their groove in the Championship and should probably be odds-on at Wrexham.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T18:52:27.426Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": "Racing Post, author pages",
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-166e1b09cee5653052058a46",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "they are 13-5 to record victory in next Sunday's trip to the Etihad",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-12T18:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T00:38:46.016Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 608,
  "pages": 32,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/2/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/3/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/4/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/5/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/6/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/7/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/8/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/9/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/12/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/13/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/14/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/16/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/17/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/18/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/19/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/20/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/21/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/22/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/23/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/24/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/25/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/26/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/27/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/28/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/29/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/30/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/31/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/32/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 234,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 372
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 11,
  "first": 181,
  "last": 200,
  "author_url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
 "source_revision": 71
}