{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
 "canonical": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Aaron Ashley — football predictions, page 10 of 32",
 "description": "Predictions 161–180 of 608 by Aaron Ashley, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 10 of 32 of the predictions by Aaron Ashley recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 161–180 of 608 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "608",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "e6ef05911ada5ed3fd8682e19f72a7f87fc48fb03ce395195b4da1bf2c443912",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-f5750b82a0033a44cb6cb1bb",
  "public_name": "Aaron Ashley",
  "tracker_number": 1495,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-6875340fde35bc5453ab9710",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-6875340fde35bc5453ab9710",
   "match": "Leeds United v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-30T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9457.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 2.15",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.15",
   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.792Z",
    "field": "author price",
    "reason": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-bafd0325bf7c",
    "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-6875340fde35bc5453ab9710",
    "quote_text": "Newcastle\n1pt 23-20 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 2159,
    "fragment_to": 2195,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250829202907id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-acm3F3B4wpnk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2979b313a308ecb434c2f9c638c76a22ca2f793b9b1d8fd58d1a0e850e5c165c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.439Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leeds United v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-30T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.15",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-29T20:29:07.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-29T20:29:07.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Newcastle United",
     "author_odds": "2.15",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 2.15"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leeds United 0-0 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0880d6880cbcfc43b343c88bcd7c3009776850772377d9b8e79380242c494c93",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.15",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.432Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "21e8814a0139184fcc5488cfd6bf02ab829cfcfb2279855e8beb95ab614886e9",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.439Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f1e99c84f9e01dad40895c8bf3453777311885abcd80bfcf0fbf89c0edb772de",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.445Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.792Z",
      "field_name": "author price",
      "was": "1.15",
      "now": "2.15",
      "cause": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-acm3F3B4wpnk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.792Z",
     "field": "author price",
     "reason": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-bafd0325bf7c",
     "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
    },
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9a9bdfc423769e6ca4e3dfc2",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-9a9bdfc423769e6ca4e3dfc2",
   "match": "Leeds United v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-30T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9457.3,
   "market_code": "player_first_goal",
   "author_said": "Player to score first: William Osula to score first at 7.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "7.5",
   "settled_price": "7.5",
   "published_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9a9bdfc423769e6ca4e3dfc2",
    "quote_text": "William Osula first goalscorer\n13-2 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 2267,
    "fragment_to": 2314,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250829202907id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-acm3F3B4wpnk/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2979b313a308ecb434c2f9c638c76a22ca2f793b9b1d8fd58d1a0e850e5c165c",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.456Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leeds United v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-30T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score first",
    "outcome_label": "William Osula to score first",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "7.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-29T20:29:07.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-29T20:29:07.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score first",
     "choice": "William Osula to score first",
     "author_odds": "7.5",
     "market_key": "player_first_goal",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to score first: William Osula to score first at 7.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leeds United 0-0 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6a56a546eaaa8d76f6d2f7924eb4cb67cfdda0f9cc2bac147de1d4769873b27d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score first",
      "choice": "William Osula to score first",
      "decimal_odds": "7.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.456Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leeds-vs-newcastle-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-bet-builder-acm3F3B4wpnk/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "William Osula to score first"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d38ed23e9ed0c9038c092714",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Anton Stach to commit two or more fouls",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-29T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:48:50.854Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-96ea0390039a278dcc9d5234",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-96ea0390039a278dcc9d5234",
   "match": "Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-23T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -9630.3,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.9091",
   "settled_price": "2.0000",
   "published_at": "2025-08-22T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:41.884Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-96ea0390039a278dcc9d5234",
    "quote_text": "Manchester City to win & over 2.5 goals\n2pts 10-11 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 2277,
    "fragment_to": 2344,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250822175459id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-tottenham-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-a4SRF7L1ND2u/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "10ec255c22a1b038bb0527755355e2242fddcecd0a068c79c876074c8907ae16",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-22T16:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:41.884Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.923Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-23T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.9091",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-22T17:54:59.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-22T16:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-22T16:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:41.884Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-08-22T17:54:59.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "1.9091",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester City 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ee1513cecd94a8bd70de891ed5624793d568b9880866a1add14a5e20f939d700",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9091",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.917Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "15be615be11c30b7a89b524bed259fdb90fa60896439bd0ae9a6ffc1ce98d7b8",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.923Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-city-vs-tottenham-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-odds-and-bet-builder-a4SRF7L1ND2u/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b478bdfb26268780f342d08b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tijjani Reijnders to be shown a card",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-22T16:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:50:41.884Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9be55e4e14a442071e495166",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-9be55e4e14a442071e495166",
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals\n2pts 23-20 Hills",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-16T16:21:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:33.251Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.828Z",
    "field": "author price",
    "reason": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-bafd0325bf7c",
    "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9be55e4e14a442071e495166",
    "quote_text": "Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals\n2pts 23-20 Hills",
    "fragment_from": 2340,
    "fragment_to": 2393,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250816173338id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/manchester-united-vs-arsenal-premier-league-predictions-team-news-betting-tips-and-odds-aBN8k9m0qUdt/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3dd07f477706a51fe72695b17e1d187814c3080ed663d4754341f7271fd592a1",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-16T16:21:53.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:33.251Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "not_supported",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_supported",
    "event": null,
    "market_label": null,
    "outcome_label": null,
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": null,
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-16T16:21:53.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-16T16:21:53.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:33.251Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.828Z",
      "field_name": "author price",
      "was": "1.15",
      "now": "2.15",
      "cause": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-09-29T00:48:58.828Z",
     "field": "author price",
     "reason": "The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-bafd0325bf7c",
     "text": "Corrected on 29 September 2026: The author’s fractional price 23-20 was read as 1.15; as a decimal price it is 2.15."
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b09b1983ace07a69598f6cbc",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Casemiro to be shown the first card\n8-1 bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-16T16:21:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T17:56:33.251Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5de18f442ea78676c7d7d517",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Joao Gomes to be shown a card\nThe Brazilian, who has collected eight yellows and a red in 32 league appearances this term, loves to put in a tackle and the midfield battle is going to be crucial…",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-05-01T13:35:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:07:05.055Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7c327ed0c13b5ce574fcaf99",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Manchester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-05-02T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -12335.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7750",
   "published_at": "2025-05-01T13:35:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:07:05.055Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-314c347c10085ca58c26a8d7",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-314c347c10085ca58c26a8d7",
   "match": "Fulham v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -12965.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.9300",
   "published_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-314c347c10085ca58c26a8d7",
    "quote_text": "they should have too much attacking quality for Fulham",
    "fragment_from": 3983,
    "fragment_to": 4037,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250405172648id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-liverpool-predictions-betting-odds-tips-a5RGA4c1KaAs/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d93f8b0a354a383b149136b2b200d63a80d5a145536d09684f7baa0e515d88f2",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.075Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8929",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-05T17:26:48.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-05T17:26:48.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Liverpool"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Fulham 3-2 Liverpool."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d3d250f64dd80d1358e536235f7cbd00410b210db27618d19c81188042db893a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8929",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.075Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a0d70c327374d74441d23918ecf30e4e28721c094f4985e71daf3365fc0740a2",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.082Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-liverpool-predictions-betting-odds-tips-a5RGA4c1KaAs/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-530e2e419e3cebcf48cd1355",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-530e2e419e3cebcf48cd1355",
   "match": "Fulham v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -12965.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-530e2e419e3cebcf48cd1355",
    "quote_text": "keeping things tight may be a good strategy against a well drilled Fulham side.",
    "fragment_from": 4240,
    "fragment_to": 4319,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250405172648id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-liverpool-predictions-betting-odds-tips-a5RGA4c1KaAs/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d93f8b0a354a383b149136b2b200d63a80d5a145536d09684f7baa0e515d88f2",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Fulham v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0350",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-05T17:26:48.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-05T17:26:48.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "13858d8a7f822c4f8e4f521044e83ada3b70ee0df8717961da461f6954c92123",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0350",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.739Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5d76a58e7351caf1a6c0567aca14a7879162aadee962f74e0c481a450610bb82",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:13.855Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/fulham-liverpool-predictions-betting-odds-tips-a5RGA4c1KaAs/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f9ce97b4ea7f8ca50350cd62",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Liverpool to win",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-04-05T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:19.539Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4227bea5765a4d95b31ad3b7",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-4227bea5765a4d95b31ad3b7",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Brentford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-04-02T18:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -13055.4,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 12000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.25",
   "settled_price": "2.2000",
   "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4227bea5765a4d95b31ad3b7",
    "quote_text": "Newcastle to win & over 2.5 goals\n1pt 5-4 BoyleSports",
    "fragment_from": 1581,
    "fragment_to": 1634,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250401165047id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-predictions-football-betting-tips-and-free-bets-aqTUz5h66c1b/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "da8f9011a2242529b6b4688721a77f83a3c76688c8b082f028e42b11cbee6866",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.262Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Brentford",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-04-02T18:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T16:50:47.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-04-01T14:47:38.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:09:57.157Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-01T16:50:47.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.25",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "1-over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals: Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals at 2.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 2-1 Brentford."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6588c1c055b016c592c90d875f9cff23ef536300094aad810c54db6d7b7ae164",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.256Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "2870895e5528b1029d111b4ad80062e82005fc76c51aaffb36922207ac953c0d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.262Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Racing Post Sport Staff",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "matches_source",
     "status_words": "Named in the source as the tipster",
     "status_note": null,
     "evidence_fragment": "Verdict by Aaron Ashley",
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/premier-league-predictions-football-betting-tips-and-free-bets-aqTUz5h66c1b/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United to win and over 2.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-02bfc595fe62ed8f1ee0d991",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Leicester City v Brentford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-21T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14014.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 14750,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.4750",
   "published_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:18.227Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3c999b36cec42459ca450dbb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Caleb Okoli to commit one or more fouls",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:18.227Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a88169e0b4df75082c1cd44d",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-a88169e0b4df75082c1cd44d",
   "match": "Leicester City v Brentford",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-21T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14014.2,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.25",
   "settled_price": "3.2000",
   "published_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:18.227Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a88169e0b4df75082c1cd44d",
    "quote_text": "Brentford to win & under 3.5 goals\n1pt 9-4 general",
    "fragment_from": 1348,
    "fragment_to": 1398,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250220152222id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leicester-vs-brentford-predictions-betting-tips-odds-adV621W1bpb0/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "108bdfaec01653523d759dab2c04fcdc8d5f4c0e7ada55f224626a457e8fa508",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:18.227Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.544Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leicester City v Brentford",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-21T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-4"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.2000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-20T15:22:22.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-20T15:15:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:18.227Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-20T15:22:22.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leicester City 0-4 Brentford."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "6ed797edfe66cd8a6237f04aac1c05139caf607a41bd7aa1f556715c0f23c381",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.538Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a188b375c5abee8e2624056bbe3eee9d8225f0e3a4aa02ef33032eb4a0324ee1",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.544Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leicester-vs-brentford-predictions-betting-tips-odds-adV621W1bpb0/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Brentford to win and under 3.5 goals"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-34c9be406986ce7929c4d6c0",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-34c9be406986ce7929c4d6c0",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14137.7,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Bruno Fernandes to be carded at 6.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-34c9be406986ce7929c4d6c0",
    "quote_text": "Bruno Fernandes to be shown a card\nIf tempers flare then United's Portuguese playmaker is likely to be at the forefront and he has been carded in three of the last five meetings.\n\nPays out at 11-2 with bet365",
    "fragment_from": 7062,
    "fragment_to": 7270,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250215163706id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-axnB54T4liUB/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d8e250d671026789871b77ac4f1cc62f4cc0a0a568ce6dd095cf825fbdf2a84e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-16T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "6.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-15T16:37:06.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-15T16:37:06.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
     "author_odds": "6.5",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Bruno Fernandes to be carded at 6.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "58c454206858dc556715d70e61c7aa752980ca837320e8ff91c44416ae555a2e",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "6.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.039Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-axnB54T4liUB/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Bruno Fernandes to be carded"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-acfb4eaa5ec4515fac85cc46",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-acfb4eaa5ec4515fac85cc46",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14137.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.2000",
   "published_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-acfb4eaa5ec4515fac85cc46",
    "quote_text": "Over 3.5 goals\n1pt 6-5 bet365",
    "fragment_from": 1485,
    "fragment_to": 1514,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250215163706id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-axnB54T4liUB/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d8e250d671026789871b77ac4f1cc62f4cc0a0a568ce6dd095cf825fbdf2a84e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.735Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-16T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.1500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-15T16:37:06.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-15T16:37:06.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "76f0fdb2cf496e385164edc28390d90fa732d89c9d363384a6c7bdfb67d4cf34",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.730Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "fac354710e098e8ad5cb6c412a9f0bb01c55cdfc0cb3d4bcd7b215e2adec192f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.735Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "08581464ea17f530d29d07ac124b014b4b78bde072ad3f1d90bcdd385b58d4a4",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:50.740Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/tottenham-vs-manchester-united-predictions-betting-tips-and-odds-axnB54T4liUB/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b4e36709b6021afa072a928c",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-16T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14137.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4100",
   "published_at": "2025-02-15T14:31:39.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:35.021Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-692692fd2b65292b39b97034",
   "url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/#pick-n-692692fd2b65292b39b97034",
   "match": "Leicester City v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-15T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14165.7,
   "market_code": "result_and_total",
   "author_said": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2025-02-14T17:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:51.511Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "platform": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-692692fd2b65292b39b97034",
    "quote_text": "Arsenal to win & under 3.5 goals\n2pts 11-10 Coral, Ladbrokes",
    "fragment_from": 1374,
    "fragment_to": 1434,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250214143817id_/https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leicester-vs-arsenal-predictions-betting-tips-odds-adaYP3R2VWaP/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Aaron Ashley",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "c7d2099440587b59a1b45b294a2cedf569a9646919c83fafddd112c89ec97791",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-02-14T17:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:51.511Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.527Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Leicester City v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-15T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-14T14:38:17.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-02-14T17:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-02-14T17:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T18:13:51.511Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-02-14T14:38:17.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "result_and_total",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Leicester City 0-2 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d58ad91f8e45fc09b23c5ca1903286f09013ec4b8a43c0107a60e1d109b0f91a",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 11000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.521Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cb161c915dfda8b2a6f355398aebf5145fee726b82fa744d8e268da39454ee93",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:44.527Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Aaron Ashley",
     "publisher": "racingpost.com",
     "forecaster": "Aaron Ashley",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.racingpost.com/sport/football-tips/premier-league/leicester-vs-arsenal-predictions-betting-tips-odds-adaYP3R2VWaP/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win and under 3.5 goals"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 608,
  "pages": 32,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/2/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/3/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/4/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/5/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/6/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/7/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/8/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/9/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/11/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/12/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/13/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/14/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/15/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/16/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/17/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/18/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/19/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/20/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/21/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/22/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/23/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/24/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/25/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/26/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/27/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/28/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/29/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/30/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/31/",
   "/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/32/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 234,
   "pending": 2,
   "excluded": 372
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 10,
  "first": 161,
  "last": 180,
  "author_url": "/authors/aaron-ashley/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/aaron-ashley/picks/10/",
 "source_revision": 72
}